Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Boston Celtics v Philadelphia 76ers

Kickoff: 2026-04-19 17:15 UTC

Final: Boston Celtics 123–91 Philadelphia 76ers

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

60 sportsbooks (21 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Boston Celtics (Local)

Prediction 85.43%1.17fair odd
EV -2.61%
Edge -2.29%
Kelly -18.62%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.14

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
83.46%85.33%85.41%87.28%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.081.121.121.1492.59%89.66%89.29%87.72%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Philadelphia 76ers (Visit)

Prediction 14.57%6.86fair odd
EV +9.99%
Edge +1.32%
Kelly +1.52%
Growth +0.152%

assuming max odds 7.55

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
12.72%14.67%14.59%16.54%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
5.606.536.507.5517.86%15.30%15.38%13.25%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Boston Celtics (Local): 85.43%; Philadelphia 76ers (Visit): 14.57%. For Philadelphia 76ers (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 6.86. 8 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 7.55, corresponding to a positive expected value of +9.99%.

Sportsbook Odds (60 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
BetAnything🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 87.28%EV -6.02%E -5.48%K -60.25%G +0.000%7.55I 13.25%NM 12.72%EV +9.99%E +1.32%K +1.52%G +0.152%4.2%2026-04-19 17:10
theScore Bet🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 86.91%EV -3.46%E -3.06%K -26.63%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 13.09%EV +9.26%E +1.23%K +1.42%G +0.132%1.8%2026-04-19 17:10
MyBookie.ag🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 86.45%EV -6.02%E -5.48%K -60.25%G +0.000%7.02I 14.25%NM 13.55%EV +2.27%E +0.323%K +0.376%G +0.009%5.2%2026-04-19 16:59
Caesars🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 86.31%EV -5.17%E -4.66%K -47.00%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.69%EV +1.97%E +0.282%K +0.329%G +0.006%4.4%2026-04-19 17:10
TAB🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 86.31%EV -5.17%E -4.66%K -47.00%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.69%EV +1.97%E +0.282%K +0.329%G +0.006%4.4%2026-04-19 17:10
BetUS🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 86.31%EV -5.17%E -4.66%K -47.00%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.69%EV +1.97%E +0.282%K +0.329%G +0.006%4.4%2026-04-19 17:10
LowVig.ag🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 86.03%EV -4.32%E -3.85%K -35.97%G +0.000%6.90I 14.49%NM 13.97%EV +0.517%E +0.075%K +0.088%G +0.000%3.8%2026-04-19 17:10
Unibet (FR)🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 86.03%EV -4.32%E -3.85%K -35.97%G +0.000%6.90I 14.49%NM 13.97%EV +0.517%E +0.075%K +0.088%G +0.000%3.8%2026-04-19 16:59
SportsBet🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 85.86%EV -4.32%E -3.85%K -35.97%G +0.000%6.80I 14.71%NM 14.14%EV -0.939%E -0.138%K -0.162%G +0.000%4.0%2026-04-19 17:10
Tipico (DE)🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 86.19%EV -6.88%E -6.31%K -76.43%G +0.000%6.80I 14.71%NM 13.81%EV -0.939%E -0.138%K -0.162%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-19 17:10
Bet Victor🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 85.55%EV -2.61%E -2.29%K -18.62%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 14.45%EV -1.67%E -0.247%K -0.290%G +0.000%2.5%2026-04-19 17:08
DraftKings🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 85.77%EV -4.32%E -3.85%K -35.97%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 14.23%EV -1.67%E -0.247%K -0.290%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-19 17:09
Unibet (SE)🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 85.77%EV -4.32%E -3.85%K -35.97%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 14.23%EV -1.67%E -0.247%K -0.290%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-19 17:10
Unibet (NL)🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 85.77%EV -4.32%E -3.85%K -35.97%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 14.23%EV -1.67%E -0.247%K -0.290%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-19 17:10
PlayUp🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 85.77%EV -4.32%E -3.85%K -35.97%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 14.23%EV -1.67%E -0.247%K -0.290%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-19 17:10
ATG (SE)🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 85.77%EV -4.32%E -3.85%K -35.97%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 14.23%EV -1.67%E -0.247%K -0.290%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-19 17:10
Svenska Spel🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 85.77%EV -4.32%E -3.85%K -35.97%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 14.23%EV -1.67%E -0.247%K -0.290%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-19 17:10
BetMGM🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 85.88%EV -5.17%E -4.66%K -47.00%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 14.12%EV -1.67%E -0.247%K -0.290%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-19 17:09
