L’École des cotes

Charlotte Hornets v Miami Heat

Coup d’envoi : 2026-04-14 23:42 UTC

Score final : Charlotte Hornets 127–126 Miami Heat

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

63 opérateurs (20 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Charlotte Hornets (Local)

Prévision 68.13%1.47cote équitable
EV -1.21%
Avantage -0.833%
Kelly -2.69%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.45

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
66.59%68.16%68.18%70.02%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.301.401.401.4576.92%71.68%71.43%68.97%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Miami Heat (Visiteur)

Prévision 31.87%3.14cote équitable
EV +1.98%
Avantage +0.618%
Kelly +0.899%
Croissance +0.018%

avec la cote maximale 3.20

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
29.98%31.84%31.82%33.41%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.752.993.003.2036.36%33.44%33.33%31.25%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (63 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼MargeMise à jour
Everygame1.38I 72.46%NM 69.87%EV -5.98%E -4.33%K -15.73%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.13%EV +1.98%E +0.618%K +0.899%G +0.018%3.7%2026-04-14 21:40
theScore Bet1.37I 72.99%NM 70.02%EV -6.66%E -4.86%K -18.00%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.98%EV +1.98%E +0.618%K +0.899%G +0.018%4.2%2026-04-14 23:29
LowVig.ag1.39I 71.94%NM 69.58%EV -5.30%E -3.81%K -13.58%G +0.000%3.18I 31.45%NM 30.42%EV +1.34%E +0.421%K +0.615%G +0.008%3.4%2026-04-14 23:34
BetUS1.38I 72.46%NM 69.74%EV -5.98%E -4.33%K -15.73%G +0.000%3.18I 31.45%NM 30.26%EV +1.34%E +0.421%K +0.615%G +0.008%3.9%2026-04-14 23:19
BetOnline.ag1.38I 72.46%NM 69.54%EV -5.98%E -4.33%K -15.73%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.46%EV +0.384%E +0.122%K +0.178%G +0.001%4.2%2026-04-14 23:35
BetAnything1.38I 72.46%NM 69.54%EV -5.98%E -4.33%K -15.73%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.46%EV +0.384%E +0.122%K +0.178%G +0.001%4.2%2026-04-14 21:25
SportsBet1.39I 71.94%NM 69.11%EV -5.30%E -3.81%K -13.58%G +0.000%3.11I 32.15%NM 30.89%EV -0.891%E -0.287%K -0.422%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-14 23:39
Pinnacle1.42I 70.42%NM 68.58%EV -3.25%E -2.29%K -7.74%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.42%EV -1.21%E -0.390%K -0.576%G +0.000%2.7%2026-04-14 23:30
Bovada1.40I 71.43%NM 68.89%EV -4.61%E -3.30%K -11.54%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.11%EV -1.21%E -0.390%K -0.576%G +0.000%3.7%2026-04-14 20:59
FanDuel1.39I 71.94%NM 69.04%EV -5.30%E -3.81%K -13.58%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.96%EV -1.21%E -0.390%K -0.576%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-14 23:35
Ladbrokes (AU)1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -5.98%E -4.33%K -15.73%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -1.21%E -0.390%K -0.576%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-14 23:40
Neds1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -5.98%E -4.33%K -15.73%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -1.21%E -0.390%K -0.576%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-14 23:40
GTbets1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -5.98%E -4.33%K -15.73%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -1.21%E -0.390%K -0.576%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-14 23:30
Caesars1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -5.98%E -4.33%K -15.73%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -1.21%E -0.390%K -0.576%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-14 23:24
Fliff1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -5.98%E -4.33%K -15.73%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -1.21%E -0.390%K -0.576%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-14 23:40
Paddy Power1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -7.34%E -5.40%K -20.39%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -1.21%E -0.390%K -0.576%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-14 23:25
Tipico (DE)1.35I 74.07%NM 69.66%EV -8.02%E -5.94%K -22.92%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.34%EV -1.21%E -0.390%K -0.576%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-14 23:30
Unibet (FR)1.41I 70.92%NM 68.39%EV -3.93%E -2.79%K -9.59%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.61%EV -2.80%E -0.919%K -1.37%G +0.000%3.7%2026-04-14 23:10
ReBet1.41I 70.92%NM 68.31%EV -3.93%E -2.79%K -9.59%G +0.000%3.04I 32.89%NM 31.69%EV -3.12%E -1.03%K -1.53%G +0.000%3.8%2026-04-14 23:20
1xBet1.45I 68.97%NM 67.56%EV -1.21%E -0.833%K -2.69%G +0.000%3.02I 33.11%NM 32.44%EV -3.76%E -1.24%K -1.86%G +0.000%2.1%2026-04-14 23:10
Coolbet1.41I 70.92%NM 68.17%EV -3.93%E -2.79%K -9.59%G +0.000%3.02I 33.11%NM 31.83%EV -3.76%E -1.24%K -1.86%G +0.000%4.0%2026-04-14 21:45
