The School of Odds
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
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Cleveland Cavaliers v New York Knicks

Kickoff: 2026-11-08 01:13 UTC

Final: Cleveland Cavaliers 97–109 New York Knicks

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

68 sportsbooks (22 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Cleveland Cavaliers (Local)

Prediction 36.46%2.74fair odd
EV -0.820%
Edge -0.302%
Kelly -0.477%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.72

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
34.94%36.57%36.42%38.36%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.252.582.602.7244.44%38.70%38.46%36.76%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

New York Knicks (Visit)

Prediction 63.54%1.57fair odd
EV -2.15%
Edge -1.40%
Kelly -3.99%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.54

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
61.64%63.43%63.58%65.06%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.401.501.501.5471.43%66.56%66.67%64.94%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Cleveland Cavaliers (Local): 36.46%; New York Knicks (Visit): 63.54%. For Cleveland Cavaliers (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.74. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.72, with an expected value of -0.820%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (68 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
Pinnacle🎯2.72I 36.76%NM 35.85%EV -0.820%E -0.302%K -0.477%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 64.15%EV -3.42%E -2.25%K -6.58%G +0.000%2.6%2026-11-08 00:50
LowVig.ag🎯2.71I 36.90%NM 35.78%EV -1.18%E -0.437%K -0.693%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 64.22%EV -4.06%E -2.69%K -7.96%G +0.000%3.1%2026-11-08 00:50
BetOnline.ag🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 35.87%EV -1.55%E -0.574%K -0.911%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 64.13%EV -4.06%E -2.69%K -7.96%G +0.000%3.3%2026-11-08 00:50
GTbets🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 35.71%EV -1.55%E -0.574%K -0.911%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 64.29%EV -4.69%E -3.13%K -9.39%G +0.000%3.7%2026-11-08 01:05
Bovada🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 35.71%EV -1.55%E -0.574%K -0.911%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 64.29%EV -4.69%E -3.13%K -9.39%G +0.000%3.7%2026-11-08 01:04
Everygame🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 35.71%EV -1.55%E -0.574%K -0.911%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 64.29%EV -4.69%E -3.13%K -9.39%G +0.000%3.7%2026-11-07 13:45
Tipico (DE)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -1.55%E -0.574%K -0.911%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -7.87%E -5.43%K -17.49%G +0.000%6.0%2026-11-08 01:00
BetUS🎯2.67I 37.45%NM 36.12%EV -2.64%E -0.990%K -1.58%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 63.88%EV -4.06%E -2.69%K -7.96%G +0.000%3.7%2026-11-08 00:50
1xBet🎯2.66I 37.59%NM 36.21%EV -3.01%E -1.13%K -1.81%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 63.79%EV -4.06%E -2.69%K -7.96%G +0.000%3.8%2026-11-07 22:55
Unibet (UK)🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 36.45%EV -3.37%E -1.27%K -2.04%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 63.55%EV -3.42%E -2.25%K -6.58%G +0.000%3.5%2026-11-08 01:00
Winamax (DE)🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 36.45%EV -3.37%E -1.27%K -2.04%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 63.55%EV -3.42%E -2.25%K -6.58%G +0.000%3.5%2026-11-08 01:00
SportsBet🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 36.30%EV -3.37%E -1.27%K -2.04%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 63.70%EV -4.06%E -2.69%K -7.96%G +0.000%4.0%2026-11-08 00:35
Coolbet🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 36.30%EV -3.37%E -1.27%K -2.04%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 63.70%EV -4.06%E -2.69%K -7.96%G +0.000%4.0%2026-11-07 22:50
theScore Bet🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 36.30%EV -3.37%E -1.27%K -2.04%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 63.70%EV -4.06%E -2.69%K -7.96%G +0.000%4.0%2026-11-07 22:50
BetAnything🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 36.30%EV -3.37%E -1.27%K -2.04%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 63.70%EV -4.06%E -2.69%K -7.96%G +0.000%4.0%2026-11-07 22:50
Fanatics🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -3.37%E -1.27%K -2.04%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -4.69%E -3.13%K -9.39%G +0.000%4.4%2026-11-07 23:19
Bet Victor🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -3.37%E -1.27%K -2.04%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -4.69%E -3.13%K -9.39%G +0.000%4.4%2026-11-08 00:49
betano_uk🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -3.37%E -1.27%K -2.04%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -4.69%E -3.13%K -9.39%G +0.000%4.4%2026-11-08 00:50
Betr (AU)🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -3.37%E -1.27%K -2.04%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -4.69%E -3.13%K -9.39%G +0.000%4.4%2026-11-07 22:40
