Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Chicago Bulls v Detroit Pistons

Kickoff: 2026-02-22 01:12 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

65 sportsbooks (23 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Chicago Bulls (Local)

Prediction 19.00%5.26fair odd
EV +6.38%
Edge +1.14%
Kelly +1.39%
Growth +0.088%

assuming max odds 5.60

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
17.04%19.32%18.96%22.35%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.104.985.005.6024.39%20.09%20.00%17.86%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Detroit Pistons (Visit)

Prediction 81.00%1.23fair odd
EV -1.18%
Edge -0.964%
Kelly -5.34%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.22

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
77.65%80.68%81.04%82.96%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.141.181.181.2287.72%84.85%84.75%81.97%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Chicago Bulls (Local): 19.00%; Detroit Pistons (Visit): 81.00%. For Chicago Bulls (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 5.26. 3 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 5.60, corresponding to a positive expected value of +6.38%.

Sportsbook Odds (65 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
Fliff🎯5.60I 17.86%NM 17.04%EV +6.38%E +1.14%K +1.39%G +0.088%1.15I 86.96%NM 82.96%EV -6.85%E -5.95%K -45.64%G +0.000%4.8%2026-02-22 01:05
1xBet🎯5.32I 18.80%NM 18.40%EV +1.06%E +0.199%K +0.246%G +0.003%1.20I 83.33%NM 81.60%EV -2.80%E -2.33%K -13.98%G +0.000%2.1%2026-02-22 00:30
Caesars🎯5.30I 18.87%NM 18.21%EV +0.681%E +0.128%K +0.158%G +0.001%1.18I 84.75%NM 81.79%EV -4.42%E -3.74%K -24.53%G +0.000%3.6%2026-02-22 01:09
SportsBet🎯5.25I 19.05%NM 18.35%EV -0.269%E -0.051%K -0.063%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 81.65%EV -4.42%E -3.74%K -24.53%G +0.000%3.8%2026-02-22 00:50
BetMGM🎯5.25I 19.05%NM 18.22%EV -0.269%E -0.051%K -0.063%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 81.78%EV -5.23%E -4.47%K -30.74%G +0.000%4.5%2026-02-21 19:10
theScore Bet🎯5.25I 19.05%NM 17.97%EV -0.269%E -0.051%K -0.063%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 82.03%EV -6.85%E -5.95%K -45.64%G +0.000%6.0%2026-02-22 00:55
FanDuel🎯5.20I 19.23%NM 18.50%EV -1.22%E -0.234%K -0.290%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 81.50%EV -4.42%E -3.74%K -24.53%G +0.000%4.0%2026-02-22 00:50
Coolbet🎯5.20I 19.23%NM 18.50%EV -1.22%E -0.234%K -0.290%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 81.50%EV -4.42%E -3.74%K -24.53%G +0.000%4.0%2026-02-21 20:40
Unibet (SE)🎯5.20I 19.23%NM 18.50%EV -1.22%E -0.234%K -0.290%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 81.50%EV -4.42%E -3.74%K -24.53%G +0.000%4.0%2026-02-22 01:00
Unibet (NL)🎯5.20I 19.23%NM 18.50%EV -1.22%E -0.234%K -0.290%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 81.50%EV -4.42%E -3.74%K -24.53%G +0.000%4.0%2026-02-22 01:00
ATG (SE)🎯5.20I 19.23%NM 18.50%EV -1.22%E -0.234%K -0.290%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 81.50%EV -4.42%E -3.74%K -24.53%G +0.000%4.0%2026-02-22 01:00
Svenska Spel🎯5.20I 19.23%NM 18.50%EV -1.22%E -0.234%K -0.290%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 81.50%EV -4.42%E -3.74%K -24.53%G +0.000%4.0%2026-02-22 01:00
MyBookie.ag🎯5.16I 19.38%NM 18.48%EV -1.98%E -0.383%K -0.476%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 81.52%EV -5.23%E -4.47%K -30.74%G +0.000%4.8%2026-02-21 23:05
