Language:English
Dallas Mavericks v Oklahoma City Thunder
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Dallas Mavericks (Local)
Prediction 11.56%8.65fair odd
EV +16.79%
Edge +1.66%
Kelly +1.84%
Growth +0.310%
assuming max odds 10.10
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
9.66%11.76%11.29%14.13%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
6.508.168.0010.1015.38%12.26%12.50%9.90%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Oklahoma City Thunder (Visit)
Prediction 88.44%1.13fair odd
EV -2.72%
Edge -2.47%
Kelly -27.20%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.10
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
85.87%88.24%88.71%90.34%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.051.081.081.1095.24%92.71%92.59%90.91%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Dallas Mavericks (Local): 11.56%; Oklahoma City Thunder (Visit): 88.44%. For Dallas Mavericks (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 8.65. 11 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 10.10, corresponding to a positive expected value of +16.79%.
Sportsbook Odds (64 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet🎯 | 10.10I 9.90%NM 9.66%EV +16.79%E +1.66%K +1.84%G +0.310% | 1.08I 92.59%NM 90.34%EV -4.49%E -4.16%K -56.10%G +0.000% | 2.5% | 2026-03-02 00:49 |
| Fliff🎯 | 9.25I 10.81%NM 10.37%EV +6.96%E +0.752%K +0.844%G +0.059% | 1.07I 93.46%NM 89.63%EV -5.37%E -5.02%K -76.75%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-02 00:15 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.71%EV +4.07%E +0.452%K +0.509%G +0.021% | 1.08I 92.59%NM 89.29%EV -4.49%E -4.16%K -56.10%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-03-02 00:44 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.71%EV +4.07%E +0.452%K +0.509%G +0.021% | 1.08I 92.59%NM 89.29%EV -4.49%E -4.16%K -56.10%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-03-02 00:44 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.71%EV +4.07%E +0.452%K +0.509%G +0.021% | 1.08I 92.59%NM 89.29%EV -4.49%E -4.16%K -56.10%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-03-02 00:44 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.71%EV +4.07%E +0.452%K +0.509%G +0.021% | 1.08I 92.59%NM 89.29%EV -4.49%E -4.16%K -56.10%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-03-02 00:44 |
| Caesars🎯 | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.63%EV +4.07%E +0.452%K +0.509%G +0.021% | 1.07I 93.46%NM 89.37%EV -5.37%E -5.02%K -76.75%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-02 01:04 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 8.81I 11.35%NM 11.01%EV +1.87%E +0.212%K +0.240%G +0.004% | 1.09I 91.74%NM 88.99%EV -3.60%E -3.31%K -40.04%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-03-02 00:59 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 8.75I 11.43%NM 10.99%EV +1.18%E +0.135%K +0.152%G +0.002% | 1.08I 92.59%NM 89.01%EV -4.49%E -4.16%K -56.10%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-03-02 01:04 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 8.75I 11.43%NM 10.99%EV +1.18%E +0.135%K +0.152%G +0.002% | 1.08I 92.59%NM 89.01%EV -4.49%E -4.16%K -56.10%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-03-02 00:56 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 8.75I 11.43%NM 10.99%EV +1.18%E +0.135%K +0.152%G +0.002% | 1.08I 92.59%NM 89.01%EV -4.49%E -4.16%K -56.10%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-03-02 00:48 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 8.60I 11.63%NM 11.16%EV -0.556%E -0.065%K -0.073%G +0.000% | 1.08I 92.59%NM 88.84%EV -4.49%E -4.16%K -56.10%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-03-02 00:59 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 8.54I 11.71%NM 11.23%EV -1.25%E -0.146%K -0.166%G +0.000% | 1.08I 92.59%NM 88.77%EV -4.49%E -4.16%K -56.10%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-02 00:59 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.37%EV -1.71%E -0.201%K -0.228%G +0.000% | 1.09I 91.74%NM 88.63%EV -3.60%E -3.31%K -40.04%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-03-02 01:04 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.27%EV -1.71%E -0.201%K -0.228%G +0.000% | 1.08I 92.59%NM 88.73%EV -4.49%E -4.16%K -56.10%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-03-02 00:59 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.27%EV -1.71%E -0.201%K -0.228%G +0.000% | 1.08I 92.59%NM 88.73%EV -4.49%E -4.16%K -56.10%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-03-02 00:14 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.27%EV -1.71%E -0.201%K -0.228%G +0.000% | 1.08I 92.59%NM 88.73%EV -4.49%E -4.16%K -56.10%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-03-02 00:14 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.27%EV -1.71%E -0.201%K -0.228%G +0.000% | 1.08I 92.59%NM 88.73%EV -4.49%E -4.16%K -56.10%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-03-02 01:04 |
| Unibet🎯 | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.27%EV -1.71%E -0.201%K -0.228%G +0.000% | 1.08I 92.59%NM 88.73%EV -4.49%E -4.16%K -56.10%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-03-02 01:04 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.27%EV -1.71%E -0.201%K -0.228%G +0.000% | 1.08I 92.59%NM 88.73%EV -4.49%E -4.16%K -56.10%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-03-02 01:04 |
