La escuela de los momios

Detroit Pistons v Cleveland Cavaliers

Inicio: 2026-05-07 23:11 UTC

Final: Detroit Pistons 107–97 Cleveland Cavaliers

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

62 corredores (20 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Detroit Pistons (Local)

Predicción 59.64%1.68momio equitativo
EV -0.990%
Ventaja -0.597%
Kelly -1.50%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.66

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
56.99%59.73%59.57%61.07%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.541.601.611.6664.94%62.35%62.11%60.24%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Cleveland Cavaliers (Visitante)

Predicción 40.36%2.48momio equitativo
EV +1.29%
Ventaja +0.515%
Kelly +0.856%
Crecimiento +0.011%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.51

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
38.93%40.27%40.43%43.01%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.202.362.352.5145.45%42.43%42.55%39.84%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (62 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitante ▼MargenActualizado
Pinnacle1.60I 62.50%NM 61.07%EV -4.57%E -2.86%K -7.62%G +0.000%2.51I 39.84%NM 38.93%EV +1.29%E +0.515%K +0.856%G +0.011%2.3%2026-05-07 23:04
theScore Bet1.62I 61.73%NM 60.39%EV -3.38%E -2.08%K -5.45%G +0.000%2.47I 40.49%NM 39.61%EV -0.321%E -0.130%K -0.219%G +0.000%2.2%2026-05-07 23:10
Everygame1.61I 62.11%NM 60.34%EV -3.97%E -2.47%K -6.51%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.66%EV -1.13%E -0.461%K -0.778%G +0.000%2.9%2026-05-07 23:09
PlayUp1.58I 63.29%NM 60.79%EV -5.76%E -3.65%K -9.93%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.21%EV -1.13%E -0.461%K -0.778%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-07 23:09
PointsBet (AU)1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -6.36%E -4.05%K -11.16%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -1.13%E -0.461%K -0.778%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-07 23:09
LowVig.ag1.62I 61.73%NM 59.80%EV -3.38%E -2.08%K -5.45%G +0.000%2.41I 41.49%NM 40.20%EV -2.74%E -1.14%K -1.95%G +0.000%3.2%2026-05-07 23:10
Bet Victor1.65I 60.61%NM 59.26%EV -1.59%E -0.962%K -2.44%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.74%EV -3.15%E -1.31%K -2.25%G +0.000%2.3%2026-05-07 23:07
BetOnline.ag1.62I 61.73%NM 59.70%EV -3.38%E -2.08%K -5.45%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.30%EV -3.15%E -1.31%K -2.25%G +0.000%3.4%2026-05-07 23:10
Winamax (DE)1.62I 61.73%NM 59.70%EV -3.38%E -2.08%K -5.45%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.30%EV -3.15%E -1.31%K -2.25%G +0.000%3.4%2026-05-07 23:09
BetAnything1.62I 61.73%NM 59.70%EV -3.38%E -2.08%K -5.45%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.30%EV -3.15%E -1.31%K -2.25%G +0.000%3.4%2026-05-07 23:09
GTbets1.61I 62.11%NM 59.85%EV -3.97%E -2.47%K -6.51%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.15%EV -3.15%E -1.31%K -2.25%G +0.000%3.8%2026-05-07 23:10
Hard Rock Bet1.61I 62.11%NM 59.85%EV -3.97%E -2.47%K -6.51%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.15%EV -3.15%E -1.31%K -2.25%G +0.000%3.8%2026-05-07 23:10
Betr (AU)1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -4.57%E -2.86%K -7.62%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -3.15%E -1.31%K -2.25%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-07 23:10
Unibet (FR)1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -4.57%E -2.86%K -7.62%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -3.15%E -1.31%K -2.25%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-07 22:59
BetMGM1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -5.17%E -3.25%K -8.76%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -3.15%E -1.31%K -2.25%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-07 23:10
Ladbrokes (AU)1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -5.76%E -3.65%K -9.93%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -3.15%E -1.31%K -2.25%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-07 23:10
Tipico (DE)1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -7.55%E -4.87%K -13.73%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -3.15%E -1.31%K -2.25%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-07 23:10
Codere (IT)1.58I 63.29%NM 60.20%EV -5.76%E -3.65%K -9.93%G +0.000%2.39I 41.84%NM 39.80%EV -3.55%E -1.49%K -2.55%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-07 23:00
Unibet (UK)1.62I 61.73%NM 59.50%EV -3.38%E -2.08%K -5.45%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 40.50%EV -3.95%E -1.66%K -2.86%G +0.000%3.7%2026-05-07 23:09
BetUS1.62I 61.73%NM 59.50%EV -3.38%E -2.08%K -5.45%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 40.50%EV -3.95%E -1.66%K -2.86%G +0.000%3.7%2026-05-07 23:09
