Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Cleveland Cavaliers v New York Knicks

Kickoff: 2026-02-25 00:42 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

63 sportsbooks (22 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Cleveland Cavaliers (Local)

Prediction 60.56%1.65fair odd
EV -1.89%
Edge -1.17%
Kelly -3.05%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.62

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
59.85%60.57%60.58%61.88%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.511.571.571.6266.23%63.64%63.69%61.73%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

New York Knicks (Visit)

Prediction 39.44%2.54fair odd
EV -1.40%
Edge -0.561%
Kelly -0.935%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.50

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
38.12%39.43%39.42%40.15%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.342.422.422.5042.74%41.35%41.32%40.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Cleveland Cavaliers (Local): 60.56%; New York Knicks (Visit): 39.44%. For New York Knicks (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.54. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.50, with an expected value of -1.40%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (63 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
Pinnacle🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 60.20%EV -1.89%E -1.17%K -3.05%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.80%EV -3.37%E -1.38%K -2.33%G +0.000%2.5%2026-02-25 00:39
BetAnything🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 60.34%EV -2.50%E -1.55%K -4.09%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.66%EV -3.37%E -1.38%K -2.33%G +0.000%2.9%2026-02-25 00:40
Everygame🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 60.34%EV -2.50%E -1.55%K -4.09%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.66%EV -3.37%E -1.38%K -2.33%G +0.000%2.9%2026-02-25 00:39
Bovada🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.85%EV -2.50%E -1.55%K -4.09%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.15%EV -5.35%E -2.23%K -3.82%G +0.000%3.8%2026-02-25 00:36
BetOnline.ag🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 60.69%EV -3.10%E -1.94%K -5.17%G +0.000%2.47I 40.49%NM 39.31%EV -2.59%E -1.05%K -1.76%G +0.000%3.0%2026-02-25 00:39
Bet Victor🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 60.49%EV -3.10%E -1.94%K -5.17%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.51%EV -3.37%E -1.38%K -2.33%G +0.000%3.3%2026-02-25 00:39
PlayUp🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -3.10%E -1.94%K -5.17%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -5.35%E -2.23%K -3.82%G +0.000%4.2%2026-02-25 00:39
LowVig.ag🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 61.12%EV -3.71%E -2.33%K -6.28%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.88%EV -1.40%E -0.561%K -0.935%G +0.000%2.9%2026-02-25 00:39
BetUS🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 60.74%EV -3.71%E -2.33%K -6.28%G +0.000%2.46I 40.65%NM 39.26%EV -2.98%E -1.21%K -2.04%G +0.000%3.5%2026-02-25 00:39
GTbets🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 60.64%EV -3.71%E -2.33%K -6.28%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.36%EV -3.37%E -1.38%K -2.33%G +0.000%3.7%2026-02-25 00:39
theScore Bet🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 60.64%EV -3.71%E -2.33%K -6.28%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.36%EV -3.37%E -1.38%K -2.33%G +0.000%3.7%2026-02-25 00:39
Coolbet🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 60.45%EV -3.71%E -2.33%K -6.28%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 39.55%EV -4.16%E -1.71%K -2.91%G +0.000%4.0%2026-02-25 00:39
Caesars🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 60.45%EV -3.71%E -2.33%K -6.28%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 39.55%EV -4.16%E -1.71%K -2.91%G +0.000%4.0%2026-02-25 00:38
DraftKings🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 60.35%EV -3.71%E -2.33%K -6.28%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 39.65%EV -4.56%E -1.88%K -3.21%G +0.000%4.2%2026-02-25 00:39
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -3.71%E -2.33%K -6.28%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -5.35%E -2.23%K -3.82%G +0.000%4.6%2026-02-25 00:39
BetMGM🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -3.71%E -2.33%K -6.28%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -5.35%E -2.23%K -3.82%G +0.000%4.6%2026-02-25 00:39
SportsBet🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 60.79%EV -4.31%E -2.73%K -7.44%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.21%EV -3.37%E -1.38%K -2.33%G +0.000%4.1%2026-02-25 00:39
Unibet (UK)🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 60.79%EV -4.31%E -2.73%K -7.44%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.21%EV -3.37%E -1.38%K -2.33%G +0.000%4.1%2026-02-25 00:39