DraftKings🎯5.10I 19.61%NM 18.79%EV -3.12%E -0.611%K -0.761%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 81.21%EV -4.42%E -3.74%K -24.53%G +0.000%4.4%2026-02-21 19:25
888sport🎯5.10I 19.61%NM 18.66%EV -3.12%E -0.611%K -0.761%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 81.34%EV -5.23%E -4.47%K -30.74%G +0.000%5.1%2026-02-21 20:55
Mr Green (SE)🎯5.10I 19.61%NM 18.66%EV -3.12%E -0.611%K -0.761%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 81.34%EV -5.23%E -4.47%K -30.74%G +0.000%5.1%2026-02-21 20:55
888sport (SE)🎯5.10I 19.61%NM 18.66%EV -3.12%E -0.611%K -0.761%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 81.34%EV -5.23%E -4.47%K -30.74%G +0.000%5.1%2026-02-21 21:00
Pinnacle🎯5.05I 19.80%NM 19.20%EV -4.07%E -0.806%K -1.00%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 80.80%EV -2.80%E -2.33%K -13.98%G +0.000%3.1%2026-02-22 01:09
BetUS🎯5.05I 19.80%NM 19.07%EV -4.07%E -0.806%K -1.00%G +0.000%1.19I 84.03%NM 80.93%EV -3.61%E -3.03%K -18.98%G +0.000%3.8%2026-02-22 00:45
Everygame🎯5.05I 19.80%NM 19.07%EV -4.07%E -0.806%K -1.00%G +0.000%1.19I 84.03%NM 80.93%EV -3.61%E -3.03%K -18.98%G +0.000%3.8%2026-02-21 22:20
Marathon Bet🎯5.05I 19.80%NM 18.94%EV -4.07%E -0.806%K -1.00%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 81.06%EV -4.42%E -3.74%K -24.53%G +0.000%4.5%2026-02-22 00:25
LowVig.ag🎯5.04I 19.84%NM 19.10%EV -4.26%E -0.845%K -1.05%G +0.000%1.19I 84.03%NM 80.90%EV -3.61%E -3.03%K -18.98%G +0.000%3.9%2026-02-22 00:50
TAB🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 19.22%EV -5.02%E -1.00%K -1.25%G +0.000%1.19I 84.03%NM 80.78%EV -3.61%E -3.03%K -18.98%G +0.000%4.0%2026-02-21 19:45
Codere (IT)🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 19.09%EV -5.02%E -1.00%K -1.25%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 80.91%EV -4.42%E -3.74%K -24.53%G +0.000%4.7%2026-02-22 01:00
PointsBet (AU)🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 19.09%EV -5.02%E -1.00%K -1.25%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 80.91%EV -4.42%E -3.74%K -24.53%G +0.000%4.7%2026-02-22 00:50
Fanatics🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 19.09%EV -5.02%E -1.00%K -1.25%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 80.91%EV -4.42%E -3.74%K -24.53%G +0.000%4.7%2026-02-21 19:25
PlayUp🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 19.09%EV -5.02%E -1.00%K -1.25%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 80.91%EV -4.42%E -3.74%K -24.53%G +0.000%4.7%2026-02-22 00:45
TABtouch🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 19.09%EV -5.02%E -1.00%K -1.25%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 80.91%EV -4.42%E -3.74%K -24.53%G +0.000%4.7%2026-02-22 00:45
Unibet🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 19.09%EV -5.02%E -1.00%K -1.25%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 80.91%EV -4.42%E -3.74%K -24.53%G +0.000%4.7%2026-02-22 00:45
Bally Bet🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 19.09%EV -5.02%E -1.00%K -1.25%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 80.91%EV -4.42%E -3.74%K -24.53%G +0.000%4.7%2026-02-22 00:45
betPARX🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 19.09%EV -5.02%E -1.00%K -1.25%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 80.91%EV -4.42%E -3.74%K -24.53%G +0.000%4.7%2026-02-22 00:45
