L’École des cotes

Detroit Pistons v Cleveland Cavaliers

Coup d’envoi : 2026-05-07 23:11 UTC

Score final : Detroit Pistons 107–97 Cleveland Cavaliers

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

62 opérateurs (20 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Detroit Pistons (Local)

Prévision 59.64%1.68cote équitable
EV -0.990%
Avantage -0.597%
Kelly -1.50%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.66

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
56.99%59.73%59.57%61.07%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.541.601.611.6664.94%62.35%62.11%60.24%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cleveland Cavaliers (Visiteur)

Prévision 40.36%2.48cote équitable
EV +1.29%
Avantage +0.515%
Kelly +0.856%
Croissance +0.011%

avec la cote maximale 2.51

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
38.93%40.27%40.43%43.01%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.202.362.352.5145.45%42.43%42.55%39.84%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (62 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼MargeMise à jour
Pinnacle1.60I 62.50%NM 61.07%EV -4.57%E -2.86%K -7.62%G +0.000%2.51I 39.84%NM 38.93%EV +1.29%E +0.515%K +0.856%G +0.011%2.3%2026-05-07 23:04
theScore Bet1.62I 61.73%NM 60.39%EV -3.38%E -2.08%K -5.45%G +0.000%2.47I 40.49%NM 39.61%EV -0.321%E -0.130%K -0.219%G +0.000%2.2%2026-05-07 23:10
Everygame1.61I 62.11%NM 60.34%EV -3.97%E -2.47%K -6.51%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.66%EV -1.13%E -0.461%K -0.778%G +0.000%2.9%2026-05-07 23:09
PlayUp1.58I 63.29%NM 60.79%EV -5.76%E -3.65%K -9.93%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.21%EV -1.13%E -0.461%K -0.778%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-07 23:09
PointsBet (AU)1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -6.36%E -4.05%K -11.16%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -1.13%E -0.461%K -0.778%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-07 23:09
LowVig.ag1.62I 61.73%NM 59.80%EV -3.38%E -2.08%K -5.45%G +0.000%2.41I 41.49%NM 40.20%EV -2.74%E -1.14%K -1.95%G +0.000%3.2%2026-05-07 23:10
Bet Victor1.65I 60.61%NM 59.26%EV -1.59%E -0.962%K -2.44%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.74%EV -3.15%E -1.31%K -2.25%G +0.000%2.3%2026-05-07 23:07
BetOnline.ag1.62I 61.73%NM 59.70%EV -3.38%E -2.08%K -5.45%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.30%EV -3.15%E -1.31%K -2.25%G +0.000%3.4%2026-05-07 23:10
Winamax (DE)1.62I 61.73%NM 59.70%EV -3.38%E -2.08%K -5.45%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.30%EV -3.15%E -1.31%K -2.25%G +0.000%3.4%2026-05-07 23:09
BetAnything1.62I 61.73%NM 59.70%EV -3.38%E -2.08%K -5.45%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.30%EV -3.15%E -1.31%K -2.25%G +0.000%3.4%2026-05-07 23:09
GTbets1.61I 62.11%NM 59.85%EV -3.97%E -2.47%K -6.51%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.15%EV -3.15%E -1.31%K -2.25%G +0.000%3.8%2026-05-07 23:10
Hard Rock Bet1.61I 62.11%NM 59.85%EV -3.97%E -2.47%K -6.51%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.15%EV -3.15%E -1.31%K -2.25%G +0.000%3.8%2026-05-07 23:10
Betr (AU)1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -4.57%E -2.86%K -7.62%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -3.15%E -1.31%K -2.25%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-07 23:10
Unibet (FR)1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -4.57%E -2.86%K -7.62%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -3.15%E -1.31%K -2.25%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-07 22:59
BetMGM1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -5.17%E -3.25%K -8.76%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -3.15%E -1.31%K -2.25%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-07 23:10
Ladbrokes (AU)1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -5.76%E -3.65%K -9.93%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -3.15%E -1.31%K -2.25%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-07 23:10
Tipico (DE)1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -7.55%E -4.87%K -13.73%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -3.15%E -1.31%K -2.25%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-07 23:10
Codere (IT)1.58I 63.29%NM 60.20%EV -5.76%E -3.65%K -9.93%G +0.000%2.39I 41.84%NM 39.80%EV -3.55%E -1.49%K -2.55%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-07 23:00
Unibet (UK)1.62I 61.73%NM 59.50%EV -3.38%E -2.08%K -5.45%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 40.50%EV -3.95%E -1.66%K -2.86%G +0.000%3.7%2026-05-07 23:09
BetUS1.62I 61.73%NM 59.50%EV -3.38%E -2.08%K -5.45%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 40.50%EV -3.95%E -1.66%K -2.86%G +0.000%3.7%2026-05-07 23:09
