默认模型四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Detroit Pistons v Washington Wizards

开赛时间： 2026-11-10 00:12 UTC

收盘赔率 — 按所选模型，根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始，因此这些并非实时数据。依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →

胜负盘

67 家博彩公司 (21 家纳入分析 )

77%

23%

模型估计的各赛果概率：四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Detroit Pistons (主队)

预测 76.71%1.30公平赔率

EV -2.58%

优势 -2.03%

Kelly -9.55%

增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 1.27

博彩公司预测分布

72.10%76.54%76.85%78.76%最小值均值中位数最大值

赔率分布

1.181.241.241.2784.75%80.75%80.65%78.74%最小值均值中位数最大值

Washington Wizards (客队)

预测 23.29%4.29公平赔率

EV +6.20%

优势 +1.36%

Kelly +1.74%

增长率 +0.108%

假设最高赔率为 4.56

博彩公司预测分布

21.24%23.46%23.15%27.90%最小值均值中位数最大值

赔率分布

3.054.084.104.5632.79%24.54%24.39%21.93%最小值均值中位数最大值

按开赛前最后一组赔率，四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为：Detroit Pistons (主队)：76.71%；Washington Wizards (客队)：23.29%。对于“Washington Wizards (客队)”，该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为4.29。当时有13家博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率；最佳赔率为4.56，对应+6.20%的正期望值。

