L’École des cotes

Denver Nuggets v Portland Trail Blazers

Coup d’envoi : 2026-03-22 21:12 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

63 opérateurs (22 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Denver Nuggets (Local)

Prévision 74.39%1.34cote équitable
EV +0.429%
Avantage +0.318%
Kelly +1.23%
Croissance +0.005%

avec la cote maximale 1.35

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
72.61%74.29%74.53%76.19%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.241.281.291.3580.65%77.84%77.52%74.07%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Portland Trail Blazers (Visiteur)

Prévision 25.61%3.90cote équitable
EV +2.43%
Avantage +0.608%
Kelly +0.811%
Croissance +0.020%

avec la cote maximale 4.00

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
23.81%25.71%25.47%27.39%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.403.703.704.0029.41%27.01%27.03%25.00%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (63 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼MargeMise à jour
William Hill1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -7.01%E -5.61%K -28.04%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV +2.43%E +0.608%K +0.811%G +0.020%5.0%2026-03-22 18:35
Fliff1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -7.01%E -5.61%K -28.04%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV +2.43%E +0.608%K +0.811%G +0.020%5.0%2026-03-22 20:54
FanDuel1.27I 78.74%NM 75.67%EV -5.52%E -4.35%K -20.45%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.33%EV +1.15%E +0.292%K +0.391%G +0.005%4.1%2026-03-22 21:10
SportsBet1.27I 78.74%NM 75.67%EV -5.52%E -4.35%K -20.45%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.33%EV +1.15%E +0.292%K +0.391%G +0.005%4.1%2026-03-22 21:10
BetAnything1.28I 78.13%NM 75.29%EV -4.78%E -3.73%K -17.07%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.71%EV -0.128%E -0.033%K -0.044%G +0.000%3.8%2026-03-22 20:04
theScore Bet1.26I 79.37%NM 75.58%EV -6.27%E -4.97%K -24.10%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.42%EV -0.128%E -0.033%K -0.044%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-22 20:54
Pinnacle1.30I 76.92%NM 74.76%EV -3.29%E -2.53%K -10.97%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.24%EV -1.41%E -0.366%K -0.494%G +0.000%2.9%2026-03-22 21:05
Bet Victor1.30I 76.92%NM 74.51%EV -3.29%E -2.53%K -10.97%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.49%EV -2.69%E -0.708%K -0.960%G +0.000%3.2%2026-03-22 20:53
Unibet (UK)1.29I 77.52%NM 74.66%EV -4.03%E -3.13%K -13.91%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.34%EV -2.69%E -0.708%K -0.960%G +0.000%3.8%2026-03-22 19:45
Winamax (DE)1.29I 77.52%NM 74.66%EV -4.03%E -3.13%K -13.91%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.34%EV -2.69%E -0.708%K -0.960%G +0.000%3.8%2026-03-22 21:04
Parions Sport (FR)1.29I 77.52%NM 74.66%EV -4.03%E -3.13%K -13.91%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.34%EV -2.69%E -0.708%K -0.960%G +0.000%3.8%2026-03-22 20:50
ReBet1.29I 77.52%NM 74.66%EV -4.03%E -3.13%K -13.91%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.34%EV -2.69%E -0.708%K -0.960%G +0.000%3.8%2026-03-22 19:44
Coolbet1.29I 77.52%NM 74.66%EV -4.03%E -3.13%K -13.91%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.34%EV -2.69%E -0.708%K -0.960%G +0.000%3.8%2026-03-22 20:49
BetUS1.29I 77.52%NM 74.66%EV -4.03%E -3.13%K -13.91%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.34%EV -2.69%E -0.708%K -0.960%G +0.000%3.8%2026-03-22 20:39
PointsBet (AU)1.29I 77.52%NM 74.66%EV -4.03%E -3.13%K -13.91%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.34%EV -2.69%E -0.708%K -0.960%G +0.000%3.8%2026-03-22 18:09
Everygame1.29I 77.52%NM 74.66%EV -4.03%E -3.13%K -13.91%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.34%EV -2.69%E -0.708%K -0.960%G +0.000%3.8%2026-03-22 19:45
Ladbrokes (AU)1.26I 79.37%NM 75.10%EV -6.27%E -4.97%K -24.10%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.90%EV -2.69%E -0.708%K -0.960%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-22 21:09
Paddy Power1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -7.01%E -5.61%K -28.04%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -2.69%E -0.708%K -0.960%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-22 20:50
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -7.01%E -5.61%K -28.04%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -2.69%E -0.708%K -0.960%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-22 20:50
Tipico (DE)1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -7.01%E -5.61%K -28.04%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -2.69%E -0.708%K -0.960%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-22 18:08
Caesars1.28I 78.13%NM 74.70%EV -4.78%E -3.73%K -17.07%G +0.000%3.78I 26.46%NM 25.30%EV -3.20%E -0.847%K -1.15%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-22 20:59
