The School of Odds
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
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Houston Rockets v Atlanta Hawks

Kickoff: 2026-10-27 00:40 UTC

Final: Houston Rockets 120–110 Atlanta Hawks

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

67 sportsbooks (22 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Houston Rockets (Local)

Prediction 63.02%1.59fair odd
EV -2.33%
Edge -1.50%
Kelly -4.23%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.55

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
61.11%63.10%63.04%65.01%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.401.501.501.5571.43%66.47%66.67%64.52%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Atlanta Hawks (Visit)

Prediction 36.98%2.70fair odd
EV +1.71%
Edge +0.621%
Kelly +0.975%
Growth +0.017%

assuming max odds 2.75

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
34.99%36.90%36.96%38.89%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.202.582.602.7545.45%38.70%38.46%36.36%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Houston Rockets (Local): 63.02%; Atlanta Hawks (Visit): 36.98%. For Atlanta Hawks (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.70. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.75, corresponding to a positive expected value of +1.71%.

Sportsbook Odds (67 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
Bovada🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 65.01%EV -6.74%E -4.55%K -14.04%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.99%EV +1.71%E +0.621%K +0.975%G +0.017%3.9%2026-10-26 23:54
betano_uk🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 64.29%EV -5.48%E -3.65%K -10.95%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.71%EV -0.142%E -0.053%K -0.084%G +0.000%3.7%2026-10-27 00:20
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 64.29%EV -5.48%E -3.65%K -10.95%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.71%EV -0.142%E -0.053%K -0.084%G +0.000%3.7%2026-10-26 18:59
Fliff🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -6.74%E -4.55%K -14.04%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -0.142%E -0.053%K -0.084%G +0.000%4.6%2026-10-26 18:10
Pinnacle🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 63.74%EV -3.59%E -2.34%K -6.77%G +0.000%2.69I 37.17%NM 36.26%EV -0.512%E -0.190%K -0.303%G +0.000%2.5%2026-10-27 00:00
LowVig.ag🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 63.48%EV -3.59%E -2.34%K -6.77%G +0.000%2.66I 37.59%NM 36.52%EV -1.62%E -0.610%K -0.977%G +0.000%3.0%2026-10-27 00:30
BetOnline.ag🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 63.40%EV -3.59%E -2.34%K -6.77%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.60%EV -1.99%E -0.751%K -1.21%G +0.000%3.1%2026-10-27 00:30
Everygame🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 63.40%EV -3.59%E -2.34%K -6.77%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.60%EV -1.99%E -0.751%K -1.21%G +0.000%3.1%2026-10-26 19:36
Betr (AU)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -5.48%E -3.65%K -10.95%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -1.99%E -0.751%K -1.21%G +0.000%4.4%2026-10-26 13:55
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -5.48%E -3.65%K -10.95%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -1.99%E -0.751%K -1.21%G +0.000%4.4%2026-10-27 00:35
Unibet (NL)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -5.48%E -3.65%K -10.95%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -1.99%E -0.751%K -1.21%G +0.000%4.4%2026-10-26 23:30
Unibet (SE)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -5.48%E -3.65%K -10.95%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -1.99%E -0.751%K -1.21%G +0.000%4.4%2026-10-26 23:30
BetRivers🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -5.48%E -3.65%K -10.95%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -1.99%E -0.751%K -1.21%G +0.000%4.4%2026-10-26 23:30
Unibet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -5.48%E -3.65%K -10.95%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -1.99%E -0.751%K -1.21%G +0.000%4.4%2026-10-26 23:30
Svenska Spel🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -5.48%E -3.65%K -10.95%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -1.99%E -0.751%K -1.21%G +0.000%4.4%2026-10-26 23:30
betPARX🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -5.48%E -3.65%K -10.95%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -1.99%E -0.751%K -1.21%G +0.000%4.4%2026-10-26 23:30
Bally Bet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -5.48%E -3.65%K -10.95%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -1.99%E -0.751%K -1.21%G +0.000%4.4%2026-10-26 23:30
ATG (SE)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -5.48%E -3.65%K -10.95%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -1.99%E -0.751%K -1.21%G +0.000%4.4%2026-10-26 23:30
Marathon Bet🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 64.79%EV -9.26%E -6.43%K -21.04%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.21%EV -1.99%E -0.751%K -1.21%G +0.000%7.2%2026-10-27 00:35
1xBet🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 63.46%EV -4.22%E -2.77%K -8.11%G +0.000%2.64I 37.88%NM 36.54%EV -2.36%E -0.894%K -1.44%G +0.000%3.7%2026-10-26 21:25
