Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Cleveland Cavaliers v Boston Celtics

Kickoff: 2026-03-08 17:11 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

61 sportsbooks (22 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Cleveland Cavaliers (Local)

Prediction 52.27%1.91fair odd
EV -0.161%
Edge -0.084%
Kelly -0.177%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.91

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
50.00%52.17%52.22%52.88%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.751.831.831.9157.14%54.66%54.64%52.36%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Boston Celtics (Visit)

Prediction 47.73%2.10fair odd
EV -1.68%
Edge -0.816%
Kelly -1.59%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.06

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
47.12%47.83%47.78%50.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.901.992.002.0652.63%50.29%50.00%48.54%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Cleveland Cavaliers (Local): 52.27%; Boston Celtics (Visit): 47.73%. For Cleveland Cavaliers (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.913. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 1.910, with an expected value of -0.161%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (61 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
William Hill🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -0.161%E -0.084%K -0.177%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -8.84%E -4.63%K -9.71%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-08 17:09
Paddy Power🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -0.683%E -0.360%K -0.759%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -9.32%E -4.90%K -10.35%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-08 17:10
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -0.683%E -0.360%K -0.759%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -9.32%E -4.90%K -10.35%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-08 17:10
BetOnline.ag🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -2.25%E -1.20%K -2.59%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -6.93%E -3.55%K -7.29%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-08 17:09
Bovada🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -2.25%E -1.20%K -2.59%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -6.93%E -3.55%K -7.29%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-08 17:08
BetAnything🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -2.25%E -1.20%K -2.59%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -6.93%E -3.55%K -7.29%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-08 17:10
Fliff🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.53%EV -2.25%E -1.20%K -2.59%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.47%EV -8.84%E -4.63%K -9.71%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-08 17:10
SportsBet🎯1.86I 53.76%NM 51.69%EV -2.77%E -1.49%K -3.23%G +0.000%1.99I 50.25%NM 48.31%EV -5.02%E -2.52%K -5.07%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-08 17:09
Pinnacle🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 52.69%EV -3.30%E -1.78%K -3.88%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 47.31%EV -1.68%E -0.816%K -1.59%G +0.000%2.6%2026-03-08 17:09
Bet Victor🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 52.56%EV -3.30%E -1.78%K -3.88%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 47.44%EV -2.16%E -1.05%K -2.05%G +0.000%2.8%2026-03-08 17:07
FanDuel🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -3.30%E -1.78%K -3.88%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -4.54%E -2.27%K -4.54%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-08 17:09
Betr (AU)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -3.30%E -1.78%K -3.88%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -4.54%E -2.27%K -4.54%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-08 16:59
TAB🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -3.30%E -1.78%K -3.88%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -4.54%E -2.27%K -4.54%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-08 17:09
Coolbet🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -3.30%E -1.78%K -3.88%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -4.54%E -2.27%K -4.54%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-08 17:08
Dabble (AU)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -3.30%E -1.78%K -3.88%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -4.54%E -2.27%K -4.54%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-08 17:10
Betsson🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.70%EV -3.30%E -1.78%K -3.88%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.30%EV -5.50%E -2.78%K -5.61%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-08 17:08
NordicBet🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.70%EV -3.30%E -1.78%K -3.88%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.30%EV -5.50%E -2.78%K -5.61%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-08 17:10
PlayUp🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.70%EV -3.30%E -1.78%K -3.88%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.30%EV -5.50%E -2.78%K -5.61%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-08 17:09
BetMGM🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.70%EV -3.30%E -1.78%K -3.88%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.30%EV -5.50%E -2.78%K -5.61%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-08 17:09
Bet Right🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -3.30%E -1.78%K -3.88%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -6.93%E -3.55%K -7.29%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-08 17:09
Parions Sport (FR)🎯1.84I 54.35%NM 52.08%EV -3.82%E -2.08%K -4.55%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.92%EV -4.54%E -2.27%K -4.54%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-08 16:59
Winamax (DE)🎯1.84I 54.35%NM 52.08%EV -3.82%E -2.08%K -4.55%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.92%EV -4.54%E -2.27%K -4.54%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-08 17:10
Unibet (UK)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.71%EV -4.34%E -2.37%K -5.23%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 47.29%EV -2.63%E -1.29%K -2.53%G +0.000%3.7%2026-03-08 17:09
LowVig.ag🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.71%EV -4.34%E -2.37%K -5.23%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 47.29%EV -2.63%E -1.29%K -2.53%G +0.000%3.7%2026-03-08 17:10
Fanatics🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.34%E -2.37%K -5.23%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.54%E -2.27%K -4.54%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-08 17:10
GTbets🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.34%E -2.37%K -5.23%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.54%E -2.27%K -4.54%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-08 17:09
Caesars🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.34%E -2.37%K -5.23%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.54%E -2.27%K -4.54%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-08 17:08
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.34%E -2.37%K -5.23%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.54%E -2.27%K -4.54%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-08 17:09
BetUS🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.34%E -2.37%K -5.23%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.54%E -2.27%K -4.54%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-08 17:09
Everygame🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.34%E -2.37%K -5.23%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.54%E -2.27%K -4.54%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-08 17:09