MyBookie.ag1.28I 78.13%NM 74.60%EV -4.78%E -3.73%K -17.07%G +0.000%3.76I 26.60%NM 25.40%EV -3.71%E -0.988%K -1.35%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-22 20:55
Betr (AU)1.29I 77.52%NM 74.40%EV -4.03%E -3.13%K -13.91%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.60%EV -3.97%E -1.06%K -1.44%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-22 20:49
BetMGM1.29I 77.52%NM 74.40%EV -4.03%E -3.13%K -13.91%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.60%EV -3.97%E -1.06%K -1.44%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-22 19:40
Codere (IT)1.28I 78.13%NM 74.55%EV -4.78%E -3.73%K -17.07%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.45%EV -3.97%E -1.06%K -1.44%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-22 19:45
Dabble (AU)1.28I 78.13%NM 74.55%EV -4.78%E -3.73%K -17.07%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.45%EV -3.97%E -1.06%K -1.44%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-22 21:09
BoyleSports1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -7.01%E -5.61%K -28.04%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -3.97%E -1.06%K -1.44%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-22 20:04
LowVig.ag1.30I 76.92%NM 74.21%EV -3.29%E -2.53%K -10.97%G +0.000%3.74I 26.74%NM 25.79%EV -4.23%E -1.13%K -1.54%G +0.000%3.7%2026-03-22 19:05
Unibet (NL)1.30I 76.92%NM 74.00%EV -3.29%E -2.53%K -10.97%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.00%EV -5.25%E -1.42%K -1.94%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-22 20:49
Unibet (SE)1.30I 76.92%NM 74.00%EV -3.29%E -2.53%K -10.97%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.00%EV -5.25%E -1.42%K -1.94%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-22 20:49
Svenska Spel1.30I 76.92%NM 74.00%EV -3.29%E -2.53%K -10.97%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.00%EV -5.25%E -1.42%K -1.94%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-22 20:50
ATG (SE)1.30I 76.92%NM 74.00%EV -3.29%E -2.53%K -10.97%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.00%EV -5.25%E -1.42%K -1.94%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-22 20:50
BetOnline.ag1.30I 76.92%NM 74.00%EV -3.29%E -2.53%K -10.97%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.00%EV -5.25%E -1.42%K -1.94%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-22 19:05
DraftKings1.29I 77.52%NM 74.15%EV -4.03%E -3.13%K -13.91%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.85%EV -5.25%E -1.42%K -1.94%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-22 19:55
GTbets1.29I 77.52%NM 74.15%EV -4.03%E -3.13%K -13.91%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.85%EV -5.25%E -1.42%K -1.94%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-22 21:09
Bovada1.29I 77.52%NM 74.15%EV -4.03%E -3.13%K -13.91%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.85%EV -5.25%E -1.42%K -1.94%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-22 21:09
Neds1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -4.78%E -3.73%K -17.07%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV -5.25%E -1.42%K -1.94%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-22 21:09
Coral1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -4.78%E -3.73%K -17.07%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV -5.25%E -1.42%K -1.94%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-22 19:39
Ladbrokes (UK)1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -4.78%E -3.73%K -17.07%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV -5.25%E -1.42%K -1.94%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-22 19:40
NetBet (FR)1.24I 80.65%NM 74.90%EV -7.75%E -6.25%K -32.31%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.10%EV -5.25%E -1.42%K -1.94%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-22 20:50
PlayUp1.30I 76.92%NM 73.74%EV -3.29%E -2.53%K -10.97%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.26%EV -6.53%E -1.79%K -2.46%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-22 18:59
Winamax (FR)1.28I 78.13%NM 74.04%EV -4.78%E -3.73%K -17.07%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.96%EV -6.53%E -1.79%K -2.46%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-22 21:00
Unibet (FR)1.26I 79.37%NM 74.34%EV -6.27%E -4.97%K -24.10%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.66%EV -6.53%E -1.79%K -2.46%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-22 20:50
Unibet1.30I 76.92%NM 73.47%EV -3.29%E -2.53%K -10.97%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.53%EV -7.81%E -2.17%K -3.00%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-22 21:05
TABtouch1.30I 76.92%NM 73.47%EV -3.29%E -2.53%K -10.97%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.53%EV -7.81%E -2.17%K -3.00%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-22 21:05
