Language:English
Dallas Mavericks v Cleveland Cavaliers
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Dallas Mavericks (Local)
Prediction 15.82%6.32fair odd
EV +6.82%
Edge +1.01%
Kelly +1.19%
Growth +0.081%
assuming max odds 6.75
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
14.23%15.94%15.85%17.72%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
5.206.086.006.7519.23%16.45%16.67%14.81%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Cleveland Cavaliers (Visit)
Prediction 84.18%1.19fair odd
EV -3.20%
Edge -2.78%
Kelly -21.32%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.15
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
82.28%84.06%84.15%85.77%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.101.131.131.1590.91%88.45%88.50%86.96%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Dallas Mavericks (Local): 15.82%; Cleveland Cavaliers (Visit): 84.18%. For Dallas Mavericks (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 6.32. 15 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 6.75, corresponding to a positive expected value of +6.82%.
Sportsbook Odds (63 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet🎯 | 6.75I 14.81%NM 14.56%EV +6.82%E +1.01%K +1.19%G +0.081% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 85.44%EV -3.20%E -2.78%K -21.32%G +0.000% | 1.8% | 2026-03-13 22:50 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 6.75I 14.81%NM 14.23%EV +6.82%E +1.01%K +1.19%G +0.081% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 85.77%EV -5.72%E -5.11%K -47.70%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-03-13 23:14 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 6.75I 14.81%NM 14.23%EV +6.82%E +1.01%K +1.19%G +0.081% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 85.77%EV -5.72%E -5.11%K -47.70%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-03-13 23:14 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 6.75I 14.81%NM 14.23%EV +6.82%E +1.01%K +1.19%G +0.081% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 85.77%EV -5.72%E -5.11%K -47.70%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-03-13 23:15 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 6.75I 14.81%NM 14.23%EV +6.82%E +1.01%K +1.19%G +0.081% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 85.77%EV -5.72%E -5.11%K -47.70%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-03-13 23:14 |
| William Hill🎯 | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV +2.86%E +0.440%K +0.520%G +0.015% | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -6.57%E -5.91%K -59.68%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-13 18:34 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 6.40I 15.63%NM 15.01%EV +1.28%E +0.200%K +0.237%G +0.003% | 1.13I 88.50%NM 84.99%EV -4.88%E -4.32%K -37.55%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-03-13 23:34 |
| Parions Sport (FR)🎯 | 6.40I 15.63%NM 15.01%EV +1.28%E +0.200%K +0.237%G +0.003% | 1.13I 88.50%NM 84.99%EV -4.88%E -4.32%K -37.55%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-03-13 23:19 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.89%EV +1.28%E +0.200%K +0.237%G +0.003% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 85.11%EV -5.72%E -5.11%K -47.70%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-13 23:29 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.89%EV +1.28%E +0.200%K +0.237%G +0.003% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 85.11%EV -5.72%E -5.11%K -47.70%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-13 23:30 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.89%EV +1.28%E +0.200%K +0.237%G +0.003% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 85.11%EV -5.72%E -5.11%K -47.70%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-13 23:29 |
| Unibet🎯 | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.89%EV +1.28%E +0.200%K +0.237%G +0.003% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 85.11%EV -5.72%E -5.11%K -47.70%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-13 23:14 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.89%EV +1.28%E +0.200%K +0.237%G +0.003% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 85.11%EV -5.72%E -5.11%K -47.70%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-13 23:15 |
| betPARX🎯 | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.89%EV +1.28%E +0.200%K +0.237%G +0.003% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 85.11%EV -5.72%E -5.11%K -47.70%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-13 23:15 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.89%EV +1.28%E +0.200%K +0.237%G +0.003% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 85.11%EV -5.72%E -5.11%K -47.70%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-13 23:14 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 6.30I 15.87%NM 15.32%EV -0.305%E -0.048%K -0.058%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 84.68%EV -4.04%E -3.54%K -28.86%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-03-13 23:35 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 6.30I 15.87%NM 15.21%EV -0.305%E -0.048%K -0.058%G +0.000% | 1.13I 88.50%NM 84.79%EV -4.88%E -4.32%K -37.55%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-03-13 23:35 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.54%EV -1.10%E -0.175%K -0.209%G +0.000% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 84.46%EV -3.20%E -2.78%K -21.32%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-03-13 23:20 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.43%EV -1.10%E -0.175%K -0.209%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 84.57%EV -4.04%E -3.54%K -28.86%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-03-13 23:14 |
