Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
assuming max odds 1.56
assuming max odds 2.70
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Houston Rockets (Local): 62.60%; Toronto Raptors (Visit): 37.40%. For Toronto Raptors (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.67. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.70, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.973%.
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Caesars🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 64.44%EV -6.72%E -4.51%K -13.72%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.56%EV +0.973%E +0.360%K +0.573%G +0.006% | 4.2% | 2026-03-11 00:04 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 63.40%EV -4.22%E -2.76%K -7.96%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 36.60%EV -0.897%E -0.338%K -0.543%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-03-11 00:09 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 63.70%EV -5.47%E -3.62%K -10.73%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 36.30%EV -0.897%E -0.338%K -0.543%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-03-11 00:10 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -7.35%E -4.97%K -15.31%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -0.897%E -0.338%K -0.543%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-11 00:10 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 63.53%EV -5.47%E -3.62%K -10.73%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 36.47%EV -1.64%E -0.625%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-03-11 00:10 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 63.53%EV -5.47%E -3.62%K -10.73%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 36.47%EV -1.64%E -0.625%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-03-11 00:10 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 63.53%EV -5.47%E -3.62%K -10.73%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 36.47%EV -1.64%E -0.625%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-03-11 00:10 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 63.53%EV -5.47%E -3.62%K -10.73%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 36.47%EV -1.64%E -0.625%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-03-11 00:10 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 63.53%EV -5.47%E -3.62%K -10.73%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 36.47%EV -1.64%E -0.625%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-03-11 00:10 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 62.83%EV -2.97%E -1.91%K -5.39%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 37.17%EV -2.02%E -0.770%K -1.25%G +0.000% | 2.7% | 2026-03-11 00:09 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 62.98%EV -3.59%E -2.33%K -6.65%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 37.02%EV -2.02%E -0.770%K -1.25%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-03-11 00:10 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 63.29%EV -4.84%E -3.19%K -9.32%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 36.71%EV -2.02%E -0.770%K -1.25%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-03-11 00:10 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 62.89%EV -3.59%E -2.33%K -6.65%G +0.000% | 2.61I 38.31%NM 37.11%EV -2.39%E -0.917%K -1.49%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-03-11 00:10 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 62.80%EV -3.59%E -2.33%K -6.65%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 37.20%EV -2.77%E -1.06%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-03-11 00:07 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.95%EV -4.22%E -2.76%K -7.96%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 37.05%EV -2.77%E -1.06%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-03-11 00:10 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.95%EV -4.22%E -2.76%K -7.96%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 37.05%EV -2.77%E -1.06%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-03-11 00:09 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.95%EV -4.22%E -2.76%K -7.96%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 37.05%EV -2.77%E -1.06%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-03-11 00:10 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 63.11%EV -4.84%E -3.19%K -9.32%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.89%EV -2.77%E -1.06%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-11 00:10 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 63.11%EV -4.84%E -3.19%K -9.32%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.89%EV -2.77%E -1.06%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-11 00:10 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 63.11%EV -4.84%E -3.19%K -9.32%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.89%EV -2.77%E -1.06%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-11 00:10 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 63.26%EV -5.47%E -3.62%K -10.73%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.74%EV -2.77%E -1.06%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-11 00:10 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 63.26%EV -5.47%E -3.62%K -10.73%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.74%EV -2.77%E -1.06%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-11 00:10 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 63.26%EV -5.47%E -3.62%K -10.73%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.74%EV -2.77%E -1.06%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-11 00:10 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -6.10%E -4.06%K -12.19%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -2.77%E -1.06%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-11 00:10 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 63.88%EV -7.97%E -5.42%K -16.97%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.12%EV -2.77%E -1.06%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-03-10 23:59 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 62.71%EV -3.59%E -2.33%K -6.65%G +0.000% | 2.59I 38.61%NM 37.29%EV -3.14%E -1.21%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-03-11 00:09 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.77%EV -4.22%E -2.76%K -7.96%G +0.000% | 2.58I 38.76%NM 37.23%EV -3.51%E -1.36%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-03-11 00:08 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.59%EV -4.22%E -2.76%K -7.96%G +0.000% | 2.56I 39.06%NM 37.41%EV -4.26%E -1.66%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-03-10 23:59 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 62.04%EV -2.34%E -1.50%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.96%EV -4.64%E -1.82%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-03-11 00:10 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 62.20%EV -2.97%E -1.91%K -5.39%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.80%EV -4.64%E -1.82%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-03-10 23:59 |