BetUS🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 63.22%EV -3.59%E -2.34%K -6.77%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 36.78%EV -2.73%E -1.04%K -1.68%G +0.000%3.4%2026-10-27 00:30
LiveScore Bet🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 63.83%EV -6.11%E -4.10%K -12.46%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 36.17%EV -2.73%E -1.04%K -1.68%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-26 23:30
TABtouch🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 63.83%EV -6.11%E -4.10%K -12.46%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 36.17%EV -2.73%E -1.04%K -1.68%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-26 23:30
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 63.99%EV -6.74%E -4.55%K -14.04%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 36.01%EV -2.73%E -1.04%K -1.68%G +0.000%5.6%2026-10-26 23:30
Bet Victor🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 62.65%EV -2.33%E -1.50%K -4.23%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 37.35%EV -3.84%E -1.48%K -2.40%G +0.000%3.0%2026-10-27 00:40
Winamax (DE)🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 62.80%EV -2.96%E -1.92%K -5.47%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 37.20%EV -3.84%E -1.48%K -2.40%G +0.000%3.4%2026-10-27 00:40
BetAnything🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 62.80%EV -2.96%E -1.92%K -5.47%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 37.20%EV -3.84%E -1.48%K -2.40%G +0.000%3.4%2026-10-26 20:05
GTbets🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.95%EV -3.59%E -2.34%K -6.77%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 37.05%EV -3.84%E -1.48%K -2.40%G +0.000%3.8%2026-10-26 19:55
DraftKings🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 63.11%EV -4.22%E -2.77%K -8.11%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.89%EV -3.84%E -1.48%K -2.40%G +0.000%4.3%2026-10-26 19:43
PlayUp🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 63.11%EV -4.22%E -2.77%K -8.11%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.89%EV -3.84%E -1.48%K -2.40%G +0.000%4.3%2026-10-27 00:40
Neds🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 63.11%EV -4.22%E -2.77%K -8.11%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.89%EV -3.84%E -1.48%K -2.40%G +0.000%4.3%2026-10-27 00:35
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 63.11%EV -4.22%E -2.77%K -8.11%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.89%EV -3.84%E -1.48%K -2.40%G +0.000%4.3%2026-10-27 00:35
Fanatics🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 63.26%EV -4.85%E -3.21%K -9.50%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.74%EV -3.84%E -1.48%K -2.40%G +0.000%4.7%2026-10-26 20:20
BoyleSports🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.48%E -3.65%K -10.95%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -3.84%E -1.48%K -2.40%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-27 00:04
888sport🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.48%E -3.65%K -10.95%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -3.84%E -1.48%K -2.40%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-26 12:35
William Hill🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.48%E -3.65%K -10.95%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -3.84%E -1.48%K -2.40%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-26 12:35
888sport (SE)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.48%E -3.65%K -10.95%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -3.84%E -1.48%K -2.40%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-26 12:35
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.48%E -3.65%K -10.95%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -3.84%E -1.48%K -2.40%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-26 12:34
Virgin Bet🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 63.88%EV -7.37%E -5.01%K -15.67%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.12%EV -3.84%E -1.48%K -2.40%G +0.000%6.5%2026-10-26 23:30
Tipico (DE)🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 63.88%EV -7.37%E -5.01%K -15.67%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.12%EV -3.84%E -1.48%K -2.40%G +0.000%6.5%2026-10-26 23:55
Coolbet🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.77%EV -3.59%E -2.34%K -6.77%G +0.000%2.58I 38.76%NM 37.23%EV -4.58%E -1.78%K -2.90%G +0.000%4.1%2026-10-26 20:14
Caesars🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.77%EV -3.59%E -2.34%K -6.77%G +0.000%2.58I 38.76%NM 37.23%EV -4.58%E -1.78%K -2.90%G +0.000%4.1%2026-10-26 23:54
SportsBet🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 62.44%EV -2.96%E -1.92%K -5.47%G +0.000%2.56I 39.06%NM 37.56%EV -5.32%E -2.08%K -3.41%G +0.000%4.0%2026-10-27 00:30
Unibet (UK)🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -2.96%E -1.92%K -5.47%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV -5.69%E -2.23%K -3.67%G +0.000%4.2%2026-10-27 00:40
theScore Bet🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -2.96%E -1.92%K -5.47%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV -5.69%E -2.23%K -3.67%G +0.000%4.2%2026-10-26 19:43
