The School of Odds
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
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Golden State Warriors v Memphis Grizzlies

Kickoff: 2026-10-24 02:14 UTC

Final: Golden State Warriors 108–111 Memphis Grizzlies

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

68 sportsbooks (23 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Golden State Warriors (Local)

Prediction 59.73%1.67fair odd
EV -0.257%
Edge -0.154%
Kelly -0.383%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.67

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
57.51%59.84%59.85%62.66%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.491.591.601.6767.11%63.07%62.70%59.88%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Memphis Grizzlies (Visit)

Prediction 40.27%2.48fair odd
EV +0.684%
Edge +0.274%
Kelly +0.456%
Growth +0.003%

assuming max odds 2.50

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
37.34%40.16%40.15%42.49%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.152.382.402.5046.51%42.03%41.67%40.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Golden State Warriors (Local): 59.73%; Memphis Grizzlies (Visit): 40.27%. For Memphis Grizzlies (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.48. 2 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.50, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.684%.

Sportsbook Odds (68 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
BetAnything🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 61.12%EV -5.03%E -3.17%K -8.53%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.88%EV +0.684%E +0.274%K +0.456%G +0.003%2.9%2026-10-23 23:55
Marathon Bet🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 62.66%EV -11.01%E -7.39%K -22.46%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.34%EV +0.684%E +0.274%K +0.456%G +0.003%7.1%2026-10-24 02:05
1xBet🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 61.08%EV -5.63%E -3.56%K -9.71%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.92%EV -0.122%E -0.049%K -0.082%G +0.000%3.6%2026-10-24 01:15
Unibet (SE)🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 61.39%EV -6.83%E -4.38%K -12.19%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.61%EV -0.122%E -0.049%K -0.082%G +0.000%4.4%2026-10-24 01:40
Unibet (NL)🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 61.39%EV -6.83%E -4.38%K -12.19%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.61%EV -0.122%E -0.049%K -0.082%G +0.000%4.4%2026-10-24 01:40
ATG (SE)🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 61.39%EV -6.83%E -4.38%K -12.19%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.61%EV -0.122%E -0.049%K -0.082%G +0.000%4.4%2026-10-24 01:40
Svenska Spel🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 61.39%EV -6.83%E -4.38%K -12.19%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.61%EV -0.122%E -0.049%K -0.082%G +0.000%4.4%2026-10-24 01:40
Pinnacle🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 60.15%EV -2.65%E -1.62%K -4.20%G +0.000%2.46I 40.65%NM 39.85%EV -0.927%E -0.377%K -0.635%G +0.000%2.0%2026-10-24 02:05
Everygame🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 60.34%EV -3.84%E -2.39%K -6.30%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.66%EV -1.33%E -0.543%K -0.917%G +0.000%2.9%2026-10-24 02:05
betano_uk🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 60.49%EV -4.44%E -2.77%K -7.40%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.51%EV -1.33%E -0.543%K -0.917%G +0.000%3.3%2026-10-24 01:03
Bet Victor🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 60.49%EV -4.44%E -2.77%K -7.40%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.51%EV -1.33%E -0.543%K -0.917%G +0.000%3.3%2026-10-24 01:05
BetRivers🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -6.83%E -4.38%K -12.19%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -1.33%E -0.543%K -0.917%G +0.000%4.9%2026-10-24 01:45
Unibet🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -6.83%E -4.38%K -12.19%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -1.33%E -0.543%K -0.917%G +0.000%4.9%2026-10-24 01:45
betPARX🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -6.83%E -4.38%K -12.19%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -1.33%E -0.543%K -0.917%G +0.000%4.9%2026-10-24 01:45
Bally Bet🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -6.83%E -4.38%K -12.19%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -1.33%E -0.543%K -0.917%G +0.000%4.9%2026-10-24 01:45
LiveScore Bet🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -7.42%E -4.79%K -13.50%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -1.33%E -0.543%K -0.917%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-24 01:40
TABtouch🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -7.42%E -4.79%K -13.50%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -1.33%E -0.543%K -0.917%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-24 01:40
LowVig.ag🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 60.00%EV -3.24%E -2.00%K -5.23%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 40.00%EV -2.14%E -0.879%K -1.49%G +0.000%2.9%2026-10-24 02:00
Caesars🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 60.45%EV -5.03%E -3.17%K -8.53%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 39.55%EV -2.14%E -0.879%K -1.49%G +0.000%4.0%2026-10-24 01:49
