Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Detroit Pistons v Atlanta Hawks

Kickoff: 2026-03-25 23:10 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

62 sportsbooks (22 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Detroit Pistons (Local)

Prediction 56.20%1.78fair odd
EV +1.17%
Edge +0.648%
Kelly +1.46%
Growth +0.017%

assuming max odds 1.80

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
52.63%56.01%56.18%58.31%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.651.721.711.8060.61%58.28%58.48%55.56%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Atlanta Hawks (Visit)

Prediction 43.80%2.28fair odd
EV +2.92%
Edge +1.24%
Kelly +2.16%
Growth +0.063%

assuming max odds 2.35

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
41.69%43.99%43.82%47.37%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.002.152.152.3550.00%46.45%46.51%42.55%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Detroit Pistons (Local): 56.20%; Atlanta Hawks (Visit): 43.80%. For Atlanta Hawks (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.28. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.35, corresponding to a positive expected value of +2.92%.

Sportsbook Odds (62 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
1xBet🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 58.31%EV -5.58%E -3.32%K -8.20%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 41.69%EV +2.92%E +1.24%K +2.16%G +0.063%2.1%2026-03-25 21:00
LowVig.ag🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 57.32%EV -5.02%E -2.97%K -7.27%G +0.000%2.27I 44.05%NM 42.68%EV -0.582%E -0.256%K -0.458%G +0.000%3.2%2026-03-25 22:40
Bet Victor🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 56.96%EV -4.45%E -2.62%K -6.36%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 43.04%EV -1.46%E -0.648%K -1.17%G +0.000%3.3%2026-03-25 22:50
GTbets🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -5.02%E -2.97%K -7.27%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -1.46%E -0.648%K -1.17%G +0.000%3.6%2026-03-25 22:50
theScore Bet🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -5.02%E -2.97%K -7.27%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -1.46%E -0.648%K -1.17%G +0.000%3.6%2026-03-25 22:55
BetOnline.ag🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -5.02%E -2.97%K -7.27%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -1.46%E -0.648%K -1.17%G +0.000%3.6%2026-03-25 22:40
BetUS🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -5.02%E -2.97%K -7.27%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -1.46%E -0.648%K -1.17%G +0.000%3.6%2026-03-25 22:45
TAB🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -6.14%E -3.68%K -9.16%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -1.46%E -0.648%K -1.17%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-25 22:50
BetMGM🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -6.14%E -3.68%K -9.16%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -1.46%E -0.648%K -1.17%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-25 22:50
DraftKings🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 57.14%EV -5.58%E -3.32%K -8.20%G +0.000%2.24I 44.64%NM 42.86%EV -1.90%E -0.846%K -1.53%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-25 22:49
Pinnacle🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 56.09%EV -2.77%E -1.60%K -3.79%G +0.000%2.21I 45.25%NM 43.91%EV -3.21%E -1.45%K -2.65%G +0.000%3.1%2026-03-25 23:00
Marathon Bet🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 56.67%EV -5.02%E -2.97%K -7.27%G +0.000%2.21I 45.25%NM 43.33%EV -3.21%E -1.45%K -2.65%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-25 22:03
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -3.89%E -2.28%K -5.48%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -3.65%E -1.66%K -3.04%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-25 21:50
Everygame🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -3.89%E -2.28%K -5.48%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -3.65%E -1.66%K -3.04%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-25 22:25
BetAnything🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -3.89%E -2.28%K -5.48%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -3.65%E -1.66%K -3.04%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-25 22:40
FanDuel🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -4.45%E -2.62%K -6.36%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -3.65%E -1.66%K -3.04%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-25 23:05
SportsBet🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -4.45%E -2.62%K -6.36%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -3.65%E -1.66%K -3.04%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-25 23:05
Parions Sport (FR)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -4.45%E -2.62%K -6.36%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -3.65%E -1.66%K -3.04%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-25 22:45
Dabble (AU)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -4.45%E -2.62%K -6.36%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -3.65%E -1.66%K -3.04%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-25 22:55
Fanatics🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -5.02%E -2.97%K -7.27%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -3.65%E -1.66%K -3.04%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-25 22:45
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -6.14%E -3.68%K -9.16%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -3.65%E -1.66%K -3.04%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-25 23:00
Neds🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -6.14%E -3.68%K -9.16%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -3.65%E -1.66%K -3.04%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-25 23:00
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -7.26%E -4.40%K -11.18%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -3.65%E -1.66%K -3.04%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-25 22:50
Coral🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -7.26%E -4.40%K -11.18%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -3.65%E -1.66%K -3.04%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-25 22:55
Tipico (DE)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -7.26%E -4.40%K -11.18%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -3.65%E -1.66%K -3.04%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-25 23:00
Coolbet🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 55.90%EV -3.33%E -1.94%K -4.63%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 44.10%EV -4.52%E -2.08%K -3.83%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-25 22:50
Caesars🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 56.04%EV -3.89%E -2.28%K -5.48%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.96%EV -4.52%E -2.08%K -3.83%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-25 22:59
Unibet (UK)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 55.13%EV -1.64%E -0.939%K -2.19%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.87%EV -5.84%E -2.72%K -5.08%G +0.000%3.7%2026-03-25 23:05
Winamax (DE)🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -2.21%E -1.27%K -2.98%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -5.84%E -2.72%K -5.08%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-25 23:05
Bovada🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -2.21%E -1.27%K -2.98%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -5.84%E -2.72%K -5.08%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-25 22:54
Betr (AU)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 55.41%EV -2.77%E -1.60%K -3.79%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.59%EV -5.84%E -2.72%K -5.08%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-25 23:00
