Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Indiana Pacers v Charlotte Hornets

Kickoff: 2026-02-27 00:10 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

63 sportsbooks (21 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Indiana Pacers (Local)

Prediction 17.00%5.88fair odd
EV +14.78%
Edge +2.19%
Kelly +2.57%
Growth +0.380%

assuming max odds 6.75

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
14.56%17.23%16.55%19.69%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.655.645.756.7521.51%17.74%17.39%14.81%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Charlotte Hornets (Visit)

Prediction 83.00%1.20fair odd
EV -0.405%
Edge -0.338%
Kelly -2.03%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.20

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
80.31%82.77%83.45%85.44%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.121.151.151.2089.29%87.10%86.96%83.33%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Indiana Pacers (Local): 17.00%; Charlotte Hornets (Visit): 83.00%. For Indiana Pacers (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 5.88. 15 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 6.75, corresponding to a positive expected value of +14.78%.

Sportsbook Odds (63 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
1xBet🎯6.75I 14.81%NM 14.56%EV +14.78%E +2.19%K +2.57%G +0.380%1.15I 86.96%NM 85.44%EV -4.55%E -3.96%K -30.37%G +0.000%1.8%2026-02-26 23:24
Pinnacle🎯6.36I 15.72%NM 15.20%EV +8.15%E +1.28%K +1.52%G +0.124%1.14I 87.72%NM 84.80%EV -5.38%E -4.72%K -38.46%G +0.000%3.4%2026-02-26 23:39
Unibet (FR)🎯6.20I 16.13%NM 15.42%EV +5.43%E +0.875%K +1.04%G +0.057%1.13I 88.50%NM 84.58%EV -6.21%E -5.50%K -47.81%G +0.000%4.6%2026-02-27 00:03
Parions Sport (FR)🎯6.10I 16.39%NM 15.63%EV +3.73%E +0.611%K +0.731%G +0.027%1.13I 88.50%NM 84.37%EV -6.21%E -5.50%K -47.81%G +0.000%4.9%2026-02-26 23:50
LowVig.ag🎯6.02I 16.61%NM 16.04%EV +2.37%E +0.393%K +0.471%G +0.011%1.15I 86.96%NM 83.96%EV -4.55%E -3.96%K -30.37%G +0.000%3.6%2026-02-27 00:05
BetMGM🎯6.00I 16.67%NM 15.97%EV +2.03%E +0.338%K +0.405%G +0.008%1.14I 87.72%NM 84.03%EV -5.38%E -4.72%K -38.46%G +0.000%4.4%2026-02-27 00:04
BetAnything🎯6.00I 16.67%NM 15.97%EV +2.03%E +0.338%K +0.405%G +0.008%1.14I 87.72%NM 84.03%EV -5.38%E -4.72%K -38.46%G +0.000%4.4%2026-02-27 00:00
Codere (IT)🎯6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV +2.03%E +0.338%K +0.405%G +0.008%1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -6.21%E -5.50%K -47.81%G +0.000%5.2%2026-02-26 23:50
BoyleSports🎯6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV +2.03%E +0.338%K +0.405%G +0.008%1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -7.04%E -6.29%K -58.71%G +0.000%6.0%2026-02-27 00:00
William Hill🎯6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV +2.03%E +0.338%K +0.405%G +0.008%1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -7.04%E -6.29%K -58.71%G +0.000%6.0%2026-02-26 10:30
BetOnline.ag🎯5.91I 16.92%NM 16.29%EV +0.495%E +0.084%K +0.101%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 83.71%EV -4.55%E -3.96%K -30.37%G +0.000%3.9%2026-02-27 00:04
SportsBet🎯5.90I 16.95%NM 16.31%EV +0.325%E +0.055%K +0.066%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 83.69%EV -4.55%E -3.96%K -30.37%G +0.000%3.9%2026-02-27 00:05
