Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Cleveland Cavaliers v Toronto Raptors

Kickoff: 2026-04-18 17:15 UTC

Final: Cleveland Cavaliers 126–113 Toronto Raptors

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

63 sportsbooks (21 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Cleveland Cavaliers (Local)

Prediction 75.76%1.32fair odd
EV -0.760%
Edge -0.580%
Kelly -2.45%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.31

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
74.53%75.71%75.79%77.41%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.201.261.261.3183.33%79.48%79.37%76.34%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Toronto Raptors (Visit)

Prediction 24.24%4.12fair odd
EV +3.04%
Edge +0.715%
Kelly +0.935%
Growth +0.028%

assuming max odds 4.25

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
22.59%24.29%24.21%25.47%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.603.943.954.2527.78%25.41%25.32%23.53%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Cleveland Cavaliers (Local): 75.76%; Toronto Raptors (Visit): 24.24%. For Toronto Raptors (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.12. 2 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 4.25, corresponding to a positive expected value of +3.04%.

Sportsbook Odds (63 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
Fliff🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 77.41%EV -6.06%E -4.89%K -25.26%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.59%EV +3.04%E +0.715%K +0.935%G +0.028%4.2%2026-04-18 17:04
Caesars🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 77.21%EV -6.06%E -4.89%K -25.26%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.79%EV +1.83%E +0.435%K +0.570%G +0.010%4.5%2026-04-18 16:09
PlayUp🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 76.64%EV -5.31%E -4.24%K -21.22%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.36%EV -0.599%E -0.146%K -0.193%G +0.000%4.4%2026-04-18 15:50
theScore Bet🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 75.84%EV -2.27%E -1.76%K -7.84%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 24.16%EV -1.81%E -0.447%K -0.594%G +0.000%2.2%2026-04-18 16:55
SportsBet🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 76.27%EV -4.55%E -3.61%K -17.49%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 23.73%EV -1.81%E -0.447%K -0.594%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-18 17:04
BetAnything🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 76.27%EV -4.55%E -3.61%K -17.49%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 23.73%EV -1.81%E -0.447%K -0.594%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-18 16:45
Pinnacle🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 75.85%EV -3.03%E -2.37%K -10.83%G +0.000%4.02I 24.88%NM 24.15%EV -2.54%E -0.632%K -0.841%G +0.000%3.0%2026-04-18 17:00
LowVig.ag🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 75.95%EV -3.79%E -2.98%K -14.04%G +0.000%4.01I 24.94%NM 24.05%EV -2.78%E -0.694%K -0.924%G +0.000%3.7%2026-04-18 16:20
FanDuel🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 75.90%EV -3.79%E -2.98%K -14.04%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.10%EV -3.02%E -0.756%K -1.01%G +0.000%3.7%2026-04-18 17:05
Unibet (NL)🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 75.90%EV -3.79%E -2.98%K -14.04%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.10%EV -3.02%E -0.756%K -1.01%G +0.000%3.7%2026-04-18 17:00
Unibet (SE)🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 75.90%EV -3.79%E -2.98%K -14.04%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.10%EV -3.02%E -0.756%K -1.01%G +0.000%3.7%2026-04-18 17:00
Svenska Spel🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 75.90%EV -3.79%E -2.98%K -14.04%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.10%EV -3.02%E -0.756%K -1.01%G +0.000%3.7%2026-04-18 17:00
ATG (SE)🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 75.90%EV -3.79%E -2.98%K -14.04%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.10%EV -3.02%E -0.756%K -1.01%G +0.000%3.7%2026-04-18 17:00
Coolbet🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 75.90%EV -3.79%E -2.98%K -14.04%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.10%EV -3.02%E -0.756%K -1.01%G +0.000%3.7%2026-04-18 15:49
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 75.90%EV -3.79%E -2.98%K -14.04%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.10%EV -3.02%E -0.756%K -1.01%G +0.000%3.7%2026-04-18 16:59
Unibet (FR)🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 75.90%EV -3.79%E -2.98%K -14.04%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.10%EV -3.02%E -0.756%K -1.01%G +0.000%3.7%2026-04-18 16:49
Winamax (DE)🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 75.90%EV -3.79%E -2.98%K -14.04%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.10%EV -3.02%E -0.756%K -1.01%G +0.000%3.7%2026-04-18 16:25
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 75.90%EV -3.79%E -2.98%K -14.04%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.10%EV -3.02%E -0.756%K -1.01%G +0.000%3.7%2026-04-18 15:59
BetMGM🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 75.90%EV -3.79%E -2.98%K -14.04%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.10%EV -3.02%E -0.756%K -1.01%G +0.000%3.7%2026-04-18 16:55
Bet Victor🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 75.90%EV -3.79%E -2.98%K -14.04%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.10%EV -3.02%E -0.756%K -1.01%G +0.000%3.7%2026-04-18 16:54