theScore Bet🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.34%E -2.37%K -5.23%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.54%E -2.27%K -4.54%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-08 17:10
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -4.34%E -2.37%K -5.23%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -5.50%E -2.78%K -5.61%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-08 17:10
Neds🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -4.34%E -2.37%K -5.23%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -5.50%E -2.78%K -5.61%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-08 17:10
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -4.34%E -2.37%K -5.23%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -6.93%E -3.55%K -7.29%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-08 17:09
Coral🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -4.34%E -2.37%K -5.23%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -6.93%E -3.55%K -7.29%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-08 17:09
Tipico (DE)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.33%EV -4.34%E -2.37%K -5.23%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 48.67%EV -7.88%E -4.09%K -8.48%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-08 17:10
DraftKings🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -4.34%E -2.37%K -5.23%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -8.84%E -4.63%K -9.71%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-08 17:10
Unibet (NL)🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 52.85%EV -4.87%E -2.67%K -5.93%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 47.15%EV -2.63%E -1.29%K -2.53%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-08 17:10
Unibet (SE)🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 52.85%EV -4.87%E -2.67%K -5.93%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 47.15%EV -2.63%E -1.29%K -2.53%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-08 17:10
ATG (SE)🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 52.85%EV -4.87%E -2.67%K -5.93%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 47.15%EV -2.63%E -1.29%K -2.53%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-08 17:10
Svenska Spel🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 52.85%EV -4.87%E -2.67%K -5.93%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 47.15%EV -2.63%E -1.29%K -2.53%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-08 17:10
Marathon Bet🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 52.60%EV -4.87%E -2.67%K -5.93%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.40%EV -3.59%E -1.78%K -3.52%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-08 16:59
Codere (IT)🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -4.87%E -2.67%K -5.93%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -4.54%E -2.27%K -4.54%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-08 17:03
TABtouch🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 52.74%EV -5.39%E -2.98%K -6.65%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.26%EV -3.59%E -1.78%K -3.52%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-08 17:10
Unibet🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 52.74%EV -5.39%E -2.98%K -6.65%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.26%EV -3.59%E -1.78%K -3.52%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-08 17:09
betPARX🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 52.74%EV -5.39%E -2.98%K -6.65%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.26%EV -3.59%E -1.78%K -3.52%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-08 17:10
Bally Bet🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 52.74%EV -5.39%E -2.98%K -6.65%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.26%EV -3.59%E -1.78%K -3.52%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-08 17:10
MyBookie.ag🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -5.91%E -3.28%K -7.39%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -3.59%E -1.78%K -3.52%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-08 17:00
LiveScore Bet🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -5.91%E -3.28%K -7.39%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -3.59%E -1.78%K -3.52%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-08 17:10
BetRivers🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -5.91%E -3.28%K -7.39%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -3.59%E -1.78%K -3.52%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-08 17:09
Virgin Bet🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -5.91%E -3.28%K -7.39%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -3.59%E -1.78%K -3.52%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-08 17:09
Sky Bet🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.91%E -3.28%K -7.39%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.54%E -2.27%K -4.54%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-08 17:10
Winamax (FR)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.91%E -3.28%K -7.39%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.54%E -2.27%K -4.54%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-08 17:09
BoyleSports🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.91%E -3.28%K -7.39%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.54%E -2.27%K -4.54%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-08 16:59
Betway🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.91%E -3.28%K -7.39%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.54%E -2.27%K -4.54%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-08 17:09
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -5.91%E -3.28%K -7.39%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -6.93%E -3.55%K -7.29%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-08 17:08
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 52.77%EV -6.43%E -3.59%K -8.14%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.23%EV -4.54%E -2.27%K -4.54%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-08 17:10
NetBet (FR)🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 52.28%EV -6.96%E -3.91%K -8.92%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.72%EV -6.93%E -3.55%K -7.29%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-08 16:59
Unibet (FR)🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 52.67%EV -7.48%E -4.23%K -9.71%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 47.33%EV -5.98%E -3.03%K -6.16%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-08 17:09
LeoVegas🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 52.69%EV -8.00%E -4.55%K -10.53%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 47.31%EV -6.45%E -3.29%K -6.72%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-08 17:10
Betclic (FR)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 52.05%EV -8.52%E -4.87%K -11.37%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 47.95%EV -9.32%E -4.90%K -10.35%G +0.000%9.8%2026-03-08 17:08
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (10)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
BetOpenly1.96I 51.02%NM 51.24%2.06I 48.54%NM 48.76%-0.4%2026-03-08 16:59
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.96I 51.02%NM 50.75%2.02I 49.50%NM 49.25%0.5%2026-03-08 17:10
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.96I 51.02%NM 50.75%2.02I 49.50%NM 49.25%0.5%2026-03-08 17:10
Matchbook1.92I 52.08%NM 51.76%2.06I 48.54%NM 48.24%0.6%2026-03-08 17:10
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.95I 51.28%NM 50.88%2.02I 49.50%NM 49.12%0.8%2026-03-08 17:10
Polymarket1.96I 51.02%NM 50.51%2.00I 50.00%NM 49.49%1.0%2026-03-08 17:09
Kalshi1.92I 52.08%NM 51.52%2.04I 49.02%NM 48.48%1.1%2026-03-08 17:10
Novig1.92I 52.08%NM 51.52%2.04I 49.02%NM 48.48%1.1%2026-03-08 17:09
ProphetX1.91I 52.36%NM 51.77%2.05I 48.78%NM 48.23%1.1%2026-03-08 17:10
Smarkets1.90I 52.63%NM 51.53%2.02I 49.50%NM 48.47%2.1%2026-03-08 17:09