BetOnline.ag🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 85.75%EV -4.32%E -3.85%K -35.97%G +0.000%6.74I 14.84%NM 14.25%EV -1.81%E -0.269%K -0.316%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-19 17:10
FanDuel🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 85.68%EV -4.32%E -3.85%K -35.97%G +0.000%6.70I 14.93%NM 14.32%EV -2.40%E -0.358%K -0.420%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-19 17:10
Codere (IT)🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 85.49%EV -4.32%E -3.85%K -35.97%G +0.000%6.60I 15.15%NM 14.51%EV -3.85%E -0.584%K -0.688%G +0.000%4.4%2026-04-19 17:00
Pinnacle🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 85.21%EV -2.61%E -2.29%K -18.62%G +0.000%6.57I 15.22%NM 14.79%EV -4.29%E -0.653%K -0.770%G +0.000%2.9%2026-04-19 17:09
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 85.19%EV -3.46%E -3.06%K -26.63%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.81%EV -5.31%E -0.817%K -0.965%G +0.000%3.9%2026-04-19 17:10
Winamax (DE)🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 85.19%EV -3.46%E -3.06%K -26.63%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.81%EV -5.31%E -0.817%K -0.965%G +0.000%3.9%2026-04-19 17:10
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 85.30%EV -4.32%E -3.85%K -35.97%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.70%EV -5.31%E -0.817%K -0.965%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-19 17:10
Neds🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 85.30%EV -4.32%E -3.85%K -35.97%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.70%EV -5.31%E -0.817%K -0.965%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-19 17:10
Fanatics🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 85.30%EV -4.32%E -3.85%K -35.97%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.70%EV -5.31%E -0.817%K -0.965%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-19 17:09
Betr (AU)🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 85.30%EV -4.32%E -3.85%K -35.97%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.70%EV -5.31%E -0.817%K -0.965%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-19 17:10
Bovada🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 85.30%EV -4.32%E -3.85%K -35.97%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.70%EV -5.31%E -0.817%K -0.965%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-19 17:10
Betsson🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 85.30%EV -4.32%E -3.85%K -35.97%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.70%EV -5.31%E -0.817%K -0.965%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-19 17:10
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 85.30%EV -4.32%E -3.85%K -35.97%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.70%EV -5.31%E -0.817%K -0.965%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-19 17:10
888sport🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -5.17%E -4.66%K -47.00%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV -5.31%E -0.817%K -0.965%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-19 16:59
BoyleSports🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -5.17%E -4.66%K -47.00%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV -5.31%E -0.817%K -0.965%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-19 16:59
William Hill🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -5.17%E -4.66%K -47.00%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV -5.31%E -0.817%K -0.965%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-19 17:10
Dabble (AU)🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -5.17%E -4.66%K -47.00%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV -5.31%E -0.817%K -0.965%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-19 17:10
888sport (SE)🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -5.17%E -4.66%K -47.00%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV -5.31%E -0.817%K -0.965%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-19 16:59
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -5.17%E -4.66%K -47.00%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV -5.31%E -0.817%K -0.965%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-19 16:59
Paddy Power🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 85.53%EV -6.02%E -5.48%K -60.25%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV -5.31%E -0.817%K -0.965%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-19 17:10
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 85.53%EV -6.02%E -5.48%K -60.25%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV -5.31%E -0.817%K -0.965%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-19 17:10
Coral🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 85.53%EV -6.02%E -5.48%K -60.25%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV -5.31%E -0.817%K -0.965%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-19 17:10
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 85.53%EV -6.02%E -5.48%K -60.25%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV -5.31%E -0.817%K -0.965%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-19 17:10
Fliff🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 85.20%EV -4.32%E -3.85%K -35.97%G +0.000%6.45I 15.50%NM 14.80%EV -6.04%E -0.936%K -1.11%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-19 17:10