Winamax (DE)1.43I 69.93%NM 67.72%EV -2.57%E -1.80%K -5.98%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.28%EV -4.40%E -1.47%K -2.20%G +0.000%3.3%2026-04-14 23:30
TAB1.41I 70.92%NM 68.03%EV -3.93%E -2.79%K -9.59%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.97%EV -4.40%E -1.47%K -2.20%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-14 23:39
Unibet (SE)1.41I 70.92%NM 68.03%EV -3.93%E -2.79%K -9.59%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.97%EV -4.40%E -1.47%K -2.20%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-14 23:25
Unibet (NL)1.41I 70.92%NM 68.03%EV -3.93%E -2.79%K -9.59%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.97%EV -4.40%E -1.47%K -2.20%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-14 23:25
Svenska Spel1.41I 70.92%NM 68.03%EV -3.93%E -2.79%K -9.59%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.97%EV -4.40%E -1.47%K -2.20%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-14 23:25
ATG (SE)1.41I 70.92%NM 68.03%EV -3.93%E -2.79%K -9.59%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.97%EV -4.40%E -1.47%K -2.20%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-14 23:25
Betr (AU)1.41I 70.92%NM 68.03%EV -3.93%E -2.79%K -9.59%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.97%EV -4.40%E -1.47%K -2.20%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-14 21:45
Fanatics1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -4.61%E -3.30%K -11.54%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -4.40%E -1.47%K -2.20%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-14 20:25
PointsBet (AU)1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -4.61%E -3.30%K -11.54%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -4.40%E -1.47%K -2.20%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-14 16:50
Hard Rock Bet1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -4.61%E -3.30%K -11.54%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -4.40%E -1.47%K -2.20%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-14 21:10
BoyleSports1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -7.34%E -5.40%K -20.39%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -4.40%E -1.47%K -2.20%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-14 23:30
Dabble (AU)1.30I 76.92%NM 69.77%EV -11.43%E -8.79%K -38.09%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.23%EV -4.40%E -1.47%K -2.20%G +0.000%10.3%2026-04-14 23:14
Marathon Bet1.41I 70.92%NM 67.88%EV -3.93%E -2.79%K -9.59%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 32.12%EV -5.03%E -1.69%K -2.54%G +0.000%4.5%2026-04-14 23:20
MyBookie.ag1.40I 71.43%NM 68.04%EV -4.61%E -3.30%K -11.54%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 31.96%EV -5.03%E -1.69%K -2.54%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-14 21:24
NetBet (FR)1.35I 74.07%NM 68.75%EV -8.02%E -5.94%K -22.92%G +0.000%2.97I 33.67%NM 31.25%EV -5.35%E -1.80%K -2.72%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-14 23:30
DraftKings1.42I 70.42%NM 67.51%EV -3.25%E -2.29%K -7.74%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.49%EV -5.99%E -2.03%K -3.07%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-14 13:54
TABtouch1.41I 70.92%NM 67.66%EV -3.93%E -2.79%K -9.59%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.34%EV -5.99%E -2.03%K -3.07%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-14 23:19
Unibet1.41I 70.92%NM 67.66%EV -3.93%E -2.79%K -9.59%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.34%EV -5.99%E -2.03%K -3.07%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-14 23:20
Bally Bet1.41I 70.92%NM 67.66%EV -3.93%E -2.79%K -9.59%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.34%EV -5.99%E -2.03%K -3.07%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-14 23:20
betPARX1.41I 70.92%NM 67.66%EV -3.93%E -2.79%K -9.59%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.34%EV -5.99%E -2.03%K -3.07%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-14 23:20
LiveScore Bet1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -4.61%E -3.30%K -11.54%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -5.99%E -2.03%K -3.07%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-14 23:20
BetRivers1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -4.61%E -3.30%K -11.54%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -5.99%E -2.03%K -3.07%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-14 23:20
Virgin Bet1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -4.61%E -3.30%K -11.54%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -5.99%E -2.03%K -3.07%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-14 23:20
LeoVegas (SE)1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -4.61%E -3.30%K -11.54%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -5.99%E -2.03%K -3.07%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-14 23:20
