默认模型四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Cleveland Cavaliers v Dallas Mavericks

开赛时间： 2026-11-15 00:41 UTC

收盘赔率 — 按所选模型，根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始，因此这些并非实时数据。依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →

胜负盘

69 家博彩公司 (22 家纳入分析 )

26%

74%

模型估计的各赛果概率：四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Cleveland Cavaliers (主队)

预测 25.74%3.89公平赔率

EV +4.24%

优势 +1.05%

Kelly +1.39%

增长率 +0.059%

假设最高赔率为 4.05

博彩公司预测分布

23.73%25.84%25.60%29.27%最小值均值中位数最大值

赔率分布

2.903.653.654.0534.48%27.43%27.40%24.69%最小值均值中位数最大值

Dallas Mavericks (客队)

预测 74.26%1.35公平赔率

EV -1.98%

优势 -1.50%

Kelly -6.17%

增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 1.32

博彩公司预测分布

70.73%74.16%74.40%76.27%最小值均值中位数最大值

赔率分布

1.201.291.291.3283.33%77.82%77.52%75.76%最小值均值中位数最大值

按开赛前最后一组赔率，四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为：Cleveland Cavaliers (主队)：25.74%；Dallas Mavericks (客队)：74.26%。对于“Cleveland Cavaliers (主队)”，该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为3.89。当时有7家博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率；最佳赔率为4.05，对应+4.24%的正期望值。

