The School of Odds
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Dallas Mavericks v San Antonio Spurs

Kickoff: 2026-10-25 00:13 UTC

Final: Dallas Mavericks 106–122 San Antonio Spurs

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

66 sportsbooks (22 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Dallas Mavericks (Local)

Prediction 14.70%6.80fair odd
EV +21.27%
Edge +2.58%
Kelly +2.93%
Growth +0.624%

assuming max odds 8.25

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
11.48%14.78%14.75%18.17%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
5.006.456.508.2520.00%15.51%15.38%12.12%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

San Antonio Spurs (Visit)

Prediction 85.30%1.17fair odd
EV -2.76%
Edge -2.42%
Kelly -19.69%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.14

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
81.83%85.22%85.25%88.52%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.071.121.121.1493.46%89.65%89.29%87.72%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Dallas Mavericks (Local): 14.70%; San Antonio Spurs (Visit): 85.30%. For Dallas Mavericks (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 6.80. 13 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 8.25, corresponding to a positive expected value of +21.27%.

Sportsbook Odds (66 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯8.25I 12.12%NM 11.48%EV +21.27%E +2.58%K +2.93%G +0.624%1.07I 93.46%NM 88.52%EV -8.73%E -8.16%K -124.69%G +0.000%5.6%2026-10-25 00:04
Neds🎯8.25I 12.12%NM 11.48%EV +21.27%E +2.58%K +2.93%G +0.624%1.07I 93.46%NM 88.52%EV -8.73%E -8.16%K -124.69%G +0.000%5.6%2026-10-25 00:04
Betway🎯8.00I 12.50%NM 11.99%EV +17.59%E +2.20%K +2.51%G +0.442%1.09I 91.74%NM 88.01%EV -7.02%E -6.44%K -78.02%G +0.000%4.2%2026-10-24 23:25
BetMGM🎯7.25I 13.79%NM 13.17%EV +6.57%E +0.906%K +1.05%G +0.069%1.10I 90.91%NM 86.83%EV -6.17%E -5.61%K -61.69%G +0.000%4.7%2026-10-25 00:05
FanDuel🎯7.10I 14.08%NM 13.52%EV +4.36%E +0.615%K +0.715%G +0.031%1.11I 90.09%NM 86.48%EV -5.32%E -4.79%K -48.33%G +0.000%4.2%2026-10-25 00:05
SportsBet🎯7.00I 14.29%NM 13.69%EV +2.89%E +0.413%K +0.482%G +0.014%1.11I 90.09%NM 86.31%EV -5.32%E -4.79%K -48.33%G +0.000%4.4%2026-10-24 22:40
Fliff🎯7.00I 14.29%NM 13.69%EV +2.89%E +0.413%K +0.482%G +0.014%1.11I 90.09%NM 86.31%EV -5.32%E -4.79%K -48.33%G +0.000%4.4%2026-10-24 23:30
DraftKings🎯7.00I 14.29%NM 13.69%EV +2.89%E +0.413%K +0.482%G +0.014%1.11I 90.09%NM 86.31%EV -5.32%E -4.79%K -48.33%G +0.000%4.4%2026-10-24 18:31
Caesars🎯7.00I 14.29%NM 13.69%EV +2.89%E +0.413%K +0.482%G +0.014%1.11I 90.09%NM 86.31%EV -5.32%E -4.79%K -48.33%G +0.000%4.4%2026-10-25 00:00
theScore Bet🎯7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV +2.89%E +0.413%K +0.482%G +0.014%1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -6.17%E -5.61%K -61.69%G +0.000%5.2%2026-10-24 22:10
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯7.00I 14.29%NM 13.47%EV +2.89%E +0.413%K +0.482%G +0.014%1.09I 91.74%NM 86.53%EV -7.02%E -6.44%K -78.02%G +0.000%6.0%2026-10-25 00:05
Coral🎯7.00I 14.29%NM 13.47%EV +2.89%E +0.413%K +0.482%G +0.014%1.09I 91.74%NM 86.53%EV -7.02%E -6.44%K -78.02%G +0.000%6.0%2026-10-25 00:04