TAB🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 76.05%EV -4.55%E -3.61%K -17.49%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.95%EV -3.02%E -0.756%K -1.01%G +0.000%4.4%2026-04-18 16:20
GTbets🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 76.05%EV -4.55%E -3.61%K -17.49%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.95%EV -3.02%E -0.756%K -1.01%G +0.000%4.4%2026-04-18 16:34
Betr (AU)🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 76.05%EV -4.55%E -3.61%K -17.49%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.95%EV -3.02%E -0.756%K -1.01%G +0.000%4.4%2026-04-18 16:40
888sport🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -5.31%E -4.24%K -21.22%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -3.02%E -0.756%K -1.01%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-18 15:39
888sport (SE)🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -5.31%E -4.24%K -21.22%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -3.02%E -0.756%K -1.01%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-18 15:39
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -5.31%E -4.24%K -21.22%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -3.02%E -0.756%K -1.01%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-18 15:40
William Hill🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -5.31%E -4.24%K -21.22%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -3.02%E -0.756%K -1.01%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-18 16:04
BetOnline.ag🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 75.72%EV -3.79%E -2.98%K -14.04%G +0.000%3.96I 25.25%NM 24.28%EV -3.99%E -1.01%K -1.35%G +0.000%4.0%2026-04-18 16:24
DraftKings🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 75.67%EV -3.79%E -2.98%K -14.04%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.33%EV -4.24%E -1.07%K -1.44%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-18 16:15
BetUS🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 75.67%EV -3.79%E -2.98%K -14.04%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.33%EV -4.24%E -1.07%K -1.44%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-18 16:25
TABtouch🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 75.82%EV -4.55%E -3.61%K -17.49%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.18%EV -4.24%E -1.07%K -1.44%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-18 16:59
Unibet🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 75.82%EV -4.55%E -3.61%K -17.49%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.18%EV -4.24%E -1.07%K -1.44%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-18 17:04
betPARX🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 75.82%EV -4.55%E -3.61%K -17.49%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.18%EV -4.24%E -1.07%K -1.44%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-18 17:00
Bally Bet🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 75.82%EV -4.55%E -3.61%K -17.49%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.18%EV -4.24%E -1.07%K -1.44%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-18 16:59
Bovada🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 75.82%EV -4.55%E -3.61%K -17.49%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.18%EV -4.24%E -1.07%K -1.44%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-18 16:59
Betsson🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 75.96%EV -5.31%E -4.24%K -21.22%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.04%EV -4.24%E -1.07%K -1.44%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-18 15:40
NordicBet🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 75.96%EV -5.31%E -4.24%K -21.22%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.04%EV -4.24%E -1.07%K -1.44%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-18 15:40
1xBet🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 74.95%EV -0.760%E -0.580%K -2.45%G +0.000%3.92I 25.51%NM 25.05%EV -4.96%E -1.27%K -1.70%G +0.000%1.8%2026-04-18 16:25
MyBookie.ag🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 75.68%EV -4.55%E -3.61%K -17.49%G +0.000%3.92I 25.51%NM 24.32%EV -4.96%E -1.27%K -1.70%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-18 16:30
Fanatics🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 75.44%EV -3.79%E -2.98%K -14.04%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.56%EV -5.45%E -1.40%K -1.88%G +0.000%4.4%2026-04-18 15:39
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 75.58%EV -4.55%E -3.61%K -17.49%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.42%EV -5.45%E -1.40%K -1.88%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-18 17:05
Codere (IT)🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 75.58%EV -4.55%E -3.61%K -17.49%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.42%EV -5.45%E -1.40%K -1.88%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-18 16:25
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 75.73%EV -5.31%E -4.24%K -21.22%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.27%EV -5.45%E -1.40%K -1.88%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-18 16:59
Virgin Bet🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 75.73%EV -5.31%E -4.24%K -21.22%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.27%EV -5.45%E -1.40%K -1.88%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-18 17:00