Winamax (DE)🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 60.79%EV -4.31%E -2.73%K -7.44%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.21%EV -3.37%E -1.38%K -2.33%G +0.000%4.1%2026-02-25 00:40
TAB🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 60.79%EV -4.31%E -2.73%K -7.44%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.21%EV -3.37%E -1.38%K -2.33%G +0.000%4.1%2026-02-25 00:40
FanDuel🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 60.70%EV -4.31%E -2.73%K -7.44%G +0.000%2.44I 40.98%NM 39.30%EV -3.77%E -1.54%K -2.62%G +0.000%4.3%2026-02-25 00:40
Unibet🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 60.60%EV -4.31%E -2.73%K -7.44%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 39.40%EV -4.16%E -1.71%K -2.91%G +0.000%4.4%2026-02-25 00:39
Dabble (AU)🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -4.31%E -2.73%K -7.44%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -5.35%E -2.23%K -3.82%G +0.000%5.0%2026-02-25 00:39
MyBookie.ag🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -4.31%E -2.73%K -7.44%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -5.35%E -2.23%K -3.82%G +0.000%5.0%2026-02-25 00:29
Betsson🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 60.10%EV -4.31%E -2.73%K -7.44%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.90%EV -6.14%E -2.58%K -4.45%G +0.000%5.3%2026-02-25 00:40
NordicBet🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 60.10%EV -4.31%E -2.73%K -7.44%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.90%EV -6.14%E -2.58%K -4.45%G +0.000%5.3%2026-02-25 00:39
Unibet (NL)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -4.92%E -3.13%K -8.63%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -3.37%E -1.38%K -2.33%G +0.000%4.5%2026-02-25 00:40
Unibet (SE)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -4.92%E -3.13%K -8.63%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -3.37%E -1.38%K -2.33%G +0.000%4.5%2026-02-25 00:39
Fanatics🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -4.92%E -3.13%K -8.63%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -3.37%E -1.38%K -2.33%G +0.000%4.5%2026-02-25 00:39
ATG (SE)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -4.92%E -3.13%K -8.63%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -3.37%E -1.38%K -2.33%G +0.000%4.5%2026-02-25 00:39
Svenska Spel🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -4.92%E -3.13%K -8.63%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -3.37%E -1.38%K -2.33%G +0.000%4.5%2026-02-25 00:39
TABtouch🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.75%EV -4.92%E -3.13%K -8.63%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 39.25%EV -4.16%E -1.71%K -2.91%G +0.000%4.8%2026-02-25 00:39
LiveScore Bet🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.75%EV -4.92%E -3.13%K -8.63%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 39.25%EV -4.16%E -1.71%K -2.91%G +0.000%4.8%2026-02-25 00:39
Virgin Bet🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.75%EV -4.92%E -3.13%K -8.63%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 39.25%EV -4.16%E -1.71%K -2.91%G +0.000%4.8%2026-02-25 00:39
Bally Bet🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.75%EV -4.92%E -3.13%K -8.63%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 39.25%EV -4.16%E -1.71%K -2.91%G +0.000%4.8%2026-02-25 00:39
betPARX🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.75%EV -4.92%E -3.13%K -8.63%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 39.25%EV -4.16%E -1.71%K -2.91%G +0.000%4.8%2026-02-25 00:40
Codere (IT)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.55%EV -4.92%E -3.13%K -8.63%G +0.000%2.41I 41.49%NM 39.45%EV -4.95%E -2.05%K -3.51%G +0.000%5.2%2026-02-25 00:40
Unibet (FR)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.55%EV -4.92%E -3.13%K -8.63%G +0.000%2.41I 41.49%NM 39.45%EV -4.95%E -2.05%K -3.51%G +0.000%5.2%2026-02-25 00:39
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -4.92%E -3.13%K -8.63%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -5.35%E -2.23%K -3.82%G +0.000%5.4%2026-02-25 00:39
Neds🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -4.92%E -3.13%K -8.63%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -5.35%E -2.23%K -3.82%G +0.000%5.4%2026-02-25 00:39
Parions Sport (FR)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -4.92%E -3.13%K -8.63%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -5.35%E -2.23%K -3.82%G +0.000%5.4%2026-02-25 00:30
Sky Bet🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -4.92%E -3.13%K -8.63%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -6.14%E -2.58%K -4.45%G +0.000%5.7%2026-02-25 00:40
BoyleSports🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -4.92%E -3.13%K -8.63%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -6.14%E -2.58%K -4.45%G +0.000%5.7%2026-02-25 00:31