Bet Right1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -4.61%E -3.30%K -11.54%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -5.99%E -2.03%K -3.07%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-14 23:05
PlayUp1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -3.25%E -2.29%K -7.74%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV -7.58%E -2.61%K -3.99%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-14 23:39
Winamax (FR)1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -3.93%E -2.79%K -9.59%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -7.58%E -2.61%K -3.99%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-14 23:30
888sport1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -4.61%E -3.30%K -11.54%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -7.58%E -2.61%K -3.99%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-13 22:50
888sport (SE)1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -4.61%E -3.30%K -11.54%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -7.58%E -2.61%K -3.99%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-13 22:50
Mr Green (SE)1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -4.61%E -3.30%K -11.54%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -7.58%E -2.61%K -3.99%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-13 22:50
William Hill1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -4.61%E -3.30%K -11.54%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -7.58%E -2.61%K -3.99%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-13 23:00
Sky Bet1.40I 71.43%NM 67.29%EV -4.61%E -3.30%K -11.54%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.71%EV -8.22%E -2.85%K -4.37%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-14 23:35
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.40I 71.43%NM 67.29%EV -4.61%E -3.30%K -11.54%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.71%EV -8.22%E -2.85%K -4.37%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-14 23:39
PMU (FR)1.36I 73.53%NM 67.92%EV -7.34%E -5.40%K -20.39%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.08%EV -8.22%E -2.85%K -4.37%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-14 23:20
Ladbrokes (UK)1.40I 71.43%NM 67.21%EV -4.61%E -3.30%K -11.54%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 32.79%EV -8.54%E -2.98%K -4.57%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-14 23:40
Coral1.40I 71.43%NM 67.21%EV -4.61%E -3.30%K -11.54%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 32.79%EV -8.54%E -2.98%K -4.57%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-14 23:40
NordicBet1.42I 70.42%NM 66.74%EV -3.25%E -2.29%K -7.74%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.26%EV -9.18%E -3.22%K -4.96%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-14 23:35
Betsson1.42I 70.42%NM 66.74%EV -3.25%E -2.29%K -7.74%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.26%EV -9.18%E -3.22%K -4.96%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-14 23:35
Betway1.40I 71.43%NM 67.06%EV -4.61%E -3.30%K -11.54%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.94%EV -9.18%E -3.22%K -4.96%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-14 23:30
Bet Victor1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -4.61%E -3.30%K -11.54%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -10.77%E -3.85%K -5.98%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-14 23:19
LeoVegas1.34I 74.63%NM 67.63%EV -8.70%E -6.49%K -25.60%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.37%EV -10.77%E -3.85%K -5.98%G +0.000%10.3%2026-04-14 23:20
Betclic (FR)1.38I 72.46%NM 66.59%EV -5.98%E -4.33%K -15.73%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.41%EV -12.36%E -4.50%K -7.06%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-14 23:30
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (9)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
BetOpenly1.45I 68.97%NM 68.95%3.22I 31.06%NM 31.05%0.0%2026-04-14 23:25
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.44I 69.44%NM 69.30%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.70%0.2%2026-04-14 23:40
Novig1.43I 69.93%NM 69.57%3.27I 30.58%NM 30.43%0.5%2026-04-14 23:40
Matchbook1.44I 69.44%NM 68.97%3.20I 31.25%NM 31.03%0.7%2026-04-14 23:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.43I 69.93%NM 69.44%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.56%0.7%2026-04-14 23:40
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.43I 69.93%NM 69.44%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.56%0.7%2026-04-14 23:40
ProphetX1.43I 69.93%NM 69.44%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.56%0.7%2026-04-14 23:40
Kalshi1.43I 69.93%NM 69.31%3.23I 30.96%NM 30.69%0.9%2026-04-14 17:00
Smarkets1.42I 70.42%NM 69.26%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.74%1.7%2026-04-14 23:40