L’École des cotes

Denver Nuggets v Oklahoma City Thunder

Coup d’envoi : 2026-04-11 01:10 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

63 opérateurs (22 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Denver Nuggets (Local)

Prévision 55.81%1.79cote équitable
EV -1.22%
Avantage -0.690%
Kelly -1.59%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.77

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
54.17%55.76%55.80%59.11%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.631.711.711.7761.35%58.48%58.48%56.50%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Oklahoma City Thunder (Visiteur)

Prévision 44.19%2.26cote équitable
EV +6.06%
Avantage +2.53%
Kelly +4.33%
Croissance +0.263%

avec la cote maximale 2.40

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
40.89%44.24%44.20%45.83%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.022.162.152.4049.50%46.36%46.51%41.67%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (63 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼MargeMise à jour
1xBet1.66I 60.24%NM 59.11%EV -7.36%E -4.43%K -11.15%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.89%EV +6.06%E +2.53%K +4.33%G +0.263%1.9%2026-04-11 00:50
Pinnacle1.71I 58.48%NM 56.82%EV -4.57%E -2.67%K -6.44%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 43.18%EV -0.565%E -0.251%K -0.452%G +0.000%2.9%2026-04-11 01:05
LowVig.ag1.70I 58.82%NM 56.96%EV -5.13%E -3.02%K -7.33%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 43.04%EV -0.565%E -0.251%K -0.452%G +0.000%3.3%2026-04-11 00:55
Bovada1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -5.69%E -3.36%K -8.24%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -0.565%E -0.251%K -0.452%G +0.000%3.6%2026-04-11 00:54
BetUS1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -5.69%E -3.36%K -8.24%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -0.565%E -0.251%K -0.452%G +0.000%3.6%2026-04-11 00:55
Dabble (AU)1.66I 60.24%NM 57.54%EV -7.36%E -4.43%K -11.15%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.46%EV -0.565%E -0.251%K -0.452%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-11 01:05
BetOnline.ag1.70I 58.82%NM 56.74%EV -5.13%E -3.02%K -7.33%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 43.26%EV -1.45%E -0.650%K -1.18%G +0.000%3.7%2026-04-11 00:55
Bet Victor1.75I 57.14%NM 55.70%EV -2.34%E -1.34%K -3.12%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 44.30%EV -2.77%E -1.26%K -2.31%G +0.000%2.6%2026-04-11 00:50
Winamax (DE)1.72I 58.14%NM 56.12%EV -4.01%E -2.33%K -5.57%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.88%EV -2.77%E -1.26%K -2.31%G +0.000%3.6%2026-04-11 01:00
PointsBet (AU)1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -4.57%E -2.67%K -6.44%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -2.77%E -1.26%K -2.31%G +0.000%3.9%2026-04-11 00:05
theScore Bet1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -4.57%E -2.67%K -6.44%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -2.77%E -1.26%K -2.31%G +0.000%3.9%2026-04-11 00:55
GTbets1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -4.57%E -2.67%K -6.44%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -2.77%E -1.26%K -2.31%G +0.000%3.9%2026-04-11 00:55
DraftKings1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -5.13%E -3.02%K -7.33%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -2.77%E -1.26%K -2.31%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-11 00:55
TAB1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -5.13%E -3.02%K -7.33%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -2.77%E -1.26%K -2.31%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-11 00:55
Fanatics1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -5.69%E -3.36%K -8.24%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -2.77%E -1.26%K -2.31%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-11 01:05
Tipico (DE)1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -7.92%E -4.80%K -12.18%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -2.77%E -1.26%K -2.31%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-11 01:00
Marathon Bet1.70I 58.82%NM 56.30%EV -5.13%E -3.02%K -7.33%G +0.000%2.19I 45.66%NM 43.70%EV -3.22%E -1.47%K -2.70%G +0.000%4.5%2026-04-11 00:55
Unibet (UK)1.73I 57.80%NM 55.75%EV -3.45%E -2.00%K -4.73%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 44.25%EV -3.66%E -1.68%K -3.10%G +0.000%3.7%2026-04-11 01:00
Unibet (NL)1.72I 58.14%NM 55.90%EV -4.01%E -2.33%K -5.57%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 44.10%EV -3.66%E -1.68%K -3.10%G +0.000%4.0%2026-04-11 00:40
Unibet (SE)1.72I 58.14%NM 55.90%EV -4.01%E -2.33%K -5.57%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 44.10%EV -3.66%E -1.68%K -3.10%G +0.000%4.0%2026-04-11 00:40
ATG (SE)1.72I 58.14%NM 55.90%EV -4.01%E -2.33%K -5.57%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 44.10%EV -3.66%E -1.68%K -3.10%G +0.000%4.0%2026-04-11 00:40
