The School of Odds
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Dallas Mavericks v Houston Rockets

Kickoff: 2026-10-31 00:11 UTC

Final: Dallas Mavericks 116–111 Houston Rockets

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

64 sportsbooks (21 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Dallas Mavericks (Local)

Prediction 35.64%2.81fair odd
EV +1.59%
Edge +0.557%
Kelly +0.858%
Growth +0.014%

assuming max odds 2.85

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
33.65%35.53%35.56%37.85%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.252.682.702.8544.44%37.32%37.04%35.09%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Houston Rockets (Visit)

Prediction 64.36%1.55fair odd
EV -2.82%
Edge -1.87%
Kelly -5.54%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.51

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
62.15%64.47%64.44%66.35%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.371.481.481.5172.99%67.78%67.57%66.23%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Dallas Mavericks (Local): 35.64%; Houston Rockets (Visit): 64.36%. For Dallas Mavericks (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.81. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.85, corresponding to a positive expected value of +1.59%.

Sportsbook Odds (64 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
Pinnacle🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 34.33%EV +1.59%E +0.557%K +0.858%G +0.014%1.49I 67.11%NM 65.67%EV -4.11%E -2.76%K -8.39%G +0.000%2.2%2026-10-31 00:05
Tipico (DE)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -0.195%E -0.070%K -0.108%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -8.62%E -6.07%K -20.51%G +0.000%6.1%2026-10-30 23:55
Marathon Bet🎯2.77I 36.10%NM 33.73%EV -1.26%E -0.456%K -0.714%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 66.27%EV -9.26%E -6.57%K -22.58%G +0.000%7.0%2026-10-31 00:00
betano_uk🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 35.29%EV -1.98%E -0.719%K -1.13%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 64.71%EV -3.47%E -2.31%K -6.93%G +0.000%3.0%2026-10-30 23:55
Bet Victor🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 35.29%EV -1.98%E -0.719%K -1.13%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 64.71%EV -3.47%E -2.31%K -6.93%G +0.000%3.0%2026-10-30 23:54
LowVig.ag🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 35.29%EV -1.98%E -0.719%K -1.13%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 64.71%EV -3.47%E -2.31%K -6.93%G +0.000%3.0%2026-10-30 22:50
BetUS🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 35.14%EV -1.98%E -0.719%K -1.13%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 64.86%EV -4.11%E -2.76%K -8.39%G +0.000%3.5%2026-10-30 23:29
Svenska Spel🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.99%EV -1.98%E -0.719%K -1.13%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 65.01%EV -4.75%E -3.21%K -9.90%G +0.000%3.9%2026-10-31 00:05
ATG (SE)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.99%EV -1.98%E -0.719%K -1.13%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 65.01%EV -4.75%E -3.21%K -9.90%G +0.000%3.9%2026-10-31 00:05
Unibet (SE)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.99%EV -1.98%E -0.719%K -1.13%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 65.01%EV -4.75%E -3.21%K -9.90%G +0.000%3.9%2026-10-31 00:05
Unibet (NL)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.99%EV -1.98%E -0.719%K -1.13%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 65.01%EV -4.75%E -3.21%K -9.90%G +0.000%3.9%2026-10-31 00:05
Bovada🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.99%EV -1.98%E -0.719%K -1.13%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 65.01%EV -4.75%E -3.21%K -9.90%G +0.000%3.9%2026-10-31 00:05
Betway🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.99%EV -1.98%E -0.719%K -1.13%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 65.01%EV -4.75%E -3.21%K -9.90%G +0.000%3.9%2026-10-30 23:54
Caesars🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.99%EV -1.98%E -0.719%K -1.13%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 65.01%EV -4.75%E -3.21%K -9.90%G +0.000%3.9%2026-10-30 23:40
Neds🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.68%EV -1.98%E -0.719%K -1.13%G +0.000%1.46I 68.49%NM 65.32%EV -6.04%E -4.14%K -13.13%G +0.000%4.9%2026-10-30 23:55
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.68%EV -1.98%E -0.719%K -1.13%G +0.000%1.46I 68.49%NM 65.32%EV -6.04%E -4.14%K -13.13%G +0.000%4.9%2026-10-30 23:55
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -1.98%E -0.719%K -1.13%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -6.68%E -4.61%K -14.86%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-30 22:40
William Hill🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -1.98%E -0.719%K -1.13%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -7.33%E -5.09%K -16.66%G +0.000%5.8%2026-10-31 00:04
