The School of Odds
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
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Charlotte Hornets v Miami Heat

Kickoff: 2026-04-15 23:40 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

28 sportsbooks (6 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Charlotte Hornets (Local)

Prediction 64.81%1.54fair odd
EV -1.50%
Edge -0.984%
Kelly -2.88%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.52

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
63.11%64.86%64.88%65.88%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.411.471.481.5270.92%68.04%67.57%65.79%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Miami Heat (Visit)

Prediction 35.19%2.84fair odd
EV -1.46%
Edge -0.520%
Kelly -0.809%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.80

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
34.12%35.14%35.12%36.89%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.552.712.702.8039.22%36.85%37.04%35.71%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Charlotte Hornets (Local): 64.81%; Miami Heat (Visit): 35.19%. For Miami Heat (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.84. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.80, with an expected value of -1.46%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (28 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
TAB🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 63.11%EV -1.50%E -0.984%K -2.88%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.89%EV -8.49%E -3.27%K -5.31%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-13 01:04
LowVig.ag🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 65.19%EV -3.44%E -2.31%K -7.02%G +0.000%2.79I 35.84%NM 34.81%EV -1.81%E -0.648%K -1.01%G +0.000%3.0%2026-04-13 01:24
BetOnline.ag🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 65.02%EV -3.44%E -2.31%K -7.02%G +0.000%2.77I 36.10%NM 34.98%EV -2.51%E -0.907%K -1.42%G +0.000%3.2%2026-04-13 01:24
DraftKings🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 64.44%EV -3.44%E -2.31%K -7.02%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.56%EV -4.98%E -1.84%K -2.93%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-13 00:59
Unibet (SE)🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 65.01%EV -4.09%E -2.76%K -8.52%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.99%EV -3.22%E -1.17%K -1.84%G +0.000%3.9%2026-04-13 00:55
Unibet (NL)🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 65.01%EV -4.09%E -2.76%K -8.52%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.99%EV -3.22%E -1.17%K -1.84%G +0.000%3.9%2026-04-13 00:54
Svenska Spel🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 65.01%EV -4.09%E -2.76%K -8.52%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.99%EV -3.22%E -1.17%K -1.84%G +0.000%3.9%2026-04-13 00:54
ATG (SE)🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 65.01%EV -4.09%E -2.76%K -8.52%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.99%EV -3.22%E -1.17%K -1.84%G +0.000%3.9%2026-04-13 00:55
Caesars🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 65.01%EV -4.09%E -2.76%K -8.52%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.99%EV -3.22%E -1.17%K -1.84%G +0.000%3.9%2026-04-13 01:25
GTbets🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 65.01%EV -4.09%E -2.76%K -8.52%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.99%EV -3.22%E -1.17%K -1.84%G +0.000%3.9%2026-04-13 01:24
Unibet🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -4.09%E -2.76%K -8.52%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -4.98%E -1.84%K -2.93%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-13 00:55
TABtouch🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -4.09%E -2.76%K -8.52%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -4.98%E -1.84%K -2.93%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-13 00:55
betPARX🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -4.09%E -2.76%K -8.52%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -4.98%E -1.84%K -2.93%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-13 00:55
Bally Bet🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -4.09%E -2.76%K -8.52%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -4.98%E -1.84%K -2.93%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-13 00:54
Neds🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -4.09%E -2.76%K -8.52%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -4.98%E -1.84%K -2.93%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-13 01:00
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -4.09%E -2.76%K -8.52%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -4.98%E -1.84%K -2.93%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-13 01:00
FanDuel🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 65.57%EV -4.74%E -3.22%K -10.08%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.43%EV -1.46%E -0.520%K -0.809%G +0.000%3.7%2026-04-13 00:50
BetRivers🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -4.74%E -3.22%K -10.08%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -4.98%E -1.84%K -2.93%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-13 00:55
Virgin Bet🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -4.74%E -3.22%K -10.08%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -4.98%E -1.84%K -2.93%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-13 00:55
LiveScore Bet🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -4.74%E -3.22%K -10.08%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -4.98%E -1.84%K -2.93%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-13 00:55
SportsBet🎯1.46I 68.49%NM 65.73%EV -5.38%E -3.69%K -11.70%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.27%EV -1.46%E -0.520%K -0.809%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-13 00:50
Bovada🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -6.03%E -4.16%K -13.40%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -1.46%E -0.520%K -0.809%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-13 01:32
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 64.63%EV -6.03%E -4.16%K -13.40%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.37%EV -6.73%E -2.54%K -4.08%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-13 01:20
Paddy Power🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -6.68%E -4.64%K -15.18%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -3.22%E -1.17%K -1.84%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-13 00:50
Sky Bet🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -6.68%E -4.64%K -15.18%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -3.22%E -1.17%K -1.84%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-13 00:49
BoyleSports🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 64.36%EV -6.68%E -4.64%K -15.18%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.64%EV -8.49%E -3.27%K -5.31%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-13 01:04
PMU (FR)🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 64.78%EV -7.33%E -5.12%K -17.04%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 35.22%EV -7.44%E -2.83%K -4.56%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-13 00:55
LeoVegas🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 64.39%EV -8.62%E -6.12%K -21.03%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.61%EV -10.25%E -4.02%K -6.62%G +0.000%10.1%2026-04-13 01:19
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.