Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Houston Rockets v Los Angeles Lakers

Kickoff: 2026-04-25 00:10 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

64 sportsbooks (22 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Houston Rockets (Local)

Prediction 74.76%1.34fair odd
EV -2.07%
Edge -1.58%
Kelly -6.67%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.31

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
72.77%74.73%74.68%76.19%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.231.281.281.3181.30%78.43%78.13%76.34%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Los Angeles Lakers (Visit)

Prediction 25.24%3.96fair odd
EV +1.23%
Edge +0.306%
Kelly +0.407%
Growth +0.005%

assuming max odds 4.01

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
23.81%25.27%25.32%27.23%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.503.763.754.0128.57%26.58%26.67%24.94%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Houston Rockets (Local): 74.76%; Los Angeles Lakers (Visit): 25.24%. For Los Angeles Lakers (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.96. 5 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 4.01, corresponding to a positive expected value of +1.23%.

Sportsbook Odds (64 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
1xBet🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 75.52%EV -2.82%E -2.17%K -9.39%G +0.000%4.01I 24.94%NM 24.48%EV +1.23%E +0.306%K +0.407%G +0.005%1.9%2026-04-24 03:34
888sport🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -6.55%E -5.24%K -26.22%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV +0.973%E +0.243%K +0.324%G +0.003%5.0%2026-04-24 00:34
888sport (SE)🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -6.55%E -5.24%K -26.22%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV +0.973%E +0.243%K +0.324%G +0.003%5.0%2026-04-24 00:34
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -6.55%E -5.24%K -26.22%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV +0.973%E +0.243%K +0.324%G +0.003%5.0%2026-04-24 00:34
William Hill🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -6.55%E -5.24%K -26.22%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV +0.973%E +0.243%K +0.324%G +0.003%5.0%2026-04-24 01:20
SportsBet🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 75.67%EV -5.06%E -3.98%K -18.74%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.33%EV -0.289%E -0.073%K -0.098%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-24 02:45
LowVig.ag🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 75.43%EV -4.31%E -3.37%K -15.40%G +0.000%3.93I 25.45%NM 24.57%EV -0.794%E -0.202%K -0.271%G +0.000%3.6%2026-04-23 22:54
Coolbet🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 75.29%EV -4.31%E -3.37%K -15.40%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.71%EV -1.55%E -0.398%K -0.535%G +0.000%3.8%2026-04-24 02:39
FanDuel🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 75.29%EV -4.31%E -3.37%K -15.40%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.71%EV -1.55%E -0.398%K -0.535%G +0.000%3.8%2026-04-24 02:45
Unibet (UK)🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 75.29%EV -4.31%E -3.37%K -15.40%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.71%EV -1.55%E -0.398%K -0.535%G +0.000%3.8%2026-04-24 00:34
Winamax (DE)🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 75.29%EV -4.31%E -3.37%K -15.40%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.71%EV -1.55%E -0.398%K -0.535%G +0.000%3.8%2026-04-24 00:34
Pinnacle🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 75.29%EV -4.31%E -3.37%K -15.40%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.71%EV -1.55%E -0.398%K -0.535%G +0.000%3.8%2026-04-24 02:50
BetUS🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 75.29%EV -4.31%E -3.37%K -15.40%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.71%EV -1.55%E -0.398%K -0.535%G +0.000%3.8%2026-04-24 00:24
theScore Bet🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 75.58%EV -5.81%E -4.61%K -22.33%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.42%EV -1.55%E -0.398%K -0.535%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-24 02:45
BetOnline.ag🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 75.24%EV -4.31%E -3.37%K -15.40%G +0.000%3.89I 25.71%NM 24.76%EV -1.80%E -0.464%K -0.624%G +0.000%3.8%2026-04-23 22:54
Betr (AU)🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 75.05%EV -4.31%E -3.37%K -15.40%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.95%EV -2.81%E -0.731%K -0.987%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-23 22:25
Dabble (AU)🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 75.34%EV -5.81%E -4.61%K -22.33%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV -2.81%E -0.731%K -0.987%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-23 22:04
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 74.66%EV -3.56%E -2.76%K -12.29%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.34%EV -4.08%E -1.07%K -1.46%G +0.000%3.8%2026-04-23 22:09
GTbets🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 74.66%EV -3.56%E -2.76%K -12.29%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.34%EV -4.08%E -1.07%K -1.46%G +0.000%3.8%2026-04-23 23:35
BetMGM🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 74.66%EV -3.56%E -2.76%K -12.29%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.34%EV -4.08%E -1.07%K -1.46%G +0.000%3.8%2026-04-23 23:14