Coolbet🎯5.90I 16.95%NM 16.31%EV +0.325%E +0.055%K +0.066%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 83.69%EV -4.55%E -3.96%K -30.37%G +0.000%3.9%2026-02-26 23:59
DraftKings🎯5.90I 16.95%NM 16.31%EV +0.325%E +0.055%K +0.066%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 83.69%EV -4.55%E -3.96%K -30.37%G +0.000%3.9%2026-02-27 00:04
GTbets🎯5.90I 16.95%NM 16.31%EV +0.325%E +0.055%K +0.066%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 83.69%EV -4.55%E -3.96%K -30.37%G +0.000%3.9%2026-02-27 00:04
Fliff🎯5.85I 17.09%NM 16.31%EV -0.525%E -0.090%K -0.108%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 83.69%EV -5.38%E -4.72%K -38.46%G +0.000%4.8%2026-02-27 00:04
FanDuel🎯5.80I 17.24%NM 16.55%EV -1.38%E -0.237%K -0.287%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 83.45%EV -4.55%E -3.96%K -30.37%G +0.000%4.2%2026-02-27 00:05
TAB🎯5.80I 17.24%NM 16.55%EV -1.38%E -0.237%K -0.287%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 83.45%EV -4.55%E -3.96%K -30.37%G +0.000%4.2%2026-02-27 00:04
Unibet (NL)🎯5.80I 17.24%NM 16.55%EV -1.38%E -0.237%K -0.287%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 83.45%EV -4.55%E -3.96%K -30.37%G +0.000%4.2%2026-02-26 23:59
Unibet (SE)🎯5.80I 17.24%NM 16.55%EV -1.38%E -0.237%K -0.287%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 83.45%EV -4.55%E -3.96%K -30.37%G +0.000%4.2%2026-02-26 23:59
Svenska Spel🎯5.80I 17.24%NM 16.55%EV -1.38%E -0.237%K -0.287%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 83.45%EV -4.55%E -3.96%K -30.37%G +0.000%4.2%2026-02-26 23:59
ATG (SE)🎯5.80I 17.24%NM 16.55%EV -1.38%E -0.237%K -0.287%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 83.45%EV -4.55%E -3.96%K -30.37%G +0.000%4.2%2026-02-27 00:00
Everygame🎯5.80I 17.24%NM 16.55%EV -1.38%E -0.237%K -0.287%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 83.45%EV -4.55%E -3.96%K -30.37%G +0.000%4.2%2026-02-27 00:04
Neds🎯5.80I 17.24%NM 16.43%EV -1.38%E -0.237%K -0.287%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 83.57%EV -5.38%E -4.72%K -38.46%G +0.000%5.0%2026-02-26 23:59
MyBookie.ag🎯5.79I 17.27%NM 16.45%EV -1.55%E -0.267%K -0.323%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 83.55%EV -5.38%E -4.72%K -38.46%G +0.000%5.0%2026-02-26 23:53
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯5.75I 17.39%NM 16.55%EV -2.23%E -0.387%K -0.469%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 83.45%EV -5.38%E -4.72%K -38.46%G +0.000%5.1%2026-02-27 00:04
Bet Right🎯5.75I 17.39%NM 16.55%EV -2.23%E -0.387%K -0.469%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 83.45%EV -5.38%E -4.72%K -38.46%G +0.000%5.1%2026-02-26 23:30
Betr (AU)🎯5.75I 17.39%NM 16.55%EV -2.23%E -0.387%K -0.469%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 83.45%EV -5.38%E -4.72%K -38.46%G +0.000%5.1%2026-02-26 23:55
Fanatics🎯5.75I 17.39%NM 16.55%EV -2.23%E -0.387%K -0.469%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 83.45%EV -5.38%E -4.72%K -38.46%G +0.000%5.1%2026-02-26 23:55
888sport🎯5.75I 17.39%NM 16.42%EV -2.23%E -0.387%K -0.469%G +0.000%1.13I 88.50%NM 83.58%EV -6.21%E -5.50%K -47.81%G +0.000%5.9%2026-02-26 23:49
888sport (SE)🎯5.75I 17.39%NM 16.42%EV -2.23%E -0.387%K -0.469%G +0.000%1.13I 88.50%NM 83.58%EV -6.21%E -5.50%K -47.81%G +0.000%5.9%2026-02-26 23:50
