La escuela de los momiosEspañol
Denver Nuggets v Oklahoma City Thunder
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Denver Nuggets (Local)
Predicción 55.81%1.79momio equitativo
EV -1.22%
Ventaja -0.690%
Kelly -1.59%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.77
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
54.17%55.76%55.80%59.11%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.631.711.711.7761.35%58.48%58.48%56.50%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Oklahoma City Thunder (Visitante)
Predicción 44.19%2.26momio equitativo
EV +6.06%
Ventaja +2.53%
Kelly +4.33%
Crecimiento +0.263%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.40
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
40.89%44.24%44.20%45.83%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.022.162.152.4049.50%46.36%46.51%41.67%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (63 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 1.66I 60.24%NM 59.11%EV -7.36%E -4.43%K -11.15%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.89%EV +6.06%E +2.53%K +4.33%G +0.263% | 1.9% | 2026-04-11 00:50 |
| Pinnacle | 1.71I 58.48%NM 56.82%EV -4.57%E -2.67%K -6.44%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 43.18%EV -0.565%E -0.251%K -0.452%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-04-11 01:05 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.96%EV -5.13%E -3.02%K -7.33%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 43.04%EV -0.565%E -0.251%K -0.452%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-04-11 00:55 |
| Bovada | 1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -5.69%E -3.36%K -8.24%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -0.565%E -0.251%K -0.452%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-04-11 00:54 |
| BetUS | 1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -5.69%E -3.36%K -8.24%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -0.565%E -0.251%K -0.452%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-04-11 00:55 |
| Dabble (AU) | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.54%EV -7.36%E -4.43%K -11.15%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.46%EV -0.565%E -0.251%K -0.452%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-11 01:05 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.74%EV -5.13%E -3.02%K -7.33%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 43.26%EV -1.45%E -0.650%K -1.18%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-04-11 00:55 |
| Bet Victor | 1.75I 57.14%NM 55.70%EV -2.34%E -1.34%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 44.30%EV -2.77%E -1.26%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 2.6% | 2026-04-11 00:50 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.72I 58.14%NM 56.12%EV -4.01%E -2.33%K -5.57%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.88%EV -2.77%E -1.26%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-04-11 01:00 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -4.57%E -2.67%K -6.44%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -2.77%E -1.26%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-04-11 00:05 |
| theScore Bet | 1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -4.57%E -2.67%K -6.44%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -2.77%E -1.26%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-04-11 00:55 |
| GTbets | 1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -4.57%E -2.67%K -6.44%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -2.77%E -1.26%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-04-11 00:55 |
| DraftKings | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -5.13%E -3.02%K -7.33%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -2.77%E -1.26%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-04-11 00:55 |
| TAB | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -5.13%E -3.02%K -7.33%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -2.77%E -1.26%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-04-11 00:55 |
| Fanatics | 1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -5.69%E -3.36%K -8.24%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -2.77%E -1.26%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-04-11 01:05 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -7.92%E -4.80%K -12.18%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -2.77%E -1.26%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-04-11 01:00 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.30%EV -5.13%E -3.02%K -7.33%G +0.000% | 2.19I 45.66%NM 43.70%EV -3.22%E -1.47%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-04-11 00:55 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.73I 57.80%NM 55.75%EV -3.45%E -2.00%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 44.25%EV -3.66%E -1.68%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-04-11 01:00 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.90%EV -4.01%E -2.33%K -5.57%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 44.10%EV -3.66%E -1.68%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-04-11 00:40 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.90%EV -4.01%E -2.33%K -5.57%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 44.10%EV -3.66%E -1.68%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-04-11 00:40 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.90%EV -4.01%E -2.33%K -5.57%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 44.10%EV -3.66%E -1.68%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-04-11 00:40 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.90%EV -4.01%E -2.33%K -5.57%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 44.10%EV -3.66%E -1.68%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-04-11 00:40 |
| Caesars | 1.71I 58.48%NM 56.04%EV -4.57%E -2.67%K -6.44%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.96%EV -3.66%E -1.68%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-04-11 00:54 |
| FanDuel | 1.75I 57.14%NM 55.24%EV -2.34%E -1.34%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 2.16I 46.30%NM 44.76%EV -4.54%E -2.10%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-04-11 01:05 |
| TABtouch | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.81%EV -4.57%E -2.67%K -6.44%G +0.000% | 2.16I 46.30%NM 44.19%EV -4.54%E -2.10%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-11 00:40 |
| Unibet | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.81%EV -4.57%E -2.67%K -6.44%G +0.000% | 2.16I 46.30%NM 44.19%EV -4.54%E -2.10%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-11 00:40 |
| Bally Bet | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.81%EV -4.57%E -2.67%K -6.44%G +0.000% | 2.16I 46.30%NM 44.19%EV -4.54%E -2.10%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-11 00:40 |
| betPARX | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.81%EV -4.57%E -2.67%K -6.44%G +0.000% | 2.16I 46.30%NM 44.19%EV -4.54%E -2.10%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-11 00:40 |
| MyBookie.ag | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.96%EV -5.13%E -3.02%K -7.33%G +0.000% | 2.16I 46.30%NM 44.04%EV -4.54%E -2.10%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-11 00:58 |
| SportsBet | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -2.90%E -1.66%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -4.98%E -2.32%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-04-11 01:05 |
| Coolbet | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -2.90%E -1.66%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -4.98%E -2.32%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-04-11 00:35 |
| BetMGM | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -2.90%E -1.66%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -4.98%E -2.32%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-04-11 00:30 |