Unibet (NL)🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 74.66%EV -3.56%E -2.76%K -12.29%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.34%EV -4.08%E -1.07%K -1.46%G +0.000%3.8%2026-04-24 03:10
Unibet (SE)🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 74.66%EV -3.56%E -2.76%K -12.29%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.34%EV -4.08%E -1.07%K -1.46%G +0.000%3.8%2026-04-24 03:10
Svenska Spel🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 74.66%EV -3.56%E -2.76%K -12.29%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.34%EV -4.08%E -1.07%K -1.46%G +0.000%3.8%2026-04-24 03:10
ATG (SE)🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 74.66%EV -3.56%E -2.76%K -12.29%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.34%EV -4.08%E -1.07%K -1.46%G +0.000%3.8%2026-04-24 03:10
Bovada🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 74.80%EV -4.31%E -3.37%K -15.40%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.20%EV -4.08%E -1.07%K -1.46%G +0.000%4.4%2026-04-24 02:34
TAB🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 74.80%EV -4.31%E -3.37%K -15.40%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.20%EV -4.08%E -1.07%K -1.46%G +0.000%4.4%2026-04-23 23:09
Unibet (FR)🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -5.06%E -3.98%K -18.74%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -4.08%E -1.07%K -1.46%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-24 00:34
ReBet🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -5.06%E -3.98%K -18.74%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -4.08%E -1.07%K -1.46%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-24 00:34
Betclic (FR)🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 75.10%EV -5.81%E -4.61%K -22.33%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.90%EV -4.08%E -1.07%K -1.46%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-24 00:37
Paddy Power🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -6.55%E -5.24%K -26.22%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -4.08%E -1.07%K -1.46%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-24 02:45
Caesars🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 74.70%EV -4.31%E -3.37%K -15.40%G +0.000%3.78I 26.46%NM 25.30%EV -4.58%E -1.21%K -1.65%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-23 22:09
Fanatics🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 74.40%EV -3.56%E -2.76%K -12.29%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.60%EV -5.34%E -1.42%K -1.94%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-24 00:35
Betway🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 74.40%EV -3.56%E -2.76%K -12.29%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.60%EV -5.34%E -1.42%K -1.94%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-24 00:34
Winamax (FR)🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -5.06%E -3.98%K -18.74%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -5.34%E -1.42%K -1.94%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-24 00:34
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -5.06%E -3.98%K -18.74%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -5.34%E -1.42%K -1.94%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-23 22:39
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -6.55%E -5.24%K -26.22%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -5.34%E -1.42%K -1.94%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-22 05:34
NetBet (FR)🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 75.30%EV -8.05%E -6.54%K -35.00%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.70%EV -5.34%E -1.42%K -1.94%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-24 02:50
DraftKings🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 74.15%EV -3.56%E -2.76%K -12.29%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.85%EV -6.60%E -1.78%K -2.44%G +0.000%4.5%2026-04-23 22:09
Unibet🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 74.15%EV -3.56%E -2.76%K -12.29%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.85%EV -6.60%E -1.78%K -2.44%G +0.000%4.5%2026-04-24 03:10
TABtouch🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 74.15%EV -3.56%E -2.76%K -12.29%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.85%EV -6.60%E -1.78%K -2.44%G +0.000%4.5%2026-04-24 03:10
betPARX🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 74.15%EV -3.56%E -2.76%K -12.29%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.85%EV -6.60%E -1.78%K -2.44%G +0.000%4.5%2026-04-24 03:10
Bally Bet🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 74.15%EV -3.56%E -2.76%K -12.29%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.85%EV -6.60%E -1.78%K -2.44%G +0.000%4.5%2026-04-24 03:10
BetAnything🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 74.15%EV -3.56%E -2.76%K -12.29%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.85%EV -6.60%E -1.78%K -2.44%G +0.000%4.5%2026-04-23 23:34
Bet Right🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -4.31%E -3.37%K -15.40%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV -6.60%E -1.78%K -2.44%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-24 02:45
LiveScore Bet🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -4.31%E -3.37%K -15.40%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV -6.60%E -1.78%K -2.44%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-24 03:10
