Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Boston Celtics v Philadelphia 76ers

Kickoff: 2026-03-02 01:12 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

64 sportsbooks (23 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Boston Celtics (Local)

Prediction 74.41%1.34fair odd
EV -2.52%
Edge -1.92%
Kelly -8.13%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.31

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
72.34%74.41%74.49%76.35%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.221.281.281.3181.97%78.13%78.13%76.34%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Philadelphia 76ers (Visit)

Prediction 25.59%3.91fair odd
EV +4.91%
Edge +1.20%
Kelly +1.58%
Growth +0.078%

assuming max odds 4.10

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
23.65%25.59%25.51%27.66%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.403.733.754.1029.41%26.83%26.67%24.39%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Boston Celtics (Local): 74.41%; Philadelphia 76ers (Visit): 25.59%. For Philadelphia 76ers (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.91. 4 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 4.10, corresponding to a positive expected value of +4.91%.

Sportsbook Odds (64 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
Bet Victor🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 76.35%EV -5.50%E -4.33%K -20.35%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.65%EV +4.91%E +1.20%K +1.58%G +0.078%3.1%2026-03-02 00:49
1xBet🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 75.52%EV -3.26%E -2.51%K -10.88%G +0.000%4.01I 24.94%NM 24.48%EV +2.60%E +0.649%K +0.865%G +0.023%1.9%2026-03-01 21:09
William Hill🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -6.98%E -5.59%K -27.94%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV +2.35%E +0.587%K +0.783%G +0.018%5.0%2026-03-01 14:14
Winamax (DE)🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 75.53%EV -4.75%E -3.71%K -16.97%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.47%EV +1.07%E +0.271%K +0.362%G +0.004%3.4%2026-03-02 01:09
BetOnline.ag🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 75.24%EV -4.75%E -3.71%K -16.97%G +0.000%3.89I 25.71%NM 24.76%EV -0.466%E -0.120%K -0.161%G +0.000%3.8%2026-03-02 01:09
LowVig.ag🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 74.90%EV -4.01%E -3.11%K -13.82%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.10%EV -1.49%E -0.387%K -0.523%G +0.000%3.5%2026-03-02 01:09
Coolbet🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 75.05%EV -4.75%E -3.71%K -16.97%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.95%EV -1.49%E -0.387%K -0.523%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-02 00:34
Unibet (NL)🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 75.05%EV -4.75%E -3.71%K -16.97%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.95%EV -1.49%E -0.387%K -0.523%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-02 01:09
Unibet (SE)🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 75.05%EV -4.75%E -3.71%K -16.97%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.95%EV -1.49%E -0.387%K -0.523%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-02 01:09
Svenska Spel🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 75.05%EV -4.75%E -3.71%K -16.97%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.95%EV -1.49%E -0.387%K -0.523%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-02 01:09
ATG (SE)🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 75.05%EV -4.75%E -3.71%K -16.97%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.95%EV -1.49%E -0.387%K -0.523%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-02 01:09
Pinnacle🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 74.56%EV -3.26%E -2.51%K -10.88%G +0.000%3.81I 26.25%NM 25.44%EV -2.51%E -0.660%K -0.894%G +0.000%3.2%2026-03-02 01:09
Parions Sport (FR)🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 74.36%EV -2.52%E -1.92%K -8.13%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.64%EV -2.77%E -0.729%K -0.989%G +0.000%2.7%2026-03-02 00:40
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 74.66%EV -4.01%E -3.11%K -13.82%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.34%EV -2.77%E -0.729%K -0.989%G +0.000%3.8%2026-03-02 00:35
Fanatics🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 74.66%EV -4.01%E -3.11%K -13.82%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.34%EV -2.77%E -0.729%K -0.989%G +0.000%3.8%2026-03-01 23:54
GTbets🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 74.66%EV -4.01%E -3.11%K -13.82%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.34%EV -2.77%E -0.729%K -0.989%G +0.000%3.8%2026-03-02 01:09
BetMGM🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 74.66%EV -4.01%E -3.11%K -13.82%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.34%EV -2.77%E -0.729%K -0.989%G +0.000%3.8%2026-03-01 19:24
BetUS🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 74.66%EV -4.01%E -3.11%K -13.82%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.34%EV -2.77%E -0.729%K -0.989%G +0.000%3.8%2026-03-02 01:09
Everygame🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 74.66%EV -4.01%E -3.11%K -13.82%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.34%EV -2.77%E -0.729%K -0.989%G +0.000%3.8%2026-03-02 00:39
TAB🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 74.80%EV -4.75%E -3.71%K -16.97%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.20%EV -2.77%E -0.729%K -0.989%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-01 06:10
