Language:English
Detroit Pistons v Oklahoma City Thunder
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Detroit Pistons (Local)
Prediction 78.26%1.28fair odd
EV -2.96%
Edge -2.39%
Kelly -12.33%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.24
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
76.56%78.23%78.24%80.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.171.211.211.2485.47%82.49%82.64%80.65%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Oklahoma City Thunder (Visit)
Prediction 21.74%4.60fair odd
EV +4.35%
Edge +0.907%
Kelly +1.15%
Growth +0.050%
assuming max odds 4.80
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
20.00%21.77%21.76%23.44%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.004.414.404.8025.00%22.65%22.73%20.83%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Detroit Pistons (Local): 78.26%; Oklahoma City Thunder (Visit): 21.74%. For Oklahoma City Thunder (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.60. 17 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 4.80, corresponding to a positive expected value of +4.35%.
Sportsbook Odds (63 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 79.87%EV -5.31%E -4.39%K -25.27%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.13%EV +4.35%E +0.907%K +1.15%G +0.050% | 3.5% | 2026-02-26 00:40 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 79.87%EV -5.31%E -4.39%K -25.27%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.13%EV +4.35%E +0.907%K +1.15%G +0.050% | 3.5% | 2026-02-26 00:39 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 79.87%EV -5.31%E -4.39%K -25.27%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.13%EV +4.35%E +0.907%K +1.15%G +0.050% | 3.5% | 2026-02-26 00:39 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 79.87%EV -5.31%E -4.39%K -25.27%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.13%EV +4.35%E +0.907%K +1.15%G +0.050% | 3.5% | 2026-02-26 00:40 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 80.00%EV -6.09%E -5.07%K -30.44%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.00%EV +4.35%E +0.907%K +1.15%G +0.050% | 4.2% | 2026-02-26 00:39 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.49%EV -6.09%E -5.07%K -30.44%G +0.000% | 4.65I 21.51%NM 20.51%EV +1.09%E +0.235%K +0.299%G +0.003% | 4.8% | 2026-02-26 00:39 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 79.04%EV -4.52%E -3.71%K -20.56%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.96%EV +0.006%E +0.001%K +0.002%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-02-26 00:39 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 79.17%EV -5.31%E -4.39%K -25.27%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.83%EV +0.006%E +0.001%K +0.002%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-02-26 00:40 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 79.17%EV -5.31%E -4.39%K -25.27%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.83%EV +0.006%E +0.001%K +0.002%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-02-26 00:29 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -6.09%E -5.07%K -30.44%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV +0.006%E +0.001%K +0.002%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-02-26 00:40 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -6.09%E -5.07%K -30.44%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV +0.006%E +0.001%K +0.002%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-02-26 00:40 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -6.09%E -5.07%K -30.44%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV +0.006%E +0.001%K +0.002%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-02-26 00:40 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -6.09%E -5.07%K -30.44%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV +0.006%E +0.001%K +0.002%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-02-26 00:40 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -6.09%E -5.07%K -30.44%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV +0.006%E +0.001%K +0.002%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-02-26 00:40 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -6.09%E -5.07%K -30.44%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV +0.006%E +0.001%K +0.002%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-02-26 00:40 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -6.09%E -5.07%K -30.44%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV +0.006%E +0.001%K +0.002%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-02-26 00:40 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.45%EV -6.87%E -5.77%K -36.16%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.55%EV +0.006%E +0.001%K +0.002%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-02-26 00:40 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 78.68%EV -3.74%E -3.04%K -16.26%G +0.000% | 4.54I 22.03%NM 21.32%EV -1.30%E -0.286%K -0.367%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-02-26 00:39 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 78.53%EV -3.74%E -3.04%K -16.26%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.47%EV -2.17%E -0.482%K -0.619%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-02-26 00:40 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.67%EV -4.52%E -3.71%K -20.56%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.33%EV -2.17%E -0.482%K -0.619%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-02-26 00:40 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.67%EV -4.52%E -3.71%K -20.56%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.33%EV -2.17%E -0.482%K -0.619%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-02-26 00:40 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.67%EV -4.52%E -3.71%K -20.56%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.33%EV -2.17%E -0.482%K -0.619%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-02-26 00:39 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.67%EV -4.52%E -3.71%K -20.56%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.33%EV -2.17%E -0.482%K -0.619%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-02-26 00:40 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -6.09%E -5.07%K -30.44%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -2.17%E -0.482%K -0.619%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-02-26 00:40 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -6.09%E -5.07%K -30.44%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -2.17%E -0.482%K -0.619%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-02-26 00:40 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -6.09%E -5.07%K -30.44%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -2.17%E -0.482%K -0.619%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-02-26 00:39 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -6.09%E -5.07%K -30.44%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -2.17%E -0.482%K -0.619%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-02-26 00:40 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 79.37%EV -8.44%E -7.21%K -49.63%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -2.17%E -0.482%K -0.619%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-02-26 00:40 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 78.13%EV -2.96%E -2.39%K -12.33%G +0.000% | 4.43I 22.57%NM 21.87%EV -3.69%E -0.833%K -1.08%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-02-26 00:40 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 78.15%EV -3.74%E -3.04%K -16.26%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.85%EV -4.34%E -0.987%K -1.28%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-02-26 00:39 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.29%EV -4.52%E -3.71%K -20.56%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.71%EV -4.34%E -0.987%K -1.28%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-02-26 00:40 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.29%EV -4.52%E -3.71%K -20.56%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.71%EV -4.34%E -0.987%K -1.28%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-02-26 00:40 