Svenska Spel1.72I 58.14%NM 55.90%EV -4.01%E -2.33%K -5.57%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 44.10%EV -3.66%E -1.68%K -3.10%G +0.000%4.0%2026-04-11 00:40
Caesars1.71I 58.48%NM 56.04%EV -4.57%E -2.67%K -6.44%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.96%EV -3.66%E -1.68%K -3.10%G +0.000%4.4%2026-04-11 00:54
FanDuel1.75I 57.14%NM 55.24%EV -2.34%E -1.34%K -3.12%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 44.76%EV -4.54%E -2.10%K -3.92%G +0.000%3.4%2026-04-11 01:05
TABtouch1.71I 58.48%NM 55.81%EV -4.57%E -2.67%K -6.44%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 44.19%EV -4.54%E -2.10%K -3.92%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-11 00:40
Unibet1.71I 58.48%NM 55.81%EV -4.57%E -2.67%K -6.44%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 44.19%EV -4.54%E -2.10%K -3.92%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-11 00:40
Bally Bet1.71I 58.48%NM 55.81%EV -4.57%E -2.67%K -6.44%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 44.19%EV -4.54%E -2.10%K -3.92%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-11 00:40
betPARX1.71I 58.48%NM 55.81%EV -4.57%E -2.67%K -6.44%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 44.19%EV -4.54%E -2.10%K -3.92%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-11 00:40
MyBookie.ag1.70I 58.82%NM 55.96%EV -5.13%E -3.02%K -7.33%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 44.04%EV -4.54%E -2.10%K -3.92%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-11 00:58
SportsBet1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -2.90%E -1.66%K -3.91%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -4.98%E -2.32%K -4.33%G +0.000%4.0%2026-04-11 01:05
Coolbet1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -2.90%E -1.66%K -3.91%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -4.98%E -2.32%K -4.33%G +0.000%4.0%2026-04-11 00:35
BetMGM1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -2.90%E -1.66%K -3.91%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -4.98%E -2.32%K -4.33%G +0.000%4.0%2026-04-11 00:30
Everygame1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -2.90%E -1.66%K -3.91%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -4.98%E -2.32%K -4.33%G +0.000%4.0%2026-04-11 00:54
BetAnything1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -2.90%E -1.66%K -3.91%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -4.98%E -2.32%K -4.33%G +0.000%4.0%2026-04-11 00:10
Betr (AU)1.73I 57.80%NM 55.41%EV -3.45%E -2.00%K -4.73%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.59%EV -4.98%E -2.32%K -4.33%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-11 00:05
PlayUp1.72I 58.14%NM 55.56%EV -4.01%E -2.33%K -5.57%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.44%EV -4.98%E -2.32%K -4.33%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-11 01:05
Fliff1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -4.57%E -2.67%K -6.44%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -4.98%E -2.32%K -4.33%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-11 01:05
Ladbrokes (AU)1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -5.13%E -3.02%K -7.33%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -4.98%E -2.32%K -4.33%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-11 01:05
Neds1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -5.13%E -3.02%K -7.33%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -4.98%E -2.32%K -4.33%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-11 01:05
Bet Right1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -5.13%E -3.02%K -7.33%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -4.98%E -2.32%K -4.33%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-11 00:55
Betsson1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -5.13%E -3.02%K -7.33%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -4.98%E -2.32%K -4.33%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-11 01:05
Betway1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -5.69%E -3.36%K -8.24%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -4.98%E -2.32%K -4.33%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-11 01:00
Virgin Bet1.70I 58.82%NM 55.73%EV -5.13%E -3.02%K -7.33%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.27%EV -5.43%E -2.54%K -4.76%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-11 00:45
LeoVegas (SE)1.70I 58.82%NM 55.73%EV -5.13%E -3.02%K -7.33%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.27%EV -5.43%E -2.54%K -4.76%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-11 00:40
BetRivers1.70I 58.82%NM 55.73%EV -5.13%E -3.02%K -7.33%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.27%EV -5.43%E -2.54%K -4.76%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-11 00:45