博彩公司赔率 (69 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联，也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司	主队 ▼	客队	利润率	更新时间
SportsBet🎯	4.05I 24.69%NM 23.73%EV +4.24%E +1.05%K +1.39%G +0.059%	1.26I 79.37%NM 76.27%EV -6.43%E -5.10%K -24.74%G +0.000%	4.1%	2026-11-15 00:10
LowVig.ag🎯	4.01I 24.94%NM 24.05%EV +3.21%E +0.801%K +1.07%G +0.034%	1.27I 78.74%NM 75.95%EV -5.69%E -4.48%K -21.07%G +0.000%	3.7%	2026-11-15 00:35
FanDuel🎯	4.00I 25.00%NM 24.10%EV +2.96%E +0.739%K +0.985%G +0.029%	1.27I 78.74%NM 75.90%EV -5.69%E -4.48%K -21.07%G +0.000%	3.7%	2026-11-15 00:10
PointsBet (AU)🎯	4.00I 25.00%NM 24.10%EV +2.96%E +0.739%K +0.985%G +0.029%	1.27I 78.74%NM 75.90%EV -5.69%E -4.48%K -21.07%G +0.000%	3.7%	2026-11-15 00:40
Betr (AU)🎯	4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV +2.96%E +0.739%K +0.985%G +0.029%	1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -7.17%E -5.74%K -28.70%G +0.000%	5.0%	2026-11-15 00:25
BetOnline.ag🎯	3.96I 25.25%NM 24.28%EV +1.93%E +0.487%K +0.651%G +0.013%	1.27I 78.74%NM 75.72%EV -5.69%E -4.48%K -21.07%G +0.000%	4.0%	2026-11-15 00:35
Fliff🎯	3.90I 25.64%NM 24.42%EV +0.382%E +0.098%K +0.132%G +0.001%	1.26I 79.37%NM 75.58%EV -6.43%E -5.10%K -24.74%G +0.000%	5.0%	2026-11-15 00:40
Pinnacle🎯	3.87I 25.84%NM 25.29%EV -0.390%E -0.101%K -0.136%G +0.000%	1.31I 76.34%NM 74.71%EV -2.72%E -2.07%K -8.77%G +0.000%	2.2%	2026-11-15 00:35
betano_uk🎯	3.80I 26.32%NM 25.49%EV -2.19%E -0.577%K -0.783%G +0.000%	1.30I 76.92%NM 74.51%EV -3.46%E -2.66%K -11.54%G +0.000%	3.2%	2026-11-15 00:19
Bet Victor🎯	3.80I 26.32%NM 25.49%EV -2.19%E -0.577%K -0.783%G +0.000%	1.30I 76.92%NM 74.51%EV -3.46%E -2.66%K -11.54%G +0.000%	3.2%	2026-11-15 00:19
Coolbet🎯	3.80I 26.32%NM 25.34%EV -2.19%E -0.577%K -0.783%G +0.000%	1.29I 77.52%NM 74.66%EV -4.20%E -3.26%K -14.49%G +0.000%	3.8%	2026-11-15 00:20
Everygame🎯	3.80I 26.32%NM 25.34%EV -2.19%E -0.577%K -0.783%G +0.000%	1.29I 77.52%NM 74.66%EV -4.20%E -3.26%K -14.49%G +0.000%	3.8%	2026-11-15 00:28
Paddy Power🎯	3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -2.19%E -0.577%K -0.783%G +0.000%	1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -7.17%E -5.74%K -28.70%G +0.000%	6.3%	2026-11-15 00:10
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯	3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -2.19%E -0.577%K -0.783%G +0.000%	1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -7.17%E -5.74%K -28.70%G +0.000%	6.3%	2026-11-15 00:10
1xBet🎯	3.77I 26.53%NM 25.64%EV -2.96%E -0.786%K -1.07%G +0.000%	1.30I 76.92%NM 74.36%EV -3.46%E -2.66%K -11.54%G +0.000%	3.4%	2026-11-15 00:00
DraftKings🎯	3.76I 26.60%NM 25.54%EV -3.22%E -0.857%K -1.17%G +0.000%	1.29I 77.52%NM 74.46%EV -4.20%E -3.26%K -14.49%G +0.000%	4.1%	2026-11-14 23:59
Unibet (UK)🎯	3.75I 26.67%NM 25.74%EV -3.48%E -0.928%K -1.26%G +0.000%	1.30I 76.92%NM 74.26%EV -3.46%E -2.66%K -11.54%G +0.000%	3.6%	2026-11-15 00:30
Fanatics🎯	3.75I 26.67%NM 25.60%EV -3.48%E -0.928%K -1.26%G +0.000%	1.29I 77.52%NM 74.40%EV -4.20%E -3.26%K -14.49%G +0.000%	4.2%	2026-11-15 00:15
Caesars🎯	3.75I 26.67%NM 25.60%EV -3.48%E -0.928%K -1.26%G +0.000%	1.29I 77.52%NM 74.40%EV -4.20%E -3.26%K -14.49%G +0.000%	4.2%	2026-11-15 00:40
GTbets🎯	3.75I 26.67%NM 25.60%EV -3.48%E -0.928%K -1.26%G +0.000%	1.29I 77.52%NM 74.40%EV -4.20%E -3.26%K -14.49%G +0.000%	4.2%	2026-11-15 00:10
BetMGM🎯	3.75I 26.67%NM 25.60%EV -3.48%E -0.928%K -1.26%G +0.000%	1.29I 77.52%NM 74.40%EV -4.20%E -3.26%K -14.49%G +0.000%	4.2%	2026-11-15 00:25
Hard Rock Bet🎯	3.75I 26.67%NM 25.60%EV -3.48%E -0.928%K -1.26%G +0.000%	1.29I 77.52%NM 74.40%EV -4.20%E -3.26%K -14.49%G +0.000%	4.2%	2026-11-15 00:10
Bovada🎯	3.75I 26.67%NM 25.60%EV -3.48%E -0.928%K -1.26%G +0.000%	1.29I 77.52%NM 74.40%EV -4.20%E -3.26%K -14.49%G +0.000%	4.2%	2026-11-15 00:15
Sky Bet🎯	3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -3.48%E -0.928%K -1.26%G +0.000%	1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -7.17%E -5.74%K -28.70%G +0.000%	6.7%	2026-11-15 00:30
