Modelo predeterminadoMedia intercuartílica (Lista Curada)

Detroit Pistons v Washington Wizards

Inicio: 2026-11-10 00:12 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

67 corredores (21 en el análisis )

77%

23%

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada)

Detroit Pistons (Local)

Predicción 76.71%1.30momio equitativo

EV -2.58%

Ventaja -2.03%

Kelly -9.55%

Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.27

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores

72.10%76.54%76.85%78.76%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Distribución de los momios

1.181.241.241.2784.75%80.75%80.65%78.74%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Washington Wizards (Visitante)

Predicción 23.29%4.29momio equitativo

EV +6.20%

Ventaja +1.36%

Kelly +1.74%

Crecimiento +0.108%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.56

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores

21.24%23.46%23.15%27.90%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Distribución de los momios

3.054.084.104.5632.79%24.54%24.39%21.93%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: Detroit Pistons (Local): 76.71%; Washington Wizards (Visitante): 23.29%. Para Washington Wizards (Visitante), esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 4.29. 13 corredores ofrecieron momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel; los mejores fueron 4.56, correspondientes a un valor esperado positivo de +6.20%.

Momios de las casas de apuestas (67 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

Corredor	Local	Visitante ▼	Margen	Actualizado
LowVig.ag🎯	1.23I 81.30%NM 78.76%EV -5.65%E -4.59%K -24.55%G +0.000%	4.56I 21.93%NM 21.24%EV +6.20%E +1.36%K +1.74%G +0.108%	3.2%	2026-11-09 23:30
BetOnline.ag🎯	1.22I 81.97%NM 78.67%EV -6.41%E -5.26%K -29.15%G +0.000%	4.50I 22.22%NM 21.33%EV +4.80%E +1.07%K +1.37%G +0.066%	4.2%	2026-11-09 23:30
BetMGM🎯	1.22I 81.97%NM 78.29%EV -6.41%E -5.26%K -29.15%G +0.000%	4.40I 22.73%NM 21.71%EV +2.47%E +0.562%K +0.727%G +0.018%	4.7%	2026-11-10 00:08
BetAnything🎯	1.22I 81.97%NM 78.29%EV -6.41%E -5.26%K -29.15%G +0.000%	4.40I 22.73%NM 21.71%EV +2.47%E +0.562%K +0.727%G +0.018%	4.7%	2026-11-09 23:30
Pinnacle🎯	1.26I 79.37%NM 77.70%EV -3.34%E -2.65%K -12.86%G +0.000%	4.39I 22.78%NM 22.30%EV +2.24%E +0.510%K +0.661%G +0.015%	2.1%	2026-11-10 00:10
MyBookie.ag🎯	1.24I 80.65%NM 77.94%EV -4.88%E -3.93%K -20.33%G +0.000%	4.38I 22.83%NM 22.06%EV +2.01%E +0.458%K +0.594%G +0.012%	3.5%	2026-11-09 23:30
Bovada🎯	1.22I 81.97%NM 78.10%EV -6.41%E -5.26%K -29.15%G +0.000%	4.35I 22.99%NM 21.90%EV +1.31%E +0.301%K +0.390%G +0.005%	5.0%	2026-11-10 00:10
Coral🎯	1.20I 83.33%NM 78.30%EV -7.95%E -6.62%K -39.74%G +0.000%	4.33I 23.09%NM 21.70%EV +0.842%E +0.195%K +0.253%G +0.002%	6.4%	2026-11-10 00:10
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯	1.20I 83.33%NM 78.30%EV -7.95%E -6.62%K -39.74%G +0.000%	4.33I 23.09%NM 21.70%EV +0.842%E +0.195%K +0.253%G +0.002%	6.4%	2026-11-10 00:10
