La escuela de los momios

Denver Nuggets v Portland Trail Blazers

Inicio: 2026-03-22 21:12 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

63 corredores (22 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Denver Nuggets (Local)

Predicción 74.39%1.34momio equitativo
EV +0.429%
Ventaja +0.318%
Kelly +1.23%
Crecimiento +0.005%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.35

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
72.61%74.29%74.53%76.19%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.241.281.291.3580.65%77.84%77.52%74.07%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Portland Trail Blazers (Visitante)

Predicción 25.61%3.90momio equitativo
EV +2.43%
Ventaja +0.608%
Kelly +0.811%
Crecimiento +0.020%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.00

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
23.81%25.71%25.47%27.39%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.403.703.704.0029.41%27.01%27.03%25.00%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (63 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitante ▼MargenActualizado
William Hill1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -7.01%E -5.61%K -28.04%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV +2.43%E +0.608%K +0.811%G +0.020%5.0%2026-03-22 18:35
Fliff1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -7.01%E -5.61%K -28.04%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV +2.43%E +0.608%K +0.811%G +0.020%5.0%2026-03-22 20:54
FanDuel1.27I 78.74%NM 75.67%EV -5.52%E -4.35%K -20.45%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.33%EV +1.15%E +0.292%K +0.391%G +0.005%4.1%2026-03-22 21:10
SportsBet1.27I 78.74%NM 75.67%EV -5.52%E -4.35%K -20.45%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.33%EV +1.15%E +0.292%K +0.391%G +0.005%4.1%2026-03-22 21:10
BetAnything1.28I 78.13%NM 75.29%EV -4.78%E -3.73%K -17.07%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.71%EV -0.128%E -0.033%K -0.044%G +0.000%3.8%2026-03-22 20:04
theScore Bet1.26I 79.37%NM 75.58%EV -6.27%E -4.97%K -24.10%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.42%EV -0.128%E -0.033%K -0.044%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-22 20:54
Pinnacle1.30I 76.92%NM 74.76%EV -3.29%E -2.53%K -10.97%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.24%EV -1.41%E -0.366%K -0.494%G +0.000%2.9%2026-03-22 21:05
Bet Victor1.30I 76.92%NM 74.51%EV -3.29%E -2.53%K -10.97%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.49%EV -2.69%E -0.708%K -0.960%G +0.000%3.2%2026-03-22 20:53
Unibet (UK)1.29I 77.52%NM 74.66%EV -4.03%E -3.13%K -13.91%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.34%EV -2.69%E -0.708%K -0.960%G +0.000%3.8%2026-03-22 19:45
Winamax (DE)1.29I 77.52%NM 74.66%EV -4.03%E -3.13%K -13.91%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.34%EV -2.69%E -0.708%K -0.960%G +0.000%3.8%2026-03-22 21:04
Parions Sport (FR)1.29I 77.52%NM 74.66%EV -4.03%E -3.13%K -13.91%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.34%EV -2.69%E -0.708%K -0.960%G +0.000%3.8%2026-03-22 20:50
ReBet1.29I 77.52%NM 74.66%EV -4.03%E -3.13%K -13.91%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.34%EV -2.69%E -0.708%K -0.960%G +0.000%3.8%2026-03-22 19:44
Coolbet1.29I 77.52%NM 74.66%EV -4.03%E -3.13%K -13.91%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.34%EV -2.69%E -0.708%K -0.960%G +0.000%3.8%2026-03-22 20:49
BetUS1.29I 77.52%NM 74.66%EV -4.03%E -3.13%K -13.91%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.34%EV -2.69%E -0.708%K -0.960%G +0.000%3.8%2026-03-22 20:39
PointsBet (AU)1.29I 77.52%NM 74.66%EV -4.03%E -3.13%K -13.91%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.34%EV -2.69%E -0.708%K -0.960%G +0.000%3.8%2026-03-22 18:09
Everygame1.29I 77.52%NM 74.66%EV -4.03%E -3.13%K -13.91%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.34%EV -2.69%E -0.708%K -0.960%G +0.000%3.8%2026-03-22 19:45
Ladbrokes (AU)1.26I 79.37%NM 75.10%EV -6.27%E -4.97%K -24.10%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.90%EV -2.69%E -0.708%K -0.960%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-22 21:09
Paddy Power1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -7.01%E -5.61%K -28.04%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -2.69%E -0.708%K -0.960%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-22 20:50
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -7.01%E -5.61%K -28.04%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -2.69%E -0.708%K -0.960%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-22 20:50
Tipico (DE)1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -7.01%E -5.61%K -28.04%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -2.69%E -0.708%K -0.960%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-22 18:08
Caesars1.28I 78.13%NM 74.70%EV -4.78%E -3.73%K -17.07%G +0.000%3.78I 26.46%NM 25.30%EV -3.20%E -0.847%K -1.15%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-22 20:59
