Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Houston Rockets v Sacramento Kings

Kickoff: 2026-02-26 01:11 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

64 sportsbooks (23 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Houston Rockets (Local)

Prediction 85.98%1.16fair odd
EV -2.84%
Edge -2.52%
Kelly -21.88%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.13

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
84.06%85.93%85.97%87.21%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.071.111.111.1393.46%90.18%90.09%88.50%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Sacramento Kings (Visit)

Prediction 14.02%7.13fair odd
EV +5.16%
Edge +0.688%
Kelly +0.794%
Growth +0.041%

assuming max odds 7.50

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
12.79%14.07%14.03%15.94%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
5.756.746.757.5017.39%14.83%14.81%13.33%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Houston Rockets (Local): 85.98%; Sacramento Kings (Visit): 14.02%. For Sacramento Kings (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 7.13. 7 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 7.50, corresponding to a positive expected value of +5.16%.

Sportsbook Odds (64 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
SportsBet🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 87.21%EV -5.42%E -4.93%K -54.24%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.79%EV +5.16%E +0.688%K +0.794%G +0.041%4.2%2026-02-26 01:10
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 87.21%EV -5.42%E -4.93%K -54.24%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.79%EV +5.16%E +0.688%K +0.794%G +0.041%4.2%2026-02-26 01:09
Fliff🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 87.13%EV -5.42%E -4.93%K -54.24%G +0.000%7.45I 13.42%NM 12.87%EV +4.46%E +0.599%K +0.692%G +0.031%4.3%2026-02-26 01:10
FanDuel🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 86.96%EV -4.56%E -4.11%K -41.49%G +0.000%7.40I 13.51%NM 13.04%EV +3.76%E +0.508%K +0.588%G +0.022%3.6%2026-02-26 01:10
NetBet (FR)🎯1.07I 93.46%NM 87.14%EV -8.00%E -7.48%K -114.33%G +0.000%7.25I 13.79%NM 12.86%EV +1.66%E +0.229%K +0.265%G +0.004%7.3%2026-02-26 00:59
Pinnacle🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 86.55%EV -3.70%E -3.31%K -30.87%G +0.000%7.21I 13.87%NM 13.45%EV +1.10%E +0.152%K +0.177%G +0.002%3.2%2026-02-26 01:09
Coolbet🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 86.64%EV -4.56%E -4.11%K -41.49%G +0.000%7.20I 13.89%NM 13.36%EV +0.957%E +0.133%K +0.154%G +0.001%4.0%2026-02-26 01:09
Bet Victor🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 86.21%EV -3.70%E -3.31%K -30.87%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.79%EV -1.85%E -0.264%K -0.308%G +0.000%3.6%2026-02-26 01:08
Winamax (DE)🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 86.21%EV -3.70%E -3.31%K -30.87%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.79%EV -1.85%E -0.264%K -0.308%G +0.000%3.6%2026-02-26 01:10
Unibet (NL)🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 86.21%EV -3.70%E -3.31%K -30.87%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.79%EV -1.85%E -0.264%K -0.308%G +0.000%3.6%2026-02-26 01:09
Unibet (SE)🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 86.21%EV -3.70%E -3.31%K -30.87%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.79%EV -1.85%E -0.264%K -0.308%G +0.000%3.6%2026-02-26 01:10
ATG (SE)🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 86.21%EV -3.70%E -3.31%K -30.87%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.79%EV -1.85%E -0.264%K -0.308%G +0.000%3.6%2026-02-26 01:10
Svenska Spel🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 86.21%EV -3.70%E -3.31%K -30.87%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.79%EV -1.85%E -0.264%K -0.308%G +0.000%3.6%2026-02-26 01:10
Fanatics🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 86.31%EV -4.56%E -4.11%K -41.49%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.69%EV -1.85%E -0.264%K -0.308%G +0.000%4.4%2026-02-26 01:10
Caesars🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 86.31%EV -4.56%E -4.11%K -41.49%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.69%EV -1.85%E -0.264%K -0.308%G +0.000%4.4%2026-02-26 01:09
BetMGM🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 86.31%EV -4.56%E -4.11%K -41.49%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.69%EV -1.85%E -0.264%K -0.308%G +0.000%4.4%2026-02-26 01:10
BetAnything🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 86.31%EV -4.56%E -4.11%K -41.49%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.69%EV -1.85%E -0.264%K -0.308%G +0.000%4.4%2026-02-26 01:09
Everygame🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 86.31%EV -4.56%E -4.11%K -41.49%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.69%EV -1.85%E -0.264%K -0.308%G +0.000%4.4%2026-02-26 01:09