Virgin Bet🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 61.21%EV -8.02%E -5.21%K -14.85%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 38.79%EV -2.14%E -0.879%K -1.49%G +0.000%6.1%2026-10-24 01:45
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 61.21%EV -8.02%E -5.21%K -14.85%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 38.79%EV -2.14%E -0.879%K -1.49%G +0.000%6.1%2026-10-24 01:45
BetOnline.ag🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 59.90%EV -3.24%E -2.00%K -5.23%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 40.10%EV -2.54%E -1.05%K -1.79%G +0.000%3.1%2026-10-24 02:00
MyBookie.ag🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.65%EV -6.23%E -3.97%K -10.93%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 39.35%EV -2.54%E -1.05%K -1.79%G +0.000%5.0%2026-10-24 01:55
Coolbet🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.85%EV -3.84%E -2.39%K -6.30%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.15%EV -3.34%E -1.39%K -2.39%G +0.000%3.8%2026-10-24 01:50
GTbets🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.85%EV -3.84%E -2.39%K -6.30%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.15%EV -3.34%E -1.39%K -2.39%G +0.000%3.8%2026-10-24 01:50
Bovada🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.85%EV -3.84%E -2.39%K -6.30%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.15%EV -3.34%E -1.39%K -2.39%G +0.000%3.8%2026-10-24 01:54
theScore Bet🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.85%EV -3.84%E -2.39%K -6.30%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.15%EV -3.34%E -1.39%K -2.39%G +0.000%3.8%2026-10-24 01:40
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.85%EV -3.84%E -2.39%K -6.30%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.15%EV -3.34%E -1.39%K -2.39%G +0.000%3.8%2026-10-24 02:10
Unibet (UK)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -4.44%E -2.77%K -7.40%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -3.34%E -1.39%K -2.39%G +0.000%4.2%2026-10-24 02:05
Winamax (DE)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -4.44%E -2.77%K -7.40%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -3.34%E -1.39%K -2.39%G +0.000%4.2%2026-10-24 02:00
TAB🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -4.44%E -2.77%K -7.40%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -3.34%E -1.39%K -2.39%G +0.000%4.2%2026-10-23 23:49
Fliff🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -5.03%E -3.17%K -8.53%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -3.34%E -1.39%K -2.39%G +0.000%4.6%2026-10-24 02:10
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -5.63%E -3.56%K -9.71%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -3.34%E -1.39%K -2.39%G +0.000%5.0%2026-10-24 02:10
Neds🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -5.63%E -3.56%K -9.71%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -3.34%E -1.39%K -2.39%G +0.000%5.0%2026-10-24 02:10
Tipico (DE)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -7.42%E -4.79%K -13.50%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -3.34%E -1.39%K -2.39%G +0.000%6.2%2026-10-23 23:50
BetUS🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 59.50%EV -3.24%E -2.00%K -5.23%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 40.50%EV -4.15%E -1.74%K -3.01%G +0.000%3.7%2026-10-24 01:49
ReBet🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.65%EV -3.84%E -2.39%K -6.30%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 40.35%EV -4.15%E -1.74%K -3.01%G +0.000%4.1%2026-10-24 01:50
888sport🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -6.23%E -3.97%K -10.93%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -4.15%E -1.74%K -3.01%G +0.000%5.7%2026-10-23 21:40
William Hill🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -6.23%E -3.97%K -10.93%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -4.15%E -1.74%K -3.01%G +0.000%5.7%2026-10-23 21:40
888sport (SE)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -6.23%E -3.97%K -10.93%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -4.15%E -1.74%K -3.01%G +0.000%5.7%2026-10-23 21:40
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -6.23%E -3.97%K -10.93%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -4.15%E -1.74%K -3.01%G +0.000%5.7%2026-10-23 21:40
DraftKings🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 59.30%EV -3.24%E -2.00%K -5.23%G +0.000%2.36I 42.37%NM 40.70%EV -4.95%E -2.10%K -3.64%G +0.000%4.1%2026-10-24 01:40
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 59.05%EV -2.65%E -1.62%K -4.20%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.95%EV -5.36%E -2.28%K -3.97%G +0.000%3.9%2026-10-24 01:50
Dabble (AU)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -3.24%E -2.00%K -5.23%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -5.36%E -2.28%K -3.97%G +0.000%4.3%2026-10-24 01:45
Betr (AU)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -3.24%E -2.00%K -5.23%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -5.36%E -2.28%K -3.97%G +0.000%4.3%2026-10-24 01:50
Fanatics🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -3.84%E -2.39%K -6.30%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -5.36%E -2.28%K -3.97%G +0.000%4.7%2026-10-24 02:10