PointsBet (AU)🎯	1.24I 80.65%NM 77.62%EV -4.88%E -3.93%K -20.33%G +0.000%	4.30I 23.26%NM 22.38%EV +0.144%E +0.033%K +0.044%G +0.000%	3.9%	2026-11-09 23:05
Everygame🎯	1.24I 80.65%NM 77.62%EV -4.88%E -3.93%K -20.33%G +0.000%	4.30I 23.26%NM 22.38%EV +0.144%E +0.033%K +0.044%G +0.000%	3.9%	2026-11-10 00:10
BetUS🎯	1.24I 80.65%NM 77.62%EV -4.88%E -3.93%K -20.33%G +0.000%	4.30I 23.26%NM 22.38%EV +0.144%E +0.033%K +0.044%G +0.000%	3.9%	2026-11-09 23:25
Fliff🎯	1.23I 81.30%NM 77.76%EV -5.65%E -4.59%K -24.55%G +0.000%	4.30I 23.26%NM 22.24%EV +0.144%E +0.033%K +0.044%G +0.000%	4.6%	2026-11-10 00:05
1xBet🎯	1.25I 80.00%NM 77.27%EV -4.11%E -3.29%K -16.45%G +0.000%	4.25I 23.53%NM 22.73%EV -1.02%E -0.240%K -0.314%G +0.000%	3.5%	2026-11-09 23:15
SportsBet🎯	1.24I 80.65%NM 77.41%EV -4.88%E -3.93%K -20.33%G +0.000%	4.25I 23.53%NM 22.59%EV -1.02%E -0.240%K -0.314%G +0.000%	4.2%	2026-11-10 00:00
Betr (AU)🎯	1.24I 80.65%NM 77.41%EV -4.88%E -3.93%K -20.33%G +0.000%	4.25I 23.53%NM 22.59%EV -1.02%E -0.240%K -0.314%G +0.000%	4.2%	2026-11-09 23:10
Fanatics🎯	1.24I 80.65%NM 77.41%EV -4.88%E -3.93%K -20.33%G +0.000%	4.25I 23.53%NM 22.59%EV -1.02%E -0.240%K -0.314%G +0.000%	4.2%	2026-11-09 23:10
GTbets🎯	1.24I 80.65%NM 77.41%EV -4.88%E -3.93%K -20.33%G +0.000%	4.25I 23.53%NM 22.59%EV -1.02%E -0.240%K -0.314%G +0.000%	4.2%	2026-11-09 23:50
Hard Rock Bet🎯	1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -6.41%E -5.26%K -29.15%G +0.000%	4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV -1.02%E -0.240%K -0.314%G +0.000%	5.5%	2026-11-10 00:10
DraftKings🎯	1.24I 80.65%NM 77.33%EV -4.88%E -3.93%K -20.33%G +0.000%	4.23I 23.64%NM 22.67%EV -1.49%E -0.351%K -0.460%G +0.000%	4.3%	2026-11-09 23:04
Caesars🎯	1.24I 80.65%NM 77.21%EV -4.88%E -3.93%K -20.33%G +0.000%	4.20I 23.81%NM 22.79%EV -2.19%E -0.520%K -0.683%G +0.000%	4.5%	2026-11-10 00:10
TAB🎯	1.24I 80.65%NM 77.21%EV -4.88%E -3.93%K -20.33%G +0.000%	4.20I 23.81%NM 22.79%EV -2.19%E -0.520%K -0.683%G +0.000%	4.5%	2026-11-09 23:55
theScore Bet🎯	1.24I 80.65%NM 77.21%EV -4.88%E -3.93%K -20.33%G +0.000%	4.20I 23.81%NM 22.79%EV -2.19%E -0.520%K -0.683%G +0.000%	4.5%	2026-11-09 23:50
Neds🎯	1.24I 80.65%NM 77.21%EV -4.88%E -3.93%K -20.33%G +0.000%	4.20I 23.81%NM 22.79%EV -2.19%E -0.520%K -0.683%G +0.000%	4.5%	2026-11-10 00:10
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯	1.24I 80.65%NM 77.21%EV -4.88%E -3.93%K -20.33%G +0.000%	4.20I 23.81%NM 22.79%EV -2.19%E -0.520%K -0.683%G +0.000%	4.5%	2026-11-10 00:09
FanDuel🎯	1.25I 80.00%NM 76.85%EV -4.11%E -3.29%K -16.45%G +0.000%	4.15I 24.10%NM 23.15%EV -3.35%E -0.807%K -1.06%G +0.000%	4.1%	2026-11-10 00:00
BetRivers🎯	1.25I 80.00%NM 76.64%EV -4.11%E -3.29%K -16.45%G +0.000%	4.10I 24.39%NM 23.36%EV -4.51%E -1.10%K -1.46%G +0.000%	4.4%	2026-11-09 23:20
Unibet (NL)🎯	1.25I 80.00%NM 76.64%EV -4.11%E -3.29%K -16.45%G +0.000%	4.10I 24.39%NM 23.36%EV -4.51%E -1.10%K -1.46%G +0.000%	4.4%	2026-11-09 23:20
Unibet (SE)🎯	1.25I 80.00%NM 76.64%EV -4.11%E -3.29%K -16.45%G +0.000%	4.10I 24.39%NM 23.36%EV -4.51%E -1.10%K -1.46%G +0.000%	4.4%	2026-11-09 23:20
