Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Indiana Pacers v Dallas Mavericks

Kickoff: 2026-02-22 22:10 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

64 sportsbooks (23 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Indiana Pacers (Local)

Prediction 48.77%2.05fair odd
EV -1.49%
Edge -0.735%
Kelly -1.46%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.02

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
47.37%48.74%48.72%52.63%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.801.951.952.0255.56%51.35%51.28%49.50%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Dallas Mavericks (Visit)

Prediction 51.23%1.95fair odd
EV +2.46%
Edge +1.23%
Kelly +2.46%
Growth +0.061%

assuming max odds 2.00

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
47.37%51.26%51.28%52.63%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.781.861.862.0056.18%53.75%53.76%50.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Indiana Pacers (Local): 48.77%; Dallas Mavericks (Visit): 51.23%. For Dallas Mavericks (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.95. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.00, corresponding to a positive expected value of +2.46%.

Sportsbook Odds (64 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
William Hill🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -12.21%E -6.79%K -15.27%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV +2.46%E +1.23%K +2.46%G +0.061%5.6%2026-02-22 21:30
1xBet🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 49.74%EV -3.92%E -1.99%K -4.05%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 50.26%EV -0.101%E -0.052%K -0.106%G +0.000%2.0%2026-02-22 21:35
Unibet (SE)🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 49.74%EV -5.87%E -3.04%K -6.32%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.26%EV -2.15%E -1.13%K -2.36%G +0.000%4.2%2026-02-22 22:00
Unibet (NL)🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 49.74%EV -5.87%E -3.04%K -6.32%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.26%EV -2.15%E -1.13%K -2.36%G +0.000%4.2%2026-02-22 22:00
Svenska Spel🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 49.74%EV -5.87%E -3.04%K -6.32%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.26%EV -2.15%E -1.13%K -2.36%G +0.000%4.2%2026-02-22 22:00
ATG (SE)🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 49.74%EV -5.87%E -3.04%K -6.32%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.26%EV -2.15%E -1.13%K -2.36%G +0.000%4.2%2026-02-22 22:00
Bet Victor🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 48.72%EV -2.46%E -1.23%K -2.46%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 51.28%EV -2.66%E -1.40%K -2.96%G +0.000%2.6%2026-02-22 21:55
Winamax (DE)🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 48.97%EV -3.44%E -1.74%K -3.51%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 51.03%EV -2.66%E -1.40%K -2.96%G +0.000%3.1%2026-02-22 22:04
Coolbet🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 49.35%EV -4.90%E -2.51%K -5.16%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.65%EV -2.66%E -1.40%K -2.96%G +0.000%3.9%2026-02-22 21:55
Unibet🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 49.48%EV -5.87%E -3.04%K -6.32%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 50.52%EV -3.17%E -1.68%K -3.57%G +0.000%4.7%2026-02-22 21:55
Codere (IT)🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 49.61%EV -6.36%E -3.31%K -6.92%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 50.39%EV -3.17%E -1.68%K -3.57%G +0.000%5.0%2026-02-22 21:45
Parions Sport (FR)🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 49.61%EV -6.36%E -3.31%K -6.92%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 50.39%EV -3.17%E -1.68%K -3.57%G +0.000%5.0%2026-02-22 21:45
Pinnacle🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 48.21%EV -1.49%E -0.735%K -1.46%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 51.79%EV -3.69%E -1.96%K -4.19%G +0.000%2.7%2026-02-22 22:00
Unibet (UK)🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 48.70%EV -3.44%E -1.74%K -3.51%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 51.30%EV -3.69%E -1.96%K -4.19%G +0.000%3.7%2026-02-22 22:04
Marathon Bet🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 49.09%EV -4.90%E -2.51%K -5.16%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.91%EV -3.69%E -1.96%K -4.19%G +0.000%4.5%2026-02-22 21:55
TABtouch🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -5.87%E -3.04%K -6.32%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -3.69%E -1.96%K -4.19%G +0.000%5.0%2026-02-22 21:55
betPARX🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -5.87%E -3.04%K -6.32%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -3.69%E -1.96%K -4.19%G +0.000%5.0%2026-02-22 21:55