博彩公司赔率 (67 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联，也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司	主队	客队 ▼	利润率	更新时间
LowVig.ag🎯	1.23I 81.30%NM 78.76%EV -5.65%E -4.59%K -24.55%G +0.000%	4.56I 21.93%NM 21.24%EV +6.20%E +1.36%K +1.74%G +0.108%	3.2%	2026-11-09 23:30
BetOnline.ag🎯	1.22I 81.97%NM 78.67%EV -6.41%E -5.26%K -29.15%G +0.000%	4.50I 22.22%NM 21.33%EV +4.80%E +1.07%K +1.37%G +0.066%	4.2%	2026-11-09 23:30
BetMGM🎯	1.22I 81.97%NM 78.29%EV -6.41%E -5.26%K -29.15%G +0.000%	4.40I 22.73%NM 21.71%EV +2.47%E +0.562%K +0.727%G +0.018%	4.7%	2026-11-10 00:08
BetAnything🎯	1.22I 81.97%NM 78.29%EV -6.41%E -5.26%K -29.15%G +0.000%	4.40I 22.73%NM 21.71%EV +2.47%E +0.562%K +0.727%G +0.018%	4.7%	2026-11-09 23:30
Pinnacle🎯	1.26I 79.37%NM 77.70%EV -3.34%E -2.65%K -12.86%G +0.000%	4.39I 22.78%NM 22.30%EV +2.24%E +0.510%K +0.661%G +0.015%	2.1%	2026-11-10 00:10
MyBookie.ag🎯	1.24I 80.65%NM 77.94%EV -4.88%E -3.93%K -20.33%G +0.000%	4.38I 22.83%NM 22.06%EV +2.01%E +0.458%K +0.594%G +0.012%	3.5%	2026-11-09 23:30
Bovada🎯	1.22I 81.97%NM 78.10%EV -6.41%E -5.26%K -29.15%G +0.000%	4.35I 22.99%NM 21.90%EV +1.31%E +0.301%K +0.390%G +0.005%	5.0%	2026-11-10 00:10
Coral🎯	1.20I 83.33%NM 78.30%EV -7.95%E -6.62%K -39.74%G +0.000%	4.33I 23.09%NM 21.70%EV +0.842%E +0.195%K +0.253%G +0.002%	6.4%	2026-11-10 00:10
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯	1.20I 83.33%NM 78.30%EV -7.95%E -6.62%K -39.74%G +0.000%	4.33I 23.09%NM 21.70%EV +0.842%E +0.195%K +0.253%G +0.002%	6.4%	2026-11-10 00:10
PointsBet (AU)🎯	1.24I 80.65%NM 77.62%EV -4.88%E -3.93%K -20.33%G +0.000%	4.30I 23.26%NM 22.38%EV +0.144%E +0.033%K +0.044%G +0.000%	3.9%	2026-11-09 23:05
Everygame🎯	1.24I 80.65%NM 77.62%EV -4.88%E -3.93%K -20.33%G +0.000%	4.30I 23.26%NM 22.38%EV +0.144%E +0.033%K +0.044%G +0.000%	3.9%	2026-11-10 00:10
BetUS🎯	1.24I 80.65%NM 77.62%EV -4.88%E -3.93%K -20.33%G +0.000%	4.30I 23.26%NM 22.38%EV +0.144%E +0.033%K +0.044%G +0.000%	3.9%	2026-11-09 23:25
Fliff🎯	1.23I 81.30%NM 77.76%EV -5.65%E -4.59%K -24.55%G +0.000%	4.30I 23.26%NM 22.24%EV +0.144%E +0.033%K +0.044%G +0.000%	4.6%	2026-11-10 00:05
1xBet🎯	1.25I 80.00%NM 77.27%EV -4.11%E -3.29%K -16.45%G +0.000%	4.25I 23.53%NM 22.73%EV -1.02%E -0.240%K -0.314%G +0.000%	3.5%	2026-11-09 23:15
SportsBet🎯	1.24I 80.65%NM 77.41%EV -4.88%E -3.93%K -20.33%G +0.000%	4.25I 23.53%NM 22.59%EV -1.02%E -0.240%K -0.314%G +0.000%	4.2%	2026-11-10 00:00
Betr (AU)🎯	1.24I 80.65%NM 77.41%EV -4.88%E -3.93%K -20.33%G +0.000%	4.25I 23.53%NM 22.59%EV -1.02%E -0.240%K -0.314%G +0.000%	4.2%	2026-11-09 23:10
Fanatics🎯	1.24I 80.65%NM 77.41%EV -4.88%E -3.93%K -20.33%G +0.000%	4.25I 23.53%NM 22.59%EV -1.02%E -0.240%K -0.314%G +0.000%	4.2%	2026-11-09 23:10
GTbets🎯	1.24I 80.65%NM 77.41%EV -4.88%E -3.93%K -20.33%G +0.000%	4.25I 23.53%NM 22.59%EV -1.02%E -0.240%K -0.314%G +0.000%	4.2%	2026-11-09 23:50
Hard Rock Bet🎯	1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -6.41%E -5.26%K -29.15%G +0.000%	4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV -1.02%E -0.240%K -0.314%G +0.000%	5.5%	2026-11-10 00:10
DraftKings🎯	1.24I 80.65%NM 77.33%EV -4.88%E -3.93%K -20.33%G +0.000%	4.23I 23.64%NM 22.67%EV -1.49%E -0.351%K -0.460%G +0.000%	4.3%	2026-11-09 23:04
Caesars🎯	1.24I 80.65%NM 77.21%EV -4.88%E -3.93%K -20.33%G +0.000%	4.20I 23.81%NM 22.79%EV -2.19%E -0.520%K -0.683%G +0.000%	4.5%	2026-11-10 00:10
TAB🎯	1.24I 80.65%NM 77.21%EV -4.88%E -3.93%K -20.33%G +0.000%	4.20I 23.81%NM 22.79%EV -2.19%E -0.520%K -0.683%G +0.000%	4.5%	2026-11-09 23:55