Unibet🎯	1.25I 80.00%NM 76.64%EV -4.11%E -3.29%K -16.45%G +0.000%	4.10I 24.39%NM 23.36%EV -4.51%E -1.10%K -1.46%G +0.000%	4.4%	2026-11-09 23:20
betPARX🎯	1.25I 80.00%NM 76.64%EV -4.11%E -3.29%K -16.45%G +0.000%	4.10I 24.39%NM 23.36%EV -4.51%E -1.10%K -1.46%G +0.000%	4.4%	2026-11-09 23:19
ATG (SE)🎯	1.25I 80.00%NM 76.64%EV -4.11%E -3.29%K -16.45%G +0.000%	4.10I 24.39%NM 23.36%EV -4.51%E -1.10%K -1.46%G +0.000%	4.4%	2026-11-09 23:20
Bally Bet🎯	1.25I 80.00%NM 76.64%EV -4.11%E -3.29%K -16.45%G +0.000%	4.10I 24.39%NM 23.36%EV -4.51%E -1.10%K -1.46%G +0.000%	4.4%	2026-11-09 23:20
Svenska Spel🎯	1.25I 80.00%NM 76.64%EV -4.11%E -3.29%K -16.45%G +0.000%	4.10I 24.39%NM 23.36%EV -4.51%E -1.10%K -1.46%G +0.000%	4.4%	2026-11-09 23:20
PlayUp🎯	1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -4.88%E -3.93%K -20.33%G +0.000%	4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -4.51%E -1.10%K -1.46%G +0.000%	5.0%	2026-11-10 00:05
LiveScore Bet🎯	1.23I 81.30%NM 76.92%EV -5.65%E -4.59%K -24.55%G +0.000%	4.10I 24.39%NM 23.08%EV -4.51%E -1.10%K -1.46%G +0.000%	5.7%	2026-11-09 23:25
TABtouch🎯	1.23I 81.30%NM 76.92%EV -5.65%E -4.59%K -24.55%G +0.000%	4.10I 24.39%NM 23.08%EV -4.51%E -1.10%K -1.46%G +0.000%	5.7%	2026-11-09 23:25
LeoVegas (SE)🎯	1.23I 81.30%NM 76.92%EV -5.65%E -4.59%K -24.55%G +0.000%	4.10I 24.39%NM 23.08%EV -4.51%E -1.10%K -1.46%G +0.000%	5.7%	2026-11-09 23:05
Paddy Power🎯	1.22I 81.97%NM 77.07%EV -6.41%E -5.26%K -29.15%G +0.000%	4.10I 24.39%NM 22.93%EV -4.51%E -1.10%K -1.46%G +0.000%	6.4%	2026-11-09 23:05
Virgin Bet🎯	1.22I 81.97%NM 77.07%EV -6.41%E -5.26%K -29.15%G +0.000%	4.10I 24.39%NM 22.93%EV -4.51%E -1.10%K -1.46%G +0.000%	6.4%	2026-11-09 23:05
Tipico (DE)🎯	1.22I 81.97%NM 77.07%EV -6.41%E -5.26%K -29.15%G +0.000%	4.10I 24.39%NM 22.93%EV -4.51%E -1.10%K -1.46%G +0.000%	6.4%	2026-11-09 23:45
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯	1.22I 81.97%NM 77.07%EV -6.41%E -5.26%K -29.15%G +0.000%	4.10I 24.39%NM 22.93%EV -4.51%E -1.10%K -1.46%G +0.000%	6.4%	2026-11-09 23:04
betano_uk🎯	1.27I 78.74%NM 75.90%EV -2.58%E -2.03%K -9.55%G +0.000%	4.00I 25.00%NM 24.10%EV -6.84%E -1.71%K -2.28%G +0.000%	3.7%	2026-11-09 23:50
Bet Victor🎯	1.27I 78.74%NM 75.90%EV -2.58%E -2.03%K -9.55%G +0.000%	4.00I 25.00%NM 24.10%EV -6.84%E -1.71%K -2.28%G +0.000%	3.7%	2026-11-09 23:50
Dabble (AU)🎯	1.26I 79.37%NM 76.05%EV -3.34%E -2.65%K -12.86%G +0.000%	4.00I 25.00%NM 23.95%EV -6.84%E -1.71%K -2.28%G +0.000%	4.4%	2026-11-09 23:05
888sport🎯	1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.11%E -3.29%K -16.45%G +0.000%	4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -6.84%E -1.71%K -2.28%G +0.000%	5.0%	2026-11-09 23:05
William Hill🎯	1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.11%E -3.29%K -16.45%G +0.000%	4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -6.84%E -1.71%K -2.28%G +0.000%	5.0%	2026-11-09 23:10
Mr Green (SE)🎯	1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.11%E -3.29%K -16.45%G +0.000%	4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -6.84%E -1.71%K -2.28%G +0.000%	5.0%	2026-11-09 23:04