MyBookie.ag1.28I 78.13%NM 74.60%EV -4.78%E -3.73%K -17.07%G +0.000%3.76I 26.60%NM 25.40%EV -3.71%E -0.988%K -1.35%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-22 20:55
Betr (AU)1.29I 77.52%NM 74.40%EV -4.03%E -3.13%K -13.91%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.60%EV -3.97%E -1.06%K -1.44%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-22 20:49
BetMGM1.29I 77.52%NM 74.40%EV -4.03%E -3.13%K -13.91%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.60%EV -3.97%E -1.06%K -1.44%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-22 19:40
Codere (IT)1.28I 78.13%NM 74.55%EV -4.78%E -3.73%K -17.07%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.45%EV -3.97%E -1.06%K -1.44%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-22 19:45
Dabble (AU)1.28I 78.13%NM 74.55%EV -4.78%E -3.73%K -17.07%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.45%EV -3.97%E -1.06%K -1.44%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-22 21:09
BoyleSports1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -7.01%E -5.61%K -28.04%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -3.97%E -1.06%K -1.44%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-22 20:04
LowVig.ag1.30I 76.92%NM 74.21%EV -3.29%E -2.53%K -10.97%G +0.000%3.74I 26.74%NM 25.79%EV -4.23%E -1.13%K -1.54%G +0.000%3.7%2026-03-22 19:05
Unibet (NL)1.30I 76.92%NM 74.00%EV -3.29%E -2.53%K -10.97%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.00%EV -5.25%E -1.42%K -1.94%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-22 20:49
Unibet (SE)1.30I 76.92%NM 74.00%EV -3.29%E -2.53%K -10.97%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.00%EV -5.25%E -1.42%K -1.94%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-22 20:49
Svenska Spel1.30I 76.92%NM 74.00%EV -3.29%E -2.53%K -10.97%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.00%EV -5.25%E -1.42%K -1.94%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-22 20:50
ATG (SE)1.30I 76.92%NM 74.00%EV -3.29%E -2.53%K -10.97%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.00%EV -5.25%E -1.42%K -1.94%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-22 20:50
BetOnline.ag1.30I 76.92%NM 74.00%EV -3.29%E -2.53%K -10.97%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.00%EV -5.25%E -1.42%K -1.94%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-22 19:05
DraftKings1.29I 77.52%NM 74.15%EV -4.03%E -3.13%K -13.91%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.85%EV -5.25%E -1.42%K -1.94%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-22 19:55
GTbets1.29I 77.52%NM 74.15%EV -4.03%E -3.13%K -13.91%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.85%EV -5.25%E -1.42%K -1.94%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-22 21:09
Bovada1.29I 77.52%NM 74.15%EV -4.03%E -3.13%K -13.91%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.85%EV -5.25%E -1.42%K -1.94%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-22 21:09
Neds1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -4.78%E -3.73%K -17.07%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV -5.25%E -1.42%K -1.94%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-22 21:09
Coral1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -4.78%E -3.73%K -17.07%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV -5.25%E -1.42%K -1.94%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-22 19:39
Ladbrokes (UK)1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -4.78%E -3.73%K -17.07%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV -5.25%E -1.42%K -1.94%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-22 19:40
NetBet (FR)1.24I 80.65%NM 74.90%EV -7.75%E -6.25%K -32.31%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.10%EV -5.25%E -1.42%K -1.94%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-22 20:50
PlayUp1.30I 76.92%NM 73.74%EV -3.29%E -2.53%K -10.97%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.26%EV -6.53%E -1.79%K -2.46%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-22 18:59
Winamax (FR)1.28I 78.13%NM 74.04%EV -4.78%E -3.73%K -17.07%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.96%EV -6.53%E -1.79%K -2.46%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-22 21:00
Unibet (FR)1.26I 79.37%NM 74.34%EV -6.27%E -4.97%K -24.10%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.66%EV -6.53%E -1.79%K -2.46%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-22 20:50
Unibet1.30I 76.92%NM 73.47%EV -3.29%E -2.53%K -10.97%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.53%EV -7.81%E -2.17%K -3.00%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-22 21:05
TABtouch1.30I 76.92%NM 73.47%EV -3.29%E -2.53%K -10.97%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.53%EV -7.81%E -2.17%K -3.00%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-22 21:05