| Fliff🎯 | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.31%EV -1.10%E -0.175%K -0.209%G +0.000% | 1.13I 88.50%NM 84.69%EV -4.88%E -4.32%K -37.55%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-03-13 23:35 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.08%EV -1.10%E -0.175%K -0.209%G +0.000% | 1.11I 90.09%NM 84.92%EV -6.57%E -5.91%K -59.68%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-03-13 23:14 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 6.17I 16.21%NM 15.71%EV -2.36%E -0.383%K -0.457%G +0.000% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 84.29%EV -3.20%E -2.78%K -21.32%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-03-13 23:04 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 6.15I 16.26%NM 15.52%EV -2.68%E -0.436%K -0.520%G +0.000% | 1.13I 88.50%NM 84.48%EV -4.88%E -4.32%K -37.55%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-13 23:25 |
| ReBet🎯 | 6.10I 16.39%NM 15.75%EV -3.47%E -0.569%K -0.680%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 84.25%EV -4.04%E -3.54%K -28.86%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-03-13 23:14 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 6.10I 16.39%NM 15.75%EV -3.47%E -0.569%K -0.680%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 84.25%EV -4.04%E -3.54%K -28.86%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-03-13 23:05 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 6.10I 16.39%NM 15.28%EV -3.47%E -0.569%K -0.680%G +0.000% | 1.10I 90.91%NM 84.72%EV -7.41%E -6.73%K -74.07%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-03-13 23:14 |
| GTbets🎯 | 6.05I 16.53%NM 15.86%EV -4.26%E -0.704%K -0.844%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 84.14%EV -4.04%E -3.54%K -28.86%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-03-13 23:05 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 6.05I 16.53%NM 15.86%EV -4.26%E -0.704%K -0.844%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 84.14%EV -4.04%E -3.54%K -28.86%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-03-13 23:04 |
| Everygame🎯 | 6.05I 16.53%NM 15.86%EV -4.26%E -0.704%K -0.844%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 84.14%EV -4.04%E -3.54%K -28.86%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-03-13 23:04 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.97%EV -5.05%E -0.842%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 84.03%EV -4.04%E -3.54%K -28.86%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-03-13 23:14 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.97%EV -5.05%E -0.842%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 84.03%EV -4.04%E -3.54%K -28.86%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-03-13 23:05 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.97%EV -5.05%E -0.842%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 84.03%EV -4.04%E -3.54%K -28.86%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-03-13 23:04 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.97%EV -5.05%E -0.842%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 84.03%EV -4.04%E -3.54%K -28.86%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-03-13 23:20 |
| Caesars🎯 | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.97%EV -5.05%E -0.842%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 84.03%EV -4.04%E -3.54%K -28.86%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-03-13 23:02 |
| BetUS🎯 | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.97%EV -5.05%E -0.842%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 84.03%EV -4.04%E -3.54%K -28.86%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-03-13 23:04 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.97%EV -5.05%E -0.842%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 84.03%EV -4.04%E -3.54%K -28.86%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-03-13 23:05 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -5.05%E -0.842%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -4.88%E -4.32%K -37.55%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-13 23:14 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -5.05%E -0.842%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -4.88%E -4.32%K -37.55%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-13 22:29 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -5.05%E -0.842%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -4.88%E -4.32%K -37.55%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-13 22:49 |
| Bovada🎯 | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -5.05%E -0.842%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -4.88%E -4.32%K -37.55%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-13 22:44 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -5.05%E -0.842%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -5.72%E -5.11%K -47.70%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-13 22:49 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -5.05%E -0.842%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -5.72%E -5.11%K -47.70%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-13 23:15 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -5.05%E -0.842%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -5.72%E -5.11%K -47.70%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-13 22:49 |