theScore Bet🎯	1.24I 80.65%NM 77.21%EV -4.88%E -3.93%K -20.33%G +0.000%	4.20I 23.81%NM 22.79%EV -2.19%E -0.520%K -0.683%G +0.000%	4.5%	2026-11-09 23:50
Neds🎯	1.24I 80.65%NM 77.21%EV -4.88%E -3.93%K -20.33%G +0.000%	4.20I 23.81%NM 22.79%EV -2.19%E -0.520%K -0.683%G +0.000%	4.5%	2026-11-10 00:10
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯	1.24I 80.65%NM 77.21%EV -4.88%E -3.93%K -20.33%G +0.000%	4.20I 23.81%NM 22.79%EV -2.19%E -0.520%K -0.683%G +0.000%	4.5%	2026-11-10 00:09
FanDuel🎯	1.25I 80.00%NM 76.85%EV -4.11%E -3.29%K -16.45%G +0.000%	4.15I 24.10%NM 23.15%EV -3.35%E -0.807%K -1.06%G +0.000%	4.1%	2026-11-10 00:00
BetRivers🎯	1.25I 80.00%NM 76.64%EV -4.11%E -3.29%K -16.45%G +0.000%	4.10I 24.39%NM 23.36%EV -4.51%E -1.10%K -1.46%G +0.000%	4.4%	2026-11-09 23:20
Unibet (NL)🎯	1.25I 80.00%NM 76.64%EV -4.11%E -3.29%K -16.45%G +0.000%	4.10I 24.39%NM 23.36%EV -4.51%E -1.10%K -1.46%G +0.000%	4.4%	2026-11-09 23:20
Unibet (SE)🎯	1.25I 80.00%NM 76.64%EV -4.11%E -3.29%K -16.45%G +0.000%	4.10I 24.39%NM 23.36%EV -4.51%E -1.10%K -1.46%G +0.000%	4.4%	2026-11-09 23:20
Unibet🎯	1.25I 80.00%NM 76.64%EV -4.11%E -3.29%K -16.45%G +0.000%	4.10I 24.39%NM 23.36%EV -4.51%E -1.10%K -1.46%G +0.000%	4.4%	2026-11-09 23:20
betPARX🎯	1.25I 80.00%NM 76.64%EV -4.11%E -3.29%K -16.45%G +0.000%	4.10I 24.39%NM 23.36%EV -4.51%E -1.10%K -1.46%G +0.000%	4.4%	2026-11-09 23:19
ATG (SE)🎯	1.25I 80.00%NM 76.64%EV -4.11%E -3.29%K -16.45%G +0.000%	4.10I 24.39%NM 23.36%EV -4.51%E -1.10%K -1.46%G +0.000%	4.4%	2026-11-09 23:20
Bally Bet🎯	1.25I 80.00%NM 76.64%EV -4.11%E -3.29%K -16.45%G +0.000%	4.10I 24.39%NM 23.36%EV -4.51%E -1.10%K -1.46%G +0.000%	4.4%	2026-11-09 23:20
Svenska Spel🎯	1.25I 80.00%NM 76.64%EV -4.11%E -3.29%K -16.45%G +0.000%	4.10I 24.39%NM 23.36%EV -4.51%E -1.10%K -1.46%G +0.000%	4.4%	2026-11-09 23:20
PlayUp🎯	1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -4.88%E -3.93%K -20.33%G +0.000%	4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -4.51%E -1.10%K -1.46%G +0.000%	5.0%	2026-11-10 00:05
LiveScore Bet🎯	1.23I 81.30%NM 76.92%EV -5.65%E -4.59%K -24.55%G +0.000%	4.10I 24.39%NM 23.08%EV -4.51%E -1.10%K -1.46%G +0.000%	5.7%	2026-11-09 23:25
TABtouch🎯	1.23I 81.30%NM 76.92%EV -5.65%E -4.59%K -24.55%G +0.000%	4.10I 24.39%NM 23.08%EV -4.51%E -1.10%K -1.46%G +0.000%	5.7%	2026-11-09 23:25
LeoVegas (SE)🎯	1.23I 81.30%NM 76.92%EV -5.65%E -4.59%K -24.55%G +0.000%	4.10I 24.39%NM 23.08%EV -4.51%E -1.10%K -1.46%G +0.000%	5.7%	2026-11-09 23:05
Paddy Power🎯	1.22I 81.97%NM 77.07%EV -6.41%E -5.26%K -29.15%G +0.000%	4.10I 24.39%NM 22.93%EV -4.51%E -1.10%K -1.46%G +0.000%	6.4%	2026-11-09 23:05
Virgin Bet🎯	1.22I 81.97%NM 77.07%EV -6.41%E -5.26%K -29.15%G +0.000%	4.10I 24.39%NM 22.93%EV -4.51%E -1.10%K -1.46%G +0.000%	6.4%	2026-11-09 23:05
Tipico (DE)🎯	1.22I 81.97%NM 77.07%EV -6.41%E -5.26%K -29.15%G +0.000%	4.10I 24.39%NM 22.93%EV -4.51%E -1.10%K -1.46%G +0.000%	6.4%	2026-11-09 23:45
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯	1.22I 81.97%NM 77.07%EV -6.41%E -5.26%K -29.15%G +0.000%	4.10I 24.39%NM 22.93%EV -4.51%E -1.10%K -1.46%G +0.000%	6.4%	2026-11-09 23:04
betano_uk🎯	1.27I 78.74%NM 75.90%EV -2.58%E -2.03%K -9.55%G +0.000%	4.00I 25.00%NM 24.10%EV -6.84%E -1.71%K -2.28%G +0.000%	3.7%	2026-11-09 23:50
Bet Victor🎯	1.27I 78.74%NM 75.90%EV -2.58%E -2.03%K -9.55%G +0.000%	4.00I 25.00%NM 24.10%EV -6.84%E -1.71%K -2.28%G +0.000%	3.7%	2026-11-09 23:50
Dabble (AU)🎯	1.26I 79.37%NM 76.05%EV -3.34%E -2.65%K -12.86%G +0.000%	4.00I 25.00%NM 23.95%EV -6.84%E -1.71%K -2.28%G +0.000%	4.4%	2026-11-09 23:05