William Hill🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -5.42%E -4.93%K -54.24%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -1.85%E -0.264%K -0.308%G +0.000%5.2%2026-02-26 01:10
theScore Bet🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -5.42%E -4.93%K -54.24%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -1.85%E -0.264%K -0.308%G +0.000%5.2%2026-02-26 01:10
Dabble (AU)🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 86.53%EV -6.28%E -5.76%K -69.82%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.47%EV -1.85%E -0.264%K -0.308%G +0.000%6.0%2026-02-26 01:09
MyBookie.ag🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 86.28%EV -5.42%E -4.93%K -54.24%G +0.000%6.92I 14.45%NM 13.72%EV -2.97%E -0.429%K -0.502%G +0.000%5.4%2026-02-26 01:00
Parions Sport (FR)🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 86.14%EV -4.56%E -4.11%K -41.49%G +0.000%6.90I 14.49%NM 13.86%EV -3.25%E -0.471%K -0.551%G +0.000%4.6%2026-02-26 00:59
GTbets🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 85.86%EV -3.70%E -3.31%K -30.87%G +0.000%6.80I 14.71%NM 14.14%EV -4.65%E -0.684%K -0.802%G +0.000%4.0%2026-02-26 01:09
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 85.97%EV -4.56%E -4.11%K -41.49%G +0.000%6.80I 14.71%NM 14.03%EV -4.65%E -0.684%K -0.802%G +0.000%4.8%2026-02-26 01:10
Codere (IT)🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 85.97%EV -4.56%E -4.11%K -41.49%G +0.000%6.80I 14.71%NM 14.03%EV -4.65%E -0.684%K -0.802%G +0.000%4.8%2026-02-26 01:00
Neds🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 85.97%EV -4.56%E -4.11%K -41.49%G +0.000%6.80I 14.71%NM 14.03%EV -4.65%E -0.684%K -0.802%G +0.000%4.8%2026-02-26 01:10
Tipico (DE)🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 86.19%EV -6.28%E -5.76%K -69.82%G +0.000%6.80I 14.71%NM 13.81%EV -4.65%E -0.684%K -0.802%G +0.000%6.4%2026-02-26 01:10
LowVig.ag🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 85.68%EV -2.84%E -2.52%K -21.88%G +0.000%6.76I 14.79%NM 14.32%EV -5.21%E -0.771%K -0.905%G +0.000%3.3%2026-02-26 01:10
Unibet (UK)🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 85.77%EV -3.70%E -3.31%K -30.87%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 14.23%EV -5.35%E -0.793%K -0.931%G +0.000%4.1%2026-02-26 01:09
DraftKings🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 85.77%EV -3.70%E -3.31%K -30.87%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 14.23%EV -5.35%E -0.793%K -0.931%G +0.000%4.1%2026-02-26 01:10
TABtouch🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 85.88%EV -4.56%E -4.11%K -41.49%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 14.12%EV -5.35%E -0.793%K -0.931%G +0.000%4.9%2026-02-26 01:10
Unibet🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 85.88%EV -4.56%E -4.11%K -41.49%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 14.12%EV -5.35%E -0.793%K -0.931%G +0.000%4.9%2026-02-26 01:09
Bovada🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 85.88%EV -4.56%E -4.11%K -41.49%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 14.12%EV -5.35%E -0.793%K -0.931%G +0.000%4.9%2026-02-26 01:09
Bally Bet🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 85.88%EV -4.56%E -4.11%K -41.49%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 14.12%EV -5.35%E -0.793%K -0.931%G +0.000%4.9%2026-02-26 01:10
betPARX🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 85.88%EV -4.56%E -4.11%K -41.49%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 14.12%EV -5.35%E -0.793%K -0.931%G +0.000%4.9%2026-02-26 01:10
Unibet (FR)🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 85.99%EV -5.42%E -4.93%K -54.24%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 14.01%EV -5.35%E -0.793%K -0.931%G +0.000%5.7%2026-02-26 01:07
888sport🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 85.90%EV -5.42%E -4.93%K -54.24%G +0.000%6.70I 14.93%NM 14.10%EV -6.05%E -0.904%K -1.06%G +0.000%5.8%2026-02-26 00:59
888sport (SE)🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 85.90%EV -5.42%E -4.93%K -54.24%G +0.000%6.70I 14.93%NM 14.10%EV -6.05%E -0.904%K -1.06%G +0.000%5.8%2026-02-26 00:59
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 85.90%EV -5.42%E -4.93%K -54.24%G +0.000%6.70I 14.93%NM 14.10%EV -6.05%E -0.904%K -1.06%G +0.000%5.8%2026-02-26 00:59
BetOnline.ag🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 85.51%EV -3.70%E -3.31%K -30.87%G +0.000%6.61I 15.13%NM 14.49%EV -7.32%E -1.11%K -1.30%G +0.000%4.4%2026-02-26 01:10
Marathon Bet🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 85.40%EV -3.70%E -3.31%K -30.87%G +0.000%6.55I 15.27%NM 14.60%EV -8.16%E -1.25%K -1.47%G +0.000%4.6%2026-02-26 00:59
TAB🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 85.19%EV -2.84%E -2.52%K -21.88%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.81%EV -8.86%E -1.36%K -1.61%G +0.000%3.9%2026-02-26 01:10
BetUS🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 85.30%EV -3.70%E -3.31%K -30.87%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.70%EV -8.86%E -1.36%K -1.61%G +0.000%4.7%2026-02-26 01:10