BetMGM🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -3.84%E -2.39%K -6.30%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -5.36%E -2.28%K -3.97%G +0.000%4.7%2026-10-24 02:05
Codere (IT)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -4.44%E -2.77%K -7.40%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -5.36%E -2.28%K -3.97%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-24 01:55
PlayUp🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -4.44%E -2.77%K -7.40%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -5.36%E -2.28%K -3.97%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-24 01:55
PMU (FR)🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 61.20%EV -11.01%E -7.39%K -22.46%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.80%EV -5.36%E -2.28%K -3.97%G +0.000%9.7%2026-10-24 01:45
NetBet (FR)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 59.95%EV -7.42%E -4.79%K -13.50%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 40.05%EV -6.57%E -2.83%K -4.97%G +0.000%7.6%2026-10-24 02:00
FanDuel🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -1.45%E -0.880%K -2.23%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -7.37%E -3.20%K -5.67%G +0.000%4.1%2026-10-24 02:10
Bet Right🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -1.45%E -0.880%K -2.23%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -7.37%E -3.20%K -5.67%G +0.000%4.1%2026-10-24 02:05
Paddy Power🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -4.44%E -2.77%K -7.40%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -7.37%E -3.20%K -5.67%G +0.000%6.0%2026-10-24 01:50
NordicBet🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -4.44%E -2.77%K -7.40%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -7.37%E -3.20%K -5.67%G +0.000%6.0%2026-10-24 01:50
Betsson🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -4.44%E -2.77%K -7.40%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -7.37%E -3.20%K -5.67%G +0.000%6.0%2026-10-24 02:10
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -4.44%E -2.77%K -7.40%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -7.37%E -3.20%K -5.67%G +0.000%6.0%2026-10-24 02:10
Coral🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -4.44%E -2.77%K -7.40%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -7.37%E -3.20%K -5.67%G +0.000%6.0%2026-10-24 02:10
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -4.44%E -2.77%K -7.40%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -7.37%E -3.20%K -5.67%G +0.000%6.0%2026-10-24 02:10
Betway🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 59.13%EV -5.03%E -3.17%K -8.53%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.87%EV -7.37%E -3.20%K -5.67%G +0.000%6.4%2026-10-24 02:05
picklebet_au🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -6.23%E -3.97%K -10.93%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -7.37%E -3.20%K -5.67%G +0.000%7.2%2026-10-24 02:00
BoyleSports🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -6.23%E -3.97%K -10.93%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -7.37%E -3.20%K -5.67%G +0.000%7.2%2026-10-24 01:50
Winamax (FR)🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 59.59%EV -6.83%E -4.38%K -12.19%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.41%EV -7.37%E -3.20%K -5.67%G +0.000%7.6%2026-10-24 02:00
LeoVegas🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 59.74%EV -7.42%E -4.79%K -13.50%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -7.37%E -3.20%K -5.67%G +0.000%8.0%2026-10-24 02:05
SportsBet🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.51%EV -0.257%E -0.154%K -0.383%G +0.000%2.26I 44.25%NM 42.49%EV -8.98%E -3.97%K -7.13%G +0.000%4.1%2026-10-24 02:10
Sky Bet🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -3.24%E -2.00%K -5.23%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -9.38%E -4.17%K -7.51%G +0.000%6.2%2026-10-24 01:50
Betclic (FR)🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 59.14%EV -9.22%E -6.06%K -17.72%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 40.86%EV -11.40%E -5.18%K -9.50%G +0.000%11.2%2026-10-24 02:04
Unibet (FR)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 58.90%EV -10.41%E -6.94%K -20.82%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 41.10%EV -13.41%E -6.24%K -11.66%G +0.000%13.2%2026-10-24 02:00
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (10)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.66I 60.24%NM 60.10%2.50I 40.00%NM 39.90%0.2%2026-10-24 02:05
Novig◎1.64I 60.98%NM 60.67%2.53I 39.53%NM 39.33%0.5%2026-10-24 02:10
ProphetX◎1.66I 60.24%NM 59.90%2.48I 40.32%NM 40.10%0.6%2026-10-24 02:05
Matchbook◎1.65I 60.61%NM 60.05%2.48I 40.32%NM 39.95%0.9%2026-10-24 02:10
Polymarket◎1.64I 60.98%NM 60.39%2.50I 40.00%NM 39.61%1.0%2026-10-24 02:05
Kalshi◎1.64I 60.98%NM 60.39%2.50I 40.00%NM 39.61%1.0%2026-10-24 01:45
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.64I 60.98%NM 60.39%2.50I 40.00%NM 39.61%1.0%2026-10-24 02:10
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.64I 60.98%NM 60.39%2.50I 40.00%NM 39.61%1.0%2026-10-24 02:10
Smarkets◎1.63I 61.35%NM 60.34%2.48I 40.32%NM 39.66%1.7%2026-10-24 02:10
BetOpenly◎1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%4.3%2026-10-24 01:50