Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Charlotte Hornets v Indiana Pacers

Kickoff: 2026-04-03 23:10 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

62 sportsbooks (22 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Charlotte Hornets (Local)

Prediction 89.18%1.12fair odd
EV -1.90%
Edge -1.73%
Kelly -18.98%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.10

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
85.75%88.92%89.42%90.83%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.041.071.071.1096.15%93.30%93.46%90.91%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Indiana Pacers (Visit)

Prediction 10.82%9.25fair odd
EV +13.57%
Edge +1.29%
Kelly +1.43%
Growth +0.194%

assuming max odds 10.50

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
9.17%11.08%10.58%14.25%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
6.508.669.0010.5015.38%11.55%11.11%9.52%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Charlotte Hornets (Local): 89.18%; Indiana Pacers (Visit): 10.82%. For Indiana Pacers (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 9.25. 20 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 10.50, corresponding to a positive expected value of +13.57%.

Sportsbook Odds (62 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
LowVig.ag🎯1.06I 94.34%NM 90.83%EV -5.47%E -5.16%K -91.09%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 9.17%EV +13.57%E +1.29%K +1.43%G +0.194%3.9%2026-04-03 19:55
BetAnything🎯1.06I 94.34%NM 90.83%EV -5.47%E -5.16%K -91.09%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 9.17%EV +13.57%E +1.29%K +1.43%G +0.194%3.9%2026-04-03 20:39
Fliff🎯1.05I 95.24%NM 90.79%EV -6.36%E -6.05%K -127.15%G +0.000%10.35I 9.66%NM 9.21%EV +11.95%E +1.15%K +1.28%G +0.153%4.9%2026-04-03 23:05
BetOnline.ag🎯1.06I 94.34%NM 90.50%EV -5.47%E -5.16%K -91.09%G +0.000%10.10I 9.90%NM 9.50%EV +9.25%E +0.916%K +1.02%G +0.094%4.2%2026-04-03 19:55
GTbets🎯1.07I 93.46%NM 90.38%EV -4.57%E -4.27%K -65.34%G +0.000%10.05I 9.95%NM 9.62%EV +8.71%E +0.866%K +0.962%G +0.084%3.4%2026-04-03 20:05
DraftKings🎯1.06I 94.34%NM 90.42%EV -5.47%E -5.16%K -91.09%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.58%EV +8.17%E +0.817%K +0.907%G +0.074%4.3%2026-04-03 20:00
Caesars🎯1.06I 94.34%NM 90.42%EV -5.47%E -5.16%K -91.09%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.58%EV +8.17%E +0.817%K +0.907%G +0.074%4.3%2026-04-03 20:00
BetUS🎯1.06I 94.34%NM 90.42%EV -5.47%E -5.16%K -91.09%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.58%EV +8.17%E +0.817%K +0.907%G +0.074%4.3%2026-04-03 18:50
MyBookie.ag🎯1.05I 95.24%NM 90.50%EV -6.36%E -6.05%K -127.15%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.50%EV +8.17%E +0.817%K +0.907%G +0.074%5.2%2026-04-03 22:09
Unibet (FR)🎯1.07I 93.46%NM 90.06%EV -4.57%E -4.27%K -65.34%G +0.000%9.70I 10.31%NM 9.94%EV +4.92%E +0.507%K +0.566%G +0.028%3.8%2026-04-03 22:45
ReBet🎯1.07I 93.46%NM 90.06%EV -4.57%E -4.27%K -65.34%G +0.000%9.70I 10.31%NM 9.94%EV +4.92%E +0.507%K +0.566%G +0.028%3.8%2026-04-03 22:05
1xBet🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 89.85%EV -2.79%E -2.56%K -31.00%G +0.000%9.65I 10.36%NM 10.15%EV +4.38%E +0.454%K +0.506%G +0.022%2.1%2026-04-03 22:09
SportsBet🎯1.07I 93.46%NM 89.88%EV -4.57%E -4.27%K -65.34%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 10.12%EV +2.76%E +0.290%K +0.324%G +0.009%4.0%2026-04-03 22:34
Coolbet🎯1.07I 93.46%NM 89.88%EV -4.57%E -4.27%K -65.34%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 10.12%EV +2.76%E +0.290%K +0.324%G +0.009%4.0%2026-04-03 19:20
Neds🎯1.06I 94.34%NM 89.96%EV -5.47%E -5.16%K -91.09%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 10.04%EV +2.76%E +0.290%K +0.324%G +0.009%4.9%2026-04-03 23:05
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.06I 94.34%NM 89.96%EV -5.47%E -5.16%K -91.09%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 10.04%EV +2.76%E +0.290%K +0.324%G +0.009%4.9%2026-04-03 23:05
Betr (AU)🎯1.06I 94.34%NM 89.96%EV -5.47%E -5.16%K -91.09%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 10.04%EV +2.76%E +0.290%K +0.324%G +0.009%4.9%2026-04-03 22:59
BetMGM🎯1.06I 94.34%NM 89.96%EV -5.47%E -5.16%K -91.09%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 10.04%EV +2.76%E +0.290%K +0.324%G +0.009%4.9%2026-04-03 19:20
Dabble (AU)🎯1.06I 94.34%NM 89.96%EV -5.47%E -5.16%K -91.09%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 10.04%EV +2.76%E +0.290%K +0.324%G +0.009%4.9%2026-04-03 22:55
Pinnacle🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 89.61%EV -3.68%E -3.41%K -46.02%G +0.000%9.31I 10.74%NM 10.39%EV +0.703%E +0.075%K +0.085%G +0.001%3.3%2026-04-03 23:05
Codere (IT)🎯1.06I 94.34%NM 89.67%EV -5.47%E -5.16%K -91.09%G +0.000%9.20I 10.87%NM 10.33%EV -0.487%E -0.053%K -0.059%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-03 22:05
FanDuel🎯1.07I 93.46%NM 89.48%EV -4.57%E -4.27%K -65.34%G +0.000%9.10I 10.99%NM 10.52%EV -1.57%E -0.172%K -0.194%G +0.000%4.4%2026-04-03 22:35