FanDuel1.61I 62.11%NM 59.65%EV -3.97%E -2.47%K -6.51%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 40.35%EV -3.95%E -1.66%K -2.86%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-07 23:10
SportsBet1.61I 62.11%NM 59.65%EV -3.97%E -2.47%K -6.51%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 40.35%EV -3.95%E -1.66%K -2.86%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-07 23:09
Betsson1.58I 63.29%NM 60.10%EV -5.76%E -3.65%K -9.93%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.90%EV -3.95%E -1.66%K -2.86%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-07 23:09
NordicBet1.58I 63.29%NM 60.10%EV -5.76%E -3.65%K -9.93%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.90%EV -3.95%E -1.66%K -2.86%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-07 23:09
Paddy Power1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -6.36%E -4.05%K -11.16%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -3.95%E -1.66%K -2.86%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-07 23:10
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -6.36%E -4.05%K -11.16%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -3.95%E -1.66%K -2.86%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-07 23:09
Ladbrokes (UK)1.57I 63.69%NM 60.15%EV -6.36%E -4.05%K -11.16%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 39.85%EV -4.36%E -1.84%K -3.18%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-07 23:10
Coral1.57I 63.69%NM 60.15%EV -6.36%E -4.05%K -11.16%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 39.85%EV -4.36%E -1.84%K -3.18%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-07 23:10
DraftKings1.62I 61.73%NM 59.30%EV -3.38%E -2.08%K -5.45%G +0.000%2.36I 42.37%NM 40.70%EV -4.76%E -2.02%K -3.50%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-07 23:09
Unibet (SE)1.63I 61.35%NM 59.05%EV -2.78%E -1.71%K -4.41%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.95%EV -5.16%E -2.20%K -3.83%G +0.000%3.9%2026-05-07 23:10
Unibet (NL)1.63I 61.35%NM 59.05%EV -2.78%E -1.71%K -4.41%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.95%EV -5.16%E -2.20%K -3.83%G +0.000%3.9%2026-05-07 23:10
ATG (SE)1.63I 61.35%NM 59.05%EV -2.78%E -1.71%K -4.41%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.95%EV -5.16%E -2.20%K -3.83%G +0.000%3.9%2026-05-07 23:10
Svenska Spel1.63I 61.35%NM 59.05%EV -2.78%E -1.71%K -4.41%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.95%EV -5.16%E -2.20%K -3.83%G +0.000%3.9%2026-05-07 23:10
TAB1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -3.38%E -2.08%K -5.45%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -5.16%E -2.20%K -3.83%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-07 23:09
Caesars1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -3.38%E -2.08%K -5.45%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -5.16%E -2.20%K -3.83%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-07 23:09
Bovada1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -3.38%E -2.08%K -5.45%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -5.16%E -2.20%K -3.83%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-07 23:09
Dabble (AU)1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -3.38%E -2.08%K -5.45%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -5.16%E -2.20%K -3.83%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-07 23:10
Fanatics1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -3.97%E -2.47%K -6.51%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -5.16%E -2.20%K -3.83%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-07 23:10
Fliff1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -3.97%E -2.47%K -6.51%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -5.16%E -2.20%K -3.83%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-07 23:09
Neds1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -4.57%E -2.86%K -7.62%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -5.16%E -2.20%K -3.83%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-07 23:10
Winamax (FR)1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -4.57%E -2.86%K -7.62%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -5.16%E -2.20%K -3.83%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-07 23:09
ReBet1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -4.57%E -2.86%K -7.62%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -5.16%E -2.20%K -3.83%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-07 23:00
TABtouch1.62I 61.73%NM 58.99%EV -3.38%E -2.08%K -5.45%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 41.01%EV -5.97%E -2.56%K -4.49%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-07 23:10
Unibet1.62I 61.73%NM 58.99%EV -3.38%E -2.08%K -5.45%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 41.01%EV -5.97%E -2.56%K -4.49%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-07 23:10
