The School of Odds
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Indiana Pacers v Dallas Mavericks

Kickoff: 2026-10-23 23:13 UTC

Final: Indiana Pacers 105–121 Dallas Mavericks

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

68 sportsbooks (23 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Indiana Pacers (Local)

Prediction 69.72%1.43fair odd
EV -1.70%
Edge -1.20%
Kelly -4.14%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.41

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
67.70%69.73%69.54%71.27%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.271.361.361.4178.74%73.52%73.53%70.92%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Dallas Mavericks (Visit)

Prediction 30.28%3.30fair odd
EV +1.44%
Edge +0.431%
Kelly +0.614%
Growth +0.009%

assuming max odds 3.35

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
28.73%30.27%30.46%32.30%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.753.143.153.3536.36%31.82%31.75%29.85%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Indiana Pacers (Local): 69.72%; Dallas Mavericks (Visit): 30.28%. For Dallas Mavericks (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.30. 3 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.35, corresponding to a positive expected value of +1.44%.

Sportsbook Odds (68 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
betano_uk🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 70.97%EV -4.49%E -3.27%K -12.12%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.03%EV +1.44%E +0.431%K +0.614%G +0.009%2.8%2026-10-23 22:48
Bet Victor🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 70.97%EV -4.49%E -3.27%K -12.12%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.03%EV +1.44%E +0.431%K +0.614%G +0.009%2.8%2026-10-23 22:48
1xBet🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 70.94%EV -5.18%E -3.81%K -14.40%G +0.000%3.32I 30.12%NM 29.06%EV +0.535%E +0.161%K +0.231%G +0.001%3.6%2026-10-23 22:35
Winamax (DE)🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 70.66%EV -4.49%E -3.27%K -12.12%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.34%EV -0.071%E -0.021%K -0.031%G +0.000%3.3%2026-10-23 23:00
William Hill🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -7.27%E -5.47%K -22.04%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -0.071%E -0.021%K -0.031%G +0.000%5.5%2026-10-23 23:04
Neds🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -7.27%E -5.47%K -22.04%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -0.071%E -0.021%K -0.031%G +0.000%5.5%2026-10-23 23:10
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -7.27%E -5.47%K -22.04%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -0.071%E -0.021%K -0.031%G +0.000%5.5%2026-10-23 23:10
Unibet (UK)🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 70.35%EV -4.49%E -3.27%K -12.12%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.65%EV -1.58%E -0.488%K -0.704%G +0.000%3.8%2026-10-23 23:00
Marathon Bet🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 71.27%EV -8.67%E -6.62%K -27.96%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.73%EV -1.58%E -0.488%K -0.704%G +0.000%7.1%2026-10-23 23:08
BetAnything🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 69.87%EV -3.79%E -2.75%K -9.97%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.13%EV -3.10%E -0.968%K -1.41%G +0.000%3.7%2026-10-23 22:40
theScore Bet🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 70.02%EV -4.49%E -3.27%K -12.12%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.98%EV -3.10%E -0.968%K -1.41%G +0.000%4.2%2026-10-23 14:26
Fanatics🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -5.18%E -3.81%K -14.40%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -3.10%E -0.968%K -1.41%G +0.000%4.8%2026-10-23 23:04
Unibet (NL)🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -5.18%E -3.81%K -14.40%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -3.10%E -0.968%K -1.41%G +0.000%4.8%2026-10-23 23:00
Unibet (SE)🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -5.18%E -3.81%K -14.40%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -3.10%E -0.968%K -1.41%G +0.000%4.8%2026-10-23 23:00
Unibet🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -5.18%E -3.81%K -14.40%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -3.10%E -0.968%K -1.41%G +0.000%4.8%2026-10-23 23:00
BetRivers🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -5.18%E -3.81%K -14.40%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -3.10%E -0.968%K -1.41%G +0.000%4.8%2026-10-23 23:00
betPARX🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -5.18%E -3.81%K -14.40%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -3.10%E -0.968%K -1.41%G +0.000%4.8%2026-10-23 23:00
Svenska Spel🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -5.18%E -3.81%K -14.40%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -3.10%E -0.968%K -1.41%G +0.000%4.8%2026-10-23 23:00
ATG (SE)🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -5.18%E -3.81%K -14.40%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -3.10%E -0.968%K -1.41%G +0.000%4.8%2026-10-23 23:00
Bally Bet🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -5.18%E -3.81%K -14.40%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -3.10%E -0.968%K -1.41%G +0.000%4.8%2026-10-23 23:00