TAB🎯	3.70I 27.03%NM 26.00%EV -4.77%E -1.29%K -1.76%G +0.000%	1.30I 76.92%NM 74.00%EV -3.46%E -2.66%K -11.54%G +0.000%	4.0%	2026-11-15 00:10
MyBookie.ag🎯	3.70I 27.03%NM 26.00%EV -4.77%E -1.29%K -1.76%G +0.000%	1.30I 76.92%NM 74.00%EV -3.46%E -2.66%K -11.54%G +0.000%	4.0%	2026-11-14 23:00
BetUS🎯	3.70I 27.03%NM 26.00%EV -4.77%E -1.29%K -1.76%G +0.000%	1.30I 76.92%NM 74.00%EV -3.46%E -2.66%K -11.54%G +0.000%	4.0%	2026-11-15 00:19
Winamax (DE)🎯	3.70I 27.03%NM 25.85%EV -4.77%E -1.29%K -1.76%G +0.000%	1.29I 77.52%NM 74.15%EV -4.20%E -3.26%K -14.49%G +0.000%	4.5%	2026-11-15 00:30
theScore Bet🎯	3.70I 27.03%NM 25.85%EV -4.77%E -1.29%K -1.76%G +0.000%	1.29I 77.52%NM 74.15%EV -4.20%E -3.26%K -14.49%G +0.000%	4.5%	2026-11-15 00:00
BetAnything🎯	3.70I 27.03%NM 25.85%EV -4.77%E -1.29%K -1.76%G +0.000%	1.29I 77.52%NM 74.15%EV -4.20%E -3.26%K -14.49%G +0.000%	4.5%	2026-11-14 23:20
Coral🎯	3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV -4.77%E -1.29%K -1.76%G +0.000%	1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -4.95%E -3.86%K -17.66%G +0.000%	5.2%	2026-11-15 00:25
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯	3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV -4.77%E -1.29%K -1.76%G +0.000%	1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -4.95%E -3.86%K -17.66%G +0.000%	5.2%	2026-11-15 00:25
Bet Right🎯	3.70I 27.03%NM 25.55%EV -4.77%E -1.29%K -1.76%G +0.000%	1.27I 78.74%NM 74.45%EV -5.69%E -4.48%K -21.07%G +0.000%	5.8%	2026-11-15 00:30
Marathon Bet🎯	3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV -4.77%E -1.29%K -1.76%G +0.000%	1.25I 80.00%NM 74.75%EV -7.17%E -5.74%K -28.70%G +0.000%	7.0%	2026-11-15 00:40
picklebet_au🎯	3.65I 27.40%NM 26.26%EV -6.05%E -1.66%K -2.28%G +0.000%	1.30I 76.92%NM 73.74%EV -3.46%E -2.66%K -11.54%G +0.000%	4.3%	2026-11-15 00:40
ReBet🎯	3.65I 27.40%NM 26.26%EV -6.05%E -1.66%K -2.28%G +0.000%	1.30I 76.92%NM 73.74%EV -3.46%E -2.66%K -11.54%G +0.000%	4.3%	2026-11-15 00:40
Dabble (AU)🎯	3.60I 27.78%NM 26.53%EV -7.34%E -2.04%K -2.82%G +0.000%	1.30I 76.92%NM 73.47%EV -3.46%E -2.66%K -11.54%G +0.000%	4.7%	2026-11-15 00:10
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯	3.60I 27.78%NM 26.53%EV -7.34%E -2.04%K -2.82%G +0.000%	1.30I 76.92%NM 73.47%EV -3.46%E -2.66%K -11.54%G +0.000%	4.7%	2026-11-15 00:10
Neds🎯	3.60I 27.78%NM 26.53%EV -7.34%E -2.04%K -2.82%G +0.000%	1.30I 76.92%NM 73.47%EV -3.46%E -2.66%K -11.54%G +0.000%	4.7%	2026-11-15 00:10
888sport🎯	3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -7.34%E -2.04%K -2.82%G +0.000%	1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -4.20%E -3.26%K -14.49%G +0.000%	5.3%	2026-11-14 23:25
BoyleSports🎯	3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -7.34%E -2.04%K -2.82%G +0.000%	1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -4.20%E -3.26%K -14.49%G +0.000%	5.3%	2026-11-15 00:30
William Hill🎯	3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -7.34%E -2.04%K -2.82%G +0.000%	1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -4.20%E -3.26%K -14.49%G +0.000%	5.3%	2026-11-14 23:25
888sport (SE)🎯	3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -7.34%E -2.04%K -2.82%G +0.000%	1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -4.20%E -3.26%K -14.49%G +0.000%	5.3%	2026-11-14 23:25
Mr Green (SE)🎯	3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -7.34%E -2.04%K -2.82%G +0.000%	1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -4.20%E -3.26%K -14.49%G +0.000%	5.3%	2026-11-14 23:25
PlayUp🎯	3.60I 27.78%NM 26.23%EV -7.34%E -2.04%K -2.82%G +0.000%	1.28I 78.13%NM 73.77%EV -4.95%E -3.86%K -17.66%G +0.000%	5.9%	2026-11-14 22:55
NordicBet🎯	3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -7.34%E -2.04%K -2.82%G +0.000%	1.25I 80.00%NM 74.23%EV -7.17%E -5.74%K -28.70%G +0.000%	7.8%	2026-11-15 00:10
