The School of Odds
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
+ New modelAll models

Charlotte Hornets v Miami Heat

Kickoff: 2026-10-24 22:10 UTC

Final: Charlotte Hornets 115–110 Miami Heat

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

67 sportsbooks (22 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Charlotte Hornets (Local)

Prediction 38.54%2.59fair odd
EV +2.14%
Edge +0.806%
Kelly +1.29%
Growth +0.028%

assuming max odds 2.65

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
36.30%38.53%38.50%41.86%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.252.462.482.6544.44%40.61%40.32%37.74%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Miami Heat (Visit)

Prediction 61.46%1.63fair odd
EV +1.41%
Edge +0.852%
Kelly +2.16%
Growth +0.030%

assuming max odds 1.65

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
58.14%61.47%61.50%63.70%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.481.551.551.6567.57%64.53%64.52%60.61%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Charlotte Hornets (Local): 38.54%; Miami Heat (Visit): 61.46%. For Charlotte Hornets (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.59. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.65, corresponding to a positive expected value of +2.14%.

Sportsbook Odds (67 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
1xBet🎯2.33I 42.92%NM 41.46%EV -10.20%E -4.38%K -7.67%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 58.54%EV +1.41%E +0.852%K +2.16%G +0.030%3.5%2026-10-24 21:45
Sky Bet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -13.28%E -5.90%K -10.62%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -0.438%E -0.270%K -0.707%G +0.000%6.2%2026-10-24 20:55
FanDuel🎯2.42I 41.32%NM 39.80%EV -6.73%E -2.78%K -4.74%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 60.20%EV -1.67%E -1.04%K -2.78%G +0.000%3.8%2026-10-24 22:00
MyBookie.ag🎯2.37I 42.19%NM 40.30%EV -8.66%E -3.65%K -6.32%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.70%EV -1.67%E -1.04%K -2.78%G +0.000%4.7%2026-10-24 21:55
Everygame🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 38.88%EV -3.64%E -1.46%K -2.43%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 61.12%EV -2.28%E -1.44%K -3.87%G +0.000%2.9%2026-10-24 21:45
SportsBet🎯2.44I 40.98%NM 39.45%EV -5.96%E -2.44%K -4.14%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 60.55%EV -2.28%E -1.44%K -3.87%G +0.000%3.9%2026-10-24 22:00
Pinnacle🎯2.56I 39.06%NM 38.16%EV -1.33%E -0.520%K -0.854%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 61.84%EV -2.90%E -1.83%K -4.99%G +0.000%2.4%2026-10-24 21:55
Unibet (UK)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 38.73%EV -3.64%E -1.46%K -2.43%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 61.27%EV -2.90%E -1.83%K -4.99%G +0.000%3.3%2026-10-24 22:00
Codere (IT)🎯2.41I 41.49%NM 39.60%EV -7.11%E -2.95%K -5.05%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 60.40%EV -2.90%E -1.83%K -4.99%G +0.000%4.8%2026-10-24 21:49
theScore Bet🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 38.57%EV -3.64%E -1.46%K -2.43%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 61.43%EV -3.51%E -2.24%K -6.16%G +0.000%3.7%2026-10-24 21:49
BetUS🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 38.57%EV -3.64%E -1.46%K -2.43%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 61.43%EV -3.51%E -2.24%K -6.16%G +0.000%3.7%2026-10-24 21:50
Dabble (AU)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -5.57%E -2.27%K -3.84%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -3.51%E -2.24%K -6.16%G +0.000%4.5%2026-10-24 21:55
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -5.57%E -2.27%K -3.84%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -3.51%E -2.24%K -6.16%G +0.000%4.5%2026-10-24 21:45
Paddy Power🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -8.27%E -3.47%K -5.99%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -3.51%E -2.24%K -6.16%G +0.000%5.7%2026-10-24 22:00
BoyleSports🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -8.27%E -3.47%K -5.99%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -3.51%E -2.24%K -6.16%G +0.000%5.7%2026-10-24 21:45
LowVig.ag🎯2.56I 39.06%NM 37.86%EV -1.33%E -0.520%K -0.854%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 62.14%EV -4.13%E -2.64%K -7.37%G +0.000%3.2%2026-10-24 21:55
BetOnline.ag🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.96%EV -1.72%E -0.674%K -1.11%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 62.04%EV -4.13%E -2.64%K -7.37%G +0.000%3.3%2026-10-24 21:55
BetAnything🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.96%EV -1.72%E -0.674%K -1.11%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 62.04%EV -4.13%E -2.64%K -7.37%G +0.000%3.3%2026-10-24 21:45
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.96%EV -1.72%E -0.674%K -1.11%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 62.04%EV -4.13%E -2.64%K -7.37%G +0.000%3.3%2026-10-24 21:59