TAB🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -2.96%E -1.92%K -5.47%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV -5.69%E -2.23%K -3.67%G +0.000%4.2%2026-10-26 22:44
Dabble (AU)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -3.59%E -2.34%K -6.77%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -5.69%E -2.23%K -3.67%G +0.000%4.6%2026-10-26 20:15
BetMGM🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -3.59%E -2.34%K -6.77%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -5.69%E -2.23%K -3.67%G +0.000%4.6%2026-10-27 00:35
ReBet🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 62.65%EV -4.22%E -2.77%K -8.11%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.35%EV -5.69%E -2.23%K -3.67%G +0.000%5.0%2026-10-27 00:40
Paddy Power🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -5.48%E -3.65%K -10.95%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -5.69%E -2.23%K -3.67%G +0.000%5.9%2026-10-27 00:40
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -5.48%E -3.65%K -10.95%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -5.69%E -2.23%K -3.67%G +0.000%5.9%2026-10-26 22:45
FanDuel🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 62.25%EV -2.96%E -1.92%K -5.47%G +0.000%2.54I 39.37%NM 37.75%EV -6.06%E -2.39%K -3.93%G +0.000%4.3%2026-10-27 00:30
Betsson🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.78%EV -5.48%E -3.65%K -10.95%G +0.000%2.53I 39.53%NM 37.22%EV -6.43%E -2.54%K -4.20%G +0.000%6.2%2026-10-26 16:35
NordicBet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.78%EV -5.48%E -3.65%K -10.95%G +0.000%2.53I 39.53%NM 37.22%EV -6.43%E -2.54%K -4.20%G +0.000%6.2%2026-10-26 16:33
Bet Right🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -3.59%E -2.34%K -6.77%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -7.54%E -3.02%K -5.03%G +0.000%5.4%2026-10-27 00:30
Sky Bet🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -3.59%E -2.34%K -6.77%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -7.54%E -3.02%K -5.03%G +0.000%5.4%2026-10-26 23:20
Coral🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -5.48%E -3.65%K -10.95%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -7.54%E -3.02%K -5.03%G +0.000%6.7%2026-10-26 23:40
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -5.48%E -3.65%K -10.95%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -7.54%E -3.02%K -5.03%G +0.000%6.7%2026-10-27 00:35
Betway🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -5.48%E -3.65%K -10.95%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -7.54%E -3.02%K -5.03%G +0.000%6.7%2026-10-27 00:30
Winamax (FR)🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 62.97%EV -7.37%E -5.01%K -15.67%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.03%EV -7.54%E -3.02%K -5.03%G +0.000%8.0%2026-10-27 00:30
LeoVegas🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 62.97%EV -7.37%E -5.01%K -15.67%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.03%EV -7.54%E -3.02%K -5.03%G +0.000%8.0%2026-10-27 00:30
PMU (FR)🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 63.78%EV -10.52%E -7.41%K -25.04%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.22%EV -7.54%E -3.02%K -5.03%G +0.000%10.4%2026-10-26 23:30
MyBookie.ag🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 61.79%EV -2.96%E -1.92%K -5.47%G +0.000%2.49I 40.16%NM 38.21%EV -7.91%E -3.18%K -5.31%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-27 00:00
picklebet_au🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.03%EV -5.48%E -3.65%K -10.95%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV -9.39%E -3.83%K -6.47%G +0.000%7.5%2026-10-27 00:40
NetBet (FR)🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 63.14%EV -9.89%E -6.91%K -22.99%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.86%EV -9.39%E -3.83%K -6.47%G +0.000%10.7%2026-10-26 23:05
Betclic (FR)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 62.50%EV -9.26%E -6.43%K -21.04%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.50%EV -11.24%E -4.68%K -8.03%G +0.000%11.1%2026-10-27 00:33
Unibet (FR)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 61.11%EV -11.78%E -8.41%K -29.45%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 38.89%EV -18.63%E -8.47%K -15.53%G +0.000%16.9%2026-10-27 00:39
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (10)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Novig◎1.56I 64.10%NM 63.72%2.74I 36.50%NM 36.28%0.6%2026-10-27 00:40
Matchbook◎1.56I 64.10%NM 63.72%2.74I 36.50%NM 36.28%0.6%2026-10-27 00:35
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.55I 64.52%NM 64.04%2.76I 36.23%NM 35.96%0.7%2026-10-27 00:35
ProphetX◎1.56I 64.10%NM 63.55%2.72I 36.76%NM 36.45%0.9%2026-10-27 00:35
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.55I 64.52%NM 63.87%2.74I 36.50%NM 36.13%1.0%2026-10-27 00:35
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.55I 64.52%NM 63.87%2.74I 36.50%NM 36.13%1.0%2026-10-27 00:35
Polymarket◎1.56I 64.10%NM 63.38%2.70I 37.04%NM 36.62%1.1%2026-10-27 00:40
Smarkets◎1.55I 64.52%NM 63.70%2.72I 36.76%NM 36.30%1.3%2026-10-27 00:35
Kalshi◎1.54I 64.94%NM 63.68%2.70I 37.04%NM 36.32%2.0%2026-10-26 22:55
BetOpenly◎1.56I 64.10%NM 62.50%2.60I 38.46%NM 37.50%2.6%2026-10-27 00:25