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -5.02%E -1.00%K -1.25%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -5.23%E -4.47%K -30.74%G +0.000%5.5%2026-02-22 00:50
Neds🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -5.02%E -1.00%K -1.25%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -5.23%E -4.47%K -30.74%G +0.000%5.5%2026-02-22 00:50
Paddy Power🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -5.02%E -1.00%K -1.25%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -5.23%E -4.47%K -30.74%G +0.000%5.5%2026-02-21 21:50
BoyleSports🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -5.02%E -1.00%K -1.25%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -5.23%E -4.47%K -30.74%G +0.000%5.5%2026-02-21 22:03
William Hill🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -5.02%E -1.00%K -1.25%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -5.23%E -4.47%K -30.74%G +0.000%5.5%2026-02-21 21:20
BetRivers🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -5.02%E -1.00%K -1.25%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -5.23%E -4.47%K -30.74%G +0.000%5.5%2026-02-22 00:55
LiveScore Bet🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -5.02%E -1.00%K -1.25%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -5.23%E -4.47%K -30.74%G +0.000%5.5%2026-02-22 00:55
Virgin Bet🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -5.02%E -1.00%K -1.25%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -5.23%E -4.47%K -30.74%G +0.000%5.5%2026-02-22 00:55
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -5.02%E -1.00%K -1.25%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -5.23%E -4.47%K -30.74%G +0.000%5.5%2026-02-21 21:50
Dabble (AU)🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -5.02%E -1.00%K -1.25%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -5.23%E -4.47%K -30.74%G +0.000%5.5%2026-02-22 00:45
Unibet (FR)🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.83%EV -5.02%E -1.00%K -1.25%G +0.000%1.16I 86.21%NM 81.17%EV -6.04%E -5.20%K -37.72%G +0.000%6.2%2026-02-22 01:04
Tipico (DE)🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.83%EV -5.02%E -1.00%K -1.25%G +0.000%1.16I 86.21%NM 81.17%EV -6.04%E -5.20%K -37.72%G +0.000%6.2%2026-02-22 00:59
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.70%EV -5.02%E -1.00%K -1.25%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 81.30%EV -6.85%E -5.95%K -45.64%G +0.000%7.0%2026-02-21 19:09
Coral🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.70%EV -5.02%E -1.00%K -1.25%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 81.30%EV -6.85%E -5.95%K -45.64%G +0.000%7.0%2026-02-21 19:09
NetBet (FR)🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV -5.02%E -1.00%K -1.25%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 81.43%EV -7.66%E -6.72%K -54.68%G +0.000%7.7%2026-02-21 22:55
BetOnline.ag🎯4.96I 20.16%NM 19.35%EV -5.78%E -1.16%K -1.46%G +0.000%1.19I 84.03%NM 80.65%EV -3.61%E -3.03%K -18.98%G +0.000%4.2%2026-02-22 00:50
GTbets🎯4.95I 20.20%NM 19.38%EV -5.97%E -1.21%K -1.51%G +0.000%1.19I 84.03%NM 80.62%EV -3.61%E -3.03%K -18.98%G +0.000%4.2%2026-02-22 00:50
BetAnything🎯4.95I 20.20%NM 19.38%EV -5.97%E -1.21%K -1.51%G +0.000%1.19I 84.03%NM 80.62%EV -3.61%E -3.03%K -18.98%G +0.000%4.2%2026-02-22 00:55
Betsson🎯4.90I 20.41%NM 19.41%EV -6.92%E -1.41%K -1.77%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 80.59%EV -4.42%E -3.74%K -24.53%G +0.000%5.2%2026-02-22 00:55