TAB🎯1.07I 93.46%NM 89.37%EV -4.57%E -4.27%K -65.34%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.63%EV -2.65%E -0.294%K -0.331%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-03 20:05
Fanatics🎯1.07I 93.46%NM 89.37%EV -4.57%E -4.27%K -65.34%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.63%EV -2.65%E -0.294%K -0.331%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-03 23:04
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.07I 93.46%NM 89.37%EV -4.57%E -4.27%K -65.34%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.63%EV -2.65%E -0.294%K -0.331%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-03 22:35
theScore Bet🎯1.06I 94.34%NM 89.46%EV -5.47%E -5.16%K -91.09%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.54%EV -2.65%E -0.294%K -0.331%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-03 19:55
William Hill🎯1.06I 94.34%NM 89.46%EV -5.47%E -5.16%K -91.09%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.54%EV -2.65%E -0.294%K -0.331%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-03 11:25
Everygame🎯1.06I 94.34%NM 89.46%EV -5.47%E -5.16%K -91.09%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.54%EV -2.65%E -0.294%K -0.331%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-03 21:14
Coral🎯1.05I 95.24%NM 89.55%EV -6.36%E -6.05%K -127.15%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.45%EV -2.65%E -0.294%K -0.331%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-03 19:50
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.05I 95.24%NM 89.55%EV -6.36%E -6.05%K -127.15%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.45%EV -2.65%E -0.294%K -0.331%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-03 19:50
Tipico (DE)🎯1.05I 95.24%NM 89.55%EV -6.36%E -6.05%K -127.15%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.45%EV -2.65%E -0.294%K -0.331%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-03 15:00
NetBet (FR)🎯1.04I 96.15%NM 89.64%EV -7.25%E -6.97%K -181.23%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.36%EV -2.65%E -0.294%K -0.331%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-03 22:55
Bet Victor🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 88.54%EV -1.90%E -1.73%K -18.98%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.46%EV -8.06%E -0.948%K -1.07%G +0.000%2.7%2026-04-03 23:04
Bet Right🎯1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -4.57%E -4.27%K -65.34%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV -8.06%E -0.948%K -1.07%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-03 17:20
Bovada🎯1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -4.57%E -4.27%K -65.34%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV -8.06%E -0.948%K -1.07%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-03 22:24
BoyleSports🎯1.05I 95.24%NM 89.01%EV -6.36%E -6.05%K -127.15%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.99%EV -8.06%E -0.948%K -1.07%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-03 23:00
Marathon Bet🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 88.49%EV -3.68%E -3.41%K -46.02%G +0.000%8.30I 12.05%NM 11.51%EV -10.22%E -1.23%K -1.40%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-03 19:30
Unibet (UK)🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 88.01%EV -2.79%E -2.56%K -31.00%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.99%EV -13.47%E -1.68%K -1.92%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-03 23:04
Svenska Spel🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 88.01%EV -2.79%E -2.56%K -31.00%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.99%EV -13.47%E -1.68%K -1.92%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-03 23:00
Unibet (SE)🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 88.01%EV -2.79%E -2.56%K -31.00%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.99%EV -13.47%E -1.68%K -1.92%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-03 23:00
Unibet (NL)🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 88.01%EV -2.79%E -2.56%K -31.00%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.99%EV -13.47%E -1.68%K -1.92%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-03 22:59
ATG (SE)🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 88.01%EV -2.79%E -2.56%K -31.00%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.99%EV -13.47%E -1.68%K -1.92%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-03 22:59
Winamax (DE)🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 88.01%EV -2.79%E -2.56%K -31.00%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.99%EV -13.47%E -1.68%K -1.92%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-03 23:05
Paddy Power🎯1.07I 93.46%NM 88.20%EV -4.57%E -4.27%K -65.34%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.80%EV -13.47%E -1.68%K -1.92%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-03 22:30
