La escuela de los momiosEspañol
Charlotte Hornets v Miami Heat
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Charlotte Hornets (Local)
Predicción 68.13%1.47momio equitativo
EV -1.21%
Ventaja -0.833%
Kelly -2.69%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.45
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
66.59%68.16%68.18%70.02%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.301.401.401.4576.92%71.68%71.43%68.97%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Miami Heat (Visitante)
Predicción 31.87%3.14momio equitativo
EV +1.98%
Ventaja +0.618%
Kelly +0.899%
Crecimiento +0.018%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.20
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
29.98%31.84%31.82%33.41%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.752.993.003.2036.36%33.44%33.33%31.25%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (63 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Everygame | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.87%EV -5.98%E -4.33%K -15.73%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.13%EV +1.98%E +0.618%K +0.899%G +0.018% | 3.7% | 2026-04-14 21:40 |
| theScore Bet | 1.37I 72.99%NM 70.02%EV -6.66%E -4.86%K -18.00%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.98%EV +1.98%E +0.618%K +0.899%G +0.018% | 4.2% | 2026-04-14 23:29 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.39I 71.94%NM 69.58%EV -5.30%E -3.81%K -13.58%G +0.000% | 3.18I 31.45%NM 30.42%EV +1.34%E +0.421%K +0.615%G +0.008% | 3.4% | 2026-04-14 23:34 |
| BetUS | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.74%EV -5.98%E -4.33%K -15.73%G +0.000% | 3.18I 31.45%NM 30.26%EV +1.34%E +0.421%K +0.615%G +0.008% | 3.9% | 2026-04-14 23:19 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.54%EV -5.98%E -4.33%K -15.73%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.46%EV +0.384%E +0.122%K +0.178%G +0.001% | 4.2% | 2026-04-14 23:35 |
| BetAnything | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.54%EV -5.98%E -4.33%K -15.73%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.46%EV +0.384%E +0.122%K +0.178%G +0.001% | 4.2% | 2026-04-14 21:25 |
| SportsBet | 1.39I 71.94%NM 69.11%EV -5.30%E -3.81%K -13.58%G +0.000% | 3.11I 32.15%NM 30.89%EV -0.891%E -0.287%K -0.422%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-04-14 23:39 |
| Pinnacle | 1.42I 70.42%NM 68.58%EV -3.25%E -2.29%K -7.74%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.42%EV -1.21%E -0.390%K -0.576%G +0.000% | 2.7% | 2026-04-14 23:30 |
| Bovada | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.89%EV -4.61%E -3.30%K -11.54%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.11%EV -1.21%E -0.390%K -0.576%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-04-14 20:59 |
| FanDuel | 1.39I 71.94%NM 69.04%EV -5.30%E -3.81%K -13.58%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.96%EV -1.21%E -0.390%K -0.576%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-04-14 23:35 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -5.98%E -4.33%K -15.73%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -1.21%E -0.390%K -0.576%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-14 23:40 |
| Neds | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -5.98%E -4.33%K -15.73%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -1.21%E -0.390%K -0.576%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-14 23:40 |
| GTbets | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -5.98%E -4.33%K -15.73%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -1.21%E -0.390%K -0.576%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-14 23:30 |
| Caesars | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -5.98%E -4.33%K -15.73%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -1.21%E -0.390%K -0.576%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-14 23:24 |
| Fliff | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -5.98%E -4.33%K -15.73%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -1.21%E -0.390%K -0.576%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-14 23:40 |
| Paddy Power | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -7.34%E -5.40%K -20.39%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -1.21%E -0.390%K -0.576%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-14 23:25 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.35I 74.07%NM 69.66%EV -8.02%E -5.94%K -22.92%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.34%EV -1.21%E -0.390%K -0.576%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-04-14 23:30 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.41I 70.92%NM 68.39%EV -3.93%E -2.79%K -9.59%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.61%EV -2.80%E -0.919%K -1.37%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-04-14 23:10 |
| ReBet | 1.41I 70.92%NM 68.31%EV -3.93%E -2.79%K -9.59%G +0.000% | 3.04I 32.89%NM 31.69%EV -3.12%E -1.03%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-04-14 23:20 |
| 1xBet | 1.45I 68.97%NM 67.56%EV -1.21%E -0.833%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 3.02I 33.11%NM 32.44%EV -3.76%E -1.24%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 2.1% | 2026-04-14 23:10 |