Mr Green (SE)🎯5.75I 17.39%NM 16.42%EV -2.23%E -0.387%K -0.469%G +0.000%1.13I 88.50%NM 83.58%EV -6.21%E -5.50%K -47.81%G +0.000%5.9%2026-02-26 23:50
Coral🎯5.75I 17.39%NM 16.42%EV -2.23%E -0.387%K -0.469%G +0.000%1.13I 88.50%NM 83.58%EV -6.21%E -5.50%K -47.81%G +0.000%5.9%2026-02-27 00:04
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯5.75I 17.39%NM 16.42%EV -2.23%E -0.387%K -0.469%G +0.000%1.13I 88.50%NM 83.58%EV -6.21%E -5.50%K -47.81%G +0.000%5.9%2026-02-27 00:04
theScore Bet🎯5.75I 17.39%NM 16.42%EV -2.23%E -0.387%K -0.469%G +0.000%1.13I 88.50%NM 83.58%EV -6.21%E -5.50%K -47.81%G +0.000%5.9%2026-02-26 23:50
BetUS🎯5.65I 17.70%NM 17.03%EV -3.93%E -0.695%K -0.844%G +0.000%1.16I 86.21%NM 82.97%EV -3.72%E -3.21%K -23.28%G +0.000%3.9%2026-02-27 00:04
Caesars🎯5.60I 17.86%NM 17.04%EV -4.78%E -0.853%K -1.04%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 82.96%EV -4.55%E -3.96%K -30.37%G +0.000%4.8%2026-02-27 00:02
TABtouch🎯5.60I 17.86%NM 17.04%EV -4.78%E -0.853%K -1.04%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 82.96%EV -4.55%E -3.96%K -30.37%G +0.000%4.8%2026-02-26 23:59
Unibet🎯5.60I 17.86%NM 17.04%EV -4.78%E -0.853%K -1.04%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 82.96%EV -4.55%E -3.96%K -30.37%G +0.000%4.8%2026-02-27 00:00
betPARX🎯5.60I 17.86%NM 17.04%EV -4.78%E -0.853%K -1.04%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 82.96%EV -4.55%E -3.96%K -30.37%G +0.000%4.8%2026-02-27 00:00
Bally Bet🎯5.60I 17.86%NM 17.04%EV -4.78%E -0.853%K -1.04%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 82.96%EV -4.55%E -3.96%K -30.37%G +0.000%4.8%2026-02-27 00:00
PointsBet (AU)🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 17.42%EV -6.48%E -1.18%K -1.44%G +0.000%1.16I 86.21%NM 82.58%EV -3.72%E -3.21%K -23.28%G +0.000%4.4%2026-02-27 00:04
Virgin Bet🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV -6.48%E -1.18%K -1.44%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -4.55%E -3.96%K -30.37%G +0.000%5.1%2026-02-27 00:00
LiveScore Bet🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV -6.48%E -1.18%K -1.44%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -4.55%E -3.96%K -30.37%G +0.000%5.1%2026-02-26 23:59
BetRivers🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV -6.48%E -1.18%K -1.44%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -4.55%E -3.96%K -30.37%G +0.000%5.1%2026-02-27 00:00
Paddy Power🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -6.48%E -1.18%K -1.44%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -5.38%E -4.72%K -38.46%G +0.000%5.9%2026-02-26 23:48
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -6.48%E -1.18%K -1.44%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -5.38%E -4.72%K -38.46%G +0.000%5.9%2026-02-26 23:50
LeoVegas (SE)🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -6.48%E -1.18%K -1.44%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -5.38%E -4.72%K -38.46%G +0.000%5.9%2026-02-27 00:00
Dabble (AU)🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -6.48%E -1.18%K -1.44%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -5.38%E -4.72%K -38.46%G +0.000%5.9%2026-02-27 00:04