Sky Bet🎯1.07I 93.46%NM 88.20%EV -4.57%E -4.27%K -65.34%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.80%EV -13.47%E -1.68%K -1.92%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-03 22:30
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.07I 93.46%NM 88.20%EV -4.57%E -4.27%K -65.34%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.80%EV -13.47%E -1.68%K -1.92%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-03 22:29
PlayUp🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 87.67%EV -2.79%E -2.56%K -31.00%G +0.000%7.75I 12.90%NM 12.33%EV -16.17%E -2.09%K -2.40%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-03 22:55
Betsson🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 87.31%EV -2.79%E -2.56%K -31.00%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV -18.88%E -2.52%K -2.90%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-03 23:04
NordicBet🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 87.31%EV -2.79%E -2.56%K -31.00%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV -18.88%E -2.52%K -2.90%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-03 23:05
LiveScore Bet🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 87.31%EV -2.79%E -2.56%K -31.00%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV -18.88%E -2.52%K -2.90%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-03 22:59
BetRivers🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 87.31%EV -2.79%E -2.56%K -31.00%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV -18.88%E -2.52%K -2.90%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-03 23:00
Virgin Bet🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 87.31%EV -2.79%E -2.56%K -31.00%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV -18.88%E -2.52%K -2.90%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-03 23:00
TABtouch🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 87.31%EV -2.79%E -2.56%K -31.00%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV -18.88%E -2.52%K -2.90%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-03 22:59
Unibet🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 87.31%EV -2.79%E -2.56%K -31.00%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV -18.88%E -2.52%K -2.90%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-03 22:59
Bally Bet🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 87.31%EV -2.79%E -2.56%K -31.00%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV -18.88%E -2.52%K -2.90%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-03 22:59
betPARX🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 87.31%EV -2.79%E -2.56%K -31.00%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV -18.88%E -2.52%K -2.90%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-03 23:00
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -3.68%E -3.41%K -46.02%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -18.88%E -2.52%K -2.90%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-03 22:35
Betway🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -3.68%E -3.41%K -46.02%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -18.88%E -2.52%K -2.90%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-03 23:05
Winamax (FR)🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 87.03%EV -3.68%E -3.41%K -46.02%G +0.000%7.25I 13.79%NM 12.97%EV -21.58%E -2.98%K -3.45%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-03 23:05
PMU (FR)🎯1.07I 93.46%NM 86.74%EV -4.57%E -4.27%K -65.34%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.26%EV -24.28%E -3.47%K -4.05%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-03 22:59
LeoVegas🎯1.05I 95.24%NM 86.96%EV -6.36%E -6.05%K -127.15%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.04%EV -24.28%E -3.47%K -4.05%G +0.000%9.5%2026-04-03 23:00
Betclic (FR)🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 85.75%EV -3.68%E -3.41%K -46.02%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.25%EV -29.69%E -4.57%K -5.40%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-03 23:03
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (10)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
BetOpenly1.10I 90.91%NM 91.21%11.42I 8.76%NM 8.79%-0.3%2026-04-03 22:59
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.09I 91.74%NM 91.34%11.50I 8.70%NM 8.66%0.4%2026-04-03 22:45
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.09I 91.74%NM 91.34%11.50I 8.70%NM 8.66%0.4%2026-04-03 22:45
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.09I 91.74%NM 91.34%11.50I 8.70%NM 8.66%0.4%2026-04-03 22:35
Matchbook1.09I 91.74%NM 91.34%11.50I 8.70%NM 8.66%0.4%2026-04-03 23:00
Kalshi1.09I 91.74%NM 91.07%11.11I 9.00%NM 8.93%0.7%2026-04-03 18:30
Polymarket1.09I 91.74%NM 91.07%11.11I 9.00%NM 8.93%0.7%2026-04-03 23:05
ProphetX1.09I 91.74%NM 90.98%11.00I 9.09%NM 9.02%0.8%2026-04-03 23:00
Novig1.09I 91.74%NM 90.71%10.64I 9.40%NM 9.29%1.1%2026-04-03 23:05
Smarkets1.07I 93.46%NM 91.14%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.86%2.5%2026-04-03 23:00