| Betway🎯 | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -5.05%E -0.842%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -5.72%E -5.11%K -47.70%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-13 23:29 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -5.05%E -0.842%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -5.72%E -5.11%K -47.70%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-13 23:10 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.49%EV -5.05%E -0.842%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 1.10I 90.91%NM 84.51%EV -7.41%E -6.73%K -74.07%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-03-13 23:29 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 5.94I 16.84%NM 15.98%EV -6.00%E -1.01%K -1.21%G +0.000% | 1.13I 88.50%NM 84.02%EV -4.88%E -4.32%K -37.55%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-13 23:14 |
| TAB🎯 | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.55%EV -8.22%E -1.42%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 83.45%EV -3.20%E -2.78%K -21.32%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-03-13 23:04 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.43%EV -8.22%E -1.42%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 83.57%EV -4.04%E -3.54%K -28.86%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-13 23:19 |
| Neds🎯 | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.43%EV -8.22%E -1.42%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 83.57%EV -4.04%E -3.54%K -28.86%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-13 23:20 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.31%EV -8.22%E -1.42%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 1.13I 88.50%NM 83.69%EV -4.88%E -4.32%K -37.55%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-03-13 23:30 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.67%EV -9.01%E -1.57%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 83.33%EV -3.20%E -2.78%K -21.32%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-13 23:30 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.55%EV -9.01%E -1.57%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 83.45%EV -4.04%E -3.54%K -28.86%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-13 23:05 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.55%EV -9.01%E -1.57%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 83.45%EV -4.04%E -3.54%K -28.86%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-13 22:25 |
| Coral🎯 | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.42%EV -9.01%E -1.57%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 1.13I 88.50%NM 83.58%EV -4.88%E -4.32%K -37.55%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-13 23:20 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.42%EV -9.01%E -1.57%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 1.13I 88.50%NM 83.58%EV -4.88%E -4.32%K -37.55%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-13 23:19 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.30%EV -9.01%E -1.57%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 83.70%EV -5.72%E -5.11%K -47.70%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-03-13 23:30 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 5.70I 17.54%NM 16.54%EV -9.80%E -1.72%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 1.13I 88.50%NM 83.46%EV -4.88%E -4.32%K -37.55%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-13 23:30 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 5.70I 17.54%NM 16.42%EV -9.80%E -1.72%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 83.58%EV -5.72%E -5.11%K -47.70%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-03-13 23:20 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV -12.96%E -2.36%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -3.20%E -2.78%K -21.32%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-13 23:09 |
| Betsson🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV -12.96%E -2.36%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -3.20%E -2.78%K -21.32%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-13 23:09 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -12.96%E -2.36%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -4.04%E -3.54%K -28.86%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-13 22:50 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.72%EV -17.71%E -3.41%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 82.28%EV -5.72%E -5.11%K -47.70%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-03-13 23:34 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (10)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetOpenly◎ | 7.10I 14.08%NM 14.04% | 1.16I 86.21%NM 85.96% | 0.3% | 2026-03-13 23:29 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 6.60I 15.15%NM 15.06% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 84.94% | 0.6% | 2026-03-13 23:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 6.60I 15.15%NM 15.06% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 84.94% | 0.6% | 2026-03-13 23:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 6.60I 15.15%NM 15.06% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 84.94% | 0.6% | 2026-03-13 23:30 |
| Matchbook◎ | 6.60I 15.15%NM 15.06% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 84.94% | 0.6% | 2026-03-13 23:30 |
| ProphetX◎ | 6.50I 15.38%NM 15.25% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 84.75% | 0.9% | 2026-03-13 23:30 |
| Novig◎ | 6.49I 15.41%NM 15.27% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 84.73% | 0.9% | 2026-03-13 23:35 |
| Kalshi◎ | 6.67I 14.99%NM 14.81% | 1.16I 86.21%NM 85.19% | 1.2% | 2026-03-13 22:50 |
| Polymarket◎ | 6.67I 14.99%NM 14.81% | 1.16I 86.21%NM 85.19% | 1.2% | 2026-03-13 23:34 |
| Smarkets◎ | 6.40I 15.63%NM 15.34% | 1.16I 86.21%NM 84.66% | 1.8% | 2026-03-13 23:30 |