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -5.18%E -3.81%K -14.40%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -3.10%E -0.968%K -1.41%G +0.000%4.8%2026-10-23 19:45
BetMGM🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -5.18%E -3.81%K -14.40%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -3.10%E -0.968%K -1.41%G +0.000%4.8%2026-10-23 23:09
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -5.18%E -3.81%K -14.40%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -3.10%E -0.968%K -1.41%G +0.000%4.8%2026-10-23 22:55
ReBet🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -5.88%E -4.36%K -16.80%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -3.10%E -0.968%K -1.41%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-23 23:00
Pinnacle🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 69.35%EV -1.70%E -1.20%K -4.14%G +0.000%3.19I 31.35%NM 30.65%EV -3.40%E -1.07%K -1.55%G +0.000%2.3%2026-10-23 23:05
LowVig.ag🎯1.39I 71.94%NM 69.58%EV -3.09%E -2.22%K -7.93%G +0.000%3.18I 31.45%NM 30.42%EV -3.70%E -1.16%K -1.70%G +0.000%3.4%2026-10-23 21:30
BetUS🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 69.74%EV -3.79%E -2.75%K -9.97%G +0.000%3.18I 31.45%NM 30.26%EV -3.70%E -1.16%K -1.70%G +0.000%3.9%2026-10-23 21:30
SportsBet🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 69.67%EV -3.79%E -2.75%K -9.97%G +0.000%3.17I 31.55%NM 30.33%EV -4.01%E -1.26%K -1.85%G +0.000%4.0%2026-10-23 23:10
Everygame🎯1.39I 71.94%NM 69.38%EV -3.09%E -2.22%K -7.93%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.62%EV -4.61%E -1.46%K -2.15%G +0.000%3.7%2026-10-23 21:07
FanDuel🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 69.54%EV -3.79%E -2.75%K -9.97%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.46%EV -4.61%E -1.46%K -2.15%G +0.000%4.2%2026-10-23 23:05
Coolbet🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 69.54%EV -3.79%E -2.75%K -9.97%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.46%EV -4.61%E -1.46%K -2.15%G +0.000%4.2%2026-10-23 13:35
DraftKings🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 69.54%EV -3.79%E -2.75%K -9.97%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.46%EV -4.61%E -1.46%K -2.15%G +0.000%4.2%2026-10-23 13:25
GTbets🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 69.54%EV -3.79%E -2.75%K -9.97%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.46%EV -4.61%E -1.46%K -2.15%G +0.000%4.2%2026-10-23 21:30
Bovada🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 69.54%EV -3.79%E -2.75%K -9.97%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.46%EV -4.61%E -1.46%K -2.15%G +0.000%4.2%2026-10-23 23:00
BetOnline.ag🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 69.54%EV -3.79%E -2.75%K -9.97%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.46%EV -4.61%E -1.46%K -2.15%G +0.000%4.2%2026-10-23 21:30
Betr (AU)🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 69.54%EV -3.79%E -2.75%K -9.97%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.46%EV -4.61%E -1.46%K -2.15%G +0.000%4.2%2026-10-23 22:36
Caesars🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 69.69%EV -4.49%E -3.27%K -12.12%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.31%EV -4.61%E -1.46%K -2.15%G +0.000%4.7%2026-10-23 22:44
Fliff🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 69.69%EV -4.49%E -3.27%K -12.12%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.31%EV -4.61%E -1.46%K -2.15%G +0.000%4.7%2026-10-23 23:10
TABtouch🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -5.18%E -3.81%K -14.40%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -4.61%E -1.46%K -2.15%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-23 23:00
LiveScore Bet🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -5.18%E -3.81%K -14.40%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -4.61%E -1.46%K -2.15%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-23 23:00
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 70.00%EV -5.88%E -4.36%K -16.80%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.00%EV -4.61%E -1.46%K -2.15%G +0.000%5.8%2026-10-23 23:00
Virgin Bet🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 70.16%EV -6.58%E -4.91%K -19.35%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.84%EV -4.61%E -1.46%K -2.15%G +0.000%6.4%2026-10-23 23:00
TAB🎯1.39I 71.94%NM 69.04%EV -3.09%E -2.22%K -7.93%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.96%EV -6.13%E -1.98%K -2.92%G +0.000%4.2%2026-10-23 20:50
Codere (IT)🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -3.79%E -2.75%K -9.97%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -6.13%E -1.98%K -2.92%G +0.000%4.7%2026-10-23 22:35
Paddy Power🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -5.18%E -3.81%K -14.40%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -6.13%E -1.98%K -2.92%G +0.000%5.8%2026-10-23 22:30
888sport🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -5.18%E -3.81%K -14.40%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -6.13%E -1.98%K -2.92%G +0.000%5.8%2026-10-23 13:36
BoyleSports🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -5.18%E -3.81%K -14.40%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -6.13%E -1.98%K -2.92%G +0.000%5.8%2026-10-23 23:00