| betPARX🎯 | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.27%EV -1.71%E -0.201%K -0.228%G +0.000% | 1.08I 92.59%NM 88.73%EV -4.49%E -4.16%K -56.10%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-03-02 01:04 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.27%EV -1.71%E -0.201%K -0.228%G +0.000% | 1.08I 92.59%NM 88.73%EV -4.49%E -4.16%K -56.10%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-03-02 01:04 |
| Neds🎯 | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV -1.71%E -0.201%K -0.228%G +0.000% | 1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -5.37%E -5.02%K -76.75%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-02 00:14 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV -1.71%E -0.201%K -0.228%G +0.000% | 1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -5.37%E -5.02%K -76.75%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-02 00:14 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV -1.71%E -0.201%K -0.228%G +0.000% | 1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -5.37%E -5.02%K -76.75%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-02 00:59 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.09%EV -1.71%E -0.201%K -0.228%G +0.000% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 88.91%EV -6.26%E -5.90%K -104.28%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-03-01 14:09 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 8.25I 12.12%NM 11.29%EV -4.60%E -0.558%K -0.635%G +0.000% | 1.05I 95.24%NM 88.71%EV -7.14%E -6.80%K -142.83%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-03-02 00:30 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 8.23I 12.15%NM 11.79%EV -4.83%E -0.587%K -0.669%G +0.000% | 1.10I 90.91%NM 88.21%EV -2.72%E -2.47%K -27.20%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-03-02 00:54 |
| GTbets🎯 | 8.05I 12.42%NM 12.02%EV -6.92%E -0.859%K -0.981%G +0.000% | 1.10I 90.91%NM 87.98%EV -2.72%E -2.47%K -27.20%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-03-02 00:09 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.99%EV -7.49%E -0.937%K -1.07%G +0.000% | 1.09I 91.74%NM 88.01%EV -3.60%E -3.31%K -40.04%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-03-01 19:49 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.99%EV -7.49%E -0.937%K -1.07%G +0.000% | 1.09I 91.74%NM 88.01%EV -3.60%E -3.31%K -40.04%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-02-28 23:49 |
| TAB🎯 | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.99%EV -7.49%E -0.937%K -1.07%G +0.000% | 1.09I 91.74%NM 88.01%EV -3.60%E -3.31%K -40.04%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-03-02 00:44 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.99%EV -7.49%E -0.937%K -1.07%G +0.000% | 1.09I 91.74%NM 88.01%EV -3.60%E -3.31%K -40.04%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-03-01 20:19 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV -7.49%E -0.937%K -1.07%G +0.000% | 1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -4.49%E -4.16%K -56.10%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-02 01:00 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV -7.49%E -0.937%K -1.07%G +0.000% | 1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -4.49%E -4.16%K -56.10%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-01 19:29 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.80%EV -7.49%E -0.937%K -1.07%G +0.000% | 1.07I 93.46%NM 88.20%EV -5.37%E -5.02%K -76.75%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-01 18:50 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.80%EV -7.49%E -0.937%K -1.07%G +0.000% | 1.07I 93.46%NM 88.20%EV -5.37%E -5.02%K -76.75%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-02 00:30 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.80%EV -7.49%E -0.937%K -1.07%G +0.000% | 1.07I 93.46%NM 88.20%EV -5.37%E -5.02%K -76.75%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-02 01:03 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.80%EV -7.49%E -0.937%K -1.07%G +0.000% | 1.07I 93.46%NM 88.20%EV -5.37%E -5.02%K -76.75%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-02 01:04 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.80%EV -7.49%E -0.937%K -1.07%G +0.000% | 1.07I 93.46%NM 88.20%EV -5.37%E -5.02%K -76.75%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-02 01:04 |
| Coral🎯 | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.80%EV -7.49%E -0.937%K -1.07%G +0.000% | 1.07I 93.46%NM 88.20%EV -5.37%E -5.02%K -76.75%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-02 00:39 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.80%EV -7.49%E -0.937%K -1.07%G +0.000% | 1.07I 93.46%NM 88.20%EV -5.37%E -5.02%K -76.75%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-02 00:40 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.80%EV -7.49%E -0.937%K -1.07%G +0.000% | 1.07I 93.46%NM 88.20%EV -5.37%E -5.02%K -76.75%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-02 00:59 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.80%EV -7.49%E -0.937%K -1.07%G +0.000% | 1.07I 93.46%NM 88.20%EV -5.37%E -5.02%K -76.75%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-01 18:49 |