888sport (SE)🎯	1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.11%E -3.29%K -16.45%G +0.000%	4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -6.84%E -1.71%K -2.28%G +0.000%	5.0%	2026-11-09 23:05
NetBet (FR)🎯	1.18I 84.75%NM 77.22%EV -9.48%E -8.03%K -52.67%G +0.000%	4.00I 25.00%NM 22.78%EV -6.84%E -1.71%K -2.28%G +0.000%	9.7%	2026-11-09 23:55
Marathon Bet🎯	1.22I 81.97%NM 76.54%EV -6.41%E -5.26%K -29.15%G +0.000%	3.98I 25.13%NM 23.46%EV -7.31%E -1.84%K -2.45%G +0.000%	7.1%	2026-11-10 00:03
Coolbet🎯	1.27I 78.74%NM 75.67%EV -2.58%E -2.03%K -9.55%G +0.000%	3.95I 25.32%NM 24.33%EV -8.01%E -2.03%K -2.71%G +0.000%	4.1%	2026-11-09 23:20
Bet Right🎯	1.25I 80.00%NM 75.96%EV -4.11%E -3.29%K -16.45%G +0.000%	3.95I 25.32%NM 24.04%EV -8.01%E -2.03%K -2.71%G +0.000%	5.3%	2026-11-10 00:00
Unibet (UK)🎯	1.27I 78.74%NM 75.44%EV -2.58%E -2.03%K -9.55%G +0.000%	3.90I 25.64%NM 24.56%EV -9.17%E -2.35%K -3.16%G +0.000%	4.4%	2026-11-09 23:05
Winamax (DE)🎯	1.27I 78.74%NM 75.44%EV -2.58%E -2.03%K -9.55%G +0.000%	3.90I 25.64%NM 24.56%EV -9.17%E -2.35%K -3.16%G +0.000%	4.4%	2026-11-10 00:00
PMU (FR)🎯	1.19I 84.03%NM 76.62%EV -8.71%E -7.32%K -45.86%G +0.000%	3.90I 25.64%NM 23.38%EV -9.17%E -2.35%K -3.16%G +0.000%	9.7%	2026-11-09 23:20
picklebet_au🎯	1.27I 78.74%NM 75.20%EV -2.58%E -2.03%K -9.55%G +0.000%	3.85I 25.97%NM 24.80%EV -10.34%E -2.68%K -3.63%G +0.000%	4.7%	2026-11-10 00:00
ReBet🎯	1.27I 78.74%NM 75.20%EV -2.58%E -2.03%K -9.55%G +0.000%	3.85I 25.97%NM 24.80%EV -10.34%E -2.68%K -3.63%G +0.000%	4.7%	2026-11-10 00:00
Codere (IT)🎯	1.26I 79.37%NM 75.34%EV -3.34%E -2.65%K -12.86%G +0.000%	3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV -10.34%E -2.68%K -3.63%G +0.000%	5.3%	2026-11-09 23:09
betfred_uk🎯	1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -4.11%E -3.29%K -16.45%G +0.000%	3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -11.50%E -3.03%K -4.11%G +0.000%	6.3%	2026-11-09 23:05
Sky Bet🎯	1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -4.11%E -3.29%K -16.45%G +0.000%	3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -12.67%E -3.38%K -4.61%G +0.000%	6.7%	2026-11-09 23:30
NordicBet🎯	1.24I 80.65%NM 74.90%EV -4.88%E -3.93%K -20.33%G +0.000%	3.70I 27.03%NM 25.10%EV -13.83%E -3.74%K -5.12%G +0.000%	7.7%	2026-11-10 00:05
Betsson🎯	1.24I 80.65%NM 74.90%EV -4.88%E -3.93%K -20.33%G +0.000%	3.70I 27.03%NM 25.10%EV -13.83%E -3.74%K -5.12%G +0.000%	7.7%	2026-11-10 00:05
LeoVegas🎯	1.24I 80.65%NM 74.64%EV -4.88%E -3.93%K -20.33%G +0.000%	3.65I 27.40%NM 25.36%EV -14.99%E -4.11%K -5.66%G +0.000%	8.0%	2026-11-10 00:00
Betclic (FR)🎯	1.21I 82.64%NM 74.20%EV -7.18%E -5.93%K -34.19%G +0.000%	3.48I 28.74%NM 25.80%EV -18.95%E -5.45%K -7.64%G +0.000%	11.4%	2026-11-10 00:04
Winamax (FR)🎯	1.22I 81.97%NM 73.88%EV -6.41%E -5.26%K -29.15%G +0.000%	3.45I 28.99%NM 26.12%EV -19.65%E -5.70%K -8.02%G +0.000%	11.0%	2026-11-09 23:59
Unibet (FR)🎯	1.18I 84.75%NM 72.10%EV -9.48%E -8.03%K -52.67%G +0.000%	3.05I 32.79%NM 27.90%EV -28.97%E -9.50%K -14.13%G +0.000%	17.5%	2026-11-10 00:10

Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (10)

Corredor	Local	Visitante	Margen ▲	Actualizado
Novig◎	1.27I 78.74%NM 78.55%	4.65I 21.51%NM 21.45%	0.2%	2026-11-10 00:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎	1.27I 78.74%NM 78.36%	4.60I 21.74%NM 21.64%	0.5%	2026-11-10 00:10
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎	1.27I 78.74%NM 78.36%	4.60I 21.74%NM 21.64%	0.5%	2026-11-10 00:10
Kalshi◎	1.27I 78.74%NM 78.18%	4.55I 21.98%NM 21.82%	0.7%	2026-11-09 23:05
Polymarket◎	1.27I 78.74%NM 78.18%	4.55I 21.98%NM 21.82%	0.7%	2026-11-09 23:00
ProphetX◎	1.26I 79.37%NM 78.50%	4.60I 21.74%NM 21.50%	1.1%	2026-11-10 00:10
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎	1.26I 79.37%NM 78.13%	4.50I 22.22%NM 21.88%	1.6%	2026-11-10 00:10
Smarkets◎	1.25I 80.00%NM 78.63%	4.60I 21.74%NM 21.37%	1.7%	2026-11-10 00:10
Matchbook◎	1.25I 80.00%NM 78.63%	4.60I 21.74%NM 21.37%	1.7%	2026-11-10 00:10
BetOpenly◎	1.27I 78.74%NM 76.78%	4.20I 23.81%NM 23.22%	2.5%	2026-11-09 23:50

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