betPARX1.30I 76.92%NM 73.47%EV -3.29%E -2.53%K -10.97%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.53%EV -7.81%E -2.17%K -3.00%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-22 21:05
Bally Bet1.30I 76.92%NM 73.47%EV -3.29%E -2.53%K -10.97%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.53%EV -7.81%E -2.17%K -3.00%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-22 21:04
BetRivers1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -4.03%E -3.13%K -13.91%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -7.81%E -2.17%K -3.00%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-22 20:50
LiveScore Bet1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -4.03%E -3.13%K -13.91%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -7.81%E -2.17%K -3.00%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-22 20:54
Virgin Bet1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -4.03%E -3.13%K -13.91%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -7.81%E -2.17%K -3.00%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-22 20:50
Fanatics1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -4.03%E -3.13%K -13.91%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -7.81%E -2.17%K -3.00%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-22 21:10
1xBet1.35I 74.07%NM 72.62%EV +0.429%E +0.318%K +1.23%G +0.005%3.58I 27.93%NM 27.38%EV -8.32%E -2.32%K -3.23%G +0.000%2.0%2026-03-22 20:00
Bet Right1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -3.29%E -2.53%K -10.97%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -9.09%E -2.56%K -3.56%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-22 19:49
LeoVegas (SE)1.28I 78.13%NM 73.50%EV -4.78%E -3.73%K -17.07%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.50%EV -9.09%E -2.56%K -3.56%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-22 21:05
TAB1.32I 75.76%NM 72.61%EV -1.80%E -1.37%K -5.63%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.39%EV -10.37%E -2.96%K -4.15%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-22 21:10
Marathon Bet1.32I 75.76%NM 72.61%EV -1.80%E -1.37%K -5.63%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.39%EV -10.37%E -2.96%K -4.15%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-22 19:55
NordicBet1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -3.29%E -2.53%K -10.97%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -10.37%E -2.96%K -4.15%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-22 18:59
Betsson1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -3.29%E -2.53%K -10.97%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -10.37%E -2.96%K -4.15%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-22 18:59
Sky Bet1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -4.03%E -3.13%K -13.91%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -10.37%E -2.96%K -4.15%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-22 20:20
Betway1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -4.03%E -3.13%K -13.91%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -10.37%E -2.96%K -4.15%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-22 21:00
Hard Rock Bet1.27I 78.74%NM 73.38%EV -5.52%E -4.35%K -20.45%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.62%EV -10.37%E -2.96%K -4.15%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-22 21:04
LeoVegas1.26I 79.37%NM 73.53%EV -6.27%E -4.97%K -24.10%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.47%EV -10.37%E -2.96%K -4.15%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-22 21:10
Betclic (FR)1.25I 80.00%NM 73.12%EV -7.01%E -5.61%K -28.04%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.88%EV -12.93%E -3.80%K -5.39%G +0.000%9.4%2026-03-22 21:00
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (10)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
BetOpenly1.30I 76.92%NM 76.87%4.32I 23.15%NM 23.13%0.1%2026-03-22 20:59
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.31I 76.34%NM 75.79%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.21%0.7%2026-03-22 20:50
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.31I 76.34%NM 75.79%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.21%0.7%2026-03-22 20:55
Polymarket1.32I 75.76%NM 75.19%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.81%0.8%2026-03-22 21:10
Novig1.31I 76.34%NM 75.42%4.02I 24.88%NM 24.58%1.2%2026-03-22 21:10
Matchbook1.31I 76.34%NM 75.33%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.67%1.3%2026-03-22 21:10
ProphetX1.31I 76.34%NM 75.33%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.67%1.3%2026-03-22 21:10
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.31I 76.34%NM 75.33%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.67%1.3%2026-03-22 21:10
Kalshi1.30I 76.92%NM 75.47%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.53%1.9%2026-03-22 21:05
Smarkets1.30I 76.92%NM 75.24%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.76%2.2%2026-03-22 21:10