| Parions Sport (FR)🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 62.20%EV -2.97%E -1.91%K -5.39%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.80%EV -4.64%E -1.82%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-03-10 23:59 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 62.20%EV -2.97%E -1.91%K -5.39%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.80%EV -4.64%E -1.82%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-03-11 00:10 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -3.59%E -2.33%K -6.65%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV -4.64%E -1.82%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-03-11 00:10 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -3.59%E -2.33%K -6.65%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV -4.64%E -1.82%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-03-11 00:10 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -4.22%E -2.76%K -7.96%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -4.64%E -1.82%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-11 00:10 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -4.22%E -2.76%K -7.96%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -4.64%E -1.82%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-11 00:00 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 62.65%EV -4.84%E -3.19%K -9.32%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.35%EV -4.64%E -1.82%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-11 00:09 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 62.65%EV -4.84%E -3.19%K -9.32%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.35%EV -4.64%E -1.82%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-11 00:10 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 62.65%EV -4.84%E -3.19%K -9.32%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.35%EV -4.64%E -1.82%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-11 00:10 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -6.10%E -4.06%K -12.19%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -4.64%E -1.82%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-11 00:10 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -6.10%E -4.06%K -12.19%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -4.64%E -1.82%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-11 00:10 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -6.10%E -4.06%K -12.19%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -4.64%E -1.82%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-11 00:10 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -6.10%E -4.06%K -12.19%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -4.64%E -1.82%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-11 00:10 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -6.10%E -4.06%K -12.19%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -4.64%E -1.82%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-11 00:10 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -6.10%E -4.06%K -12.19%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -4.64%E -1.82%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-11 00:10 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 62.10%EV -2.97%E -1.91%K -5.39%G +0.000% | 2.54I 39.37%NM 37.90%EV -5.01%E -1.97%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-03-10 23:59 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 63.16%EV -7.97%E -5.42%K -16.97%G +0.000% | 2.52I 39.68%NM 36.84%EV -5.76%E -2.29%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-03-11 00:00 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.22%E -2.76%K -7.96%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -6.51%E -2.60%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-11 00:10 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.22%E -2.76%K -7.96%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -6.51%E -2.60%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-11 00:01 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.22%E -2.76%K -7.96%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -6.51%E -2.60%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-11 00:00 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.22%E -2.76%K -7.96%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -6.51%E -2.60%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-11 00:09 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -6.10%E -4.06%K -12.19%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -6.51%E -2.60%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-03-11 00:10 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -6.10%E -4.06%K -12.19%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -6.51%E -2.60%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-03-11 00:10 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 62.81%EV -7.35%E -4.97%K -15.31%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.19%EV -6.51%E -2.60%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-03-11 00:10 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -3.59%E -2.33%K -6.65%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -7.25%E -2.93%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-11 00:10 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -3.59%E -2.33%K -6.65%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -7.25%E -2.93%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-11 00:10 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -3.59%E -2.33%K -6.65%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -7.25%E -2.93%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-11 00:10 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.22%EV -6.10%E -4.06%K -12.19%G +0.000% | 2.47I 40.49%NM 37.78%EV -7.63%E -3.09%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-03-11 00:08 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -4.22%E -2.76%K -7.96%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -8.38%E -3.42%K -5.78%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-03-11 00:10 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -4.22%E -2.76%K -7.96%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -8.38%E -3.42%K -5.78%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-03-11 00:10 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 61.71%EV -4.84%E -3.19%K -9.32%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.29%EV -8.38%E -3.42%K -5.78%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-03-11 00:10 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 61.86%EV -7.35%E -4.97%K -15.31%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.14%EV -10.25%E -4.27%K -7.32%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-03-11 00:03 |
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetOpenly◎ | 1.58I 63.29%NM 63.76% | 2.78I 35.97%NM 36.24% | -0.7% | 2026-03-10 23:59 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.59I 62.89%NM 62.94% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 37.06% | -0.1% | 2026-03-11 00:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.56I 64.10%NM 63.72% | 2.74I 36.50%NM 36.28% | 0.6% | 2026-03-11 00:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.56I 64.10%NM 63.72% | 2.74I 36.50%NM 36.28% | 0.6% | 2026-03-11 00:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.56I 64.10%NM 63.72% | 2.74I 36.50%NM 36.28% | 0.6% | 2026-03-11 00:10 |
| Novig◎ | 1.56I 64.10%NM 63.55% | 2.72I 36.76%NM 36.45% | 0.9% | 2026-03-11 00:10 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.56I 64.10%NM 63.55% | 2.72I 36.76%NM 36.45% | 0.9% | 2026-03-11 00:10 |
| Polymarket◎ | 1.56I 64.10%NM 63.38% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 36.62% | 1.1% | 2026-03-11 00:10 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.54I 64.94%NM 63.68% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 36.32% | 2.0% | 2026-03-11 00:10 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.54I 64.94%NM 63.16% | 2.64I 37.88%NM 36.84% | 2.8% | 2026-03-11 00:10 |