Language:English
Detroit Pistons v Orlando Magic
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Detroit Pistons (Local)
Prediction 73.34%1.36fair odd
EV -1.73%
Edge -1.29%
Kelly -5.08%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.34
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
71.58%73.36%73.33%74.45%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.241.301.301.3480.65%76.98%76.92%74.63%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Orlando Magic (Visit)
Prediction 26.66%3.75fair odd
EV -0.020%
Edge -0.005%
Kelly -0.007%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.75
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
25.55%26.64%26.67%28.42%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.353.583.603.7529.85%27.95%27.78%26.67%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Detroit Pistons (Local): 73.34%; Orlando Magic (Visit): 26.66%. For Orlando Magic (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.751. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 3.750, with an expected value of -0.020%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (63 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 72.76%EV -1.73%E -1.29%K -5.08%G +0.000% | 3.58I 27.93%NM 27.24%EV -4.55%E -1.27%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 2.6% | 2026-05-03 19:40 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 73.02%EV -2.46%E -1.85%K -7.45%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.98%EV -4.02%E -1.12%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-05-03 19:40 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 72.46%EV -2.46%E -1.85%K -7.45%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.54%EV -6.68%E -1.91%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-05-03 19:40 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -2.46%E -1.85%K -7.45%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV -10.68%E -3.19%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-03 19:40 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 73.96%EV -3.19%E -2.42%K -9.98%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.04%EV -0.020%E -0.005%K -0.007%G +0.000% | 2.4% | 2026-05-03 19:39 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 73.33%EV -3.19%E -2.42%K -9.98%G +0.000% | 3.63I 27.55%NM 26.67%EV -3.22%E -0.887%K -1.22%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-05-03 19:41 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 73.85%EV -3.93%E -3.00%K -12.67%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.15%EV -1.35%E -0.366%K -0.501%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-05-03 19:40 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 73.59%EV -3.93%E -3.00%K -12.67%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.41%EV -2.69%E -0.736%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-05-03 19:39 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 73.32%EV -3.93%E -3.00%K -12.67%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.68%EV -4.02%E -1.12%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-05-03 19:40 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 73.32%EV -3.93%E -3.00%K -12.67%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.68%EV -4.02%E -1.12%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-05-03 19:40 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 73.32%EV -3.93%E -3.00%K -12.67%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.68%EV -4.02%E -1.12%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-05-03 19:40 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 73.32%EV -3.93%E -3.00%K -12.67%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.68%EV -4.02%E -1.12%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-05-03 19:40 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 73.32%EV -3.93%E -3.00%K -12.67%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.68%EV -4.02%E -1.12%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-05-03 19:38 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 73.32%EV -3.93%E -3.00%K -12.67%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.68%EV -4.02%E -1.12%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-05-03 19:40 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 72.77%EV -3.93%E -3.00%K -12.67%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.23%EV -6.68%E -1.91%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-03 19:40 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 72.77%EV -3.93%E -3.00%K -12.67%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.23%EV -6.68%E -1.91%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-03 19:38 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 72.77%EV -3.93%E -3.00%K -12.67%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.23%EV -6.68%E -1.91%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-03 19:40 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 72.77%EV -3.93%E -3.00%K -12.67%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.23%EV -6.68%E -1.91%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-03 19:40 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 72.48%EV -3.93%E -3.00%K -12.67%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.52%EV -8.02%E -2.32%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-03 19:40 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 74.00%EV -4.66%E -3.58%K -15.53%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.00%EV -1.35%E -0.366%K -0.501%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-05-03 19:40 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 74.00%EV -4.66%E -3.58%K -15.53%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.00%EV -1.35%E -0.366%K -0.501%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-05-03 19:40 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 74.00%EV -4.66%E -3.58%K -15.53%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.00%EV -1.35%E -0.366%K -0.501%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-05-03 19:39 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 74.00%EV -4.66%E -3.58%K -15.53%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.00%EV -1.35%E -0.366%K -0.501%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-05-03 19:29 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 74.00%EV -4.66%E -3.58%K -15.53%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.00%EV -1.35%E -0.366%K -0.501%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-05-03 19:40 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 74.00%EV -4.66%E -3.58%K -15.53%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.00%EV -1.35%E -0.366%K -0.501%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-05-03 19:40 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.84%EV -4.66%E -3.58%K -15.53%G +0.000% | 3.67I 27.25%NM 26.16%EV -2.15%E -0.586%K -0.806%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-05-03 19:39 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.74%EV -4.66%E -3.58%K -15.53%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.26%EV -2.69%E -0.736%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-05-03 19:40 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.74%EV -4.66%E -3.58%K -15.53%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.26%EV -2.69%E -0.736%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-05-03 19:40 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.74%EV -4.66%E -3.58%K -15.53%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.26%EV -2.69%E -0.736%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-05-03 19:40 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.52%EV -4.66%E -3.58%K -15.53%G +0.000% | 3.61I 27.70%NM 26.48%EV -3.75%E -1.04%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-05-03 19:30 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.47%EV -4.66%E -3.58%K -15.53%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.53%EV -4.02%E -1.12%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-03 19:40 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.47%EV -4.66%E -3.58%K -15.53%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.53%EV -4.02%E -1.12%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-03 19:40 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.47%EV -4.66%E -3.58%K -15.53%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.53%EV -4.02%E -1.12%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-03 19:40 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.47%EV -4.66%E -3.58%K -15.53%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.53%EV -4.02%E -1.12%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-03 19:40 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.47%EV -4.66%E -3.58%K -15.53%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.53%EV -4.02%E -1.12%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-03 19:39 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.47%EV -4.66%E -3.58%K -15.53%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.53%EV -4.02%E -1.12%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-03 19:40 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.47%EV -4.66%E -3.58%K -15.53%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.53%EV -4.02%E -1.12%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-03 19:40 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.47%EV -4.66%E -3.58%K -15.53%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.53%EV -4.02%E -1.12%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-03 19:41 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.47%EV -4.66%E -3.58%K -15.53%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.53%EV -4.02%E -1.12%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-03 19:29 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -4.66%E -3.58%K -15.53%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -6.68%E -1.91%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-03 19:40 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -4.66%E -3.58%K -15.53%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -6.68%E -1.91%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-03 19:40 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -4.66%E -3.58%K -15.53%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -9.35%E -2.75%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-03 19:39 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -4.66%E -3.58%K -15.53%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -9.35%E -2.75%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-03 19:40 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -4.66%E -3.58%K -15.53%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -9.35%E -2.75%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-03 19:39 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.89%EV -5.39%E -4.18%K -18.60%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.11%EV -2.69%E -0.736%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-03 19:30 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -5.39%E -4.18%K -18.60%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -4.02%E -1.12%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-03 19:40 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -5.39%E -4.18%K -18.60%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -4.02%E -1.12%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-03 19:40 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -5.39%E -4.18%K -18.60%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -4.02%E -1.12%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-03 19:40 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -5.39%E -4.18%K -18.60%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -4.02%E -1.12%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-03 19:29 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -5.39%E -4.18%K -18.60%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -4.02%E -1.12%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-03 19:41 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -5.39%E -4.18%K -18.60%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -4.02%E -1.12%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-03 19:29 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -5.39%E -4.18%K -18.60%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -4.02%E -1.12%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-03 19:29 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -5.39%E -4.18%K -18.60%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -4.02%E -1.12%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-03 19:29 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.35%EV -5.39%E -4.18%K -18.60%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.65%EV -5.35%E -1.51%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-05-03 19:40 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -5.39%E -4.18%K -18.60%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -6.68%E -1.91%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-03 19:38 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 73.50%EV -6.13%E -4.79%K -21.88%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.50%EV -5.35%E -1.51%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-03 19:40 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 73.22%EV -6.13%E -4.79%K -21.88%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.78%EV -6.68%E -1.91%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-03 19:37 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 73.22%EV -6.13%E -4.79%K -21.88%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.78%EV -6.68%E -1.91%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-03 19:40 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.45%EV -6.86%E -5.40%K -25.41%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.55%EV -1.35%E -0.366%K -0.501%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-03 19:40 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 73.38%EV -6.86%E -5.40%K -25.41%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.62%EV -6.68%E -1.91%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-05-03 19:40 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 73.38%EV -6.86%E -5.40%K -25.41%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.62%EV -6.68%E -1.91%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-05-03 19:31 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 72.96%EV -7.59%E -6.03%K -29.21%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.04%EV -9.35%E -2.75%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-05-03 19:37 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 73.28%EV -9.06%E -7.31%K -37.75%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.72%EV -9.35%E -2.75%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-05-03 19:41 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (9)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.33I 75.19%NM 74.81% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 25.19% | 0.5% | 2026-05-03 19:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.32I 75.76%NM 75.19% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.81% | 0.8% | 2026-05-03 19:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.32I 75.76%NM 75.19% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.81% | 0.8% | 2026-05-03 19:40 |
| Polymarket◎ | 1.33I 75.19%NM 74.32% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.68% | 1.2% | 2026-05-03 19:40 |
| Novig◎ | 1.34I 74.63%NM 73.57% | 3.73I 26.81%NM 26.43% | 1.4% | 2026-05-03 19:40 |
| BetOpenly◎ | 1.32I 75.76%NM 74.62% | 3.88I 25.77%NM 25.38% | 1.5% | 2026-05-03 19:29 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.32I 75.76%NM 74.47% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.53% | 1.7% | 2026-05-03 19:40 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.33I 75.19%NM 73.82% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.18% | 1.9% | 2026-05-03 19:40 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.33I 75.19%NM 73.56% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.44% | 2.2% | 2026-05-03 19:40 |