The School of Odds
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
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Houston Rockets v Los Angeles Lakers

Kickoff: 2026-03-17 01:42 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

62 sportsbooks (22 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Houston Rockets (Local)

Prediction 48.63%2.06fair odd
EV -1.29%
Edge -0.634%
Kelly -1.25%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.03

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
47.37%48.60%48.69%50.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.861.951.952.0353.76%51.25%51.28%49.26%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Los Angeles Lakers (Visit)

Prediction 51.37%1.95fair odd
EV -1.88%
Edge -0.983%
Kelly -2.06%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.91

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
50.00%51.40%51.31%52.63%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.781.861.861.9156.18%53.72%53.76%52.36%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Houston Rockets (Local): 48.63%; Los Angeles Lakers (Visit): 51.37%. For Houston Rockets (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.06. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.03, with an expected value of -1.29%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (62 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
Pinnacle🎯2.03I 49.26%NM 48.08%EV -1.29%E -0.634%K -1.25%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 51.92%EV -3.42%E -1.82%K -3.89%G +0.000%2.5%2026-03-17 01:39
Marathon Bet🎯2.01I 49.75%NM 47.66%EV -2.26%E -1.12%K -2.24%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.34%EV -5.99%E -3.27%K -7.21%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-17 01:29
Bet Victor🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 48.72%EV -2.75%E -1.37%K -2.75%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 51.28%EV -2.39%E -1.26%K -2.66%G +0.000%2.6%2026-03-17 01:36
TAB🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -2.75%E -1.37%K -2.75%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -4.96%E -2.68%K -5.84%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-17 01:40
GTbets🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -2.75%E -1.37%K -2.75%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -5.99%E -3.27%K -7.21%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-17 01:39
Bovada🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -2.75%E -1.37%K -2.75%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -5.99%E -3.27%K -7.21%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-17 01:39
BetUS🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -2.75%E -1.37%K -2.75%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -5.99%E -3.27%K -7.21%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-17 01:39
theScore Bet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -2.75%E -1.37%K -2.75%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -5.99%E -3.27%K -7.21%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-17 01:40
Fliff🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -2.75%E -1.37%K -2.75%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -7.53%E -4.18%K -9.41%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-17 01:40
Parions Sport (FR)🎯1.99I 50.25%NM 48.71%EV -3.23%E -1.62%K -3.26%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 51.29%EV -2.91%E -1.54%K -3.26%G +0.000%3.2%2026-03-17 01:30
Unibet (UK)🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 48.70%EV -3.72%E -1.88%K -3.79%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 51.30%EV -3.42%E -1.82%K -3.89%G +0.000%3.7%2026-03-17 01:40
Winamax (DE)🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 48.70%EV -3.72%E -1.88%K -3.79%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 51.30%EV -3.42%E -1.82%K -3.89%G +0.000%3.7%2026-03-17 01:40
FanDuel🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 48.44%EV -3.72%E -1.88%K -3.79%G +0.000%1.86I 53.76%NM 51.56%EV -4.45%E -2.39%K -5.17%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-17 01:40
DraftKings🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 48.30%EV -3.72%E -1.88%K -3.79%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.70%EV -4.96%E -2.68%K -5.84%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-17 01:40
PlayUp🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 48.30%EV -3.72%E -1.88%K -3.79%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.70%EV -4.96%E -2.68%K -5.84%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-17 01:40
BetMGM🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 48.30%EV -3.72%E -1.88%K -3.79%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.70%EV -4.96%E -2.68%K -5.84%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-17 01:40
BetAnything🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 48.30%EV -3.72%E -1.88%K -3.79%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.70%EV -4.96%E -2.68%K -5.84%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-17 01:40
Dabble (AU)🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 48.30%EV -3.72%E -1.88%K -3.79%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.70%EV -4.96%E -2.68%K -5.84%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-17 01:40