Bally Bet🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -5.87%E -3.04%K -6.32%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -3.69%E -1.96%K -4.19%G +0.000%5.0%2026-02-22 21:55
BetAnything🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -5.87%E -3.04%K -6.32%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -3.69%E -1.96%K -4.19%G +0.000%5.0%2026-02-22 21:35
Virgin Bet🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -6.36%E -3.31%K -6.92%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -3.69%E -1.96%K -4.19%G +0.000%5.3%2026-02-22 21:55
BetRivers🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -6.36%E -3.31%K -6.92%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -3.69%E -1.96%K -4.19%G +0.000%5.3%2026-02-22 21:55
LiveScore Bet🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -6.36%E -3.31%K -6.92%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -3.69%E -1.96%K -4.19%G +0.000%5.3%2026-02-22 21:55
LowVig.ag🎯1.99I 50.25%NM 48.45%EV -2.95%E -1.48%K -2.98%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.55%EV -4.20%E -2.25%K -4.83%G +0.000%3.7%2026-02-22 21:55
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.90%E -2.51%K -5.16%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.20%E -2.25%K -4.83%G +0.000%4.8%2026-02-22 21:55
Fanatics🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.90%E -2.51%K -5.16%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.20%E -2.25%K -4.83%G +0.000%4.8%2026-02-22 21:45
PlayUp🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.90%E -2.51%K -5.16%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.20%E -2.25%K -4.83%G +0.000%4.8%2026-02-22 22:05
Caesars🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.90%E -2.51%K -5.16%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.20%E -2.25%K -4.83%G +0.000%4.8%2026-02-22 21:34
GTbets🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.90%E -2.51%K -5.16%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.20%E -2.25%K -4.83%G +0.000%4.8%2026-02-22 21:35
Bovada🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.90%E -2.51%K -5.16%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.20%E -2.25%K -4.83%G +0.000%4.8%2026-02-22 22:03
BoyleSports🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 49.47%EV -6.85%E -3.59%K -7.53%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.53%EV -4.20%E -2.25%K -4.83%G +0.000%5.8%2026-02-22 21:40
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 49.47%EV -6.85%E -3.59%K -7.53%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.53%EV -4.20%E -2.25%K -4.83%G +0.000%5.8%2026-02-22 21:55
MyBookie.ag🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.82%EV -4.90%E -2.51%K -5.16%G +0.000%1.86I 53.76%NM 51.18%EV -4.71%E -2.53%K -5.48%G +0.000%5.0%2026-02-22 21:38
Betr (AU)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 49.34%EV -6.85%E -3.59%K -7.53%G +0.000%1.86I 53.76%NM 50.66%EV -4.71%E -2.53%K -5.48%G +0.000%6.1%2026-02-22 21:55
FanDuel🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -2.46%E -1.23%K -2.46%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -5.22%E -2.82%K -6.15%G +0.000%4.1%2026-02-22 22:00
SportsBet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -2.46%E -1.23%K -2.46%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -5.22%E -2.82%K -6.15%G +0.000%4.1%2026-02-22 22:00
TAB🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -2.46%E -1.23%K -2.46%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -5.22%E -2.82%K -6.15%G +0.000%4.1%2026-02-22 21:50
Dabble (AU)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -2.46%E -1.23%K -2.46%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -5.22%E -2.82%K -6.15%G +0.000%4.1%2026-02-22 21:45
DraftKings🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 48.30%EV -3.44%E -1.74%K -3.51%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.70%EV -5.22%E -2.82%K -6.15%G +0.000%4.6%2026-02-22 21:55
BetOnline.ag🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 48.43%EV -3.92%E -1.99%K -4.05%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.57%EV -5.22%E -2.82%K -6.15%G +0.000%4.8%2026-02-22 21:55
Bet Right🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -4.90%E -2.51%K -5.16%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -5.22%E -2.82%K -6.15%G +0.000%5.3%2026-02-22 21:55
Betsson🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -4.90%E -2.51%K -5.16%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -5.22%E -2.82%K -6.15%G +0.000%5.3%2026-02-22 21:50
NordicBet🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -4.90%E -2.51%K -5.16%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -5.22%E -2.82%K -6.15%G +0.000%5.3%2026-02-22 21:50
Unibet (FR)🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 48.94%EV -5.87%E -3.04%K -6.32%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.06%EV -5.22%E -2.82%K -6.15%G +0.000%5.9%2026-02-22 21:59
