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Detroit Pistons v Memphis Grizzlies
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Detroit Pistons (Local)
Prediction 89.87%1.11fair odd
EV -1.14%
Edge -1.04%
Kelly -11.40%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.10
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
85.87%89.45%89.97%91.36%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.031.071.071.1097.09%93.86%93.46%90.91%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Memphis Grizzlies (Visit)
Prediction 10.13%9.87fair odd
EV +11.40%
Edge +1.04%
Kelly +1.14%
Growth +0.130%
assuming max odds 11.00
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
8.64%10.55%10.03%14.13%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
6.509.179.2011.0015.38%10.90%10.87%9.09%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Detroit Pistons (Local): 89.87%; Memphis Grizzlies (Visit): 10.13%. For Memphis Grizzlies (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 9.87. 18 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 11.00, corresponding to a positive expected value of +11.40%.
Sportsbook Odds (63 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 1.04I 96.15%NM 91.36%EV -6.53%E -6.28%K -163.30%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.64%EV +11.40%E +1.04%K +1.14%G +0.130% | 5.2% | 2026-03-13 23:34 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 90.75%EV -2.94%E -2.72%K -36.72%G +0.000% | 10.60I 9.43%NM 9.25%EV +7.35%E +0.693%K +0.765%G +0.056% | 2.0% | 2026-03-13 22:50 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.06I 94.34%NM 90.83%EV -4.73%E -4.47%K -78.91%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 9.17%EV +6.33%E +0.603%K +0.667%G +0.042% | 3.9% | 2026-03-13 23:15 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.06I 94.34%NM 90.83%EV -4.73%E -4.47%K -78.91%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 9.17%EV +6.33%E +0.603%K +0.667%G +0.042% | 3.9% | 2026-03-13 22:53 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 90.61%EV -3.84%E -3.59%K -54.80%G +0.000% | 10.33I 9.68%NM 9.39%EV +4.61%E +0.447%K +0.494%G +0.023% | 3.1% | 2026-03-13 23:35 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.06I 94.34%NM 90.63%EV -4.73%E -4.47%K -78.91%G +0.000% | 10.25I 9.76%NM 9.37%EV +3.80%E +0.371%K +0.411%G +0.016% | 4.1% | 2026-03-13 23:29 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 90.42%EV -3.84%E -3.59%K -54.80%G +0.000% | 10.10I 9.90%NM 9.58%EV +2.28%E +0.226%K +0.251%G +0.006% | 3.4% | 2026-03-13 22:49 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 90.33%EV -3.84%E -3.59%K -54.80%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.67%EV +1.27%E +0.127%K +0.141%G +0.002% | 3.5% | 2026-03-13 22:55 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.06I 94.34%NM 90.42%EV -4.73%E -4.47%K -78.91%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.58%EV +1.27%E +0.127%K +0.141%G +0.002% | 4.3% | 2026-03-13 23:14 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.06I 94.34%NM 90.42%EV -4.73%E -4.47%K -78.91%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.58%EV +1.27%E +0.127%K +0.141%G +0.002% | 4.3% | 2026-03-13 23:24 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.06I 94.34%NM 90.42%EV -4.73%E -4.47%K -78.91%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.58%EV +1.27%E +0.127%K +0.141%G +0.002% | 4.3% | 2026-03-13 22:49 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.06I 94.34%NM 90.42%EV -4.73%E -4.47%K -78.91%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.58%EV +1.27%E +0.127%K +0.141%G +0.002% | 4.3% | 2026-03-13 23:24 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.06I 94.34%NM 90.42%EV -4.73%E -4.47%K -78.91%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.58%EV +1.27%E +0.127%K +0.141%G +0.002% | 4.3% | 2026-03-13 22:49 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.06I 94.34%NM 90.42%EV -4.73%E -4.47%K -78.91%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.58%EV +1.27%E +0.127%K +0.141%G +0.002% | 4.3% | 2026-03-13 20:14 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.06I 94.34%NM 90.42%EV -4.73%E -4.47%K -78.91%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.58%EV +1.27%E +0.127%K +0.141%G +0.002% | 4.3% | 2026-03-13 23:14 |
| Parions Sport (FR)🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 90.25%EV -3.84%E -3.59%K -54.80%G +0.000% | 9.90I 10.10%NM 9.75%EV +0.258%E +0.026%K +0.029%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-03-13 23:19 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 90.25%EV -3.84%E -3.59%K -54.80%G +0.000% | 9.90I 10.10%NM 9.75%EV +0.258%E +0.026%K +0.029%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-03-13 22:54 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 90.25%EV -3.84%E -3.59%K -54.80%G +0.000% | 9.90I 10.10%NM 9.75%EV +0.258%E +0.026%K +0.029%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-03-13 22:50 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.06I 94.34%NM 90.19%EV -4.73%E -4.47%K -78.91%G +0.000% | 9.75I 10.26%NM 9.81%EV -1.26%E -0.129%K -0.144%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-13 23:35 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.03I 97.09%NM 90.45%EV -7.43%E -7.21%K -247.70%G +0.000% | 9.75I 10.26%NM 9.55%EV -1.26%E -0.129%K -0.144%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-03-13 23:24 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 90.10%EV -3.84%E -3.59%K -54.80%G +0.000% | 9.74I 10.27%NM 9.90%EV -1.36%E -0.140%K -0.156%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-03-13 22:50 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 90.06%EV -3.84%E -3.59%K -54.80%G +0.000% | 9.70I 10.31%NM 9.94%EV -1.77%E -0.182%K -0.203%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-03-13 23:30 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 89.88%EV -3.84%E -3.59%K -54.80%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 10.12%EV -3.79%E -0.399%K -0.446%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-03-13 22:50 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 89.88%EV -3.84%E -3.59%K -54.80%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 10.12%EV -3.79%E -0.399%K -0.446%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-03-13 23:25 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 89.88%EV -3.84%E -3.59%K -54.80%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 10.12%EV -3.79%E -0.399%K -0.446%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-03-13 23:25 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 89.88%EV -3.84%E -3.59%K -54.80%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 10.12%EV -3.79%E -0.399%K -0.446%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-03-13 23:25 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 89.88%EV -3.84%E -3.59%K -54.80%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 10.12%EV -3.79%E -0.399%K -0.446%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-03-13 23:25 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.06I 94.34%NM 89.96%EV -4.73%E -4.47%K -78.91%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 10.04%EV -3.79%E -0.399%K -0.446%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-13 23:29 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.06I 94.34%NM 89.96%EV -4.73%E -4.47%K -78.91%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 10.04%EV -3.79%E -0.399%K -0.446%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-13 23:30 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.06I 94.34%NM 89.96%EV -4.73%E -4.47%K -78.91%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 10.04%EV -3.79%E -0.399%K -0.446%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-13 23:00 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.06I 94.34%NM 89.77%EV -4.73%E -4.47%K -78.91%G +0.000% | 9.30I 10.75%NM 10.23%EV -5.82%E -0.626%K -0.701%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-13 23:25 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.06I 94.34%NM 89.67%EV -4.73%E -4.47%K -78.91%G +0.000% | 9.20I 10.87%NM 10.33%EV -6.83%E -0.743%K -0.833%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-13 22:59 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 89.48%EV -3.84%E -3.59%K -54.80%G +0.000% | 9.10I 10.99%NM 10.52%EV -7.84%E -0.862%K -0.968%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-03-13 23:29 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 89.37%EV -3.84%E -3.59%K -54.80%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.63%EV -8.86%E -0.984%K -1.11%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-13 23:30 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 89.37%EV -3.84%E -3.59%K -54.80%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.63%EV -8.86%E -0.984%K -1.11%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-13 23:29 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 89.37%EV -3.84%E -3.59%K -54.80%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.63%EV -8.86%E -0.984%K -1.11%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-13 23:29 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 89.37%EV -3.84%E -3.59%K -54.80%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.63%EV -8.86%E -0.984%K -1.11%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-13 23:30 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 89.37%EV -3.84%E -3.59%K -54.80%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.63%EV -8.86%E -0.984%K -1.11%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-13 22:49 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.06I 94.34%NM 89.46%EV -4.73%E -4.47%K -78.91%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.54%EV -8.86%E -0.984%K -1.11%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-13 15:35 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.06I 94.34%NM 89.46%EV -4.73%E -4.47%K -78.91%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.54%EV -8.86%E -0.984%K -1.11%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-13 23:24 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.06I 94.34%NM 89.46%EV -4.73%E -4.47%K -78.91%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.54%EV -8.86%E -0.984%K -1.11%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-13 18:34 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.05I 95.24%NM 89.55%EV -5.63%E -5.37%K -112.67%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.45%EV -8.86%E -0.984%K -1.11%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-13 23:24 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.05I 95.24%NM 89.55%EV -5.63%E -5.37%K -112.67%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.45%EV -8.86%E -0.984%K -1.11%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-13 23:30 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.05I 95.24%NM 89.55%EV -5.63%E -5.37%K -112.67%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.45%EV -8.86%E -0.984%K -1.11%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-13 23:35 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.05I 