TABtouch🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 85.11%EV -4.32%E -3.85%K -35.97%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.89%EV -6.77%E -1.06%K -1.25%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-19 17:10
Unibet🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 85.11%EV -4.32%E -3.85%K -35.97%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.89%EV -6.77%E -1.06%K -1.25%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-19 17:10
betPARX🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 85.11%EV -4.32%E -3.85%K -35.97%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.89%EV -6.77%E -1.06%K -1.25%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-19 17:10
Bally Bet🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 85.11%EV -4.32%E -3.85%K -35.97%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.89%EV -6.77%E -1.06%K -1.25%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-19 17:10
NetBet (FR)🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 85.45%EV -6.88%E -6.31%K -76.43%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.55%EV -6.77%E -1.06%K -1.25%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-19 17:00
BetRivers🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 84.80%EV -4.32%E -3.85%K -35.97%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.20%EV -8.95%E -1.43%K -1.71%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-19 17:10
LiveScore Bet🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 84.80%EV -4.32%E -3.85%K -35.97%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.20%EV -8.95%E -1.43%K -1.71%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-19 17:10
Virgin Bet🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 84.80%EV -4.32%E -3.85%K -35.97%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.20%EV -8.95%E -1.43%K -1.71%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-19 17:10
Bet Right🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 84.80%EV -4.32%E -3.85%K -35.97%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.20%EV -8.95%E -1.43%K -1.71%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-19 17:10
ReBet🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 84.80%EV -4.32%E -3.85%K -35.97%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.20%EV -8.95%E -1.43%K -1.71%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-19 17:10
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 84.92%EV -5.17%E -4.66%K -47.00%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.08%EV -8.95%E -1.43%K -1.71%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-19 17:10
PMU (FR)🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 84.72%EV -6.02%E -5.48%K -60.25%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 15.28%EV -11.14%E -1.83%K -2.18%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-19 17:10
Sky Bet🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -3.46%E -3.06%K -26.63%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -12.59%E -2.10%K -2.52%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-19 17:10
Coolbet🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -4.32%E -3.85%K -35.97%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -12.59%E -2.10%K -2.52%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-19 17:10
Winamax (FR)🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -4.32%E -3.85%K -35.97%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -12.59%E -2.10%K -2.52%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-19 17:10
Betway🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -4.32%E -3.85%K -35.97%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -12.59%E -2.10%K -2.52%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-19 17:10
LeoVegas🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 84.30%EV -7.73%E -7.16%K -96.66%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.70%EV -15.51%E -2.67%K -3.23%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-19 17:10
Betclic (FR)🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 83.46%EV -5.17%E -4.66%K -47.00%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.54%EV -18.42%E -3.29%K -4.00%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-19 17:08
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (10)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
BetOpenly1.16I 86.21%NM 86.64%7.52I 13.30%NM 13.36%-0.5%2026-04-19 16:59
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.14I 87.72%NM 87.25%7.80I 12.82%NM 12.75%0.5%2026-04-19 17:10
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.14I 87.72%NM 87.25%7.80I 12.82%NM 12.75%0.5%2026-04-19 17:10
ProphetX1.14I 87.72%NM 87.25%7.80I 12.82%NM 12.75%0.5%2026-04-19 17:10
Novig1.14I 87.72%NM 87.18%7.75I 12.90%NM 12.82%0.6%2026-04-19 17:10
Polymarket1.14I 87.72%NM 87.09%7.69I 13.00%NM 12.91%0.7%2026-04-19 17:10
Kalshi1.14I 87.72%NM 87.09%7.69I 13.00%NM 12.91%0.7%2026-04-19 17:10
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.14I 87.72%NM 86.65%7.40I 13.51%NM 13.35%1.2%2026-04-19 17:10
Smarkets1.12I 89.29%NM 86.85%7.40I 13.51%NM 13.15%2.8%2026-04-19 17:10
Matchbook1.12I 89.29%NM 85.86%6.80I 14.71%NM 14.14%4.0%2026-04-19 17:10