| 888sport🎯 | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.70%EV -7.49%E -0.937%K -1.07%G +0.000% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 88.30%EV -6.26%E -5.90%K -104.28%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-03-01 20:39 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.70%EV -7.49%E -0.937%K -1.07%G +0.000% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 88.30%EV -6.26%E -5.90%K -104.28%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-03-01 20:39 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.70%EV -7.49%E -0.937%K -1.07%G +0.000% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 88.30%EV -6.26%E -5.90%K -104.28%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-03-01 20:39 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.70%EV -7.49%E -0.937%K -1.07%G +0.000% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 88.30%EV -6.26%E -5.90%K -104.28%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-03-02 00:44 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 7.85I 12.74%NM 12.09%EV -9.23%E -1.18%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 1.08I 92.59%NM 87.91%EV -4.49%E -4.16%K -56.10%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-02 00:13 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 7.80I 12.82%NM 12.26%EV -9.81%E -1.26%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 1.09I 91.74%NM 87.74%EV -3.60%E -3.31%K -40.04%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-01 23:04 |
| Parions Sport (FR)🎯 | 7.70I 12.99%NM 12.40%EV -10.96%E -1.42%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 1.09I 91.74%NM 87.60%EV -3.60%E -3.31%K -40.04%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-02 00:50 |
| BetUS🎯 | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.79%EV -13.28%E -1.77%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 1.10I 90.91%NM 87.21%EV -2.72%E -2.47%K -27.20%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-03-02 00:19 |
| Everygame🎯 | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.79%EV -13.28%E -1.77%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 1.10I 90.91%NM 87.21%EV -2.72%E -2.47%K -27.20%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-03-01 22:24 |
| Bovada🎯 | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV -13.28%E -1.77%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 1.09I 91.74%NM 87.31%EV -3.60%E -3.31%K -40.04%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-02 00:12 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -13.28%E -1.77%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -4.49%E -4.16%K -56.10%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-02 00:59 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -13.28%E -1.77%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -4.49%E -4.16%K -56.10%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-02 00:04 |
| William Hill🎯 | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -13.28%E -1.77%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -4.49%E -4.16%K -56.10%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-01 05:10 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -13.28%E -1.77%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -4.49%E -4.16%K -56.10%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-02 01:03 |
| Betway🎯 | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -13.28%E -1.77%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -4.49%E -4.16%K -56.10%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-02 00:59 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.49%EV -13.28%E -1.77%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 1.07I 93.46%NM 87.51%EV -5.37%E -5.02%K -76.75%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-03-02 00:59 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 7.30I 13.70%NM 12.78%EV -15.59%E -2.14%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 1.07I 93.46%NM 87.22%EV -5.37%E -5.02%K -76.75%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-03-02 00:54 |
| Betsson🎯 | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -19.06%E -2.72%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -2.72%E -2.47%K -27.20%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-01 18:29 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -19.06%E -2.72%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -2.72%E -2.47%K -27.20%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-02 01:04 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.13%EV -24.84%E -3.82%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 1.07I 93.46%NM 85.87%EV -5.37%E -5.02%K -76.75%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-03-02 01:04 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (10)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Novig◎ | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.99% | 1.11I 90.09%NM 90.01% | 0.1% | 2026-03-02 00:58 |
| Matchbook◎ | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.99% | 1.11I 90.09%NM 90.01% | 0.1% | 2026-03-02 00:54 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.99% | 1.11I 90.09%NM 90.01% | 0.1% | 2026-03-02 01:04 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.99% | 1.11I 90.09%NM 90.01% | 0.1% | 2026-03-02 00:59 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 9.80I 10.20%NM 10.17% | 1.11I 90.09%NM 89.83% | 0.3% | 2026-03-02 01:04 |
| ProphetX◎ | 9.60I 10.42%NM 10.36% | 1.11I 90.09%NM 89.64% | 0.5% | 2026-03-02 01:04 |
| Kalshi◎ | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.91% | 1.10I 90.91%NM 90.09% | 0.9% | 2026-03-02 00:54 |
| Polymarket◎ | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.91% | 1.10I 90.91%NM 90.09% | 0.9% | 2026-03-02 00:54 |
| BetOpenly◎ | 10.75I 9.30%NM 9.21% | 1.09I 91.74%NM 90.79% | 1.0% | 2026-03-02 00:59 |
| Smarkets◎ | 9.60I 10.42%NM 10.28% | 1.10I 90.91%NM 89.72% | 1.3% | 2026-03-02 01:04 |