888sport🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -6.85%E -3.59%K -7.53%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.80%EV -5.22%E -2.82%K -6.15%G +0.000%6.4%2026-02-22 21:55
888sport (SE)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -6.85%E -3.59%K -7.53%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.80%EV -5.22%E -2.82%K -6.15%G +0.000%6.4%2026-02-22 21:55
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -6.85%E -3.59%K -7.53%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.80%EV -5.22%E -2.82%K -6.15%G +0.000%6.4%2026-02-22 21:55
Winamax (FR)🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 48.94%EV -6.36%E -3.31%K -6.92%G +0.000%1.84I 54.35%NM 51.06%EV -5.74%E -3.12%K -6.83%G +0.000%6.4%2026-02-22 22:04
theScore Bet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -2.46%E -1.23%K -2.46%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -6.25%E -3.41%K -7.53%G +0.000%4.6%2026-02-22 22:05
BetUS🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -2.46%E -1.23%K -2.46%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -6.25%E -3.41%K -7.53%G +0.000%4.6%2026-02-22 22:05
BetMGM🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -2.46%E -1.23%K -2.46%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -6.25%E -3.41%K -7.53%G +0.000%4.6%2026-02-22 22:05
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -3.44%E -1.74%K -3.51%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -6.25%E -3.41%K -7.53%G +0.000%5.1%2026-02-22 22:05
Neds🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -3.44%E -1.74%K -3.51%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -6.25%E -3.41%K -7.53%G +0.000%5.1%2026-02-22 22:05
Fliff🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -4.90%E -2.51%K -5.16%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -6.25%E -3.41%K -7.53%G +0.000%5.9%2026-02-22 21:40
Betway🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -4.90%E -2.51%K -5.16%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -6.25%E -3.41%K -7.53%G +0.000%5.9%2026-02-22 22:00
Tipico (DE)🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 48.67%EV -5.87%E -3.04%K -6.32%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.33%EV -6.25%E -3.41%K -7.53%G +0.000%6.5%2026-02-22 22:00
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -6.85%E -3.59%K -7.53%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -6.25%E -3.41%K -7.53%G +0.000%7.0%2026-02-22 22:05
LeoVegas🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 49.33%EV -8.31%E -4.42%K -9.45%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 50.67%EV -6.25%E -3.41%K -7.53%G +0.000%7.8%2026-02-22 21:55
Paddy Power🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -2.46%E -1.23%K -2.46%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -7.79%E -4.33%K -9.73%G +0.000%5.6%2026-02-22 22:04
Sky Bet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -2.46%E -1.23%K -2.46%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -7.79%E -4.33%K -9.73%G +0.000%5.6%2026-02-22 21:55
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -2.46%E -1.23%K -2.46%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -7.79%E -4.33%K -9.73%G +0.000%5.6%2026-02-22 22:05
Coral🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -4.90%E -2.51%K -5.16%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -7.79%E -4.33%K -9.73%G +0.000%6.8%2026-02-22 22:05
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -4.90%E -2.51%K -5.16%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -7.79%E -4.33%K -9.73%G +0.000%6.8%2026-02-22 22:05
Betclic (FR)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 49.32%EV -9.78%E -5.28%K -11.50%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 50.68%EV -7.79%E -4.33%K -9.73%G +0.000%9.6%2026-02-22 22:04
NetBet (FR)🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 47.98%EV -5.87%E -3.04%K -6.32%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 52.02%EV -8.81%E -4.95%K -11.29%G +0.000%8.0%2026-02-22 21:59
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (10)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Matchbook2.06I 48.54%NM 48.24%1.92I 52.08%NM 51.76%0.6%2026-02-22 22:00
Novig2.06I 48.54%NM 48.24%1.92I 52.08%NM 51.76%0.6%2026-02-22 22:05
ProphetX2.06I 48.54%NM 48.24%1.92I 52.08%NM 51.76%0.6%2026-02-22 22:05
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.06I 48.54%NM 48.24%1.92I 52.08%NM 51.76%0.6%2026-02-22 22:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.06I 48.54%NM 48.24%1.92I 52.08%NM 51.76%0.6%2026-02-22 21:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.06I 48.54%NM 48.24%1.92I 52.08%NM 51.76%0.6%2026-02-22 21:55
Polymarket2.08I 48.08%NM 47.61%1.89I 52.91%NM 52.39%1.0%2026-02-22 21:40
Kalshi2.04I 49.02%NM 48.09%1.89I 52.91%NM 51.91%1.9%2026-02-22 21:55
Smarkets2.04I 49.02%NM 48.09%1.89I 52.91%NM 51.91%1.9%2026-02-22 22:05
BetOpenly1.92I 52.08%NM 50.00%1.92I 52.08%NM 50.00%4.2%2026-02-22 21:59