FanDuel1.61I 62.11%NM 59.65%EV -3.97%E -2.47%K -6.51%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 40.35%EV -3.95%E -1.66%K -2.86%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-07 23:10
SportsBet1.61I 62.11%NM 59.65%EV -3.97%E -2.47%K -6.51%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 40.35%EV -3.95%E -1.66%K -2.86%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-07 23:09
Betsson1.58I 63.29%NM 60.10%EV -5.76%E -3.65%K -9.93%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.90%EV -3.95%E -1.66%K -2.86%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-07 23:09
NordicBet1.58I 63.29%NM 60.10%EV -5.76%E -3.65%K -9.93%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.90%EV -3.95%E -1.66%K -2.86%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-07 23:09
Paddy Power1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -6.36%E -4.05%K -11.16%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -3.95%E -1.66%K -2.86%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-07 23:10
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -6.36%E -4.05%K -11.16%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -3.95%E -1.66%K -2.86%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-07 23:09
Ladbrokes (UK)1.57I 63.69%NM 60.15%EV -6.36%E -4.05%K -11.16%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 39.85%EV -4.36%E -1.84%K -3.18%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-07 23:10
Coral1.57I 63.69%NM 60.15%EV -6.36%E -4.05%K -11.16%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 39.85%EV -4.36%E -1.84%K -3.18%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-07 23:10
DraftKings1.62I 61.73%NM 59.30%EV -3.38%E -2.08%K -5.45%G +0.000%2.36I 42.37%NM 40.70%EV -4.76%E -2.02%K -3.50%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-07 23:09
Unibet (SE)1.63I 61.35%NM 59.05%EV -2.78%E -1.71%K -4.41%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.95%EV -5.16%E -2.20%K -3.83%G +0.000%3.9%2026-05-07 23:10
Unibet (NL)1.63I 61.35%NM 59.05%EV -2.78%E -1.71%K -4.41%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.95%EV -5.16%E -2.20%K -3.83%G +0.000%3.9%2026-05-07 23:10
ATG (SE)1.63I 61.35%NM 59.05%EV -2.78%E -1.71%K -4.41%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.95%EV -5.16%E -2.20%K -3.83%G +0.000%3.9%2026-05-07 23:10
Svenska Spel1.63I 61.35%NM 59.05%EV -2.78%E -1.71%K -4.41%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.95%EV -5.16%E -2.20%K -3.83%G +0.000%3.9%2026-05-07 23:10
TAB1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -3.38%E -2.08%K -5.45%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -5.16%E -2.20%K -3.83%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-07 23:09
Caesars1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -3.38%E -2.08%K -5.45%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -5.16%E -2.20%K -3.83%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-07 23:09
Bovada1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -3.38%E -2.08%K -5.45%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -5.16%E -2.20%K -3.83%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-07 23:09
Dabble (AU)1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -3.38%E -2.08%K -5.45%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -5.16%E -2.20%K -3.83%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-07 23:10
Fanatics1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -3.97%E -2.47%K -6.51%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -5.16%E -2.20%K -3.83%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-07 23:10
Fliff1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -3.97%E -2.47%K -6.51%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -5.16%E -2.20%K -3.83%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-07 23:09
Neds1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -4.57%E -2.86%K -7.62%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -5.16%E -2.20%K -3.83%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-07 23:10
Winamax (FR)1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -4.57%E -2.86%K -7.62%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -5.16%E -2.20%K -3.83%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-07 23:09
ReBet1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -4.57%E -2.86%K -7.62%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -5.16%E -2.20%K -3.83%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-07 23:00
TABtouch1.62I 61.73%NM 58.99%EV -3.38%E -2.08%K -5.45%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 41.01%EV -5.97%E -2.56%K -4.49%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-07 23:10
Unibet1.62I 61.73%NM 58.99%EV -3.38%E -2.08%K -5.45%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 41.01%EV -5.97%E -2.56%K -4.49%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-07 23:10