| Coolbet | 1.41I 70.92%NM 68.17%EV -3.93%E -2.79%K -9.59%G +0.000% | 3.02I 33.11%NM 31.83%EV -3.76%E -1.24%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-04-14 21:45 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.43I 69.93%NM 67.72%EV -2.57%E -1.80%K -5.98%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 32.28%EV -4.40%E -1.47%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-04-14 23:30 |
| TAB | 1.41I 70.92%NM 68.03%EV -3.93%E -2.79%K -9.59%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.97%EV -4.40%E -1.47%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-04-14 23:39 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.41I 70.92%NM 68.03%EV -3.93%E -2.79%K -9.59%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.97%EV -4.40%E -1.47%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-04-14 23:25 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.41I 70.92%NM 68.03%EV -3.93%E -2.79%K -9.59%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.97%EV -4.40%E -1.47%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-04-14 23:25 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.41I 70.92%NM 68.03%EV -3.93%E -2.79%K -9.59%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.97%EV -4.40%E -1.47%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-04-14 23:25 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.41I 70.92%NM 68.03%EV -3.93%E -2.79%K -9.59%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.97%EV -4.40%E -1.47%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-04-14 23:25 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.41I 70.92%NM 68.03%EV -3.93%E -2.79%K -9.59%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.97%EV -4.40%E -1.47%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-04-14 21:45 |
| Fanatics | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -4.61%E -3.30%K -11.54%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -4.40%E -1.47%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-14 20:25 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -4.61%E -3.30%K -11.54%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -4.40%E -1.47%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-14 16:50 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -4.61%E -3.30%K -11.54%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -4.40%E -1.47%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-14 21:10 |
| BoyleSports | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -7.34%E -5.40%K -20.39%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -4.40%E -1.47%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-04-14 23:30 |
| Dabble (AU) | 1.30I 76.92%NM 69.77%EV -11.43%E -8.79%K -38.09%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.23%EV -4.40%E -1.47%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-04-14 23:14 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.88%EV -3.93%E -2.79%K -9.59%G +0.000% | 2.98I 33.56%NM 32.12%EV -5.03%E -1.69%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-04-14 23:20 |
| MyBookie.ag | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.04%EV -4.61%E -3.30%K -11.54%G +0.000% | 2.98I 33.56%NM 31.96%EV -5.03%E -1.69%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-14 21:24 |
| NetBet (FR) | 1.35I 74.07%NM 68.75%EV -8.02%E -5.94%K -22.92%G +0.000% | 2.97I 33.67%NM 31.25%EV -5.35%E -1.80%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-04-14 23:30 |
| DraftKings | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.51%EV -3.25%E -2.29%K -7.74%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.49%EV -5.99%E -2.03%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-04-14 13:54 |
| TABtouch | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.66%EV -3.93%E -2.79%K -9.59%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.34%EV -5.99%E -2.03%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-14 23:19 |
| Unibet | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.66%EV -3.93%E -2.79%K -9.59%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.34%EV -5.99%E -2.03%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-14 23:20 |
| Bally Bet | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.66%EV -3.93%E -2.79%K -9.59%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.34%EV -5.99%E -2.03%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-14 23:20 |
| betPARX | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.66%EV -3.93%E -2.79%K -9.59%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.34%EV -5.99%E -2.03%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-14 23:20 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -4.61%E -3.30%K -11.54%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -5.99%E -2.03%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-14 23:20 |
| BetRivers | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -4.61%E -3.30%K -11.54%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -5.99%E -2.03%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-14 23:20 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -4.61%E -3.30%K -11.54%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -5.99%E -2.03%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-14 23:20 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -4.61%E -3.30%K -11.54%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -5.99%E -2.03%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-14 23:20 |