Marathon Bet🎯7.00I 14.29%NM 13.37%EV +2.89%E +0.413%K +0.482%G +0.014%1.08I 92.59%NM 86.63%EV -7.88%E -7.29%K -98.44%G +0.000%6.9%2026-10-25 00:03
Coolbet🎯6.80I 14.71%NM 14.14%EV -0.046%E -0.007%K -0.008%G +0.000%1.12I 89.29%NM 85.86%EV -4.46%E -3.98%K -37.19%G +0.000%4.0%2026-10-24 18:49
TAB🎯6.80I 14.71%NM 14.14%EV -0.046%E -0.007%K -0.008%G +0.000%1.12I 89.29%NM 85.86%EV -4.46%E -3.98%K -37.19%G +0.000%4.0%2026-10-24 21:49
Fanatics🎯6.75I 14.81%NM 14.23%EV -0.781%E -0.116%K -0.136%G +0.000%1.12I 89.29%NM 85.77%EV -4.46%E -3.98%K -37.19%G +0.000%4.1%2026-10-25 00:05
Hard Rock Bet🎯6.75I 14.81%NM 14.23%EV -0.781%E -0.116%K -0.136%G +0.000%1.12I 89.29%NM 85.77%EV -4.46%E -3.98%K -37.19%G +0.000%4.1%2026-10-24 23:49
Pinnacle🎯6.62I 15.11%NM 14.69%EV -2.69%E -0.407%K -0.479%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 85.31%EV -2.76%E -2.42%K -19.69%G +0.000%2.8%2026-10-24 23:55
1xBet🎯6.54I 15.29%NM 14.73%EV -3.87%E -0.591%K -0.698%G +0.000%1.13I 88.50%NM 85.27%EV -3.61%E -3.19%K -27.77%G +0.000%3.8%2026-10-24 22:00
betano_uk🎯6.50I 15.38%NM 14.92%EV -4.46%E -0.685%K -0.810%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 85.08%EV -2.76%E -2.42%K -19.69%G +0.000%3.1%2026-10-24 23:04
Bet Victor🎯6.50I 15.38%NM 14.92%EV -4.46%E -0.685%K -0.810%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 85.08%EV -2.76%E -2.42%K -19.69%G +0.000%3.1%2026-10-24 23:04
Winamax (DE)🎯6.50I 15.38%NM 14.81%EV -4.46%E -0.685%K -0.810%G +0.000%1.13I 88.50%NM 85.19%EV -3.61%E -3.19%K -27.77%G +0.000%3.9%2026-10-25 00:00
PointsBet (AU)🎯6.50I 15.38%NM 14.81%EV -4.46%E -0.685%K -0.810%G +0.000%1.13I 88.50%NM 85.19%EV -3.61%E -3.19%K -27.77%G +0.000%3.9%2026-10-25 00:05
Betr (AU)🎯6.50I 15.38%NM 14.70%EV -4.46%E -0.685%K -0.810%G +0.000%1.12I 89.29%NM 85.30%EV -4.46%E -3.98%K -37.19%G +0.000%4.7%2026-10-24 23:30
BetRivers🎯6.50I 15.38%NM 14.70%EV -4.46%E -0.685%K -0.810%G +0.000%1.12I 89.29%NM 85.30%EV -4.46%E -3.98%K -37.19%G +0.000%4.7%2026-10-24 23:45
Unibet (SE)🎯6.50I 15.38%NM 14.70%EV -4.46%E -0.685%K -0.810%G +0.000%1.12I 89.29%NM 85.30%EV -4.46%E -3.98%K -37.19%G +0.000%4.7%2026-10-24 23:45
Unibet🎯6.50I 15.38%NM 14.70%EV -4.46%E -0.685%K -0.810%G +0.000%1.12I 89.29%NM 85.30%EV -4.46%E -3.98%K -37.19%G +0.000%4.7%2026-10-24 23:44
Unibet (NL)🎯6.50I 15.38%NM 14.70%EV -4.46%E -0.685%K -0.810%G +0.000%1.12I 89.29%NM 85.30%EV -4.46%E -3.98%K -37.19%G +0.000%4.7%2026-10-24 23:45
Bally Bet🎯6.50I 15.38%NM 14.70%EV -4.46%E -0.685%K -0.810%G +0.000%1.12I 89.29%NM 85.30%EV -4.46%E -3.98%K -37.19%G +0.000%4.7%2026-10-24 23:44
betPARX🎯6.50I 15.38%NM 14.70%EV -4.46%E -0.685%K -0.810%G +0.000%1.12I 89.29%NM 85.30%EV -4.46%E -3.98%K -37.19%G +0.000%4.7%2026-10-24 23:45
ATG (SE)🎯6.50I 15.38%NM 14.70%EV -4.46%E -0.685%K -0.810%G +0.000%1.12I 89.29%NM 85.30%EV -4.46%E -3.98%K -37.19%G +0.000%4.7%2026-10-24 23:45
Svenska Spel🎯6.50I 15.38%NM 14.70%EV -4.46%E -0.685%K -0.810%G +0.000%1.12I 89.29%NM 85.30%EV -4.46%E -3.98%K -37.19%G +0.000%4.7%2026-10-24 23:45
LiveScore Bet🎯6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV -4.46%E -0.685%K -0.810%G +0.000%1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -5.32%E -4.79%K -48.33%G +0.000%5.5%2026-10-24 23:45