888sport🎯	1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.11%E -3.29%K -16.45%G +0.000%	4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -6.84%E -1.71%K -2.28%G +0.000%	5.0%	2026-11-09 23:05
William Hill🎯	1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.11%E -3.29%K -16.45%G +0.000%	4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -6.84%E -1.71%K -2.28%G +0.000%	5.0%	2026-11-09 23:10
Mr Green (SE)🎯	1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.11%E -3.29%K -16.45%G +0.000%	4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -6.84%E -1.71%K -2.28%G +0.000%	5.0%	2026-11-09 23:04
888sport (SE)🎯	1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.11%E -3.29%K -16.45%G +0.000%	4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -6.84%E -1.71%K -2.28%G +0.000%	5.0%	2026-11-09 23:05
NetBet (FR)🎯	1.18I 84.75%NM 77.22%EV -9.48%E -8.03%K -52.67%G +0.000%	4.00I 25.00%NM 22.78%EV -6.84%E -1.71%K -2.28%G +0.000%	9.7%	2026-11-09 23:55
Marathon Bet🎯	1.22I 81.97%NM 76.54%EV -6.41%E -5.26%K -29.15%G +0.000%	3.98I 25.13%NM 23.46%EV -7.31%E -1.84%K -2.45%G +0.000%	7.1%	2026-11-10 00:03
Coolbet🎯	1.27I 78.74%NM 75.67%EV -2.58%E -2.03%K -9.55%G +0.000%	3.95I 25.32%NM 24.33%EV -8.01%E -2.03%K -2.71%G +0.000%	4.1%	2026-11-09 23:20
Bet Right🎯	1.25I 80.00%NM 75.96%EV -4.11%E -3.29%K -16.45%G +0.000%	3.95I 25.32%NM 24.04%EV -8.01%E -2.03%K -2.71%G +0.000%	5.3%	2026-11-10 00:00
Unibet (UK)🎯	1.27I 78.74%NM 75.44%EV -2.58%E -2.03%K -9.55%G +0.000%	3.90I 25.64%NM 24.56%EV -9.17%E -2.35%K -3.16%G +0.000%	4.4%	2026-11-09 23:05
Winamax (DE)🎯	1.27I 78.74%NM 75.44%EV -2.58%E -2.03%K -9.55%G +0.000%	3.90I 25.64%NM 24.56%EV -9.17%E -2.35%K -3.16%G +0.000%	4.4%	2026-11-10 00:00
PMU (FR)🎯	1.19I 84.03%NM 76.62%EV -8.71%E -7.32%K -45.86%G +0.000%	3.90I 25.64%NM 23.38%EV -9.17%E -2.35%K -3.16%G +0.000%	9.7%	2026-11-09 23:20
picklebet_au🎯	1.27I 78.74%NM 75.20%EV -2.58%E -2.03%K -9.55%G +0.000%	3.85I 25.97%NM 24.80%EV -10.34%E -2.68%K -3.63%G +0.000%	4.7%	2026-11-10 00:00
ReBet🎯	1.27I 78.74%NM 75.20%EV -2.58%E -2.03%K -9.55%G +0.000%	3.85I 25.97%NM 24.80%EV -10.34%E -2.68%K -3.63%G +0.000%	4.7%	2026-11-10 00:00
Codere (IT)🎯	1.26I 79.37%NM 75.34%EV -3.34%E -2.65%K -12.86%G +0.000%	3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV -10.34%E -2.68%K -3.63%G +0.000%	5.3%	2026-11-09 23:09
betfred_uk🎯	1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -4.11%E -3.29%K -16.45%G +0.000%	3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -11.50%E -3.03%K -4.11%G +0.000%	6.3%	2026-11-09 23:05
Sky Bet🎯	1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -4.11%E -3.29%K -16.45%G +0.000%	3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -12.67%E -3.38%K -4.61%G +0.000%	6.7%	2026-11-09 23:30
NordicBet🎯	1.24I 80.65%NM 74.90%EV -4.88%E -3.93%K -20.33%G +0.000%	3.70I 27.03%NM 25.10%EV -13.83%E -3.74%K -5.12%G +0.000%	7.7%	2026-11-10 00:05
Betsson🎯	1.24I 80.65%NM 74.90%EV -4.88%E -3.93%K -20.33%G +0.000%	3.70I 27.03%NM 25.10%EV -13.83%E -3.74%K -5.12%G +0.000%	7.7%	2026-11-10 00:05
LeoVegas🎯	1.24I 80.65%NM 74.64%EV -4.88%E -3.93%K -20.33%G +0.000%	3.65I 27.40%NM 25.36%EV -14.99%E -4.11%K -5.66%G +0.000%	8.0%	2026-11-10 00:00
Betclic (FR)🎯	1.21I 82.64%NM 74.20%EV -7.18%E -5.93%K -34.19%G +0.000%	3.48I 28.74%NM 25.80%EV -18.95%E -5.45%K -7.64%G +0.000%	11.4%	2026-11-10 00:04
Winamax (FR)🎯	1.22I 81.97%NM 73.88%EV -6.41%E -5.26%K -29.15%G +0.000%	3.45I 28.99%NM 26.12%EV -19.65%E -5.70%K -8.02%G +0.000%	11.0%	2026-11-09 23:59
Unibet (FR)🎯	1.18I 84.75%NM 72.10%EV -9.48%E -8.03%K -52.67%G +0.000%	3.05I 32.79%NM 27.90%EV -28.97%E -9.50%K -14.13%G +0.000%	17.5%	2026-11-10 00:10