| Everygame | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -2.90%E -1.66%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -4.98%E -2.32%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-04-11 00:54 |
| BetAnything | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -2.90%E -1.66%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -4.98%E -2.32%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-04-11 00:10 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.73I 57.80%NM 55.41%EV -3.45%E -2.00%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.59%EV -4.98%E -2.32%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-04-11 00:05 |
| PlayUp | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.56%EV -4.01%E -2.33%K -5.57%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.44%EV -4.98%E -2.32%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-11 01:05 |
| Fliff | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -4.57%E -2.67%K -6.44%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -4.98%E -2.32%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-11 01:05 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -5.13%E -3.02%K -7.33%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -4.98%E -2.32%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-11 01:05 |
| Neds | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -5.13%E -3.02%K -7.33%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -4.98%E -2.32%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-11 01:05 |
| Bet Right | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -5.13%E -3.02%K -7.33%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -4.98%E -2.32%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-11 00:55 |
| Betsson | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -5.13%E -3.02%K -7.33%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -4.98%E -2.32%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-11 01:05 |
| Betway | 1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -5.69%E -3.36%K -8.24%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -4.98%E -2.32%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-04-11 01:00 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.73%EV -5.13%E -3.02%K -7.33%G +0.000% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 44.27%EV -5.43%E -2.54%K -4.76%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-04-11 00:45 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.73%EV -5.13%E -3.02%K -7.33%G +0.000% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 44.27%EV -5.43%E -2.54%K -4.76%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-04-11 00:40 |
| BetRivers | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.73%EV -5.13%E -3.02%K -7.33%G +0.000% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 44.27%EV -5.43%E -2.54%K -4.76%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-04-11 00:45 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.73%EV -5.13%E -3.02%K -7.33%G +0.000% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 44.27%EV -5.43%E -2.54%K -4.76%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-04-11 00:45 |
| NordicBet | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -4.01%E -2.33%K -5.57%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -6.31%E -2.98%K -5.63%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-11 01:05 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -1.22%E -0.690%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -7.19%E -3.43%K -6.54%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-04-11 00:50 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -2.90%E -1.66%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -7.19%E -3.43%K -6.54%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-11 00:26 |
| Paddy Power | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -3.45%E -2.00%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -7.19%E -3.43%K -6.54%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-11 00:05 |
| Sky Bet | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -3.45%E -2.00%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -7.19%E -3.43%K -6.54%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-10 23:45 |
| 888sport | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -3.45%E -2.00%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -7.19%E -3.43%K -6.54%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-11 00:05 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -3.45%E -2.00%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -7.19%E -3.43%K -6.54%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-11 00:05 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -3.45%E -2.00%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -7.19%E -3.43%K -6.54%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-11 00:05 |
| William Hill | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -3.45%E -2.00%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -7.19%E -3.43%K -6.54%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-11 00:14 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -5.13%E -3.02%K -7.33%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -7.19%E -3.43%K -6.54%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-11 00:30 |
| Coral | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -5.13%E -3.02%K -7.33%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -7.19%E -3.43%K -6.54%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-11 00:30 |
| PMU (FR) | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -6.80%E -4.07%K -10.15%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -7.19%E -3.43%K -6.54%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-04-11 00:40 |
| Codere (IT) | 1.76I 56.82%NM 54.17%EV -1.78%E -1.01%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.83%EV -8.08%E -3.88%K -7.48%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-04-11 00:55 |
| LeoVegas | 1.63I 61.35%NM 55.83%EV -9.04%E -5.54%K -14.34%G +0.000% | 2.06I 48.54%NM 44.17%EV -8.96%E -4.35%K -8.45%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-04-11 00:40 |
| BoyleSports | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.23%EV -3.45%E -2.00%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.77%EV -9.40%E -4.59%K -8.96%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-04-11 00:30 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.66I 60.24%NM 55.26%EV -7.36%E -4.43%K -11.15%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.74%EV -9.40%E -4.59%K -8.96%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-04-11 01:00 |
| Betclic (FR) | 1.66I 60.24%NM 54.89%EV -7.36%E -4.43%K -11.15%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 45.11%EV -10.73%E -5.31%K -10.52%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-04-11 01:05 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (10)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.72I 58.14%NM 57.84% | 2.36I 42.37%NM 42.16% | 0.5% | 2026-04-11 01:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.72I 58.14%NM 57.84% | 2.36I 42.37%NM 42.16% | 0.5% | 2026-04-11 01:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.72I 58.14%NM 57.84% | 2.36I 42.37%NM 42.16% | 0.5% | 2026-04-11 01:05 |
| Matchbook | 1.72I 58.14%NM 57.84% | 2.36I 42.37%NM 42.16% | 0.5% | 2026-04-11 01:05 |
| Novig | 1.72I 58.14%NM 57.74% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 42.26% | 0.7% | 2026-04-11 01:04 |
| ProphetX | 1.72I 58.14%NM 57.64% | 2.34I 42.74%NM 42.36% | 0.9% | 2026-04-11 01:05 |
| Polymarket | 1.79I 55.87%NM 55.36% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 44.64% | 0.9% | 2026-04-11 01:00 |
| Smarkets | 1.71I 58.48%NM 57.36% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 42.64% | 2.0% | 2026-04-11 01:05 |
| Kalshi | 1.72I 58.14%NM 56.89% | 2.27I 44.05%NM 43.11% | 2.2% | 2026-04-11 01:05 |
| BetOpenly | 1.19I 84.03%NM 64.90% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 35.10% | 29.5% | 2026-04-11 00:50 |