Coolbet🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 48.83%EV -4.20%E -2.13%K -4.33%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 51.17%EV -3.42%E -1.82%K -3.89%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-17 01:38
LowVig.ag🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 48.83%EV -4.20%E -2.13%K -4.33%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 51.17%EV -3.42%E -1.82%K -3.89%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-17 01:40
ReBet🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 48.83%EV -4.20%E -2.13%K -4.33%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 51.17%EV -3.42%E -1.82%K -3.89%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-17 01:29
SportsBet🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 48.70%EV -4.20%E -2.13%K -4.33%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.30%EV -3.93%E -2.10%K -4.52%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-17 01:40
Tipico (DE)🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 47.75%EV -4.20%E -2.13%K -4.33%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.25%EV -7.53%E -4.18%K -9.41%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-17 01:29
Betr (AU)🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 48.96%EV -4.69%E -2.39%K -4.89%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 51.04%EV -3.42%E -1.82%K -3.89%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-17 01:40
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -5.18%E -2.65%K -5.45%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -3.93%E -2.10%K -4.52%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-17 01:40
BetOnline.ag🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -5.18%E -2.65%K -5.45%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -3.93%E -2.10%K -4.52%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-17 01:40
Fanatics🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -5.18%E -2.65%K -5.45%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -3.93%E -2.10%K -4.52%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-17 01:39
Everygame🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -5.18%E -2.65%K -5.45%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -3.93%E -2.10%K -4.52%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-17 01:39
Codere (IT)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.82%EV -5.18%E -2.65%K -5.45%G +0.000%1.86I 53.76%NM 51.18%EV -4.45%E -2.39%K -5.17%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-17 01:30
MyBookie.ag🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.82%EV -5.18%E -2.65%K -5.45%G +0.000%1.86I 53.76%NM 51.18%EV -4.45%E -2.39%K -5.17%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-17 01:33
Neds🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -5.18%E -2.65%K -5.45%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -4.96%E -2.68%K -5.84%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-17 01:40
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -5.18%E -2.65%K -5.45%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -4.96%E -2.68%K -5.84%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-17 01:40
NordicBet🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -5.18%E -2.65%K -5.45%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -4.96%E -2.68%K -5.84%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-17 01:40
Betsson🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -5.18%E -2.65%K -5.45%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -4.96%E -2.68%K -5.84%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-17 01:40
BoyleSports🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -5.18%E -2.65%K -5.45%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -5.99%E -3.27%K -7.21%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-17 01:30
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -5.18%E -2.65%K -5.45%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -5.99%E -3.27%K -7.21%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-17 01:40
Betway🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -5.18%E -2.65%K -5.45%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -5.99%E -3.27%K -7.21%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-17 01:40
Coral🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -5.18%E -2.65%K -5.45%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -7.53%E -4.18%K -9.41%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-17 01:40
Bet Right🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 48.95%EV -5.66%E -2.92%K -6.02%G +0.000%1.86I 53.76%NM 51.05%EV -4.45%E -2.39%K -5.17%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-17 01:40
Winamax (FR)🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 48.95%EV -5.66%E -2.92%K -6.02%G +0.000%1.86I 53.76%NM 51.05%EV -4.45%E -2.39%K -5.17%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-17 01:40
Unibet (NL)🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 49.74%EV -6.15%E -3.19%K -6.61%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.26%EV -1.88%E -0.983%K -2.06%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-17 01:40
Unibet (SE)🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 49.74%EV -6.15%E -3.19%K -6.61%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.26%EV -1.88%E -0.983%K -2.06%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-17 01:40
ATG (SE)🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 49.74%EV -6.15%E -3.19%K -6.61%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.26%EV -1.88%E -0.983%K -2.06%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-17 01:40