利润率 = 利润率（超额概率） · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间，因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变，并不代表数据已经失效。通常，约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除；只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时，才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。

博彩交易所 (10)

博彩公司	主队	客队	利润率 ▲	更新时间
Novig◎	1.27I 78.74%NM 78.55%	4.65I 21.51%NM 21.45%	0.2%	2026-11-10 00:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎	1.27I 78.74%NM 78.36%	4.60I 21.74%NM 21.64%	0.5%	2026-11-10 00:10
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎	1.27I 78.74%NM 78.36%	4.60I 21.74%NM 21.64%	0.5%	2026-11-10 00:10
Kalshi◎	1.27I 78.74%NM 78.18%	4.55I 21.98%NM 21.82%	0.7%	2026-11-09 23:05
Polymarket◎	1.27I 78.74%NM 78.18%	4.55I 21.98%NM 21.82%	0.7%	2026-11-09 23:00
ProphetX◎	1.26I 79.37%NM 78.50%	4.60I 21.74%NM 21.50%	1.1%	2026-11-10 00:10
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎	1.26I 79.37%NM 78.13%	4.50I 22.22%NM 21.88%	1.6%	2026-11-10 00:10
Smarkets◎	1.25I 80.00%NM 78.63%	4.60I 21.74%NM 21.37%	1.7%	2026-11-10 00:10
Matchbook◎	1.25I 80.00%NM 78.63%	4.60I 21.74%NM 21.37%	1.7%	2026-11-10 00:10
BetOpenly◎	1.27I 78.74%NM 76.78%	4.20I 23.81%NM 23.22%	2.5%	2026-11-09 23:50

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