TABtouch🎯6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV -4.46%E -0.685%K -0.810%G +0.000%1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -5.32%E -4.79%K -48.33%G +0.000%5.5%2026-10-24 23:45
Paddy Power🎯6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV -4.46%E -0.685%K -0.810%G +0.000%1.10I 90.91%NM 85.53%EV -6.17%E -5.61%K -61.69%G +0.000%6.3%2026-10-24 22:40
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV -4.46%E -0.685%K -0.810%G +0.000%1.10I 90.91%NM 85.53%EV -6.17%E -5.61%K -61.69%G +0.000%6.3%2026-10-24 22:40
Unibet (UK)🎯6.40I 15.63%NM 15.01%EV -5.93%E -0.926%K -1.10%G +0.000%1.13I 88.50%NM 84.99%EV -3.61%E -3.19%K -27.77%G +0.000%4.1%2026-10-25 00:00
LeoVegas (SE)🎯6.40I 15.63%NM 14.78%EV -5.93%E -0.926%K -1.10%G +0.000%1.11I 90.09%NM 85.22%EV -5.32%E -4.79%K -48.33%G +0.000%5.7%2026-10-24 23:50
Virgin Bet🎯6.40I 15.63%NM 14.67%EV -5.93%E -0.926%K -1.10%G +0.000%1.10I 90.91%NM 85.33%EV -6.17%E -5.61%K -61.69%G +0.000%6.5%2026-10-24 23:45
LowVig.ag🎯6.33I 15.80%NM 15.26%EV -6.95%E -1.10%K -1.30%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 84.74%EV -2.76%E -2.42%K -19.69%G +0.000%3.5%2026-10-24 23:25
ReBet🎯6.30I 15.87%NM 15.21%EV -7.40%E -1.17%K -1.40%G +0.000%1.13I 88.50%NM 84.79%EV -3.61%E -3.19%K -27.77%G +0.000%4.4%2026-10-24 18:49
GTbets🎯6.30I 15.87%NM 15.21%EV -7.40%E -1.17%K -1.40%G +0.000%1.13I 88.50%NM 84.79%EV -3.61%E -3.19%K -27.77%G +0.000%4.4%2026-10-24 23:25
PlayUp🎯6.25I 16.00%NM 15.31%EV -8.13%E -1.30%K -1.55%G +0.000%1.13I 88.50%NM 84.69%EV -3.61%E -3.19%K -27.77%G +0.000%4.5%2026-10-25 00:05
Bovada🎯6.25I 16.00%NM 15.20%EV -8.13%E -1.30%K -1.55%G +0.000%1.12I 89.29%NM 84.80%EV -4.46%E -3.98%K -37.19%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-24 23:34
BetOnline.ag🎯6.20I 16.13%NM 15.53%EV -8.87%E -1.43%K -1.70%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 84.47%EV -2.76%E -2.42%K -19.69%G +0.000%3.8%2026-10-24 23:25
BetAnything🎯6.20I 16.13%NM 15.42%EV -8.87%E -1.43%K -1.70%G +0.000%1.13I 88.50%NM 84.58%EV -3.61%E -3.19%K -27.77%G +0.000%4.6%2026-10-24 23:24
MyBookie.ag🎯6.20I 16.13%NM 15.30%EV -8.87%E -1.43%K -1.70%G +0.000%1.12I 89.29%NM 84.70%EV -4.46%E -3.98%K -37.19%G +0.000%5.4%2026-10-24 21:55
BetUS🎯6.15I 16.26%NM 15.64%EV -9.60%E -1.56%K -1.86%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 84.36%EV -2.76%E -2.42%K -19.69%G +0.000%4.0%2026-10-24 23:24
Dabble (AU)🎯6.00I 16.67%NM 15.97%EV -11.80%E -1.97%K -2.36%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 84.03%EV -2.76%E -2.42%K -19.69%G +0.000%4.4%2026-10-25 00:05
Bet Right🎯6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -11.80%E -1.97%K -2.36%G +0.000%1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -3.61%E -3.19%K -27.77%G +0.000%5.2%2026-10-24 21:49
Codere (IT)🎯6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -11.80%E -1.97%K -2.36%G +0.000%1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -3.61%E -3.19%K -27.77%G +0.000%5.2%2026-10-24 18:49
Sky Bet🎯6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -11.80%E -1.97%K -2.36%G +0.000%1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -3.61%E -3.19%K -27.77%G +0.000%5.2%2026-10-24 22:50
888sport🎯6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -11.80%E -1.97%K -2.36%G +0.000%1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -4.46%E -3.98%K -37.19%G +0.000%6.0%2026-10-24 18:48