Svenska Spel🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 49.74%EV -6.15%E -3.19%K -6.61%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.26%EV -1.88%E -0.983%K -2.06%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-17 01:40
Unibet🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 49.61%EV -6.15%E -3.19%K -6.61%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.39%EV -2.39%E -1.26%K -2.66%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-17 01:40
TABtouch🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 49.48%EV -6.15%E -3.19%K -6.61%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 50.52%EV -2.91%E -1.54%K -3.26%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-17 01:40
betPARX🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 49.48%EV -6.15%E -3.19%K -6.61%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 50.52%EV -2.91%E -1.54%K -3.26%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-17 01:40
Bally Bet🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 49.48%EV -6.15%E -3.19%K -6.61%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 50.52%EV -2.91%E -1.54%K -3.26%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-17 01:40
NetBet (FR)🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 47.98%EV -6.15%E -3.19%K -6.61%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 52.02%EV -8.56%E -4.81%K -10.97%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-17 01:30
LiveScore Bet🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 49.61%EV -6.64%E -3.46%K -7.21%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 50.39%EV -2.91%E -1.54%K -3.26%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-17 01:40
Virgin Bet🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 49.61%EV -6.64%E -3.46%K -7.21%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 50.39%EV -2.91%E -1.54%K -3.26%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-17 01:40
BetRivers🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -6.64%E -3.46%K -7.21%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -3.42%E -1.82%K -3.89%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-17 01:40
Caesars🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -7.12%E -3.73%K -7.83%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -1.88%E -0.983%K -2.06%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-17 01:40
William Hill🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -7.12%E -3.73%K -7.83%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -1.88%E -0.983%K -2.06%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-17 01:40
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 49.60%EV -7.12%E -3.73%K -7.83%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.40%EV -3.42%E -1.82%K -3.89%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-17 01:40
Sky Bet🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -7.12%E -3.73%K -7.83%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -5.99%E -3.27%K -7.21%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-17 01:39
Unibet (FR)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -7.12%E -3.73%K -7.83%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -5.99%E -3.27%K -7.21%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-17 01:40
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -7.12%E -3.73%K -7.83%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -5.99%E -3.27%K -7.21%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-17 01:38
Paddy Power🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -7.61%E -4.00%K -8.45%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -2.39%E -1.26%K -2.66%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-17 01:39
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -7.61%E -4.00%K -8.45%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -2.39%E -1.26%K -2.66%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-17 01:40
LeoVegas🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 49.73%EV -9.07%E -4.85%K -10.42%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.27%EV -4.96%E -2.68%K -5.84%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-17 01:40
Betclic (FR)🎯1.86I 53.76%NM 49.04%EV -9.55%E -5.14%K -11.11%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 50.96%EV -8.04%E -4.49%K -10.18%G +0.000%9.6%2026-03-17 01:40
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (10)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
ProphetX◎2.02I 49.50%NM 49.25%1.96I 51.02%NM 50.75%0.5%2026-03-17 01:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.04I 49.02%NM 48.74%1.94I 51.55%NM 51.26%0.6%2026-03-17 01:40
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.02I 49.50%NM 49.12%1.95I 51.28%NM 50.88%0.8%2026-03-17 01:40
Polymarket◎2.00I 50.00%NM 49.49%1.96I 51.02%NM 50.51%1.0%2026-03-17 01:40
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.02I 49.50%NM 48.99%1.94I 51.55%NM 51.01%1.1%2026-03-17 01:40
Novig◎2.03I 49.26%NM 48.74%1.93I 51.81%NM 51.26%1.1%2026-03-17 01:40
Kalshi◎2.04I 49.02%NM 48.48%1.92I 52.08%NM 51.52%1.1%2026-03-17 01:40
Matchbook◎2.02I 49.50%NM 48.60%1.91I 52.36%NM 51.40%1.9%2026-03-17 01:40
Smarkets◎2.00I 50.00%NM 48.98%1.92I 52.08%NM 51.02%2.1%2026-03-17 01:40
BetOpenly◎1.89I 52.91%NM 50.26%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.74%5.3%2026-03-17 01:29