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Denver Nuggets v Portland Trail Blazers
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Denver Nuggets (Local)
Predicción 74.39%1.34momio equitativo
EV +0.429%
Ventaja +0.318%
Kelly +1.23%
Crecimiento +0.005%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.35
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
72.61%74.29%74.53%76.19%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.241.281.291.3580.65%77.84%77.52%74.07%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Portland Trail Blazers (Visitante)
Predicción 25.61%3.90momio equitativo
EV +2.43%
Ventaja +0.608%
Kelly +0.811%
Crecimiento +0.020%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.00
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
23.81%25.71%25.47%27.39%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
3.403.703.704.0029.41%27.01%27.03%25.00%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: Denver Nuggets (Local): 74.39%; Portland Trail Blazers (Visitante): 25.61%. Para Portland Trail Blazers (Visitante), esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 3.90. 4 corredores ofrecieron momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel; los mejores fueron 4.00, correspondientes a un valor esperado positivo de +2.43%.
Momios de las casas de apuestas (63 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| William Hill🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -7.01%E -5.61%K -28.04%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV +2.43%E +0.608%K +0.811%G +0.020% | 5.0% | 2026-03-22 18:35 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -7.01%E -5.61%K -28.04%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV +2.43%E +0.608%K +0.811%G +0.020% | 5.0% | 2026-03-22 20:54 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 75.67%EV -5.52%E -4.35%K -20.45%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.33%EV +1.15%E +0.292%K +0.391%G +0.005% | 4.1% | 2026-03-22 21:10 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 75.67%EV -5.52%E -4.35%K -20.45%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.33%EV +1.15%E +0.292%K +0.391%G +0.005% | 4.1% | 2026-03-22 21:10 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 75.29%EV -4.78%E -3.73%K -17.07%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.71%EV -0.128%E -0.033%K -0.044%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-03-22 20:04 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.58%EV -6.27%E -4.97%K -24.10%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.42%EV -0.128%E -0.033%K -0.044%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-22 20:54 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 74.76%EV -3.29%E -2.53%K -10.97%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.24%EV -1.41%E -0.366%K -0.494%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-03-22 21:05 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 74.51%EV -3.29%E -2.53%K -10.97%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.49%EV -2.69%E -0.708%K -0.960%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-03-22 20:53 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.66%EV -4.03%E -3.13%K -13.91%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.34%EV -2.69%E -0.708%K -0.960%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-03-22 19:45 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.66%EV -4.03%E -3.13%K -13.91%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.34%EV -2.69%E -0.708%K -0.960%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-03-22 21:04 |
| Parions Sport (FR)🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.66%EV -4.03%E -3.13%K -13.91%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.34%EV -2.69%E -0.708%K -0.960%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-03-22 20:50 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.66%EV -4.03%E -3.13%K -13.91%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.34%EV -2.69%E -0.708%K -0.960%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-03-22 19:44 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.66%EV -4.03%E -3.13%K -13.91%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.34%EV -2.69%E -0.708%K -0.960%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-03-22 20:49 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.66%EV -4.03%E -3.13%K -13.91%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.34%EV -2.69%E -0.708%K -0.960%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-03-22 20:39 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.66%EV -4.03%E -3.13%K -13.91%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.34%EV -2.69%E -0.708%K -0.960%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-03-22 18:09 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.66%EV -4.03%E -3.13%K -13.91%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.34%EV -2.69%E -0.708%K -0.960%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-03-22 19:45 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.10%EV -6.27%E -4.97%K -24.10%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.90%EV -2.69%E -0.708%K -0.960%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-03-22 21:09 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -7.01%E -5.61%K -28.04%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -2.69%E -0.708%K -0.960%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-22 20:50 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -7.01%E -5.61%K -28.04%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -2.69%E -0.708%K -0.960%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-22 20:50 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -7.01%E -5.61%K -28.04%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -2.69%E -0.708%K -0.960%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-22 18:08 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.70%EV -4.78%E -3.73%K -17.07%G +0.000% | 3.78I 26.46%NM 25.30%EV -3.20%E -0.847%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-22 20:59 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.60%EV -4.78%E -3.73%K -17.07%G +0.000% | 3.76I 26.60%NM 25.40%EV -3.71%E -0.988%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-22 20:55 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.40%EV -4.03%E -3.13%K -13.91%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.60%EV -3.97%E -1.06%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-03-22 20:49 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.40%EV -4.03%E -3.13%K -13.91%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.60%EV -3.97%E -1.06%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-03-22 19:40 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.55%EV -4.78%E -3.73%K -17.07%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.45%EV -3.97%E -1.06%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-22 19:45 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.55%EV -4.78%E -3.73%K -17.07%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.45%EV -3.97%E -1.06%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-22 21:09 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -7.01%E -5.61%K -28.04%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -3.97%E -1.06%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-03-22 20:04 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 74.21%EV -3.29%E -2.53%K -10.97%G +0.000% | 3.74I 26.74%NM 25.79%EV -4.23%E -1.13%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-03-22 19:05 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 74.00%EV -3.29%E -2.53%K -10.97%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.00%EV -5.25%E -1.42%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-03-22 20:49 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 74.00%EV -3.29%E -2.53%K -10.97%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.00%EV -5.25%E -1.42%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-03-22 20:49 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 74.00%EV -3.29%E -2.53%K -10.97%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.00%EV -5.25%E -1.42%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-03-22 20:50 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 74.00%EV -3.29%E -2.53%K -10.97%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.00%EV -5.25%E -1.42%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-03-22 20:50 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 74.00%EV -3.29%E -2.53%K -10.97%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.00%EV -5.25%E -1.42%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-03-22 19:05 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.15%EV -4.03%E -3.13%K -13.91%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.85%EV -5.25%E -1.42%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-03-22 19:55 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.15%EV -4.03%E -3.13%K -13.91%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.85%EV -5.25%E -1.42%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-03-22 21:09 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.15%EV -4.03%E -3.13%K -13.91%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.85%EV -5.25%E -1.42%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-03-22 21:09 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -4.78%E -3.73%K -17.07%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV -5.25%E -1.42%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-22 21:09 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -4.78%E -3.73%K -17.07%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV -5.25%E -1.42%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-22 19:39 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -4.78%E -3.73%K -17.07%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV -5.25%E -1.42%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-22 19:40 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 74.90%EV -7.75%E -6.25%K -32.31%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.10%EV -5.25%E -1.42%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-03-22 20:50 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.74%EV -3.29%E -2.53%K -10.97%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.26%EV -6.53%E -1.79%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-22 18:59 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.04%EV -4.78%E -3.73%K -17.07%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.96%EV -6.53%E -1.79%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-22 21:00 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 74.34%EV -6.27%E -4.97%K -24.10%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.66%EV -6.53%E -1.79%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-03-22 20:50 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.47%EV -3.29%E -2.53%K -10.97%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.53%EV -7.81%E -2.17%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-22 21:05 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.47%EV -3.29%E -2.53%K -10.97%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.53%EV -7.81%E -2.17%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-22 21:05 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.47%EV -3.29%E -2.53%K -10.97%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.53%EV -7.81%E -2.17%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-22 21:05 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.47%EV -3.29%E -2.53%K -10.97%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.53%EV -7.81%E -2.17%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-22 21:04 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -4.03%E -3.13%K -13.91%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -7.81%E -2.17%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-22 20:50 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -4.03%E -3.13%K -13.91%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -7.81%E -2.17%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-22 20:54 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -4.03%E -3.13%K -13.91%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -7.81%E -2.17%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-22 20:50 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -4.03%E -3.13%K -13.91%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -7.81%E -2.17%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-22 21:10 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 72.62%EV +0.429%E +0.318%K +1.23%G +0.005% | 3.58I 27.93%NM 27.38%EV -8.32%E -2.32%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 2.0% | 2026-03-22 20:00 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -3.29%E -2.53%K -10.97%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -9.09%E -2.56%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-22 19:49 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 73.50%EV -4.78%E -3.73%K -17.07%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.50%EV -9.09%E -2.56%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-22 21:05 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.61%EV -1.80%E -1.37%K -5.63%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.39%EV -10.37%E -2.96%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-22 21:10 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.61%EV -1.80%E -1.37%K -5.63%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.39%EV -10.37%E -2.96%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-22 19:55 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -3.29%E -2.53%K -10.97%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -10.37%E -2.96%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-22 18:59 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -3.29%E -2.53%K -10.97%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -10.37%E -2.96%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-22 18:59 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -4.03%E -3.13%K -13.91%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -10.37%E -2.96%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-03-22 20:20 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -4.03%E -3.13%K -13.91%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -10.37%E -2.96%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-03-22 21:00 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 73.38%EV -5.52%E -4.35%K -20.45%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.62%EV -10.37%E -2.96%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-03-22 21:04 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 73.53%EV -6.27%E -4.97%K -24.10%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.47%EV -10.37%E -2.96%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-03-22 21:10 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 73.12%EV -7.01%E -5.61%K -28.04%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.88%EV -12.93%E -3.80%K -5.39%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-03-22 21:00 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (10)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetOpenly◎ | 1.30I 76.92%NM 76.87% | 4.32I 23.15%NM 23.13% | 0.1% | 2026-03-22 20:59 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.31I 76.34%NM 75.79% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 24.21% | 0.7% | 2026-03-22 20:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.31I 76.34%NM 75.79% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 24.21% | 0.7% | 2026-03-22 20:55 |
| Polymarket◎ | 1.32I 75.76%NM 75.19% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.81% | 0.8% | 2026-03-22 21:10 |
| Novig◎ | 1.31I 76.34%NM 75.42% | 4.02I 24.88%NM 24.58% | 1.2% | 2026-03-22 21:10 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.31I 76.34%NM 75.33% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.67% | 1.3% | 2026-03-22 21:10 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.31I 76.34%NM 75.33% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.67% | 1.3% | 2026-03-22 21:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.31I 76.34%NM 75.33% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.67% | 1.3% | 2026-03-22 21:10 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.30I 76.92%NM 75.47% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.53% | 1.9% | 2026-03-22 21:05 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.30I 76.92%NM 75.24% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.76% | 2.2% | 2026-03-22 21:10 |