95.24%NM 89.55%EV -5.63%E -5.37%K -112.67%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.45%EV -8.86%E -0.984%K -1.11%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-13 23:34 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.05I 95.24%NM 89.12%EV -5.63%E -5.37%K -112.67%G +0.000% | 8.60I 11.63%NM 10.88%EV -12.91%E -1.50%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-13 23:20 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 88.54%EV -1.14%E -1.04%K -11.40%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.46%EV -13.92%E -1.64%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 2.7% | 2026-03-13 23:20 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -3.84%E -3.59%K -54.80%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV -13.92%E -1.64%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-13 23:10 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -3.84%E -3.59%K -54.80%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV -13.92%E -1.64%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-13 23:10 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -3.84%E -3.59%K -54.80%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV -13.92%E -1.64%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-13 23:10 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.06I 94.34%NM 88.91%EV -4.73%E -4.47%K -78.91%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.09%EV -13.92%E -1.64%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-03-13 23:14 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.06I 94.34%NM 88.91%EV -4.73%E -4.47%K -78.91%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.09%EV -13.92%E -1.64%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-03-13 23:14 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.06I 94.34%NM 88.91%EV -4.73%E -4.47%K -78.91%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.09%EV -13.92%E -1.64%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-03-13 23:25 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.06I 94.34%NM 88.91%EV -4.73%E -4.47%K -78.91%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.09%EV -13.92%E -1.64%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-03-13 23:25 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.05I 95.24%NM 89.01%EV -5.63%E -5.37%K -112.67%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.99%EV -13.92%E -1.64%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-13 23:29 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 88.01%EV -2.04%E -1.87%K -22.65%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.99%EV -18.98%E -2.37%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-03-13 23:30 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 87.67%EV -2.04%E -1.87%K -22.65%G +0.000% | 7.75I 12.90%NM 12.33%EV -21.52%E -2.78%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-13 23:24 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -2.94%E -2.72%K -36.72%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -24.05%E -3.21%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-13 23:24 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -2.94%E -2.72%K -36.72%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -24.05%E -3.21%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-13 23:24 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -2.94%E -2.72%K -36.72%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -24.05%E -3.21%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-13 23:29 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -2.94%E -2.72%K -36.72%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -24.05%E -3.21%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-13 23:30 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 86.63%EV -2.94%E -2.72%K -36.72%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.37%EV -29.11%E -4.16%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-13 23:30 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 85.87%EV -3.84%E -3.59%K -54.80%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.13%EV -34.17%E -5.26%K -6.21%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-03-13 23:34 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (10)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.09I 91.74%NM 91.67% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 8.33% | 0.1% | 2026-03-13 23:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.09I 91.74%NM 91.67% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 8.33% | 0.1% | 2026-03-13 23:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.09I 91.74%NM 91.67% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 8.33% | 0.1% | 2026-03-13 23:35 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.09I 91.74%NM 91.67% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 8.33% | 0.1% | 2026-03-13 23:30 |
| BetOpenly◎ | 1.08I 92.59%NM 92.25% | 12.85I 7.78%NM 7.75% | 0.4% | 2026-03-13 23:29 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.09I 91.74%NM 91.34% | 11.50I 8.70%NM 8.66% | 0.4% | 2026-03-13 23:25 |
| Novig◎ | 1.09I 91.74%NM 91.24% | 11.36I 8.80%NM 8.76% | 0.5% | 2026-03-13 23:35 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.09I 91.74%NM 91.07% | 11.11I 9.00%NM 8.93% | 0.7% | 2026-03-13 15:20 |
| Polymarket◎ | 1.09I 91.74%NM 91.07% | 11.11I 9.00%NM 8.93% | 0.7% | 2026-03-13 22:00 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.07I 93.46%NM 91.14% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.86% | 2.5% | 2026-03-13 23:35 |