Fanatics🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -3.64%E -1.46%K -2.43%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -4.13%E -2.64%K -7.37%G +0.000%4.1%2026-10-24 21:55
Betr (AU)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -3.64%E -1.46%K -2.43%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -4.13%E -2.64%K -7.37%G +0.000%4.1%2026-10-24 21:55
DraftKings🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -3.64%E -1.46%K -2.43%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -4.13%E -2.64%K -7.37%G +0.000%4.1%2026-10-24 21:45
TAB🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -3.64%E -1.46%K -2.43%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -4.13%E -2.64%K -7.37%G +0.000%4.1%2026-10-24 21:55
Winamax (DE)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -3.64%E -1.46%K -2.43%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -4.13%E -2.64%K -7.37%G +0.000%4.1%2026-10-24 22:00
BetRivers🎯2.48I 40.32%NM 38.61%EV -4.42%E -1.78%K -2.98%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 61.39%EV -4.13%E -2.64%K -7.37%G +0.000%4.4%2026-10-24 21:50
Unibet (SE)🎯2.48I 40.32%NM 38.61%EV -4.42%E -1.78%K -2.98%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 61.39%EV -4.13%E -2.64%K -7.37%G +0.000%4.4%2026-10-24 21:49
Unibet (NL)🎯2.48I 40.32%NM 38.61%EV -4.42%E -1.78%K -2.98%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 61.39%EV -4.13%E -2.64%K -7.37%G +0.000%4.4%2026-10-24 21:49
Unibet🎯2.48I 40.32%NM 38.61%EV -4.42%E -1.78%K -2.98%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 61.39%EV -4.13%E -2.64%K -7.37%G +0.000%4.4%2026-10-24 21:49
betPARX🎯2.48I 40.32%NM 38.61%EV -4.42%E -1.78%K -2.98%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 61.39%EV -4.13%E -2.64%K -7.37%G +0.000%4.4%2026-10-24 21:50
Svenska Spel🎯2.48I 40.32%NM 38.61%EV -4.42%E -1.78%K -2.98%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 61.39%EV -4.13%E -2.64%K -7.37%G +0.000%4.4%2026-10-24 21:50
Bally Bet🎯2.48I 40.32%NM 38.61%EV -4.42%E -1.78%K -2.98%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 61.39%EV -4.13%E -2.64%K -7.37%G +0.000%4.4%2026-10-24 21:49
ATG (SE)🎯2.48I 40.32%NM 38.61%EV -4.42%E -1.78%K -2.98%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 61.39%EV -4.13%E -2.64%K -7.37%G +0.000%4.4%2026-10-24 21:49
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.41%EV -11.35%E -4.94%K -8.73%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 59.59%EV -4.13%E -2.64%K -7.37%G +0.000%7.6%2026-10-24 22:00
Coolbet🎯2.52I 39.68%NM 38.08%EV -2.87%E -1.14%K -1.89%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.92%EV -4.74%E -3.06%K -8.62%G +0.000%4.2%2026-10-24 21:55
betano_uk🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 38.27%EV -3.64%E -1.46%K -2.43%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.73%EV -4.74%E -3.06%K -8.62%G +0.000%4.5%2026-10-24 21:49
Bet Victor🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 38.27%EV -3.64%E -1.46%K -2.43%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.73%EV -4.74%E -3.06%K -8.62%G +0.000%4.5%2026-10-24 21:59
Bet Right🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 38.27%EV -3.64%E -1.46%K -2.43%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.73%EV -4.74%E -3.06%K -8.62%G +0.000%4.5%2026-10-24 21:54
PlayUp🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 38.27%EV -3.64%E -1.46%K -2.43%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.73%EV -4.74%E -3.06%K -8.62%G +0.000%4.5%2026-10-24 21:55
ReBet🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -5.57%E -2.27%K -3.84%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -4.74%E -3.06%K -8.62%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-24 22:00
LiveScore Bet🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -5.57%E -2.27%K -3.84%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -4.74%E -3.06%K -8.62%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-24 21:49
TABtouch🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -5.57%E -2.27%K -3.84%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -4.74%E -3.06%K -8.62%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-24 21:49
GTbets🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV -1.72%E -0.674%K -1.11%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -5.35%E -3.48%K -9.92%G +0.000%4.2%2026-10-24 22:00
BetMGM🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -3.64%E -1.46%K -2.43%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -5.35%E -3.48%K -9.92%G +0.000%4.9%2026-10-24 21:55
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.60%EV -5.57%E -2.27%K -3.84%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 61.40%EV -5.35%E -3.48%K -9.92%G +0.000%5.8%2026-10-24 21:49
Virgin Bet🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 38.79%EV -6.34%E -2.61%K -4.44%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 61.21%EV -5.35%E -3.48%K -9.92%G +0.000%6.1%2026-10-24 21:50
Caesars🎯2.58I 38.76%NM 37.23%EV -0.561%E -0.218%K -0.355%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.77%EV -5.97%E -3.90%K -11.26%G +0.000%4.1%2026-10-24 22:05