Sky Bet🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -4.56%E -4.11%K -41.49%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV -8.86%E -1.36%K -1.61%G +0.000%5.5%2026-02-26 01:10
BetRivers🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -4.56%E -4.11%K -41.49%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV -8.86%E -1.36%K -1.61%G +0.000%5.5%2026-02-26 01:10
Virgin Bet🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -4.56%E -4.11%K -41.49%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV -8.86%E -1.36%K -1.61%G +0.000%5.5%2026-02-26 01:09
LiveScore Bet🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -4.56%E -4.11%K -41.49%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV -8.86%E -1.36%K -1.61%G +0.000%5.5%2026-02-26 01:10
Paddy Power🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 85.53%EV -5.42%E -4.93%K -54.24%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV -8.86%E -1.36%K -1.61%G +0.000%6.3%2026-02-26 01:09
BoyleSports🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 85.53%EV -5.42%E -4.93%K -54.24%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV -8.86%E -1.36%K -1.61%G +0.000%6.3%2026-02-26 01:00
Betr (AU)🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 85.53%EV -5.42%E -4.93%K -54.24%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV -8.86%E -1.36%K -1.61%G +0.000%6.3%2026-02-26 01:10
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 85.53%EV -5.42%E -4.93%K -54.24%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV -8.86%E -1.36%K -1.61%G +0.000%6.3%2026-02-26 01:10
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 85.53%EV -5.42%E -4.93%K -54.24%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV -8.86%E -1.36%K -1.61%G +0.000%6.3%2026-02-26 01:09
Coral🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 85.53%EV -5.42%E -4.93%K -54.24%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV -8.86%E -1.36%K -1.61%G +0.000%6.3%2026-02-26 01:10
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 85.53%EV -5.42%E -4.93%K -54.24%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV -8.86%E -1.36%K -1.61%G +0.000%6.3%2026-02-26 01:10
Betway🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 85.53%EV -5.42%E -4.93%K -54.24%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV -8.86%E -1.36%K -1.61%G +0.000%6.3%2026-02-26 01:10
LeoVegas🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 85.45%EV -6.28%E -5.76%K -69.82%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.55%EV -10.26%E -1.60%K -1.90%G +0.000%7.4%2026-02-26 01:10
PlayUp🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 84.69%EV -2.84%E -2.52%K -21.88%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.31%EV -12.36%E -1.98%K -2.36%G +0.000%4.5%2026-02-26 01:09
Bet Right🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 84.80%EV -3.70%E -3.31%K -30.87%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.20%EV -12.36%E -1.98%K -2.36%G +0.000%5.3%2026-02-26 01:10
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 84.92%EV -4.56%E -4.11%K -41.49%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.08%EV -12.36%E -1.98%K -2.36%G +0.000%6.1%2026-02-26 01:10
Winamax (FR)🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 85.03%EV -5.42%E -4.93%K -54.24%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.97%EV -12.36%E -1.98%K -2.36%G +0.000%6.9%2026-02-26 01:10
Betsson🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -2.84%E -2.52%K -21.88%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -15.87%E -2.64%K -3.17%G +0.000%5.2%2026-02-26 01:10
NordicBet🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -2.84%E -2.52%K -21.88%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -15.87%E -2.64%K -3.17%G +0.000%5.2%2026-02-26 01:09
Betclic (FR)🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 84.06%EV -6.28%E -5.76%K -69.82%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.94%EV -19.37%E -3.37%K -4.08%G +0.000%9.1%2026-02-26 01:09
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (10)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
ProphetX1.15I 86.96%NM 86.86%7.60I 13.16%NM 13.14%0.1%2026-02-26 01:10
BetOpenly1.13I 88.50%NM 87.99%8.28I 12.08%NM 12.01%0.6%2026-02-26 00:59
Kalshi1.14I 87.72%NM 87.09%7.69I 13.00%NM 12.91%0.7%2026-02-26 01:10
Matchbook1.15I 86.96%NM 86.23%7.20I 13.89%NM 13.77%0.8%2026-02-26 01:10
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.15I 86.96%NM 86.23%7.20I 13.89%NM 13.77%0.8%2026-02-26 01:10
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.15I 86.96%NM 86.23%7.20I 13.89%NM 13.77%0.8%2026-02-26 01:10
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.15I 86.96%NM 86.23%7.20I 13.89%NM 13.77%0.8%2026-02-26 01:10
Polymarket1.15I 86.96%NM 86.13%7.14I 14.01%NM 13.87%1.0%2026-02-26 01:09
Novig1.14I 87.72%NM 86.67%7.41I 13.50%NM 13.33%1.2%2026-02-26 01:10
Smarkets1.14I 87.72%NM 86.00%7.00I 14.29%NM 14.00%2.0%2026-02-26 01:10