Fliff🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -5.50%E -4.33%K -20.35%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -2.77%E -0.729%K -0.989%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-02 01:09
Caesars🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 74.70%EV -4.75%E -3.71%K -16.97%G +0.000%3.78I 26.46%NM 25.30%EV -3.28%E -0.868%K -1.18%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-02 01:10
MyBookie.ag🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 74.80%EV -5.50%E -4.33%K -20.35%G +0.000%3.77I 26.53%NM 25.20%EV -3.54%E -0.938%K -1.28%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-02 00:54
DraftKings🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 74.40%EV -4.01%E -3.11%K -13.82%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.60%EV -4.05%E -1.08%K -1.47%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-02 00:34
BetAnything🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 74.40%EV -4.01%E -3.11%K -13.82%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.60%EV -4.05%E -1.08%K -1.47%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-02 00:49
TABtouch🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 74.55%EV -4.75%E -3.71%K -16.97%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.45%EV -4.05%E -1.08%K -1.47%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-02 01:09
Unibet🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 74.55%EV -4.75%E -3.71%K -16.97%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.45%EV -4.05%E -1.08%K -1.47%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-02 01:09
Bally Bet🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 74.55%EV -4.75%E -3.71%K -16.97%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.45%EV -4.05%E -1.08%K -1.47%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-02 01:09
betPARX🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 74.55%EV -4.75%E -3.71%K -16.97%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.45%EV -4.05%E -1.08%K -1.47%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-02 01:09
Dabble (AU)🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 74.55%EV -4.75%E -3.71%K -16.97%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.45%EV -4.05%E -1.08%K -1.47%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-02 00:44
BetRivers🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -5.50%E -4.33%K -20.35%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -4.05%E -1.08%K -1.47%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-02 01:09
Virgin Bet🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -5.50%E -4.33%K -20.35%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -4.05%E -1.08%K -1.47%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-02 01:09
LiveScore Bet🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -5.50%E -4.33%K -20.35%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -4.05%E -1.08%K -1.47%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-02 01:09
Betway🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -6.98%E -5.59%K -27.94%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -4.05%E -1.08%K -1.47%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-02 00:59
Unibet (UK)🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 74.00%EV -3.26%E -2.51%K -10.88%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.00%EV -5.33%E -1.44%K -1.97%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-02 00:39
theScore Bet🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 74.15%EV -4.01%E -3.11%K -13.82%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.85%EV -5.33%E -1.44%K -1.97%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-02 00:34
Bovada🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 74.15%EV -4.01%E -3.11%K -13.82%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.85%EV -5.33%E -1.44%K -1.97%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-02 01:03
Neds🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -4.75%E -3.71%K -16.97%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV -5.33%E -1.44%K -1.97%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-02 01:09
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -4.75%E -3.71%K -16.97%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV -5.33%E -1.44%K -1.97%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-02 01:09
Betr (AU)🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -4.75%E -3.71%K -16.97%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV -5.33%E -1.44%K -1.97%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-02 00:34
888sport🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 74.45%EV -5.50%E -4.33%K -20.35%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.55%EV -5.33%E -1.44%K -1.97%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-02 00:59
888sport (SE)🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 74.45%EV -5.50%E -4.33%K -20.35%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.55%EV -5.33%E -1.44%K -1.97%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-02 00:59
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 74.45%EV -5.50%E -4.33%K -20.35%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.55%EV -5.33%E -1.44%K -1.97%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-02 00:59
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 74.45%EV -5.50%E -4.33%K -20.35%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.55%EV -5.33%E -1.44%K -1.97%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-02 01:09
Coral🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 74.75%EV -6.98%E -5.59%K -27.94%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV -5.33%E -1.44%K -1.97%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-01 19:24