BetRivers🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -4.31%E -3.37%K -15.40%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV -6.60%E -1.78%K -2.44%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-24 03:10
Virgin Bet🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -4.31%E -3.37%K -15.40%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV -6.60%E -1.78%K -2.44%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-24 03:10
PlayUp🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -4.31%E -3.37%K -15.40%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV -6.60%E -1.78%K -2.44%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-23 22:09
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -4.31%E -3.37%K -15.40%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV -6.60%E -1.78%K -2.44%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-23 22:10
Neds🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -4.31%E -3.37%K -15.40%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV -6.60%E -1.78%K -2.44%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-23 22:09
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 74.75%EV -6.55%E -5.24%K -26.22%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV -6.60%E -1.78%K -2.44%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-23 23:15
Coral🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 74.75%EV -6.55%E -5.24%K -26.22%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV -6.60%E -1.78%K -2.44%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-23 23:15
MyBookie.ag🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 74.09%EV -4.31%E -3.37%K -15.40%G +0.000%3.66I 27.32%NM 25.91%EV -7.61%E -2.08%K -2.86%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-24 00:39
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 74.19%EV -5.06%E -3.98%K -18.74%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.81%EV -7.86%E -2.15%K -2.97%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-24 03:10
Codere (IT)🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 74.34%EV -5.81%E -4.61%K -22.33%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.66%EV -7.86%E -2.15%K -2.97%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-24 00:39
Tipico (DE)🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 73.77%EV -4.31%E -3.37%K -15.40%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.23%EV -9.12%E -2.53%K -3.51%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-23 23:34
PMU (FR)🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 74.23%EV -6.55%E -5.24%K -26.22%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -9.12%E -2.53%K -3.51%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-24 03:10
BoyleSports🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 74.23%EV -6.55%E -5.24%K -26.22%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -9.12%E -2.53%K -3.51%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-24 00:35
Bet Victor🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 74.23%EV -6.55%E -5.24%K -26.22%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -9.12%E -2.53%K -3.51%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-24 00:34
Fliff🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 72.77%EV -2.07%E -1.58%K -6.67%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.23%EV -11.65%E -3.33%K -4.66%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-24 03:20
Betsson🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -2.82%E -2.17%K -9.39%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -11.65%E -3.33%K -4.66%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-23 23:45
NordicBet🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -2.82%E -2.17%K -9.39%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -11.65%E -3.33%K -4.66%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-23 23:45
Sky Bet🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -3.56%E -2.76%K -12.29%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -11.65%E -3.33%K -4.66%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-23 22:09
LeoVegas🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 74.00%EV -8.05%E -6.54%K -35.00%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.00%EV -11.65%E -3.33%K -4.66%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-24 03:10
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (10)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.34I 74.63%NM 74.43%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.57%0.3%2026-04-24 03:45
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.34I 74.63%NM 74.43%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.57%0.3%2026-04-24 03:50
ProphetX1.33I 75.19%NM 74.81%3.95I 25.32%NM 25.19%0.5%2026-04-24 01:30
Novig1.33I 75.19%NM 74.81%3.95I 25.32%NM 25.19%0.5%2026-04-24 03:15
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.33I 75.19%NM 74.57%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.43%0.8%2026-04-24 03:45
Matchbook1.33I 75.19%NM 74.57%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.43%0.8%2026-04-24 03:40
Polymarket1.33I 75.19%NM 74.32%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.68%1.2%2026-04-23 22:25
Smarkets1.33I 75.19%NM 74.32%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.68%1.2%2026-04-24 03:45
Kalshi1.33I 75.19%NM 73.56%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.44%2.2%2026-04-24 03:50
BetOpenly1.27I 78.74%NM 76.99%4.25I 23.53%NM 23.01%2.3%2026-04-24 02:49