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -1.98%E -0.719%K -1.13%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -7.33%E -5.09%K -16.66%G +0.000%5.8%2026-10-30 23:59
BetOnline.ag🎯2.74I 36.50%NM 35.38%EV -2.33%E -0.852%K -1.34%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 64.62%EV -3.47%E -2.31%K -6.93%G +0.000%3.2%2026-10-30 22:50
Unibet (UK)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 35.71%EV -3.76%E -1.39%K -2.21%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 64.29%EV -3.47%E -2.31%K -6.93%G +0.000%3.7%2026-10-30 22:45
Winamax (DE)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 35.71%EV -3.76%E -1.39%K -2.21%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 64.29%EV -3.47%E -2.31%K -6.93%G +0.000%3.7%2026-10-30 22:40
GTbets🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 35.71%EV -3.76%E -1.39%K -2.21%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 64.29%EV -3.47%E -2.31%K -6.93%G +0.000%3.7%2026-10-30 22:45
theScore Bet🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 35.71%EV -3.76%E -1.39%K -2.21%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 64.29%EV -3.47%E -2.31%K -6.93%G +0.000%3.7%2026-10-30 22:45
Everygame🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 35.71%EV -3.76%E -1.39%K -2.21%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 64.29%EV -3.47%E -2.31%K -6.93%G +0.000%3.7%2026-10-30 22:51
BetAnything🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 35.71%EV -3.76%E -1.39%K -2.21%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 64.29%EV -3.47%E -2.31%K -6.93%G +0.000%3.7%2026-10-30 22:50
Betr (AU)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 35.56%EV -3.76%E -1.39%K -2.21%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 64.44%EV -4.11%E -2.76%K -8.39%G +0.000%4.2%2026-10-30 23:25
Fanatics🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 35.56%EV -3.76%E -1.39%K -2.21%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 64.44%EV -4.11%E -2.76%K -8.39%G +0.000%4.2%2026-10-30 23:55
BetMGM🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -3.76%E -1.39%K -2.21%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -4.75%E -3.21%K -9.90%G +0.000%4.6%2026-10-30 23:55
Unibet🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -3.76%E -1.39%K -2.21%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -5.40%E -3.67%K -11.48%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-31 00:05
BetRivers🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -3.76%E -1.39%K -2.21%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -5.40%E -3.67%K -11.48%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-31 00:05
Bally Bet🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -3.76%E -1.39%K -2.21%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -5.40%E -3.67%K -11.48%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-31 00:05
betPARX🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -3.76%E -1.39%K -2.21%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -5.40%E -3.67%K -11.48%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-31 00:05
LiveScore Bet🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 35.10%EV -3.76%E -1.39%K -2.21%G +0.000%1.46I 68.49%NM 64.90%EV -6.04%E -4.14%K -13.13%G +0.000%5.5%2026-10-31 00:05
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -3.76%E -1.39%K -2.21%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -6.68%E -4.61%K -14.86%G +0.000%6.0%2026-10-31 00:05
Virgin Bet🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -3.76%E -1.39%K -2.21%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -6.68%E -4.61%K -14.86%G +0.000%6.0%2026-10-31 00:05
TABtouch🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -3.76%E -1.39%K -2.21%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -6.68%E -4.61%K -14.86%G +0.000%6.0%2026-10-31 00:05
SportsBet🎯2.68I 37.31%NM 35.89%EV -4.47%E -1.67%K -2.66%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 64.11%EV -3.47%E -2.31%K -6.93%G +0.000%4.0%2026-10-31 00:10
FanDuel🎯2.66I 37.59%NM 36.21%EV -5.18%E -1.95%K -3.12%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 63.79%EV -2.82%E -1.87%K -5.54%G +0.000%3.8%2026-10-31 00:10
picklebet_au🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -5.54%E -2.09%K -3.36%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -3.47%E -2.31%K -6.93%G +0.000%4.4%2026-10-31 00:00
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -5.54%E -2.09%K -3.36%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -3.47%E -2.31%K -6.93%G +0.000%4.4%2026-10-30 22:40
TAB🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -5.54%E -2.09%K -3.36%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -3.47%E -2.31%K -6.93%G +0.000%4.4%2026-10-30 22:45
ReBet🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -5.54%E -2.09%K -3.36%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -3.47%E -2.31%K -6.93%G +0.000%4.4%2026-10-30 23:59
