Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Detroit Pistons v Milwaukee Bucks

Kickoff: 2026-04-08 23:10 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

62 sportsbooks (22 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Detroit Pistons (Local)

Prediction 93.54%1.07fair odd
EV -1.79%
Edge -1.70%
Kelly -35.74%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.05

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
91.36%93.34%93.57%95.41%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.001.021.021.05100.00%97.62%98.04%95.24%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Milwaukee Bucks (Visit)

Prediction 6.46%15.47fair odd
EV +35.74%
Edge +1.70%
Kelly +1.79%
Growth +0.639%

assuming max odds 21.00

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
4.59%6.66%6.43%8.64%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
11.0014.6915.0021.009.09%6.81%6.67%4.76%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Detroit Pistons (Local): 93.54%; Milwaukee Bucks (Visit): 6.46%. For Milwaukee Bucks (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 15.47. 20 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 21.00, corresponding to a positive expected value of +35.74%.

Sportsbook Odds (62 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
1xBet🎯1.03I 97.09%NM 95.32%EV -3.66%E -3.55%K -121.93%G +0.000%21.00I 4.76%NM 4.68%EV +35.74%E +1.70%K +1.79%G +0.639%1.8%2026-04-08 22:50
theScore Bet🎯1.01I 99.01%NM 95.41%EV -5.53%E -5.47%K -552.86%G +0.000%21.00I 4.76%NM 4.59%EV +35.74%E +1.70%K +1.79%G +0.639%3.8%2026-04-08 22:45
Pinnacle🎯1.03I 97.09%NM 94.39%EV -3.66%E -3.55%K -121.93%G +0.000%17.34I 5.77%NM 5.61%EV +12.09%E +0.697%K +0.740%G +0.089%2.9%2026-04-08 23:00
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.03I 97.09%NM 94.29%EV -3.66%E -3.55%K -121.93%G +0.000%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.71%EV +9.89%E +0.582%K +0.618%G +0.061%3.0%2026-04-08 22:49
SportsBet🎯1.02I 98.04%NM 94.34%EV -4.59%E -4.50%K -229.66%G +0.000%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.66%EV +9.89%E +0.582%K +0.618%G +0.061%3.9%2026-04-08 23:04
Dabble (AU)🎯1.01I 99.01%NM 94.39%EV -5.53%E -5.47%K -552.86%G +0.000%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.61%EV +9.89%E +0.582%K +0.618%G +0.061%4.9%2026-04-08 22:59
MyBookie.ag🎯1.01I 99.01%NM 94.37%EV -5.53%E -5.47%K -552.86%G +0.000%16.93I 5.91%NM 5.63%EV +9.44%E +0.557%K +0.592%G +0.056%4.9%2026-04-08 22:59
Caesars🎯1.02I 98.04%NM 94.18%EV -4.59%E -4.50%K -229.66%G +0.000%16.50I 6.06%NM 5.82%EV +6.66%E +0.403%K +0.429%G +0.029%4.1%2026-04-08 23:04
Unibet (SE)🎯1.03I 97.09%NM 93.95%EV -3.66%E -3.55%K -121.93%G +0.000%16.00I 6.25%NM 6.05%EV +3.42%E +0.214%K +0.228%G +0.008%3.3%2026-04-08 22:59
Unibet (NL)🎯1.03I 97.09%NM 93.95%EV -3.66%E -3.55%K -121.93%G +0.000%16.00I 6.25%NM 6.05%EV +3.42%E +0.214%K +0.228%G +0.008%3.3%2026-04-08 22:59
Svenska Spel🎯1.03I 97.09%NM 93.95%EV -3.66%E -3.55%K -121.93%G +0.000%16.00I 6.25%NM 6.05%EV +3.42%E +0.214%K +0.228%G +0.008%3.3%2026-04-08 22:59
ATG (SE)🎯1.03I 97.09%NM 93.95%EV -3.66%E -3.55%K -121.93%G +0.000%16.00I 6.25%NM 6.05%EV +3.42%E +0.214%K +0.228%G +0.008%3.3%2026-04-08 22:59
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.03I 97.09%NM 93.95%EV -3.66%E -3.55%K -121.93%G +0.000%16.00I 6.25%NM 6.05%EV +3.42%E +0.214%K +0.228%G +0.008%3.3%2026-04-08 23:04