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 74.75%EV -6.98%E -5.59%K -27.94%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV -5.33%E -1.44%K -1.97%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-01 19:24
SportsBet🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 73.79%EV -3.26%E -2.51%K -10.88%G +0.000%3.66I 27.32%NM 26.21%EV -6.35%E -1.74%K -2.39%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-02 01:09
FanDuel🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 73.74%EV -3.26%E -2.51%K -10.88%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.26%EV -6.61%E -1.81%K -2.49%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-02 01:04
Codere (IT)🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 73.89%EV -4.01%E -3.11%K -13.82%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.11%EV -6.61%E -1.81%K -2.49%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-02 00:39
LeoVegas🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 74.49%EV -6.98%E -5.59%K -27.94%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.51%EV -6.61%E -1.81%K -2.49%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-02 01:09
NetBet (FR)🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 74.49%EV -6.98%E -5.59%K -27.94%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.51%EV -6.61%E -1.81%K -2.49%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-02 00:35
Marathon Bet🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 73.68%EV -3.26%E -2.51%K -10.88%G +0.000%3.64I 27.47%NM 26.32%EV -6.86%E -1.89%K -2.60%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-02 00:30
BoyleSports🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -4.01%E -3.11%K -13.82%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -7.89%E -2.19%K -3.03%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-02 00:40
Bet Right🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -4.01%E -3.11%K -13.82%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -7.89%E -2.19%K -3.03%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-02 00:34
Tipico (DE)🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 73.77%EV -4.75%E -3.71%K -16.97%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.23%EV -7.89%E -2.19%K -3.03%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-02 00:59
Winamax (FR)🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 74.07%EV -6.24%E -4.95%K -24.00%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -7.89%E -2.19%K -3.03%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-02 01:04
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 74.23%EV -6.98%E -5.59%K -27.94%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -7.89%E -2.19%K -3.03%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-02 01:09
Betclic (FR)🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 74.69%EV -9.22%E -7.55%K -41.89%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.31%EV -7.89%E -2.19%K -3.03%G +0.000%9.7%2026-03-02 01:04
Unibet (FR)🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 73.65%EV -5.50%E -4.33%K -20.35%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.35%EV -9.17%E -2.58%K -3.59%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-02 00:54
NordicBet🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -3.26%E -2.51%K -10.88%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -10.45%E -2.98%K -4.18%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-02 00:29
Betsson🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -3.26%E -2.51%K -10.88%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -10.45%E -2.98%K -4.18%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-02 00:29
Sky Bet🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -3.26%E -2.51%K -10.88%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -13.00%E -3.82%K -5.42%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-02 00:59
Paddy Power🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -3.26%E -2.51%K -10.88%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -13.00%E -3.82%K -5.42%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-02 01:09
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -3.26%E -2.51%K -10.88%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -13.00%E -3.82%K -5.42%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-02 01:09
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (10)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Polymarket1.32I 75.76%NM 75.19%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.81%0.8%2026-03-02 01:04
Kalshi1.32I 75.76%NM 75.19%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.81%0.8%2026-03-02 01:09
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.32I 75.76%NM 75.19%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.81%0.8%2026-03-02 01:04
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.32I 75.76%NM 75.19%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.81%0.8%2026-03-02 01:09
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.32I 75.76%NM 75.19%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.81%0.8%2026-03-02 01:09
Matchbook1.32I 75.76%NM 74.95%3.95I 25.32%NM 25.05%1.1%2026-03-02 01:09
ProphetX1.32I 75.76%NM 74.95%3.95I 25.32%NM 25.05%1.1%2026-03-02 01:09
Novig1.32I 75.76%NM 74.90%3.94I 25.38%NM 25.10%1.1%2026-03-02 01:09
BetOpenly1.32I 75.76%NM 74.71%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.29%1.4%2026-03-02 00:59
Smarkets1.31I 76.34%NM 74.86%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.14%2.0%2026-03-02 01:09