| Bet Right | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -4.61%E -3.30%K -11.54%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -5.99%E -2.03%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-14 23:05 |
| PlayUp | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -3.25%E -2.29%K -7.74%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV -7.58%E -2.61%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-04-14 23:39 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -3.93%E -2.79%K -9.59%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -7.58%E -2.61%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-14 23:30 |
| 888sport | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -4.61%E -3.30%K -11.54%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -7.58%E -2.61%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-04-13 22:50 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -4.61%E -3.30%K -11.54%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -7.58%E -2.61%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-04-13 22:50 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -4.61%E -3.30%K -11.54%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -7.58%E -2.61%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-04-13 22:50 |
| William Hill | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -4.61%E -3.30%K -11.54%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -7.58%E -2.61%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-04-13 23:00 |
| Sky Bet | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.29%EV -4.61%E -3.30%K -11.54%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.71%EV -8.22%E -2.85%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-14 23:35 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.29%EV -4.61%E -3.30%K -11.54%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.71%EV -8.22%E -2.85%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-14 23:39 |
| PMU (FR) | 1.36I 73.53%NM 67.92%EV -7.34%E -5.40%K -20.39%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.08%EV -8.22%E -2.85%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-04-14 23:20 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.21%EV -4.61%E -3.30%K -11.54%G +0.000% | 2.87I 34.84%NM 32.79%EV -8.54%E -2.98%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-04-14 23:40 |
| Coral | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.21%EV -4.61%E -3.30%K -11.54%G +0.000% | 2.87I 34.84%NM 32.79%EV -8.54%E -2.98%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-04-14 23:40 |
| NordicBet | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.74%EV -3.25%E -2.29%K -7.74%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.26%EV -9.18%E -3.22%K -4.96%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-04-14 23:35 |
| Betsson | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.74%EV -3.25%E -2.29%K -7.74%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.26%EV -9.18%E -3.22%K -4.96%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-04-14 23:35 |
| Betway | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.06%EV -4.61%E -3.30%K -11.54%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.94%EV -9.18%E -3.22%K -4.96%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-04-14 23:30 |
| Bet Victor | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -4.61%E -3.30%K -11.54%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -10.77%E -3.85%K -5.98%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-14 23:19 |
| LeoVegas | 1.34I 74.63%NM 67.63%EV -8.70%E -6.49%K -25.60%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.37%EV -10.77%E -3.85%K -5.98%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-04-14 23:20 |
| Betclic (FR) | 1.38I 72.46%NM 66.59%EV -5.98%E -4.33%K -15.73%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.41%EV -12.36%E -4.50%K -7.06%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-04-14 23:30 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (9)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetOpenly | 1.45I 68.97%NM 68.95% | 3.22I 31.06%NM 31.05% | 0.0% | 2026-04-14 23:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.44I 69.44%NM 69.30% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.70% | 0.2% | 2026-04-14 23:40 |
| Novig | 1.43I 69.93%NM 69.57% | 3.27I 30.58%NM 30.43% | 0.5% | 2026-04-14 23:40 |
| Matchbook | 1.44I 69.44%NM 68.97% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 31.03% | 0.7% | 2026-04-14 23:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.43I 69.93%NM 69.44% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.56% | 0.7% | 2026-04-14 23:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.43I 69.93%NM 69.44% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.56% | 0.7% | 2026-04-14 23:40 |
| ProphetX | 1.43I 69.93%NM 69.44% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.56% | 0.7% | 2026-04-14 23:40 |
| Kalshi | 1.43I 69.93%NM 69.31% | 3.23I 30.96%NM 30.69% | 0.9% | 2026-04-14 17:00 |
| Smarkets | 1.42I 70.42%NM 69.26% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.74% | 1.7% | 2026-04-14 23:40 |