888sport (SE)🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -5.18%E -3.81%K -14.40%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -6.13%E -1.98%K -2.92%G +0.000%5.8%2026-10-23 13:36
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -5.18%E -3.81%K -14.40%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -6.13%E -1.98%K -2.92%G +0.000%5.8%2026-10-23 13:36
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -5.18%E -3.81%K -14.40%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -6.13%E -1.98%K -2.92%G +0.000%5.8%2026-10-23 22:30
picklebet_au🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 69.66%EV -5.88%E -4.36%K -16.80%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.34%EV -6.13%E -1.98%K -2.92%G +0.000%6.3%2026-10-23 23:00
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 69.66%EV -5.88%E -4.36%K -16.80%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.34%EV -6.13%E -1.98%K -2.92%G +0.000%6.3%2026-10-23 23:10
Coral🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 69.66%EV -5.88%E -4.36%K -16.80%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.34%EV -6.13%E -1.98%K -2.92%G +0.000%6.3%2026-10-23 23:08
Tipico (DE)🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 69.66%EV -5.88%E -4.36%K -16.80%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.34%EV -6.13%E -1.98%K -2.92%G +0.000%6.3%2026-10-23 23:00
Winamax (FR)🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV -7.27%E -5.47%K -22.04%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -6.13%E -1.98%K -2.92%G +0.000%7.4%2026-10-23 23:00
MyBookie.ag🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 69.06%EV -3.79%E -2.75%K -9.97%G +0.000%3.08I 32.47%NM 30.94%EV -6.73%E -2.19%K -3.24%G +0.000%4.9%2026-10-23 22:40
Bet Right🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -3.79%E -2.75%K -9.97%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -7.64%E -2.51%K -3.73%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-23 22:55
Betsson🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 69.32%EV -5.88%E -4.36%K -16.80%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.68%EV -7.64%E -2.51%K -3.73%G +0.000%6.9%2026-10-23 22:15
NordicBet🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 69.32%EV -5.88%E -4.36%K -16.80%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.68%EV -7.64%E -2.51%K -3.73%G +0.000%6.9%2026-10-23 22:15
NetBet (FR)🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 69.48%EV -6.58%E -4.91%K -19.35%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.52%EV -7.64%E -2.51%K -3.73%G +0.000%7.4%2026-10-23 22:35
LeoVegas🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 69.79%EV -7.97%E -6.04%K -24.91%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.21%EV -7.64%E -2.51%K -3.73%G +0.000%8.5%2026-10-23 23:05
PMU (FR)🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 70.11%EV -9.37%E -7.20%K -31.22%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.89%EV -7.64%E -2.51%K -3.73%G +0.000%9.7%2026-10-23 23:00
Dabble (AU)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -2.39%E -1.71%K -5.99%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -9.16%E -3.05%K -4.58%G +0.000%4.8%2026-10-23 13:36
PlayUp🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -2.39%E -1.71%K -5.99%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -9.16%E -3.05%K -4.58%G +0.000%4.8%2026-10-23 22:55
Sky Bet🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -5.18%E -3.81%K -14.40%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -9.16%E -3.05%K -4.58%G +0.000%6.9%2026-10-23 22:55
Betclic (FR)🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 69.05%EV -9.37%E -7.20%K -31.22%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.95%EV -12.18%E -4.20%K -6.41%G +0.000%11.4%2026-10-23 23:03
Betway🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 67.70%EV -5.18%E -3.81%K -14.40%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.30%EV -13.70%E -4.81%K -7.40%G +0.000%8.6%2026-10-23 23:10
Unibet (FR)🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 68.41%EV -11.46%E -9.02%K -42.44%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 31.59%EV -16.73%E -6.08%K -9.56%G +0.000%15.1%2026-10-23 23:10
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (10)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
ProphetX◎1.43I 69.93%NM 69.77%3.30I 30.30%NM 30.23%0.2%2026-10-23 23:05
Novig◎1.43I 69.93%NM 69.64%3.28I 30.49%NM 30.36%0.4%2026-10-23 23:10
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.42I 70.42%NM 69.92%3.30I 30.30%NM 30.08%0.7%2026-10-23 23:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.42I 70.42%NM 69.92%3.30I 30.30%NM 30.08%0.7%2026-10-23 23:00
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.42I 70.42%NM 69.92%3.30I 30.30%NM 30.08%0.7%2026-10-23 23:00
Polymarket◎1.43I 69.93%NM 69.31%3.23I 30.96%NM 30.69%0.9%2026-10-23 20:10
Matchbook◎1.41I 70.92%NM 70.06%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.94%1.2%2026-10-23 23:10
Smarkets◎1.41I 70.92%NM 69.74%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.26%1.7%2026-10-23 23:10
Kalshi◎1.41I 70.92%NM 69.61%3.23I 30.96%NM 30.39%1.9%2026-10-23 23:05
BetOpenly◎1.39I 71.94%NM 70.24%3.28I 30.49%NM 29.76%2.4%2026-10-23 22:31