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -3.37%E -1.27%K -2.04%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -4.69%E -3.13%K -9.39%G +0.000%4.4%2026-11-07 22:55
BetMGM🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -3.37%E -1.27%K -2.04%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -4.69%E -3.13%K -9.39%G +0.000%4.4%2026-11-07 22:40
PlayUp🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -3.37%E -1.27%K -2.04%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -5.97%E -4.03%K -12.43%G +0.000%5.3%2026-11-07 22:40
FanDuel🎯2.64I 37.88%NM 36.39%EV -3.74%E -1.42%K -2.28%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 63.61%EV -4.06%E -2.69%K -7.96%G +0.000%4.1%2026-11-08 00:35
DraftKings🎯2.64I 37.88%NM 36.39%EV -3.74%E -1.42%K -2.28%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 63.61%EV -4.06%E -2.69%K -7.96%G +0.000%4.1%2026-11-07 22:48
Sky Bet🎯2.63I 38.02%NM 36.32%EV -4.10%E -1.56%K -2.52%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.68%EV -4.69%E -3.13%K -9.39%G +0.000%4.7%2026-11-07 23:50
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.63I 38.02%NM 35.85%EV -4.10%E -1.56%K -2.52%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 64.15%EV -6.60%E -4.49%K -14.04%G +0.000%6.1%2026-11-07 23:20
Caesars🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 36.56%EV -4.47%E -1.70%K -2.76%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 63.44%EV -4.06%E -2.69%K -7.96%G +0.000%4.4%2026-11-08 01:10
Paddy Power🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 35.94%EV -4.47%E -1.70%K -2.76%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 64.06%EV -6.60%E -4.49%K -14.04%G +0.000%6.2%2026-11-08 00:25
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 37.05%EV -5.20%E -2.00%K -3.25%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.95%EV -2.79%E -1.82%K -5.26%G +0.000%3.8%2026-11-07 22:50
Dabble (AU)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.89%EV -5.20%E -2.00%K -3.25%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 63.11%EV -3.42%E -2.25%K -6.58%G +0.000%4.3%2026-11-07 23:15
TAB🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.89%EV -5.20%E -2.00%K -3.25%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 63.11%EV -3.42%E -2.25%K -6.58%G +0.000%4.3%2026-11-07 22:50
picklebet_au🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -5.20%E -2.00%K -3.25%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.69%E -3.13%K -9.39%G +0.000%5.1%2026-11-08 01:00
888sport🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -5.20%E -2.00%K -3.25%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.69%E -3.13%K -9.39%G +0.000%5.1%2026-11-07 22:40
William Hill🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -5.20%E -2.00%K -3.25%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.69%E -3.13%K -9.39%G +0.000%5.1%2026-11-07 22:40
BoyleSports🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -5.20%E -2.00%K -3.25%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.69%E -3.13%K -9.39%G +0.000%5.1%2026-11-08 00:05
888sport (SE)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -5.20%E -2.00%K -3.25%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.69%E -3.13%K -9.39%G +0.000%5.1%2026-11-07 22:40
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -5.20%E -2.00%K -3.25%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.69%E -3.13%K -9.39%G +0.000%5.1%2026-11-07 22:40
ReBet🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -5.20%E -2.00%K -3.25%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.69%E -3.13%K -9.39%G +0.000%5.1%2026-11-08 01:00
Fliff🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -5.20%E -2.00%K -3.25%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.69%E -3.13%K -9.39%G +0.000%5.1%2026-11-08 00:50
Neds🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -5.20%E -2.00%K -3.25%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.69%E -3.13%K -9.39%G +0.000%5.1%2026-11-07 22:40
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -5.20%E -2.00%K -3.25%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.69%E -3.13%K -9.39%G +0.000%5.1%2026-11-07 22:40
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -5.20%E -2.00%K -3.25%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -5.97%E -4.03%K -12.43%G +0.000%6.0%2026-11-07 22:40
Coral🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -5.20%E -2.00%K -3.25%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -5.97%E -4.03%K -12.43%G +0.000%6.0%2026-11-07 22:40
MyBookie.ag🎯2.58I 38.76%NM 36.61%EV -5.93%E -2.30%K -3.75%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 63.39%EV -5.33%E -3.58%K -10.88%G +0.000%5.9%2026-11-08 00:23
Marathon Bet🎯2.56I 39.06%NM 36.48%EV -6.65%E -2.60%K -4.27%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 63.52%EV -6.60%E -4.49%K -14.04%G +0.000%7.1%2026-11-08 01:04
Bet Right🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.35%EV -7.02%E -2.75%K -4.53%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 62.65%EV -3.42%E -2.25%K -6.58%G +0.000%5.0%2026-11-08 00:15