Betsson🎯	3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -7.34%E -2.04%K -2.82%G +0.000%	1.25I 80.00%NM 74.23%EV -7.17%E -5.74%K -28.70%G +0.000%	7.8%	2026-11-15 00:10
Codere (IT)🎯	3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -8.63%E -2.43%K -3.38%G +0.000%	1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -3.46%E -2.66%K -11.54%G +0.000%	5.1%	2026-11-15 00:30
NetBet (FR)🎯	3.55I 28.17%NM 25.58%EV -8.63%E -2.43%K -3.38%G +0.000%	1.22I 81.97%NM 74.42%EV -9.40%E -7.71%K -42.73%G +0.000%	10.1%	2026-11-15 00:30
BetRivers🎯	3.50I 28.57%NM 27.39%EV -9.91%E -2.83%K -3.97%G +0.000%	1.32I 75.76%NM 72.61%EV -1.98%E -1.50%K -6.17%G +0.000%	4.3%	2026-11-15 00:30
Unibet (NL)🎯	3.50I 28.57%NM 27.39%EV -9.91%E -2.83%K -3.97%G +0.000%	1.32I 75.76%NM 72.61%EV -1.98%E -1.50%K -6.17%G +0.000%	4.3%	2026-11-15 00:35
Unibet (SE)🎯	3.50I 28.57%NM 27.39%EV -9.91%E -2.83%K -3.97%G +0.000%	1.32I 75.76%NM 72.61%EV -1.98%E -1.50%K -6.17%G +0.000%	4.3%	2026-11-15 00:35
Unibet🎯	3.50I 28.57%NM 27.39%EV -9.91%E -2.83%K -3.97%G +0.000%	1.32I 75.76%NM 72.61%EV -1.98%E -1.50%K -6.17%G +0.000%	4.3%	2026-11-15 00:35
Svenska Spel🎯	3.50I 28.57%NM 27.39%EV -9.91%E -2.83%K -3.97%G +0.000%	1.32I 75.76%NM 72.61%EV -1.98%E -1.50%K -6.17%G +0.000%	4.3%	2026-11-15 00:35
ATG (SE)🎯	3.50I 28.57%NM 27.39%EV -9.91%E -2.83%K -3.97%G +0.000%	1.32I 75.76%NM 72.61%EV -1.98%E -1.50%K -6.17%G +0.000%	4.3%	2026-11-15 00:35
Bally Bet🎯	3.50I 28.57%NM 27.39%EV -9.91%E -2.83%K -3.97%G +0.000%	1.32I 75.76%NM 72.61%EV -1.98%E -1.50%K -6.17%G +0.000%	4.3%	2026-11-15 00:30
betPARX🎯	3.50I 28.57%NM 27.39%EV -9.91%E -2.83%K -3.97%G +0.000%	1.32I 75.76%NM 72.61%EV -1.98%E -1.50%K -6.17%G +0.000%	4.3%	2026-11-15 00:30
betfred_uk🎯	3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -9.91%E -2.83%K -3.97%G +0.000%	1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -3.46%E -2.66%K -11.54%G +0.000%	5.5%	2026-11-15 00:29
Casumo🎯	3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -9.91%E -2.83%K -3.97%G +0.000%	1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -3.46%E -2.66%K -11.54%G +0.000%	5.5%	2026-11-15 00:35
LiveScore Bet🎯	3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -11.20%E -3.25%K -4.57%G +0.000%	1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -3.46%E -2.66%K -11.54%G +0.000%	5.9%	2026-11-15 00:35
TABtouch🎯	3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -11.20%E -3.25%K -4.57%G +0.000%	1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -3.46%E -2.66%K -11.54%G +0.000%	5.9%	2026-11-15 00:35
LeoVegas (SE)🎯	3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -11.20%E -3.25%K -4.57%G +0.000%	1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -3.46%E -2.66%K -11.54%G +0.000%	5.9%	2026-11-15 00:30
Virgin Bet🎯	3.45I 28.99%NM 27.22%EV -11.20%E -3.25%K -4.57%G +0.000%	1.29I 77.52%NM 72.78%EV -4.20%E -3.26%K -14.49%G +0.000%	6.5%	2026-11-15 00:35
LeoVegas🎯	3.45I 28.99%NM 26.75%EV -11.20%E -3.25%K -4.57%G +0.000%	1.26I 79.37%NM 73.25%EV -6.43%E -5.10%K -24.74%G +0.000%	8.4%	2026-11-15 00:35
Tipico (DE)🎯	3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -12.49%E -3.67%K -5.20%G +0.000%	1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -3.46%E -2.66%K -11.54%G +0.000%	6.3%	2026-11-14 22:55
Winamax (FR)🎯	3.30I 30.30%NM 27.47%EV -15.06%E -4.56%K -6.55%G +0.000%	1.25I 80.00%NM 72.53%EV -7.17%E -5.74%K -28.70%G +0.000%	10.3%	2026-11-15 00:30
PMU (FR)🎯	3.30I 30.30%NM 27.47%EV -15.06%E -4.56%K -6.55%G +0.000%	1.25I 80.00%NM 72.53%EV -7.17%E -5.74%K -28.70%G +0.000%	10.3%	2026-11-15 00:35
Betclic (FR)🎯	3.30I 30.30%NM 27.31%EV -15.06%E -4.56%K -6.55%G +0.000%	1.24I 80.65%NM 72.69%EV -7.92%E -6.38%K -32.99%G +0.000%	10.9%	2026-11-15 00:34
Unibet (FR)🎯	2.90I 34.48%NM 29.27%EV -25.36%E -8.74%K -13.35%G +0.000%	1.20I 83.33%NM 70.73%EV -10.89%E -9.07%K -54.43%G +0.000%	17.8%	2026-11-15 00:30