PlayUp🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 55.56%EV -3.33%E -1.94%K -4.63%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.44%EV -5.84%E -2.72%K -5.08%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-25 23:01
Bet Right🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -4.45%E -2.62%K -6.36%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -5.84%E -2.72%K -5.08%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-25 22:05
Betsson🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -4.45%E -2.62%K -6.36%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -5.84%E -2.72%K -5.08%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-25 23:00
NordicBet🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -4.45%E -2.62%K -6.36%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -5.84%E -2.72%K -5.08%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-25 23:00
Paddy Power🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -6.14%E -3.68%K -9.16%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -5.84%E -2.72%K -5.08%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-25 22:55
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -6.14%E -3.68%K -9.16%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -5.84%E -2.72%K -5.08%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-25 22:55
NetBet (FR)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -7.26%E -4.40%K -11.18%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -5.84%E -2.72%K -5.08%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-25 22:55
MyBookie.ag🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 55.06%EV -2.77%E -1.60%K -3.79%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.94%EV -7.15%E -3.37%K -6.39%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-25 22:50
Unibet (SE)🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 54.12%EV +0.042%E +0.024%K +0.054%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.88%EV -8.03%E -3.82%K -7.30%G +0.000%3.8%2026-03-25 22:55
Unibet (NL)🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 54.12%EV +0.042%E +0.024%K +0.054%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.88%EV -8.03%E -3.82%K -7.30%G +0.000%3.8%2026-03-25 22:56
ATG (SE)🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 54.12%EV +0.042%E +0.024%K +0.054%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.88%EV -8.03%E -3.82%K -7.30%G +0.000%3.8%2026-03-25 22:55
Svenska Spel🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 54.12%EV +0.042%E +0.024%K +0.054%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.88%EV -8.03%E -3.82%K -7.30%G +0.000%3.8%2026-03-25 22:55
Sky Bet🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -2.77%E -1.60%K -3.79%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -8.03%E -3.82%K -7.30%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-25 21:35
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -3.89%E -2.28%K -5.48%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -8.03%E -3.82%K -7.30%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-25 23:05
Betway🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -3.89%E -2.28%K -5.48%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -8.03%E -3.82%K -7.30%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-25 23:05
Betclic (FR)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 56.00%EV -7.26%E -4.40%K -11.18%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.00%EV -8.03%E -3.82%K -7.30%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-25 23:00
ReBet🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 54.01%EV +0.042%E +0.024%K +0.054%G +0.000%2.09I 47.85%NM 45.99%EV -8.47%E -4.05%K -7.77%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-25 21:55
TABtouch🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 54.03%EV -0.520%E -0.294%K -0.675%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.97%EV -8.90%E -4.28%K -8.24%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-25 22:55
Unibet🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 54.03%EV -0.520%E -0.294%K -0.675%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.97%EV -8.90%E -4.28%K -8.24%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-25 22:55
betPARX🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 54.03%EV -0.520%E -0.294%K -0.675%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.97%EV -8.90%E -4.28%K -8.24%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-25 22:56
Bally Bet🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 54.03%EV -0.520%E -0.294%K -0.675%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.97%EV -8.90%E -4.28%K -8.24%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-25 22:55
Codere (IT)🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.91%EV -0.520%E -0.294%K -0.675%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 46.09%EV -9.34%E -4.51%K -8.73%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-25 21:50
Virgin Bet🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 54.05%EV -1.08%E -0.615%K -1.42%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 45.95%EV -9.34%E -4.51%K -8.73%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-25 22:55
LiveScore Bet🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 54.05%EV -1.08%E -0.615%K -1.42%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 45.95%EV -9.34%E -4.51%K -8.73%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-25 22:55
BetRivers🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 54.05%EV -1.08%E -0.615%K -1.42%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 45.95%EV -9.34%E -4.51%K -8.73%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-25 22:55
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -1.64%E -0.939%K -2.19%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -10.22%E -4.98%K -9.73%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-25 22:55
Fliff🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -2.21%E -1.27%K -2.98%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -10.22%E -4.98%K -9.73%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-25 23:00
BoyleSports🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.23%EV -2.77%E -1.60%K -3.79%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.77%EV -10.22%E -4.98%K -9.73%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-25 22:05
Winamax (FR)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -4.45%E -2.62%K -6.36%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -10.22%E -4.98%K -9.73%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-25 23:05
LeoVegas🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 54.01%EV -3.33%E -1.94%K -4.63%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 45.99%EV -11.53%E -5.71%K -11.30%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-25 22:55
William Hill🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV +1.17%E +0.648%K +1.46%G +0.017%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -12.41%E -6.20%K -12.41%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-25 21:55
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (10)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Matchbook1.77I 56.50%NM 56.30%2.28I 43.86%NM 43.70%0.4%2026-03-25 23:05
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.76I 56.82%NM 56.44%2.28I 43.86%NM 43.56%0.7%2026-03-25 23:05
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.76I 56.82%NM 56.44%2.28I 43.86%NM 43.56%0.7%2026-03-25 23:05
ProphetX1.77I 56.50%NM 56.08%2.26I 44.25%NM 43.92%0.7%2026-03-25 23:05
Novig1.76I 56.82%NM 56.22%2.26I 44.25%NM 43.78%1.1%2026-03-25 23:05
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.76I 56.82%NM 56.22%2.26I 44.25%NM 43.78%1.1%2026-03-25 23:05
Polymarket1.75I 57.14%NM 56.47%2.27I 44.05%NM 43.53%1.2%2026-03-25 22:40
BetOpenly1.75I 57.14%NM 56.36%2.26I 44.25%NM 43.64%1.4%2026-03-25 22:55
Smarkets1.74I 57.47%NM 56.28%2.24I 44.64%NM 43.72%2.1%2026-03-25 23:00
Kalshi1.75I 57.14%NM 55.92%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.08%2.2%2026-03-25 23:05