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.29%EV -4.52%E -3.71%K -20.56%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.71%EV -4.34%E -0.987%K -1.28%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-02-26 00:39 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 78.04%EV -3.74%E -3.04%K -16.26%G +0.000% | 4.37I 22.88%NM 21.96%EV -4.99%E -1.14%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-02-26 00:39 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 77.96%EV -3.74%E -3.04%K -16.26%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 22.04%EV -5.43%E -1.25%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-02-26 00:39 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.10%EV -4.52%E -3.71%K -20.56%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.90%EV -5.43%E -1.25%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-02-26 00:40 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.10%EV -4.52%E -3.71%K -20.56%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.90%EV -5.43%E -1.25%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-02-26 00:34 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.30%EV -6.09%E -5.07%K -30.44%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.70%EV -5.86%E -1.35%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-02-26 00:40 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.30%EV -6.09%E -5.07%K -30.44%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.70%EV -5.86%E -1.35%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-02-26 00:40 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.30%EV -6.09%E -5.07%K -30.44%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.70%EV -5.86%E -1.35%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-02-26 00:40 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.30%EV -6.09%E -5.07%K -30.44%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.70%EV -5.86%E -1.35%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-02-26 00:40 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 77.62%EV -2.96%E -2.39%K -12.33%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.38%EV -6.52%E -1.52%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-02-26 00:39 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 77.62%EV -2.96%E -2.39%K -12.33%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.38%EV -6.52%E -1.52%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-02-26 00:39 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.04%EV -5.31%E -4.39%K -25.27%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.96%EV -6.52%E -1.52%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-02-26 00:40 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.18%EV -6.09%E -5.07%K -30.44%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.82%EV -6.52%E -1.52%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-02-26 00:29 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.18%EV -6.09%E -5.07%K -30.44%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.82%EV -6.52%E -1.52%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-02-26 00:39 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.18%EV -6.09%E -5.07%K -30.44%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.82%EV -6.52%E -1.52%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-02-26 00:29 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.18%EV -6.09%E -5.07%K -30.44%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.82%EV -6.52%E -1.52%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-02-26 00:29 |
| Parions Sport (FR)🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 77.55%EV -3.74%E -3.04%K -16.26%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.45%EV -7.60%E -1.79%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-02-26 00:30 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 77.55%EV -3.74%E -3.04%K -16.26%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.45%EV -7.60%E -1.79%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-02-26 00:40 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 77.84%EV -5.31%E -4.39%K -25.27%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.16%EV -7.60%E -1.79%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-02-26 00:39 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 77.47%EV -3.74%E -3.04%K -16.26%G +0.000% | 4.23I 23.64%NM 22.53%EV -8.04%E -1.90%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-02-26 00:33 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 77.35%EV -3.74%E -3.04%K -16.26%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.65%EV -8.69%E -2.07%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-02-26 00:30 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -4.52%E -3.71%K -20.56%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -8.69%E -2.07%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-02-26 00:40 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -4.52%E -3.71%K -20.56%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -8.69%E -2.07%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-02-26 00:39 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 77.63%EV -5.31%E -4.39%K -25.27%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.37%EV -8.69%E -2.07%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-02-26 00:39 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 77.78%EV -6.09%E -5.07%K -30.44%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -8.69%E -2.07%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-02-26 00:39 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.07%EV -4.52%E -3.71%K -20.56%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.93%EV -10.86%E -2.65%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-02-26 00:30 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.07%EV -4.52%E -3.71%K -20.56%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.93%EV -10.86%E -2.65%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-02-26 00:40 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 77.36%EV -6.09%E -5.07%K -30.44%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.64%EV -10.86%E -2.65%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-02-26 00:31 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 77.50%EV -6.87%E -5.77%K -36.16%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.50%EV -10.86%E -2.65%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-02-26 00:38 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.56%EV -2.96%E -2.39%K -12.33%G +0.000% | 4.05I 24.69%NM 23.44%EV -11.95%E -2.95%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-02-26 00:39 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -4.52%E -3.71%K -20.56%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -13.04%E -3.26%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-02-26 00:40 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (10)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 1.27I 78.74%NM 78.36% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.64% | 0.5% | 2026-02-26 00:40 |
| Novig◎ | 1.26I 79.37%NM 78.93% | 4.72I 21.19%NM 21.07% | 0.6% | 2026-02-26 00:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.25I 80.00%NM 79.34% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.66% | 0.8% | 2026-02-26 00:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.25I 80.00%NM 79.34% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.66% | 0.8% | 2026-02-26 00:40 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.25I 80.00%NM 79.20% | 4.76I 21.01%NM 20.80% | 1.0% | 2026-02-26 00:40 |
| Polymarket◎ | 1.25I 80.00%NM 79.20% | 4.76I 21.01%NM 20.80% | 1.0% | 2026-02-26 00:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.26I 79.37%NM 78.50% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.50% | 1.1% | 2026-02-26 00:40 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.26I 79.37%NM 78.50% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.50% | 1.1% | 2026-02-26 00:40 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.25I 80.00%NM 78.63% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.37% | 1.7% | 2026-02-26 00:40 |
| BetOpenly◎ | 1.25I 80.00%NM 74.33% | 3.62I 27.62%NM 25.67% | 7.6% | 2026-02-26 00:29 |