Fliff🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -1.72%E -0.674%K -1.11%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -5.97%E -3.90%K -11.26%G +0.000%4.6%2026-10-24 22:05
888sport🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -3.64%E -1.46%K -2.43%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.97%E -3.90%K -11.26%G +0.000%5.4%2026-10-24 21:45
William Hill🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -3.64%E -1.46%K -2.43%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.97%E -3.90%K -11.26%G +0.000%5.4%2026-10-24 21:50
888sport (SE)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -3.64%E -1.46%K -2.43%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.97%E -3.90%K -11.26%G +0.000%5.4%2026-10-24 21:45
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -3.64%E -1.46%K -2.43%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.97%E -3.90%K -11.26%G +0.000%5.4%2026-10-24 21:45
Neds🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -3.64%E -1.46%K -2.43%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.97%E -3.90%K -11.26%G +0.000%5.4%2026-10-24 21:55
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -3.64%E -1.46%K -2.43%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.97%E -3.90%K -11.26%G +0.000%5.4%2026-10-24 21:55
NordicBet🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -5.57%E -2.27%K -3.84%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -5.97%E -3.90%K -11.26%G +0.000%6.2%2026-10-24 21:55
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -5.57%E -2.27%K -3.84%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -5.97%E -3.90%K -11.26%G +0.000%6.2%2026-10-24 21:55
Coral🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -5.57%E -2.27%K -3.84%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -5.97%E -3.90%K -11.26%G +0.000%6.2%2026-10-24 21:55
Betway🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -7.50%E -3.12%K -5.36%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -5.97%E -3.90%K -11.26%G +0.000%7.0%2026-10-24 22:05
picklebet_au🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.78%EV -7.50%E -3.12%K -5.36%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 61.22%EV -6.58%E -4.33%K -12.66%G +0.000%7.5%2026-10-24 22:00
LeoVegas🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.28%EV -9.43%E -4.01%K -6.98%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 60.72%EV -6.58%E -4.33%K -12.66%G +0.000%8.3%2026-10-24 22:05
Unibet (FR)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.32%EV -13.28%E -5.90%K -10.62%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 59.68%EV -6.58%E -4.33%K -12.66%G +0.000%10.2%2026-10-24 21:45
Bovada🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 36.30%EV +2.14%E +0.806%K +1.29%G +0.028%1.51I 66.23%NM 63.70%EV -7.20%E -4.77%K -14.11%G +0.000%4.0%2026-10-24 22:00
NetBet (FR)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.12%EV -9.43%E -4.01%K -6.98%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 60.88%EV -7.20%E -4.77%K -14.11%G +0.000%8.8%2026-10-24 22:00
Tipico (DE)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -1.72%E -0.674%K -1.11%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -7.81%E -5.21%K -15.63%G +0.000%5.9%2026-10-24 22:00
Marathon Bet🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.34%EV -3.64%E -1.46%K -2.43%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 62.66%EV -8.43%E -5.66%K -17.20%G +0.000%7.1%2026-10-24 22:05
Winamax (FR)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.31%EV -11.35%E -4.94%K -8.73%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 60.69%EV -8.43%E -5.66%K -17.20%G +0.000%10.6%2026-10-24 22:00
PMU (FR)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 38.64%EV -9.43%E -4.01%K -6.98%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 61.36%EV -9.04%E -6.11%K -18.84%G +0.000%10.1%2026-10-24 21:49
Betclic (FR)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.15%EV -11.35%E -4.94%K -8.73%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 60.85%EV -9.04%E -6.11%K -18.84%G +0.000%11.0%2026-10-24 22:04
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (10)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Matchbook◎2.68I 37.31%NM 37.24%1.59I 62.89%NM 62.76%0.2%2026-10-24 22:05
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.66I 37.59%NM 37.41%1.59I 62.89%NM 62.59%0.5%2026-10-24 21:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.66I 37.59%NM 37.41%1.59I 62.89%NM 62.59%0.5%2026-10-24 22:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.66I 37.59%NM 37.41%1.59I 62.89%NM 62.59%0.5%2026-10-24 22:05
ProphetX◎2.68I 37.31%NM 36.94%1.57I 63.69%NM 63.06%1.0%2026-10-24 22:05
Polymarket◎2.70I 37.04%NM 36.62%1.56I 64.10%NM 63.38%1.1%2026-10-24 22:00
Novig◎2.67I 37.45%NM 37.03%1.57I 63.69%NM 62.97%1.1%2026-10-24 22:05
Smarkets◎2.64I 37.88%NM 37.29%1.57I 63.69%NM 62.71%1.6%2026-10-24 22:05
Kalshi◎2.63I 38.02%NM 37.23%1.56I 64.10%NM 62.77%2.1%2026-10-24 22:05
BetOpenly◎2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%4.6%2026-10-24 21:59