Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Houston Rockets v Utah Jazz

Kickoff: 2026-04-04 00:11 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

61 sportsbooks (22 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Houston Rockets (Local)

Prediction 91.52%1.09fair odd
EV -2.07%
Edge -1.93%
Kelly -29.57%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.07

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
88.82%91.31%91.67%93.05%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.011.051.051.0799.01%95.54%95.24%93.46%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Utah Jazz (Visit)

Prediction 8.48%11.80fair odd
EV +16.98%
Edge +1.23%
Kelly +1.33%
Growth +0.225%

assuming max odds 13.80

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
6.95%8.69%8.33%11.18%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
8.5010.8511.0013.8011.76%9.22%9.09%7.25%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Houston Rockets (Local): 91.52%; Utah Jazz (Visit): 8.48%. For Utah Jazz (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 11.80. 12 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 13.80, corresponding to a positive expected value of +16.98%.

Sportsbook Odds (61 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
Fliff🎯1.03I 97.09%NM 93.05%EV -5.73%E -5.56%K -191.03%G +0.000%13.80I 7.25%NM 6.95%EV +16.98%E +1.23%K +1.33%G +0.225%4.3%2026-04-04 00:10
SportsBet🎯1.04I 96.15%NM 92.59%EV -4.82%E -4.63%K -120.39%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.41%EV +10.20%E +0.784%K +0.850%G +0.087%3.8%2026-04-04 00:10
Pinnacle🎯1.05I 95.24%NM 92.34%EV -3.90%E -3.71%K -78.01%G +0.000%12.65I 7.91%NM 7.66%EV +7.23%E +0.571%K +0.620%G +0.045%3.1%2026-04-03 23:59
LowVig.ag🎯1.04I 96.15%NM 92.39%EV -4.82%E -4.63%K -120.39%G +0.000%12.63I 7.92%NM 7.61%EV +7.06%E +0.559%K +0.607%G +0.043%4.1%2026-04-04 00:09
Caesars🎯1.04I 96.15%NM 92.32%EV -4.82%E -4.63%K -120.39%G +0.000%12.50I 8.00%NM 7.68%EV +5.96%E +0.477%K +0.518%G +0.031%4.2%2026-04-04 00:09
BetOnline.ag🎯1.04I 96.15%NM 92.12%EV -4.82%E -4.63%K -120.39%G +0.000%12.16I 8.22%NM 7.88%EV +3.08%E +0.253%K +0.276%G +0.008%4.4%2026-04-04 00:09
FanDuel🎯1.05I 95.24%NM 91.95%EV -3.90%E -3.71%K -78.01%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 8.05%EV +1.72%E +0.143%K +0.156%G +0.003%3.6%2026-04-04 00:10
Winamax (DE)🎯1.05I 95.24%NM 91.95%EV -3.90%E -3.71%K -78.01%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 8.05%EV +1.72%E +0.143%K +0.156%G +0.003%3.6%2026-04-04 00:09
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.05I 95.24%NM 91.95%EV -3.90%E -3.71%K -78.01%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 8.05%EV +1.72%E +0.143%K +0.156%G +0.003%3.6%2026-04-04 00:10
Fanatics🎯1.05I 95.24%NM 91.95%EV -3.90%E -3.71%K -78.01%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 8.05%EV +1.72%E +0.143%K +0.156%G +0.003%3.6%2026-04-04 00:09
DraftKings🎯1.05I 95.24%NM 91.95%EV -3.90%E -3.71%K -78.01%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 8.05%EV +1.72%E +0.143%K +0.156%G +0.003%3.6%2026-04-04 00:09
theScore Bet🎯1.04I 96.15%NM 92.02%EV -4.82%E -4.63%K -120.39%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.98%EV +1.72%E +0.143%K +0.156%G +0.003%4.5%2026-04-04 00:09
Marathon Bet🎯1.04I 96.15%NM 91.87%EV -4.82%E -4.63%K -120.39%G +0.000%11.75I 8.51%NM 8.13%EV -0.400%E -0.034%K -0.037%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-03 23:59
Unibet (UK)🎯1.05I 95.24%NM 91.63%EV -3.90%E -3.71%K -78.01%G +0.000%11.50I 8.70%NM 8.37%EV -2.52%E -0.219%K -0.240%G +0.000%3.9%2026-04-04 00:10
Coolbet🎯1.05I 95.24%NM 91.63%EV -3.90%E -3.71%K -78.01%G +0.000%11.50I 8.70%NM 8.37%EV -2.52%E -0.219%K -0.240%G +0.000%3.9%2026-04-04 00:09
BetUS🎯1.05I 95.24%NM 91.63%EV -3.90%E -3.71%K -78.01%G +0.000%11.50I 8.70%NM 8.37%EV -2.52%E -0.219%K -0.240%G +0.000%3.9%2026-04-04 00:09
BetMGM🎯1.04I 96.15%NM 91.71%EV -4.82%E -4.63%K -120.39%G +0.000%11.50I 8.70%NM 8.29%EV -2.52%E -0.219%K -0.240%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-04 00:09
BetAnything🎯1.04I 96.15%NM 91.71%EV -4.82%E -4.63%K -120.39%G +0.000%11.50I 8.70%NM 8.29%EV -2.52%E -0.219%K -0.240%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-04 00:10
NetBet (FR)🎯1.01I 99.01%NM 91.93%EV -7.56%E -7.49%K -756.13%G +0.000%11.50I 8.70%NM 8.07%EV -2.52%E -0.219%K -0.240%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-04 00:00
GTbets🎯1.05I 95.24%NM 91.46%EV -3.90%E -3.71%K -78.01%G +0.000%11.25I 8.89%NM 8.54%EV -4.64%E -0.412%K -0.453%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-04 00:09