BetAnything🎯1.03I 97.09%NM 93.95%EV -3.66%E -3.55%K -121.93%G +0.000%16.00I 6.25%NM 6.05%EV +3.42%E +0.214%K +0.228%G +0.008%3.3%2026-04-08 22:35
Unibet (FR)🎯1.02I 98.04%NM 94.01%EV -4.59%E -4.50%K -229.66%G +0.000%16.00I 6.25%NM 5.99%EV +3.42%E +0.214%K +0.228%G +0.008%4.3%2026-04-08 22:49
ReBet🎯1.02I 98.04%NM 94.01%EV -4.59%E -4.50%K -229.66%G +0.000%16.00I 6.25%NM 5.99%EV +3.42%E +0.214%K +0.228%G +0.008%4.3%2026-04-08 22:55
FanDuel🎯1.02I 98.04%NM 94.01%EV -4.59%E -4.50%K -229.66%G +0.000%16.00I 6.25%NM 5.99%EV +3.42%E +0.214%K +0.228%G +0.008%4.3%2026-04-08 23:05
Fanatics🎯1.02I 98.04%NM 94.01%EV -4.59%E -4.50%K -229.66%G +0.000%16.00I 6.25%NM 5.99%EV +3.42%E +0.214%K +0.228%G +0.008%4.3%2026-04-08 19:05
Marathon Bet🎯1.02I 98.04%NM 93.83%EV -4.59%E -4.50%K -229.66%G +0.000%15.50I 6.45%NM 6.17%EV +0.192%E +0.012%K +0.013%G +0.000%4.5%2026-04-08 22:59
BetMGM🎯1.02I 98.04%NM 93.83%EV -4.59%E -4.50%K -229.66%G +0.000%15.50I 6.45%NM 6.17%EV +0.192%E +0.012%K +0.013%G +0.000%4.5%2026-04-08 22:55
DraftKings🎯1.03I 97.09%NM 93.57%EV -3.66%E -3.55%K -121.93%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.43%EV -3.04%E -0.203%K -0.217%G +0.000%3.8%2026-04-08 18:45
Coolbet🎯1.03I 97.09%NM 93.57%EV -3.66%E -3.55%K -121.93%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.43%EV -3.04%E -0.203%K -0.217%G +0.000%3.8%2026-04-08 17:00
Betclic (FR)🎯1.03I 97.09%NM 93.57%EV -3.66%E -3.55%K -121.93%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.43%EV -3.04%E -0.203%K -0.217%G +0.000%3.8%2026-04-08 23:03
888sport🎯1.02I 98.04%NM 93.63%EV -4.59%E -4.50%K -229.66%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.37%EV -3.04%E -0.203%K -0.217%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-08 22:40
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.02I 98.04%NM 93.63%EV -4.59%E -4.50%K -229.66%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.37%EV -3.04%E -0.203%K -0.217%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-08 22:40
888sport (SE)🎯1.02I 98.04%NM 93.63%EV -4.59%E -4.50%K -229.66%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.37%EV -3.04%E -0.203%K -0.217%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-08 22:40
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.02I 98.04%NM 93.63%EV -4.59%E -4.50%K -229.66%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.37%EV -3.04%E -0.203%K -0.217%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-08 22:59
Neds🎯1.02I 98.04%NM 93.63%EV -4.59%E -4.50%K -229.66%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.37%EV -3.04%E -0.203%K -0.217%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-08 23:00
William Hill🎯1.02I 98.04%NM 93.63%EV -4.59%E -4.50%K -229.66%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.37%EV -3.04%E -0.203%K -0.217%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-08 22:43
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.01I 99.01%NM 93.69%EV -5.53%E -5.47%K -552.86%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.31%EV -3.04%E -0.203%K -0.217%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-08 19:05
Coral🎯1.01I 99.01%NM 93.69%EV -5.53%E -5.47%K -552.86%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.31%EV -3.04%E -0.203%K -0.217%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-08 19:05