Codere (IT)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.35%EV -7.02%E -2.75%K -4.53%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 62.65%EV -3.42%E -2.25%K -6.58%G +0.000%5.0%2026-11-07 23:00
betfred_uk🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -7.02%E -2.75%K -4.53%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -4.69%E -3.13%K -9.39%G +0.000%5.9%2026-11-07 23:00
NordicBet🎯2.53I 39.53%NM 37.22%EV -7.75%E -3.06%K -5.06%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.78%EV -4.69%E -3.13%K -9.39%G +0.000%6.2%2026-11-07 22:50
Betsson🎯2.53I 39.53%NM 37.22%EV -7.75%E -3.06%K -5.06%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.78%EV -4.69%E -3.13%K -9.39%G +0.000%6.2%2026-11-07 22:50
LiveScore Bet🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -8.84%E -3.54%K -5.89%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -2.15%E -1.40%K -3.99%G +0.000%4.9%2026-11-08 00:25
TABtouch🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -8.84%E -3.54%K -5.89%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -2.15%E -1.40%K -3.99%G +0.000%4.9%2026-11-08 00:30
Unibet (SE)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -8.84%E -3.54%K -5.89%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -2.15%E -1.40%K -3.99%G +0.000%4.9%2026-11-08 00:30
Unibet (NL)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -8.84%E -3.54%K -5.89%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -2.15%E -1.40%K -3.99%G +0.000%4.9%2026-11-08 00:25
BetRivers🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -8.84%E -3.54%K -5.89%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -2.15%E -1.40%K -3.99%G +0.000%4.9%2026-11-08 00:25
Unibet🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -8.84%E -3.54%K -5.89%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -2.15%E -1.40%K -3.99%G +0.000%4.9%2026-11-08 00:30
betPARX🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -8.84%E -3.54%K -5.89%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -2.15%E -1.40%K -3.99%G +0.000%4.9%2026-11-08 00:25
Svenska Spel🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -8.84%E -3.54%K -5.89%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -2.15%E -1.40%K -3.99%G +0.000%4.9%2026-11-08 00:30
ATG (SE)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -8.84%E -3.54%K -5.89%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -2.15%E -1.40%K -3.99%G +0.000%4.9%2026-11-08 00:25
Bally Bet🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -8.84%E -3.54%K -5.89%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -2.15%E -1.40%K -3.99%G +0.000%4.9%2026-11-08 00:30
LeoVegas🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.03%EV -8.84%E -3.54%K -5.89%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 62.97%EV -6.60%E -4.49%K -14.04%G +0.000%8.0%2026-11-08 01:00
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.48I 40.32%NM 38.15%EV -9.57%E -3.86%K -6.47%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 61.85%EV -2.79%E -1.82%K -5.26%G +0.000%5.7%2026-11-08 00:25
Virgin Bet🎯2.48I 40.32%NM 38.00%EV -9.57%E -3.86%K -6.47%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 62.00%EV -3.42%E -2.25%K -6.58%G +0.000%6.1%2026-11-08 00:25
NetBet (FR)🎯2.47I 40.49%NM 36.34%EV -9.94%E -4.02%K -6.76%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 63.66%EV -10.41%E -7.39%K -25.40%G +0.000%11.4%2026-11-07 23:30
Winamax (FR)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 37.66%EV -12.49%E -5.20%K -8.92%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 62.34%EV -7.87%E -5.43%K -17.49%G +0.000%10.6%2026-11-08 01:00
Betclic (FR)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 37.66%EV -12.49%E -5.20%K -8.92%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 62.34%EV -7.87%E -5.43%K -17.49%G +0.000%10.6%2026-11-08 01:05
PMU (FR)🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 38.18%EV -13.22%E -5.55%K -9.58%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 61.82%EV -6.60%E -4.49%K -14.04%G +0.000%10.0%2026-11-08 00:30
Unibet (FR)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 38.36%EV -17.96%E -7.98%K -14.37%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 61.64%EV -11.05%E -7.89%K -27.62%G +0.000%15.9%2026-11-08 01:04
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (10)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.72I 36.76%NM 36.60%1.57I 63.69%NM 63.40%0.5%2026-11-08 01:10
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.72I 36.76%NM 36.60%1.57I 63.69%NM 63.40%0.5%2026-11-08 01:10
Novig◎2.74I 36.50%NM 36.28%1.56I 64.10%NM 63.72%0.6%2026-11-08 00:50
ProphetX◎2.72I 36.76%NM 36.45%1.56I 64.10%NM 63.55%0.9%2026-11-08 01:10
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.72I 36.76%NM 36.45%1.56I 64.10%NM 63.55%0.9%2026-11-08 01:10
BetOpenly◎2.80I 35.71%NM 35.33%1.53I 65.36%NM 64.67%1.1%2026-11-08 00:55
Kalshi◎2.70I 37.04%NM 36.62%1.56I 64.10%NM 63.38%1.1%2026-11-08 00:50
Polymarket◎2.70I 37.04%NM 36.62%1.56I 64.10%NM 63.38%1.1%2026-11-07 23:50
Smarkets◎2.68I 37.31%NM 36.64%1.55I 64.52%NM 63.36%1.8%2026-11-08 01:10
Matchbook◎2.70I 37.04%NM 36.32%1.54I 64.94%NM 63.68%2.0%2026-11-08 01:10

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