betPARX1.30I 76.92%NM 73.47%EV -3.29%E -2.53%K -10.97%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.53%EV -7.81%E -2.17%K -3.00%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-22 21:05
Bally Bet1.30I 76.92%NM 73.47%EV -3.29%E -2.53%K -10.97%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.53%EV -7.81%E -2.17%K -3.00%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-22 21:04
BetRivers1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -4.03%E -3.13%K -13.91%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -7.81%E -2.17%K -3.00%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-22 20:50
LiveScore Bet1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -4.03%E -3.13%K -13.91%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -7.81%E -2.17%K -3.00%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-22 20:54
Virgin Bet1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -4.03%E -3.13%K -13.91%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -7.81%E -2.17%K -3.00%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-22 20:50
Fanatics1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -4.03%E -3.13%K -13.91%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -7.81%E -2.17%K -3.00%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-22 21:10
1xBet1.35I 74.07%NM 72.62%EV +0.429%E +0.318%K +1.23%G +0.005%3.58I 27.93%NM 27.38%EV -8.32%E -2.32%K -3.23%G +0.000%2.0%2026-03-22 20:00
Bet Right1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -3.29%E -2.53%K -10.97%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -9.09%E -2.56%K -3.56%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-22 19:49
LeoVegas (SE)1.28I 78.13%NM 73.50%EV -4.78%E -3.73%K -17.07%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.50%EV -9.09%E -2.56%K -3.56%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-22 21:05
TAB1.32I 75.76%NM 72.61%EV -1.80%E -1.37%K -5.63%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.39%EV -10.37%E -2.96%K -4.15%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-22 21:10
Marathon Bet1.32I 75.76%NM 72.61%EV -1.80%E -1.37%K -5.63%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.39%EV -10.37%E -2.96%K -4.15%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-22 19:55
NordicBet1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -3.29%E -2.53%K -10.97%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -10.37%E -2.96%K -4.15%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-22 18:59
Betsson1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -3.29%E -2.53%K -10.97%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -10.37%E -2.96%K -4.15%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-22 18:59
Sky Bet1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -4.03%E -3.13%K -13.91%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -10.37%E -2.96%K -4.15%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-22 20:20
Betway1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -4.03%E -3.13%K -13.91%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -10.37%E -2.96%K -4.15%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-22 21:00
Hard Rock Bet1.27I 78.74%NM 73.38%EV -5.52%E -4.35%K -20.45%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.62%EV -10.37%E -2.96%K -4.15%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-22 21:04
LeoVegas1.26I 79.37%NM 73.53%EV -6.27%E -4.97%K -24.10%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.47%EV -10.37%E -2.96%K -4.15%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-22 21:10
Betclic (FR)1.25I 80.00%NM 73.12%EV -7.01%E -5.61%K -28.04%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.88%EV -12.93%E -3.80%K -5.39%G +0.000%9.4%2026-03-22 21:00
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (10)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
BetOpenly1.30I 76.92%NM 76.87%4.32I 23.15%NM 23.13%0.1%2026-03-22 20:59
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.31I 76.34%NM 75.79%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.21%0.7%2026-03-22 20:50
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.31I 76.34%NM 75.79%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.21%0.7%2026-03-22 20:55
Polymarket1.32I 75.76%NM 75.19%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.81%0.8%2026-03-22 21:10
Novig1.31I 76.34%NM 75.42%4.02I 24.88%NM 24.58%1.2%2026-03-22 21:10
Matchbook1.31I 76.34%NM 75.33%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.67%1.3%2026-03-22 21:10
ProphetX1.31I 76.34%NM 75.33%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.67%1.3%2026-03-22 21:10
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.31I 76.34%NM 75.33%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.67%1.3%2026-03-22 21:10
Kalshi1.30I 76.92%NM 75.47%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.53%1.9%2026-03-22 21:05
Smarkets1.30I 76.92%NM 75.24%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.76%2.2%2026-03-22 21:10