Winamax (DE)🎯5.30I 18.87%NM 18.21%EV -9.88%E -1.86%K -2.30%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 81.79%EV -2.06%E -1.75%K -11.47%G +0.000%3.6%2026-02-27 00:04
LeoVegas🎯5.30I 18.87%NM 17.45%EV -9.88%E -1.86%K -2.30%G +0.000%1.12I 89.29%NM 82.55%EV -7.04%E -6.29%K -58.71%G +0.000%8.2%2026-02-27 00:00
Bovada🎯5.25I 19.05%NM 18.22%EV -10.73%E -2.04%K -2.52%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 81.78%EV -2.89%E -2.47%K -17.03%G +0.000%4.5%2026-02-26 23:53
Bet Victor🎯5.20I 19.23%NM 18.75%EV -11.58%E -2.23%K -2.76%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 81.25%EV -0.405%E -0.338%K -2.03%G +0.000%2.6%2026-02-27 00:00
Unibet (UK)🎯5.20I 19.23%NM 18.62%EV -11.58%E -2.23%K -2.76%G +0.000%1.19I 84.03%NM 81.38%EV -1.23%E -1.04%K -6.50%G +0.000%3.3%2026-02-27 00:05
Tipico (DE)🎯5.20I 19.23%NM 18.11%EV -11.58%E -2.23%K -2.76%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 81.89%EV -4.55%E -3.96%K -30.37%G +0.000%6.2%2026-02-26 23:59
PlayUp🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 19.09%EV -14.98%E -3.00%K -3.74%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 80.91%EV -2.06%E -1.75%K -11.47%G +0.000%4.7%2026-02-27 00:04
Sky Bet🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -14.98%E -3.00%K -3.74%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -2.89%E -2.47%K -17.03%G +0.000%5.5%2026-02-26 23:50
Hard Rock Bet🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -14.98%E -3.00%K -3.74%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -2.89%E -2.47%K -17.03%G +0.000%5.5%2026-02-27 00:04
Betsson🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -14.98%E -3.00%K -3.74%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -2.89%E -2.47%K -17.03%G +0.000%5.5%2026-02-27 00:04
NordicBet🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -14.98%E -3.00%K -3.74%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -2.89%E -2.47%K -17.03%G +0.000%5.5%2026-02-27 00:05
Betway🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -14.98%E -3.00%K -3.74%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -2.89%E -2.47%K -17.03%G +0.000%5.5%2026-02-27 00:04
Winamax (FR)🎯4.80I 20.83%NM 19.46%EV -18.38%E -3.83%K -4.84%G +0.000%1.16I 86.21%NM 80.54%EV -3.72%E -3.21%K -23.28%G +0.000%7.0%2026-02-27 00:04
Betclic (FR)🎯4.65I 21.51%NM 19.69%EV -20.93%E -4.50%K -5.73%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 80.31%EV -5.38%E -4.72%K -38.46%G +0.000%9.2%2026-02-27 00:05
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (10)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
BetOpenly6.40I 15.63%NM 15.68%1.19I 84.03%NM 84.32%-0.3%2026-02-26 23:59
ProphetX6.30I 15.87%NM 15.89%1.19I 84.03%NM 84.11%-0.1%2026-02-27 00:04
Matchbook6.60I 15.15%NM 15.06%1.17I 85.47%NM 84.94%0.6%2026-02-27 00:05
Betfair Exchange (AU)6.00I 16.67%NM 16.55%1.19I 84.03%NM 83.45%0.7%2026-02-27 00:05
Novig5.99I 16.69%NM 16.57%1.19I 84.03%NM 83.43%0.7%2026-02-27 00:05
Kalshi5.88I 17.01%NM 16.83%1.19I 84.03%NM 83.17%1.0%2026-02-27 00:00
Polymarket5.88I 17.01%NM 16.83%1.19I 84.03%NM 83.17%1.0%2026-02-26 23:54
Betfair Exchange (EU)6.40I 15.63%NM 15.46%1.17I 85.47%NM 84.54%1.1%2026-02-27 00:04
Betfair Exchange (UK)6.40I 15.63%NM 15.46%1.17I 85.47%NM 84.54%1.1%2026-02-27 00:05
Smarkets6.20I 16.13%NM 15.65%1.15I 86.96%NM 84.35%3.1%2026-02-27 00:04