Bet Victor🎯1.07I 93.46%NM 91.14%EV -2.07%E -1.93%K -29.57%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.86%EV -6.76%E -0.614%K -0.676%G +0.000%2.5%2026-04-04 00:07
Unibet (SE)🎯1.06I 94.34%NM 91.21%EV -2.99%E -2.82%K -49.75%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.79%EV -6.76%E -0.614%K -0.676%G +0.000%3.4%2026-04-04 00:10
Unibet (NL)🎯1.06I 94.34%NM 91.21%EV -2.99%E -2.82%K -49.75%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.79%EV -6.76%E -0.614%K -0.676%G +0.000%3.4%2026-04-04 00:10
ATG (SE)🎯1.06I 94.34%NM 91.21%EV -2.99%E -2.82%K -49.75%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.79%EV -6.76%E -0.614%K -0.676%G +0.000%3.4%2026-04-04 00:10
Svenska Spel🎯1.06I 94.34%NM 91.21%EV -2.99%E -2.82%K -49.75%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.79%EV -6.76%E -0.614%K -0.676%G +0.000%3.4%2026-04-04 00:10
Unibet (FR)🎯1.05I 95.24%NM 91.29%EV -3.90%E -3.71%K -78.01%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.71%EV -6.76%E -0.614%K -0.676%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-03 23:58
Betr (AU)🎯1.05I 95.24%NM 91.29%EV -3.90%E -3.71%K -78.01%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.71%EV -6.76%E -0.614%K -0.676%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-04 00:10
ReBet🎯1.05I 95.24%NM 91.29%EV -3.90%E -3.71%K -78.01%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.71%EV -6.76%E -0.614%K -0.676%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-03 23:59
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.04I 96.15%NM 91.36%EV -4.82%E -4.63%K -120.39%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.64%EV -6.76%E -0.614%K -0.676%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-04 00:09
Paddy Power🎯1.04I 96.15%NM 91.36%EV -4.82%E -4.63%K -120.39%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.64%EV -6.76%E -0.614%K -0.676%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-04 00:09
Neds🎯1.04I 96.15%NM 91.36%EV -4.82%E -4.63%K -120.39%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.64%EV -6.76%E -0.614%K -0.676%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-04 00:09
William Hill🎯1.04I 96.15%NM 91.36%EV -4.82%E -4.63%K -120.39%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.64%EV -6.76%E -0.614%K -0.676%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-04 00:09
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.04I 96.15%NM 91.36%EV -4.82%E -4.63%K -120.39%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.64%EV -6.76%E -0.614%K -0.676%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-04 00:09
Coral🎯1.03I 97.09%NM 91.44%EV -5.73%E -5.56%K -191.03%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.56%EV -6.76%E -0.614%K -0.676%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-04 00:09
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.03I 97.09%NM 91.44%EV -5.73%E -5.56%K -191.03%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.56%EV -6.76%E -0.614%K -0.676%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-04 00:09
Tipico (DE)🎯1.03I 97.09%NM 91.44%EV -5.73%E -5.56%K -191.03%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.56%EV -6.76%E -0.614%K -0.676%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-04 00:09
Dabble (AU)🎯1.03I 97.09%NM 91.44%EV -5.73%E -5.56%K -191.03%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.56%EV -6.76%E -0.614%K -0.676%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-04 00:09
MyBookie.ag🎯1.04I 96.15%NM 91.25%EV -4.82%E -4.63%K -120.39%G +0.000%10.85I 9.22%NM 8.75%EV -8.03%E -0.740%K -0.815%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-04 00:01
Bovada🎯1.05I 95.24%NM 90.91%EV -3.90%E -3.71%K -78.01%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 9.09%EV -11.00%E -1.05%K -1.16%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-04 00:08
TAB🎯1.06I 94.34%NM 90.42%EV -2.99%E -2.82%K -49.75%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.58%EV -15.23%E -1.52%K -1.69%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-04 00:10
TABtouch🎯1.06I 94.34%NM 90.42%EV -2.99%E -2.82%K -49.75%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.58%EV -15.23%E -1.52%K -1.69%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-04 00:09
Unibet🎯1.06I 94.34%NM 90.42%EV -2.99%E -2.82%K -49.75%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.58%EV -15.23%E -1.52%K -1.69%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-04 00:09
Bally Bet🎯1.06I 94.34%NM 90.42%EV -2.99%E -2.82%K -49.75%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.58%EV -15.23%E -1.52%K -1.69%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-04 00:10