William Hill🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -4.92%E -3.13%K -8.63%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -6.14%E -2.58%K -4.45%G +0.000%5.7%2026-02-25 00:39
Coral🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.15%EV -4.92%E -3.13%K -8.63%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 39.85%EV -6.53%E -2.76%K -4.77%G +0.000%5.9%2026-02-25 00:39
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.15%EV -4.92%E -3.13%K -8.63%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 39.85%EV -6.53%E -2.76%K -4.77%G +0.000%5.9%2026-02-25 00:39
Bet Right🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.85%EV -4.92%E -3.13%K -8.63%G +0.000%2.34I 42.74%NM 40.15%EV -7.71%E -3.30%K -5.76%G +0.000%6.4%2026-02-25 00:39
BetRivers🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.90%EV -5.52%E -3.54%K -9.87%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 39.10%EV -4.16%E -1.71%K -2.91%G +0.000%5.3%2026-02-25 00:39
Betr (AU)🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -5.52%E -3.54%K -9.87%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -5.35%E -2.23%K -3.82%G +0.000%5.8%2026-02-25 00:40
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -5.52%E -3.54%K -9.87%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -5.35%E -2.23%K -3.82%G +0.000%5.8%2026-02-25 00:40
Betway🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -5.52%E -3.54%K -9.87%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -5.35%E -2.23%K -3.82%G +0.000%5.8%2026-02-25 00:39
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -5.52%E -3.54%K -9.87%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -5.35%E -2.23%K -3.82%G +0.000%5.8%2026-02-25 00:40
Winamax (FR)🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.10%EV -5.52%E -3.54%K -9.87%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.90%EV -7.32%E -3.11%K -5.42%G +0.000%6.7%2026-02-25 00:39
Tipico (DE)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -6.13%E -3.96%K -11.15%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -5.35%E -2.23%K -3.82%G +0.000%6.2%2026-02-25 00:39
Fliff🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -6.74%E -4.37%K -12.47%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -1.40%E -0.561%K -0.935%G +0.000%4.9%2026-02-25 00:39
Paddy Power🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -7.34%E -4.80%K -13.85%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -3.37%E -1.38%K -2.33%G +0.000%6.2%2026-02-25 00:40
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -7.34%E -4.80%K -13.85%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -3.37%E -1.38%K -2.33%G +0.000%6.2%2026-02-25 00:39
888sport🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -7.34%E -4.80%K -13.85%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -5.35%E -2.23%K -3.82%G +0.000%7.0%2026-02-25 00:29
888sport (SE)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -7.34%E -4.80%K -13.85%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -5.35%E -2.23%K -3.82%G +0.000%7.0%2026-02-25 00:29
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -7.34%E -4.80%K -13.85%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -5.35%E -2.23%K -3.82%G +0.000%7.0%2026-02-25 00:29
LeoVegas🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 60.57%EV -7.34%E -4.80%K -13.85%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.43%EV -7.32%E -3.11%K -5.42%G +0.000%7.9%2026-02-25 00:39
NetBet (FR)🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 61.22%EV -7.95%E -5.23%K -15.28%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.78%EV -5.35%E -2.23%K -3.82%G +0.000%7.5%2026-02-25 00:29
Betclic (FR)🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 60.88%EV -8.55%E -5.66%K -16.77%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.12%EV -7.32%E -3.11%K -5.42%G +0.000%8.8%2026-02-25 00:39
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (10)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
BetOpenly1.66I 60.24%NM 60.85%2.58I 38.76%NM 39.15%-1.0%2026-02-25 00:29
Kalshi1.67I 59.88%NM 59.95%2.50I 40.00%NM 40.05%-0.1%2026-02-25 00:40
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.64I 60.98%NM 60.77%2.54I 39.37%NM 39.23%0.3%2026-02-25 00:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.64I 60.98%NM 60.77%2.54I 39.37%NM 39.23%0.3%2026-02-25 00:39
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.64I 60.98%NM 60.77%2.54I 39.37%NM 39.23%0.3%2026-02-25 00:40
Matchbook1.64I 60.98%NM 60.77%2.54I 39.37%NM 39.23%0.3%2026-02-25 00:40
ProphetX1.64I 60.98%NM 60.77%2.54I 39.37%NM 39.23%0.3%2026-02-25 00:40
Novig1.64I 60.98%NM 60.67%2.53I 39.53%NM 39.33%0.5%2026-02-25 00:39
Polymarket1.64I 60.98%NM 60.39%2.50I 40.00%NM 39.61%1.0%2026-02-25 00:40
Smarkets1.62I 61.73%NM 60.87%2.52I 39.68%NM 39.13%1.4%2026-02-25 00:40