NordicBet🎯4.90I 20.41%NM 19.41%EV -6.92%E -1.41%K -1.77%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 80.59%EV -4.42%E -3.74%K -24.53%G +0.000%5.2%2026-02-22 00:55
LeoVegas (SE)🎯4.90I 20.41%NM 19.28%EV -6.92%E -1.41%K -1.77%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 80.72%EV -5.23%E -4.47%K -30.74%G +0.000%5.9%2026-02-22 01:00
Parions Sport (FR)🎯4.85I 20.62%NM 19.44%EV -7.87%E -1.62%K -2.04%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 80.56%EV -5.23%E -4.47%K -30.74%G +0.000%6.1%2026-02-21 07:05
Betr (AU)🎯4.85I 20.62%NM 19.44%EV -7.87%E -1.62%K -2.04%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 80.56%EV -5.23%E -4.47%K -30.74%G +0.000%6.1%2026-02-22 00:50
LeoVegas🎯4.80I 20.83%NM 19.33%EV -8.82%E -1.84%K -2.32%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 80.67%EV -6.85%E -5.95%K -45.64%G +0.000%7.8%2026-02-22 00:50
Bet Victor🎯4.75I 21.05%NM 20.44%EV -9.77%E -2.06%K -2.60%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 79.56%EV -1.18%E -0.964%K -5.34%G +0.000%3.0%2026-02-22 00:49
Bet Right🎯4.75I 21.05%NM 20.03%EV -9.77%E -2.06%K -2.60%G +0.000%1.19I 84.03%NM 79.97%EV -3.61%E -3.03%K -18.98%G +0.000%5.1%2026-02-21 23:20
Bovada🎯4.75I 21.05%NM 20.03%EV -9.77%E -2.06%K -2.60%G +0.000%1.19I 84.03%NM 79.97%EV -3.61%E -3.03%K -18.98%G +0.000%5.1%2026-02-22 01:07
Winamax (DE)🎯4.70I 21.28%NM 20.61%EV -10.72%E -2.28%K -2.90%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 79.39%EV -1.18%E -0.964%K -5.34%G +0.000%3.2%2026-02-22 01:00
Unibet (UK)🎯4.60I 21.74%NM 20.83%EV -12.62%E -2.74%K -3.50%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 79.17%EV -1.99%E -1.64%K -9.46%G +0.000%4.4%2026-02-22 00:59
Sky Bet🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -14.52%E -3.23%K -4.15%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -2.80%E -2.33%K -13.98%G +0.000%5.6%2026-02-22 00:50
Hard Rock Bet🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -14.52%E -3.23%K -4.15%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -2.80%E -2.33%K -13.98%G +0.000%5.6%2026-02-22 01:05
Betway🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -14.52%E -3.23%K -4.15%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -2.80%E -2.33%K -13.98%G +0.000%5.6%2026-02-22 01:00
Winamax (FR)🎯4.40I 22.73%NM 21.43%EV -16.42%E -3.73%K -4.83%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 78.57%EV -2.80%E -2.33%K -13.98%G +0.000%6.1%2026-02-22 00:59
Betclic (FR)🎯4.10I 24.39%NM 22.35%EV -22.11%E -5.39%K -7.13%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 77.65%EV -4.42%E -3.74%K -24.53%G +0.000%9.1%2026-02-22 01:03
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (10)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (UK)5.40I 18.52%NM 18.43%1.22I 81.97%NM 81.57%0.5%2026-02-22 00:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)5.40I 18.52%NM 18.43%1.22I 81.97%NM 81.57%0.5%2026-02-22 00:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)5.40I 18.52%NM 18.43%1.22I 81.97%NM 81.57%0.5%2026-02-22 00:55
Polymarket5.26I 19.01%NM 18.83%1.22I 81.97%NM 81.17%1.0%2026-02-22 01:10
Matchbook5.40I 18.52%NM 18.31%1.21I 82.64%NM 81.69%1.2%2026-02-22 01:10
Kalshi5.56I 17.99%NM 17.75%1.20I 83.33%NM 82.25%1.3%2026-02-21 22:20
BetOpenly5.54I 18.05%NM 17.80%1.20I 83.33%NM 82.20%1.4%2026-02-22 00:55
Novig5.32I 18.80%NM 18.53%1.21I 82.64%NM 81.47%1.4%2026-02-22 01:10
ProphetX5.30I 18.87%NM 18.59%1.21I 82.64%NM 81.41%1.5%2026-02-22 01:10
Smarkets5.20I 19.23%NM 18.75%1.20I 83.33%NM 81.25%2.6%2026-02-22 01:10