NetBet (FR)🎯1.00I 100.00%NM 93.75%EV -6.46%E -6.46%K +0.000%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.25%EV -3.04%E -0.203%K -0.217%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-08 22:59
GTbets🎯1.03I 97.09%NM 93.55%EV -3.66%E -3.55%K -121.93%G +0.000%14.95I 6.69%NM 6.45%EV -3.36%E -0.225%K -0.241%G +0.000%3.8%2026-04-08 18:45
LowVig.ag🎯1.03I 97.09%NM 93.42%EV -3.66%E -3.55%K -121.93%G +0.000%14.63I 6.84%NM 6.58%EV -5.43%E -0.371%K -0.399%G +0.000%3.9%2026-04-08 22:34
Winamax (DE)🎯1.03I 97.09%NM 93.37%EV -3.66%E -3.55%K -121.93%G +0.000%14.50I 6.90%NM 6.63%EV -6.27%E -0.433%K -0.465%G +0.000%4.0%2026-04-08 23:04
BetOnline.ag🎯1.03I 97.09%NM 93.22%EV -3.66%E -3.55%K -121.93%G +0.000%14.16I 7.06%NM 6.78%EV -8.47%E -0.598%K -0.644%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-08 22:35
Bet Victor🎯1.04I 96.15%NM 93.09%EV -2.72%E -2.62%K -68.06%G +0.000%14.00I 7.14%NM 6.91%EV -9.50%E -0.679%K -0.731%G +0.000%3.3%2026-04-08 22:49
TAB🎯1.03I 97.09%NM 93.15%EV -3.66%E -3.55%K -121.93%G +0.000%14.00I 7.14%NM 6.85%EV -9.50%E -0.679%K -0.731%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-08 18:45
Betr (AU)🎯1.03I 97.09%NM 93.15%EV -3.66%E -3.55%K -121.93%G +0.000%14.00I 7.14%NM 6.85%EV -9.50%E -0.679%K -0.731%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-08 16:50
TABtouch🎯1.03I 97.09%NM 93.15%EV -3.66%E -3.55%K -121.93%G +0.000%14.00I 7.14%NM 6.85%EV -9.50%E -0.679%K -0.731%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-08 23:00
Unibet🎯1.03I 97.09%NM 93.15%EV -3.66%E -3.55%K -121.93%G +0.000%14.00I 7.14%NM 6.85%EV -9.50%E -0.679%K -0.731%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-08 23:00
betPARX🎯1.03I 97.09%NM 93.15%EV -3.66%E -3.55%K -121.93%G +0.000%14.00I 7.14%NM 6.85%EV -9.50%E -0.679%K -0.731%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-08 23:00
Bally Bet🎯1.03I 97.09%NM 93.15%EV -3.66%E -3.55%K -121.93%G +0.000%14.00I 7.14%NM 6.85%EV -9.50%E -0.679%K -0.731%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-08 23:00
Codere (IT)🎯1.02I 98.04%NM 93.21%EV -4.59%E -4.50%K -229.66%G +0.000%14.00I 7.14%NM 6.79%EV -9.50%E -0.679%K -0.731%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-08 22:40
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.02I 98.04%NM 93.21%EV -4.59%E -4.50%K -229.66%G +0.000%14.00I 7.14%NM 6.79%EV -9.50%E -0.679%K -0.731%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-08 23:00
LiveScore Bet🎯1.02I 98.04%NM 93.21%EV -4.59%E -4.50%K -229.66%G +0.000%14.00I 7.14%NM 6.79%EV -9.50%E -0.679%K -0.731%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-08 23:00
Virgin Bet🎯1.02I 98.04%NM 93.21%EV -4.59%E -4.50%K -229.66%G +0.000%14.00I 7.14%NM 6.79%EV -9.50%E -0.679%K -0.731%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-08 23:00
BetRivers🎯1.02I 98.04%NM 93.21%EV -4.59%E -4.50%K -229.66%G +0.000%14.00I 7.14%NM 6.79%EV -9.50%E -0.679%K -0.731%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-08 22:59
Unibet (UK)🎯1.04I 96.15%NM 92.59%EV -2.72%E -2.62%K -68.06%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.41%EV -15.97%E -1.23%K -1.33%G +0.000%3.8%2026-04-08 23:05
Bet Right🎯1.03I 97.09%NM 92.66%EV -3.66%E -3.55%K -121.93%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.34%EV -15.97%E -1.23%K -1.33%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-08 18:44