Bally Bet1.62I 61.73%NM 58.99%EV -3.38%E -2.08%K -5.45%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 41.01%EV -5.97%E -2.56%K -4.49%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-07 23:09
betPARX1.62I 61.73%NM 58.99%EV -3.38%E -2.08%K -5.45%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 41.01%EV -5.97%E -2.56%K -4.49%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-07 23:10
MyBookie.ag1.61I 62.11%NM 59.14%EV -3.97%E -2.47%K -6.51%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 40.86%EV -5.97%E -2.56%K -4.49%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-07 23:01
Virgin Bet1.61I 62.11%NM 59.03%EV -3.97%E -2.47%K -6.51%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 40.97%EV -6.37%E -2.75%K -4.83%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-07 23:09
LiveScore Bet1.61I 62.11%NM 59.03%EV -3.97%E -2.47%K -6.51%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 40.97%EV -6.37%E -2.75%K -4.83%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-07 23:10
BetRivers1.61I 62.11%NM 59.03%EV -3.97%E -2.47%K -6.51%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 40.97%EV -6.37%E -2.75%K -4.83%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-07 23:10
NetBet (FR)1.55I 64.52%NM 59.95%EV -7.55%E -4.87%K -13.73%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 40.05%EV -6.37%E -2.75%K -4.83%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-07 23:00
William Hill1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -3.38%E -2.08%K -5.45%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -7.18%E -3.12%K -5.52%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-07 23:10
888sport1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -3.97%E -2.47%K -6.51%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -7.18%E -3.12%K -5.52%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-07 22:59
Betway1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -3.97%E -2.47%K -6.51%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -7.18%E -3.12%K -5.52%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-07 23:10
888sport (SE)1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -3.97%E -2.47%K -6.51%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -7.18%E -3.12%K -5.52%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-07 22:59
Mr Green (SE)1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -3.97%E -2.47%K -6.51%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -7.18%E -3.12%K -5.52%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-07 22:59
LeoVegas (SE)1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -4.57%E -2.86%K -7.62%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -7.18%E -3.12%K -5.52%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-07 23:10
PMU (FR)1.56I 64.10%NM 59.38%EV -6.95%E -4.46%K -12.42%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 40.63%EV -7.99%E -3.50%K -6.24%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-07 23:10
Sky Bet1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -3.38%E -2.08%K -5.45%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -9.20%E -4.09%K -7.36%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-07 23:10
Betclic (FR)1.56I 64.10%NM 58.84%EV -6.95%E -4.46%K -12.42%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 41.16%EV -10.01%E -4.49%K -8.14%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-07 23:08
LeoVegas1.54I 64.94%NM 59.15%EV -8.15%E -5.29%K -15.09%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 40.85%EV -10.01%E -4.49%K -8.14%G +0.000%9.8%2026-05-07 23:10
Bet Right1.66I 60.24%NM 56.99%EV -0.990%E -0.597%K -1.50%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.01%EV -11.22%E -5.10%K -9.35%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-07 23:10
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (10)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.65I 60.61%NM 60.43%2.52I 39.68%NM 39.57%0.3%2026-05-07 23:10
Novig1.67I 59.88%NM 59.66%2.47I 40.49%NM 40.34%0.4%2026-05-07 23:10
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.66I 60.24%NM 59.90%2.48I 40.32%NM 40.10%0.6%2026-05-07 23:10
ProphetX1.66I 60.24%NM 59.90%2.48I 40.32%NM 40.10%0.6%2026-05-07 23:10
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.65I 60.61%NM 60.24%2.50I 40.00%NM 39.76%0.6%2026-05-07 23:10
Polymarket1.64I 60.98%NM 60.39%2.50I 40.00%NM 39.61%1.0%2026-05-07 23:10
Kalshi1.64I 60.98%NM 60.39%2.50I 40.00%NM 39.61%1.0%2026-05-07 23:10
BetOpenly1.63I 61.35%NM 60.63%2.51I 39.84%NM 39.37%1.2%2026-05-07 22:59
Smarkets1.63I 61.35%NM 60.34%2.48I 40.32%NM 39.66%1.7%2026-05-07 23:10
Matchbook1.66I 60.24%NM 58.91%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.09%2.3%2026-05-07 23:10