William Hill🎯6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -11.80%E -1.97%K -2.36%G +0.000%1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -4.46%E -3.98%K -37.19%G +0.000%6.0%2026-10-24 18:48
BoyleSports🎯6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -11.80%E -1.97%K -2.36%G +0.000%1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -4.46%E -3.98%K -37.19%G +0.000%6.0%2026-10-24 23:09
888sport (SE)🎯6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -11.80%E -1.97%K -2.36%G +0.000%1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -4.46%E -3.98%K -37.19%G +0.000%6.0%2026-10-24 18:49
Mr Green (SE)🎯6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -11.80%E -1.97%K -2.36%G +0.000%1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -4.46%E -3.98%K -37.19%G +0.000%6.0%2026-10-24 18:48
NordicBet🎯6.00I 16.67%NM 15.61%EV -11.80%E -1.97%K -2.36%G +0.000%1.11I 90.09%NM 84.39%EV -5.32%E -4.79%K -48.33%G +0.000%6.8%2026-10-24 18:19
Betsson🎯6.00I 16.67%NM 15.61%EV -11.80%E -1.97%K -2.36%G +0.000%1.11I 90.09%NM 84.39%EV -5.32%E -4.79%K -48.33%G +0.000%6.8%2026-10-24 18:19
NetBet (FR)🎯6.00I 16.67%NM 15.37%EV -11.80%E -1.97%K -2.36%G +0.000%1.09I 91.74%NM 84.63%EV -7.02%E -6.44%K -78.02%G +0.000%8.4%2026-10-25 00:00
PMU (FR)🎯6.00I 16.67%NM 15.13%EV -11.80%E -1.97%K -2.36%G +0.000%1.07I 93.46%NM 84.87%EV -8.73%E -8.16%K -124.69%G +0.000%10.1%2026-10-24 23:50
picklebet_au🎯5.70I 17.54%NM 16.42%EV -16.21%E -2.84%K -3.45%G +0.000%1.12I 89.29%NM 83.58%EV -4.46%E -3.98%K -37.19%G +0.000%6.8%2026-10-25 00:00
LeoVegas🎯5.60I 17.86%NM 16.67%EV -17.68%E -3.16%K -3.84%G +0.000%1.12I 89.29%NM 83.33%EV -4.46%E -3.98%K -37.19%G +0.000%7.1%2026-10-25 00:05
Unibet (FR)🎯5.10I 19.61%NM 17.87%EV -25.03%E -4.91%K -6.11%G +0.000%1.11I 90.09%NM 82.13%EV -5.32%E -4.79%K -48.33%G +0.000%9.7%2026-10-24 18:48
Winamax (FR)🎯5.10I 19.61%NM 17.74%EV -25.03%E -4.91%K -6.11%G +0.000%1.10I 90.91%NM 82.26%EV -6.17%E -5.61%K -61.69%G +0.000%10.5%2026-10-24 18:48
Betclic (FR)🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.17%EV -26.50%E -5.30%K -6.63%G +0.000%1.11I 90.09%NM 81.83%EV -5.32%E -4.79%K -48.33%G +0.000%10.1%2026-10-25 00:03
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (10)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
ProphetX◎7.30I 13.70%NM 13.61%1.15I 86.96%NM 86.39%0.7%2026-10-25 00:05
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎7.20I 13.89%NM 13.77%1.15I 86.96%NM 86.23%0.8%2026-10-25 00:00
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎7.20I 13.89%NM 13.77%1.15I 86.96%NM 86.23%0.8%2026-10-25 00:05
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎7.20I 13.89%NM 13.77%1.15I 86.96%NM 86.23%0.8%2026-10-25 00:00
Polymarket◎7.14I 14.01%NM 13.87%1.15I 86.96%NM 86.13%1.0%2026-10-24 23:00
Kalshi◎7.14I 14.01%NM 13.87%1.15I 86.96%NM 86.13%1.0%2026-10-24 22:50
Novig◎7.14I 14.01%NM 13.87%1.15I 86.96%NM 86.13%1.0%2026-10-25 00:05
BetOpenly◎8.55I 11.70%NM 11.58%1.12I 89.29%NM 88.42%1.0%2026-10-24 23:59
Matchbook◎7.40I 13.51%NM 13.35%1.14I 87.72%NM 86.65%1.2%2026-10-25 00:05
Smarkets◎7.20I 13.89%NM 13.57%1.13I 88.50%NM 86.43%2.4%2026-10-25 00:05