LiveScore Bet🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 75.73%EV -5.31%E -4.24%K -21.22%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.27%EV -5.45%E -1.40%K -1.88%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-18 16:59
BetRivers🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 75.73%EV -5.31%E -4.24%K -21.22%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.27%EV -5.45%E -1.40%K -1.88%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-18 17:00
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 75.73%EV -5.31%E -4.24%K -21.22%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.27%EV -5.45%E -1.40%K -1.88%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-18 16:55
Coral🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 75.73%EV -5.31%E -4.24%K -21.22%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.27%EV -5.45%E -1.40%K -1.88%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-18 16:54
ReBet🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 75.20%EV -3.79%E -2.98%K -14.04%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.80%EV -6.66%E -1.73%K -2.34%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-18 16:59
Winamax (FR)🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 75.34%EV -4.55%E -3.61%K -17.49%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV -6.66%E -1.73%K -2.34%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-18 17:00
Dabble (AU)🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 75.34%EV -4.55%E -3.61%K -17.49%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV -6.66%E -1.73%K -2.34%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-18 12:05
NetBet (FR)🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 75.79%EV -6.82%E -5.54%K -29.65%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.21%EV -6.66%E -1.73%K -2.34%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-18 16:59
Neds🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 75.10%EV -4.55%E -3.61%K -17.49%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.90%EV -7.87%E -2.07%K -2.81%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-18 17:04
Paddy Power🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -5.31%E -4.24%K -21.22%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -7.87%E -2.07%K -2.81%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-18 16:59
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -5.31%E -4.24%K -21.22%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -7.87%E -2.07%K -2.81%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-18 16:59
Tipico (DE)🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -5.31%E -4.24%K -21.22%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -7.87%E -2.07%K -2.81%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-15 21:34
BoyleSports🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -5.31%E -4.24%K -21.22%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -7.87%E -2.07%K -2.81%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-18 16:25
Bet Right🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -5.31%E -4.24%K -21.22%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -7.87%E -2.07%K -2.81%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-18 16:20
PMU (FR)🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 75.55%EV -6.82%E -5.54%K -29.65%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.45%EV -7.87%E -2.07%K -2.81%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-18 17:00
Sky Bet🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -5.31%E -4.24%K -21.22%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -9.08%E -2.42%K -3.30%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-18 17:05
Betway🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -5.31%E -4.24%K -21.22%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -9.08%E -2.42%K -3.30%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-18 16:59
LeoVegas🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 75.51%EV -9.09%E -7.58%K -45.46%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.49%EV -10.30%E -2.78%K -3.81%G +0.000%10.4%2026-04-18 17:00
Betclic (FR)🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 74.53%EV -6.82%E -5.54%K -29.65%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.47%EV -12.72%E -3.53%K -4.89%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-18 17:00
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (10)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Novig1.30I 76.92%NM 76.66%4.27I 23.42%NM 23.34%0.3%2026-04-18 17:05
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.29I 77.52%NM 76.92%4.30I 23.26%NM 23.08%0.8%2026-04-18 17:05
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.29I 77.52%NM 76.92%4.30I 23.26%NM 23.08%0.8%2026-04-18 17:05
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.29I 77.52%NM 76.92%4.30I 23.26%NM 23.08%0.8%2026-04-18 17:05
Matchbook1.29I 77.52%NM 76.92%4.30I 23.26%NM 23.08%0.8%2026-04-18 17:05
Polymarket1.30I 76.92%NM 76.23%4.17I 23.98%NM 23.77%0.9%2026-04-16 20:24
Kalshi1.30I 76.92%NM 76.23%4.17I 23.98%NM 23.77%0.9%2026-04-18 16:30
BetOpenly1.30I 76.92%NM 76.15%4.15I 24.10%NM 23.85%1.0%2026-04-18 16:45
ProphetX1.29I 77.52%NM 76.50%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.50%1.3%2026-04-18 17:05
Smarkets1.27I 78.74%NM 76.78%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.22%2.5%2026-04-18 17:05