betPARX🎯1.06I 94.34%NM 90.42%EV -2.99%E -2.82%K -49.75%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.58%EV -15.23%E -1.52%K -1.69%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-04 00:10
Codere (IT)🎯1.05I 95.24%NM 90.50%EV -3.90%E -3.71%K -78.01%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.50%EV -15.23%E -1.52%K -1.69%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-04 00:01
Bet Right🎯1.05I 95.24%NM 90.50%EV -3.90%E -3.71%K -78.01%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.50%EV -15.23%E -1.52%K -1.69%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-04 00:09
BetRivers🎯1.05I 95.24%NM 90.50%EV -3.90%E -3.71%K -78.01%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.50%EV -15.23%E -1.52%K -1.69%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-04 00:10
Virgin Bet🎯1.05I 95.24%NM 90.50%EV -3.90%E -3.71%K -78.01%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.50%EV -15.23%E -1.52%K -1.69%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-04 00:09
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.05I 95.24%NM 90.50%EV -3.90%E -3.71%K -78.01%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.50%EV -15.23%E -1.52%K -1.69%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-04 00:09
LiveScore Bet🎯1.05I 95.24%NM 90.50%EV -3.90%E -3.71%K -78.01%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.50%EV -15.23%E -1.52%K -1.69%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-04 00:09
Everygame🎯1.05I 95.24%NM 90.50%EV -3.90%E -3.71%K -78.01%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.50%EV -15.23%E -1.52%K -1.69%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-04 00:09
Winamax (FR)🎯1.04I 96.15%NM 90.58%EV -4.82%E -4.63%K -120.39%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.42%EV -15.23%E -1.52%K -1.69%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-04 00:09
PlayUp🎯1.07I 93.46%NM 89.88%EV -2.07%E -1.93%K -29.57%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 10.12%EV -19.47%E -2.05%K -2.29%G +0.000%4.0%2026-04-04 00:04
BoyleSports🎯1.05I 95.24%NM 90.05%EV -3.90%E -3.71%K -78.01%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.95%EV -19.47%E -2.05%K -2.29%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-04 00:01
Betway🎯1.04I 96.15%NM 90.13%EV -4.82%E -4.63%K -120.39%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.87%EV -19.47%E -2.05%K -2.29%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-04 00:10
PMU (FR)🎯1.03I 97.09%NM 90.22%EV -5.73%E -5.56%K -191.03%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.78%EV -19.47%E -2.05%K -2.29%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-04 00:10
Betsson🎯1.06I 94.34%NM 89.46%EV -2.99%E -2.82%K -49.75%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.54%EV -23.71%E -2.63%K -2.96%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-04 00:09
Sky Bet🎯1.05I 95.24%NM 89.55%EV -3.90%E -3.71%K -78.01%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.45%EV -23.71%E -2.63%K -2.96%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-04 00:10
Betclic (FR)🎯1.05I 95.24%NM 89.55%EV -3.90%E -3.71%K -78.01%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.45%EV -23.71%E -2.63%K -2.96%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-04 00:05
LeoVegas🎯1.01I 99.01%NM 89.91%EV -7.56%E -7.49%K -756.13%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.09%EV -23.71%E -2.63%K -2.96%G +0.000%10.1%2026-04-04 00:10
NordicBet🎯1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -2.07%E -1.93%K -29.57%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV -27.95%E -3.29%K -3.73%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-04 00:09
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (10)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
BetOpenly1.07I 93.46%NM 93.60%15.66I 6.39%NM 6.40%-0.2%2026-04-03 23:59
Novig1.07I 93.46%NM 92.76%13.70I 7.30%NM 7.24%0.8%2026-04-04 00:10
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.07I 93.46%NM 92.66%13.50I 7.41%NM 7.34%0.9%2026-04-04 00:10
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.07I 93.46%NM 92.66%13.50I 7.41%NM 7.34%0.9%2026-04-04 00:10
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.07I 93.46%NM 92.66%13.50I 7.41%NM 7.34%0.9%2026-04-04 00:10
ProphetX1.07I 93.46%NM 92.66%13.50I 7.41%NM 7.34%0.9%2026-04-04 00:10
Polymarket1.06I 94.34%NM 93.09%14.29I 7.00%NM 6.91%1.3%2026-04-04 00:10
Kalshi1.06I 94.34%NM 93.09%14.29I 7.00%NM 6.91%1.3%2026-04-04 00:10
Matchbook1.06I 94.34%NM 92.72%13.50I 7.41%NM 7.28%1.7%2026-04-04 00:10
Smarkets1.05I 95.24%NM 92.53%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.47%2.9%2026-04-04 00:10