利润率 = 利润率（超额概率） · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间，因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变，并不代表数据已经失效。通常，约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除；只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时，才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。

博彩交易所 (10)

博彩公司	主队	客队	利润率 ▲	更新时间
Novig◎	4.35I 22.99%NM 22.87%	1.29I 77.52%NM 77.13%	0.5%	2026-11-15 00:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎	4.20I 23.81%NM 23.64%	1.30I 76.92%NM 76.36%	0.7%	2026-11-15 00:30
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎	4.20I 23.81%NM 23.64%	1.30I 76.92%NM 76.36%	0.7%	2026-11-15 00:30
ProphetX◎	4.30I 23.26%NM 23.08%	1.29I 77.52%NM 76.92%	0.8%	2026-11-15 00:40
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎	4.30I 23.26%NM 23.08%	1.29I 77.52%NM 76.92%	0.8%	2026-11-15 00:40
Kalshi◎	4.17I 23.98%NM 23.77%	1.30I 76.92%NM 76.23%	0.9%	2026-11-15 00:30
Polymarket◎	4.17I 23.98%NM 23.77%	1.30I 76.92%NM 76.23%	0.9%	2026-11-15 00:10
Smarkets◎	4.20I 23.81%NM 23.36%	1.28I 78.13%NM 76.64%	1.9%	2026-11-15 00:40
Matchbook◎	4.00I 25.00%NM 24.39%	1.29I 77.52%NM 75.61%	2.5%	2026-11-15 00:40
BetOpenly◎	3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%	1.32I 75.76%NM 69.44%	9.1%	2026-11-15 00:24

在 odds.forum 讨论这场比赛

论坛讨论以英语显示。

尚无已发布的评论。