Dabble (AU)🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -5.54%E -2.09%K -3.36%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -3.47%E -2.31%K -6.93%G +0.000%4.4%2026-10-31 00:00
PlayUp🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -5.54%E -2.09%K -3.36%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -3.47%E -2.31%K -6.93%G +0.000%4.4%2026-10-31 00:05
Codere (IT)🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.99%EV -5.54%E -2.09%K -3.36%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 64.01%EV -4.11%E -2.76%K -8.39%G +0.000%4.8%2026-10-30 22:50
Fliff🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.05%EV -5.54%E -2.09%K -3.36%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 64.95%EV -7.97%E -5.57%K -18.54%G +0.000%7.7%2026-10-31 00:05
DraftKings🎯2.64I 37.88%NM 36.39%EV -5.90%E -2.23%K -3.60%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 63.61%EV -2.82%E -1.87%K -5.54%G +0.000%4.1%2026-10-30 22:45
Sky Bet🎯2.63I 38.02%NM 36.32%EV -6.25%E -2.38%K -3.84%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.68%EV -3.47%E -2.31%K -6.93%G +0.000%4.7%2026-10-30 22:59
MyBookie.ag🎯2.63I 38.02%NM 35.85%EV -6.25%E -2.38%K -3.84%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 64.15%EV -5.40%E -3.67%K -11.48%G +0.000%6.1%2026-10-30 22:54
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.63I 38.02%NM 35.85%EV -6.25%E -2.38%K -3.84%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 64.15%EV -5.40%E -3.67%K -11.48%G +0.000%6.1%2026-10-30 22:40
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 36.10%EV -6.61%E -2.52%K -4.08%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 63.90%EV -4.75%E -3.21%K -9.90%G +0.000%5.7%2026-10-30 23:55
Coral🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 36.10%EV -6.61%E -2.52%K -4.08%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 63.90%EV -4.75%E -3.21%K -9.90%G +0.000%5.7%2026-10-30 23:55
Paddy Power🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 35.94%EV -6.61%E -2.52%K -4.08%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 64.06%EV -5.40%E -3.67%K -11.48%G +0.000%6.2%2026-10-30 22:40
888sport🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -7.32%E -2.82%K -4.58%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -3.47%E -2.31%K -6.93%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-30 22:45
888sport (SE)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -7.32%E -2.82%K -4.58%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -3.47%E -2.31%K -6.93%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-30 22:45
BoyleSports🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -7.32%E -2.82%K -4.58%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -3.47%E -2.31%K -6.93%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-31 00:00
PMU (FR)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.00%EV -7.32%E -2.82%K -4.58%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 65.00%EV -9.90%E -7.07%K -24.76%G +0.000%9.9%2026-10-31 00:05
NordicBet🎯2.58I 38.76%NM 36.45%EV -8.04%E -3.11%K -5.09%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 63.55%EV -4.75%E -3.21%K -9.90%G +0.000%6.3%2026-10-31 00:00
Betsson🎯2.58I 38.76%NM 36.45%EV -8.04%E -3.11%K -5.09%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 63.55%EV -4.75%E -3.21%K -9.90%G +0.000%6.3%2026-10-31 00:05
NetBet (FR)🎯2.57I 38.91%NM 35.43%EV -8.39%E -3.27%K -5.35%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 64.57%EV -9.26%E -6.57%K -22.58%G +0.000%9.8%2026-10-31 00:00
Winamax (FR)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.41%EV -9.11%E -3.57%K -5.87%G +0.000%1.46I 68.49%NM 63.59%EV -6.04%E -4.14%K -13.13%G +0.000%7.7%2026-10-30 22:40
LeoVegas🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.25%EV -9.11%E -3.57%K -5.87%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 63.75%EV -6.68%E -4.61%K -14.86%G +0.000%8.2%2026-10-31 00:05
Unibet (FR)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 37.85%EV -19.80%E -8.80%K -15.84%G +0.000%1.37I 72.99%NM 62.15%EV -11.83%E -8.64%K -31.98%G +0.000%17.4%2026-10-30 23:59
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (9)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
ProphetX◎2.92I 34.25%NM 34.23%1.52I 65.79%NM 65.77%0.0%2026-10-31 00:05
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.92I 34.25%NM 34.09%1.51I 66.23%NM 65.91%0.5%2026-10-31 00:10
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.92I 34.25%NM 34.09%1.51I 66.23%NM 65.91%0.5%2026-10-31 00:10
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.92I 34.25%NM 34.09%1.51I 66.23%NM 65.91%0.5%2026-10-31 00:10
Novig◎2.94I 34.01%NM 33.78%1.50I 66.67%NM 66.22%0.7%2026-10-31 00:05
Polymarket◎2.94I 34.01%NM 33.63%1.49I 67.11%NM 66.37%1.1%2026-10-31 00:10
Kalshi◎2.94I 34.01%NM 33.63%1.49I 67.11%NM 66.37%1.1%2026-10-31 00:05
Smarkets◎2.88I 34.72%NM 34.10%1.49I 67.11%NM 65.90%1.8%2026-10-31 00:10
BetOpenly◎2.70I 37.04%NM 35.10%1.46I 68.49%NM 64.90%5.5%2026-10-30 23:35