Paddy Power🎯1.02I 98.04%NM 92.72%EV -4.59%E -4.50%K -229.66%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.28%EV -15.97%E -1.23%K -1.33%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-08 22:59
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.02I 98.04%NM 92.72%EV -4.59%E -4.50%K -229.66%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.28%EV -15.97%E -1.23%K -1.33%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-08 22:55
Bovada🎯1.02I 98.04%NM 92.72%EV -4.59%E -4.50%K -229.66%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.28%EV -15.97%E -1.23%K -1.33%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-08 22:34
Everygame🎯1.02I 98.04%NM 92.72%EV -4.59%E -4.50%K -229.66%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.28%EV -15.97%E -1.23%K -1.33%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-08 22:40
PMU (FR)🎯1.01I 99.01%NM 92.52%EV -5.53%E -5.47%K -552.86%G +0.000%12.50I 8.00%NM 7.48%EV -19.20%E -1.54%K -1.67%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-08 22:55
PlayUp🎯1.05I 95.24%NM 91.95%EV -1.79%E -1.70%K -35.74%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 8.05%EV -22.43%E -1.87%K -2.04%G +0.000%3.6%2026-04-08 22:35
Tipico (DE)🎯1.02I 98.04%NM 92.17%EV -4.59%E -4.50%K -229.66%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.83%EV -22.43%E -1.87%K -2.04%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-08 17:49
Betsson🎯1.04I 96.15%NM 91.36%EV -2.72%E -2.62%K -68.06%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.64%EV -28.90%E -2.63%K -2.89%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-08 22:35
NordicBet🎯1.04I 96.15%NM 91.36%EV -2.72%E -2.62%K -68.06%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.64%EV -28.90%E -2.63%K -2.89%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-08 22:35
Sky Bet🎯1.03I 97.09%NM 91.44%EV -3.66%E -3.55%K -121.93%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.56%EV -28.90%E -2.63%K -2.89%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-08 23:04
Winamax (FR)🎯1.02I 98.04%NM 91.51%EV -4.59%E -4.50%K -229.66%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.49%EV -28.90%E -2.63%K -2.89%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-08 22:59
Betway🎯1.02I 98.04%NM 91.51%EV -4.59%E -4.50%K -229.66%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.49%EV -28.90%E -2.63%K -2.89%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-08 22:59
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (10)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
BetOpenly1.04I 96.15%NM 95.82%23.84I 4.19%NM 4.18%0.3%2026-04-08 22:59
Matchbook1.04I 96.15%NM 95.28%21.00I 4.76%NM 4.72%0.9%2026-04-08 22:55
ProphetX1.04I 96.15%NM 95.28%21.00I 4.76%NM 4.72%0.9%2026-04-08 22:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.04I 96.15%NM 95.28%21.00I 4.76%NM 4.72%0.9%2026-04-08 22:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.04I 96.15%NM 95.28%21.00I 4.76%NM 4.72%0.9%2026-04-08 22:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.04I 96.15%NM 95.28%21.00I 4.76%NM 4.72%0.9%2026-04-08 22:55
Novig1.04I 96.15%NM 95.15%20.41I 4.90%NM 4.85%1.1%2026-04-08 22:55
Kalshi1.04I 96.15%NM 95.06%20.00I 5.00%NM 4.94%1.2%2026-04-08 18:55
Polymarket1.04I 96.15%NM 95.06%20.00I 5.00%NM 4.94%1.2%2026-04-08 18:39
Smarkets1.03I 97.09%NM 94.98%19.49I 5.13%NM 5.02%2.2%2026-04-08 23:04