Bally Bet1.62I 61.73%NM 58.99%EV -3.38%E -2.08%K -5.45%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 41.01%EV -5.97%E -2.56%K -4.49%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-07 23:09
betPARX1.62I 61.73%NM 58.99%EV -3.38%E -2.08%K -5.45%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 41.01%EV -5.97%E -2.56%K -4.49%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-07 23:10
MyBookie.ag1.61I 62.11%NM 59.14%EV -3.97%E -2.47%K -6.51%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 40.86%EV -5.97%E -2.56%K -4.49%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-07 23:01
Virgin Bet1.61I 62.11%NM 59.03%EV -3.97%E -2.47%K -6.51%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 40.97%EV -6.37%E -2.75%K -4.83%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-07 23:09
LiveScore Bet1.61I 62.11%NM 59.03%EV -3.97%E -2.47%K -6.51%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 40.97%EV -6.37%E -2.75%K -4.83%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-07 23:10
BetRivers1.61I 62.11%NM 59.03%EV -3.97%E -2.47%K -6.51%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 40.97%EV -6.37%E -2.75%K -4.83%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-07 23:10
NetBet (FR)1.55I 64.52%NM 59.95%EV -7.55%E -4.87%K -13.73%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 40.05%EV -6.37%E -2.75%K -4.83%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-07 23:00
William Hill1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -3.38%E -2.08%K -5.45%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -7.18%E -3.12%K -5.52%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-07 23:10
888sport1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -3.97%E -2.47%K -6.51%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -7.18%E -3.12%K -5.52%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-07 22:59
Betway1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -3.97%E -2.47%K -6.51%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -7.18%E -3.12%K -5.52%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-07 23:10
888sport (SE)1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -3.97%E -2.47%K -6.51%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -7.18%E -3.12%K -5.52%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-07 22:59
Mr Green (SE)1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -3.97%E -2.47%K -6.51%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -7.18%E -3.12%K -5.52%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-07 22:59
LeoVegas (SE)1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -4.57%E -2.86%K -7.62%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -7.18%E -3.12%K -5.52%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-07 23:10
PMU (FR)1.56I 64.10%NM 59.38%EV -6.95%E -4.46%K -12.42%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 40.63%EV -7.99%E -3.50%K -6.24%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-07 23:10
Sky Bet1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -3.38%E -2.08%K -5.45%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -9.20%E -4.09%K -7.36%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-07 23:10
Betclic (FR)1.56I 64.10%NM 58.84%EV -6.95%E -4.46%K -12.42%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 41.16%EV -10.01%E -4.49%K -8.14%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-07 23:08
LeoVegas1.54I 64.94%NM 59.15%EV -8.15%E -5.29%K -15.09%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 40.85%EV -10.01%E -4.49%K -8.14%G +0.000%9.8%2026-05-07 23:10
Bet Right1.66I 60.24%NM 56.99%EV -0.990%E -0.597%K -1.50%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.01%EV -11.22%E -5.10%K -9.35%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-07 23:10
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (10)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.65I 60.61%NM 60.43%2.52I 39.68%NM 39.57%0.3%2026-05-07 23:10
Novig1.67I 59.88%NM 59.66%2.47I 40.49%NM 40.34%0.4%2026-05-07 23:10
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.66I 60.24%NM 59.90%2.48I 40.32%NM 40.10%0.6%2026-05-07 23:10
ProphetX1.66I 60.24%NM 59.90%2.48I 40.32%NM 40.10%0.6%2026-05-07 23:10
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.65I 60.61%NM 60.24%2.50I 40.00%NM 39.76%0.6%2026-05-07 23:10
Polymarket1.64I 60.98%NM 60.39%2.50I 40.00%NM 39.61%1.0%2026-05-07 23:10
Kalshi1.64I 60.98%NM 60.39%2.50I 40.00%NM 39.61%1.0%2026-05-07 23:10
BetOpenly1.63I 61.35%NM 60.63%2.51I 39.84%NM 39.37%1.2%2026-05-07 22:59
Smarkets1.63I 61.35%NM 60.34%2.48I 40.32%NM 39.66%1.7%2026-05-07 23:10
Matchbook1.66I 60.24%NM 58.91%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.09%2.3%2026-05-07 23:10