LiveScore Bet1.70I 58.82%NM 55.73%EV -5.13%E -3.02%K -7.33%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.27%EV -5.43%E -2.54%K -4.76%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-11 00:45
NordicBet1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -4.01%E -2.33%K -5.57%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -6.31%E -2.98%K -5.63%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-11 01:05
Unibet (FR)1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -1.22%E -0.690%K -1.59%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -7.19%E -3.43%K -6.54%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-11 00:50
Hard Rock Bet1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -2.90%E -1.66%K -3.91%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -7.19%E -3.43%K -6.54%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-11 00:26
Paddy Power1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -3.45%E -2.00%K -4.73%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -7.19%E -3.43%K -6.54%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-11 00:05
Sky Bet1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -3.45%E -2.00%K -4.73%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -7.19%E -3.43%K -6.54%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-10 23:45
888sport1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -3.45%E -2.00%K -4.73%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -7.19%E -3.43%K -6.54%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-11 00:05
888sport (SE)1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -3.45%E -2.00%K -4.73%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -7.19%E -3.43%K -6.54%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-11 00:05
Mr Green (SE)1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -3.45%E -2.00%K -4.73%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -7.19%E -3.43%K -6.54%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-11 00:05
William Hill1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -3.45%E -2.00%K -4.73%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -7.19%E -3.43%K -6.54%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-11 00:14
Ladbrokes (UK)1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -5.13%E -3.02%K -7.33%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -7.19%E -3.43%K -6.54%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-11 00:30
Coral1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -5.13%E -3.02%K -7.33%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -7.19%E -3.43%K -6.54%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-11 00:30
PMU (FR)1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -6.80%E -4.07%K -10.15%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -7.19%E -3.43%K -6.54%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-11 00:40
Codere (IT)1.76I 56.82%NM 54.17%EV -1.78%E -1.01%K -2.34%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.83%EV -8.08%E -3.88%K -7.48%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-11 00:55
LeoVegas1.63I 61.35%NM 55.83%EV -9.04%E -5.54%K -14.34%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 44.17%EV -8.96%E -4.35%K -8.45%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-11 00:40
BoyleSports1.73I 57.80%NM 54.23%EV -3.45%E -2.00%K -4.73%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.77%EV -9.40%E -4.59%K -8.96%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-11 00:30
Winamax (FR)1.66I 60.24%NM 55.26%EV -7.36%E -4.43%K -11.15%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.74%EV -9.40%E -4.59%K -8.96%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-11 01:00
Betclic (FR)1.66I 60.24%NM 54.89%EV -7.36%E -4.43%K -11.15%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 45.11%EV -10.73%E -5.31%K -10.52%G +0.000%9.7%2026-04-11 01:05
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (10)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.72I 58.14%NM 57.84%2.36I 42.37%NM 42.16%0.5%2026-04-11 01:05
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.72I 58.14%NM 57.84%2.36I 42.37%NM 42.16%0.5%2026-04-11 01:05
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.72I 58.14%NM 57.84%2.36I 42.37%NM 42.16%0.5%2026-04-11 01:05
Matchbook1.72I 58.14%NM 57.84%2.36I 42.37%NM 42.16%0.5%2026-04-11 01:05
Novig1.72I 58.14%NM 57.74%2.35I 42.55%NM 42.26%0.7%2026-04-11 01:04
ProphetX1.72I 58.14%NM 57.64%2.34I 42.74%NM 42.36%0.9%2026-04-11 01:05
Polymarket1.79I 55.87%NM 55.36%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.64%0.9%2026-04-11 01:00
Smarkets1.71I 58.48%NM 57.36%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.64%2.0%2026-04-11 01:05
Kalshi1.72I 58.14%NM 56.89%2.27I 44.05%NM 43.11%2.2%2026-04-11 01:05
BetOpenly1.19I 84.03%NM 64.90%2.20I 45.45%NM 35.10%29.5%2026-04-11 00:50