A Escola das Odds

Boston Celtics v Orlando Magic

Início: 2026-04-12 22:10 UTC

Final: Boston Celtics 113–108 Orlando Magic

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

66 casas de apostas (23 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: IQM

Boston Celtics (Local)

Previsão 15.58%6.42odd justa
EV +12.18%
Vantagem +1.69%
Kelly +1.96%
Crescimento +0.239%

pressupondo odds máximas de 7.20

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
13.52%15.69%15.73%18.43%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
5.006.326.447.2020.00%15.82%15.54%13.89%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Orlando Magic (Visitante)

Previsão 84.42%1.18odd justa
EV -2.07%
Vantagem -1.79%
Kelly -12.96%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.16

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
81.57%84.31%84.27%86.48%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
1.071.121.121.1693.46%89.14%89.29%86.21%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Odds das casas de apostas (66 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteMargemAtualização
1xBet7.20I 13.89%NM 13.57%EV +12.18%E +1.69%K +1.96%G +0.239%1.13I 88.50%NM 86.43%EV -4.61%E -4.08%K -35.43%G +0.000%2.4%2026-04-12 21:15
FanDuel7.10I 14.08%NM 13.52%EV +10.62%E +1.50%K +1.74%G +0.185%1.11I 90.09%NM 86.48%EV -6.29%E -5.67%K -57.22%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-12 22:05
SportsBet7.00I 14.29%NM 13.69%EV +9.07%E +1.30%K +1.51%G +0.137%1.11I 90.09%NM 86.31%EV -6.29%E -5.67%K -57.22%G +0.000%4.4%2026-04-12 22:04
Unibet (SE)7.00I 14.29%NM 13.69%EV +9.07%E +1.30%K +1.51%G +0.137%1.11I 90.09%NM 86.31%EV -6.29%E -5.67%K -57.22%G +0.000%4.4%2026-04-12 21:35
Unibet (NL)7.00I 14.29%NM 13.69%EV +9.07%E +1.30%K +1.51%G +0.137%1.11I 90.09%NM 86.31%EV -6.29%E -5.67%K -57.22%G +0.000%4.4%2026-04-12 21:34
ATG (SE)7.00I 14.29%NM 13.69%EV +9.07%E +1.30%K +1.51%G +0.137%1.11I 90.09%NM 86.31%EV -6.29%E -5.67%K -57.22%G +0.000%4.4%2026-04-12 21:35
Svenska Spel7.00I 14.29%NM 13.69%EV +9.07%E +1.30%K +1.51%G +0.137%1.11I 90.09%NM 86.31%EV -6.29%E -5.67%K -57.22%G +0.000%4.4%2026-04-12 21:35
Caesars7.00I 14.29%NM 13.69%EV +9.07%E +1.30%K +1.51%G +0.137%1.11I 90.09%NM 86.31%EV -6.29%E -5.67%K -57.22%G +0.000%4.4%2026-04-12 21:39
Dabble (AU)7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV +9.07%E +1.30%K +1.51%G +0.137%1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -7.14%E -6.49%K -71.39%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-12 22:04
Pinnacle6.81I 14.68%NM 14.23%EV +6.11%E +0.897%K +1.05%G +0.064%1.13I 88.50%NM 85.77%EV -4.61%E -4.08%K -35.43%G +0.000%3.2%2026-04-12 22:05
Everygame6.75I 14.81%NM 14.23%EV +5.17%E +0.766%K +0.899%G +0.046%1.12I 89.29%NM 85.77%EV -5.45%E -4.87%K -45.42%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-12 22:04
BetAnything6.75I 14.81%NM 14.23%EV +5.17%E +0.766%K +0.899%G +0.046%1.12I 89.29%NM 85.77%EV -5.45%E -4.87%K -45.42%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-12 22:04
TABtouch6.75I 14.81%NM 14.12%EV +5.17%E +0.766%K +0.899%G +0.046%1.11I 90.09%NM 85.88%EV -6.29%E -5.67%K -57.22%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-12 21:35
Unibet6.75I 14.81%NM 14.12%EV +5.17%E +0.766%K +0.899%G +0.046%1.11I 90.09%NM 85.88%EV -6.29%E -5.67%K -57.22%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-12 21:35
betPARX6.75I 14.81%NM 14.12%EV +5.17%E +0.766%K +0.899%G +0.046%1.11I 90.09%NM 85.88%EV -6.29%E -5.67%K -57.22%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-12 21:35
Bally Bet6.75I 14.81%NM 14.12%EV +5.17%E +0.766%K +0.899%G +0.046%1.11I 90.09%NM 85.88%EV -6.29%E -5.67%K -57.22%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-12 21:35
BetMGM6.75I 14.81%NM 14.12%EV +5.17%E +0.766%K +0.899%G +0.046%1.11I 90.09%NM 85.88%EV -6.29%E -5.67%K -57.22%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-12 22:04
Fliff6.60I 15.15%NM 14.51%EV +2.83%E +0.429%K +0.506%G +0.014%1.12I 89.29%NM 85.49%EV -5.45%E -4.87%K -45.42%G +0.000%4.4%2026-04-12 21:45
Marathon Bet6.55I 15.27%NM 14.60%EV +2.05%E +0.314%K +0.370%G +0.008%1.12I 89.29%NM 85.40%EV -5.45%E -4.87%K -45.42%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-12 21:14
TAB6.50I 15.38%NM 14.81%EV +1.28%E +0.196%K +0.232%G +0.003%1.13I 88.50%NM 85.19%EV -4.61%E -4.08%K -35.43%G +0.000%3.9%2026-04-12 22:04
PointsBet (AU)6.50I 15.38%NM 14.81%EV +1.28%E +0.196%K +0.232%G +0.003%1.13I 88.50%NM 85.19%EV -4.61%E -4.08%K -35.43%G +0.000%3.9%2026-04-12 22:05
Hard Rock Bet6.50I 15.38%NM 14.70%EV +1.28%E +0.196%K +0.232%G +0.003%1.12I 89.29%NM 85.30%EV -5.45%E -4.87%K -45.42%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-12 22:05
Betr (AU)6.50I 15.38%NM 14.70%EV +1.28%E +0.196%K +0.232%G +0.003%1.12I 89.29%NM 85.30%EV -5.45%E -4.87%K -45.42%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-12 21:15
BetRivers6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV +1.28%E +0.196%K +0.232%G +0.003%1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -6.29%E -5.67%K -57.22%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-12 19:19
Virgin Bet6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV +1.28%E +0.196%K +0.232%G +0.003%1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -6.29%E -5.67%K -57.22%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-12 19:20
LiveScore Bet6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV +1.28%E +0.196%K +0.232%G +0.003%1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -6.29%E -5.67%K -57.22%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-12 19:20
theScore Bet6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV +1.28%E +0.196%K +0.232%G +0.003%1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -6.29%E -5.67%K -57.22%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-12 22:05
Paddy Power6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV +1.28%E +0.196%K +0.232%G +0.003%1.10I 90.91%NM 85.53%EV -7.14%E -6.49%K -71.39%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-12 20:20
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV +1.28%E +0.196%K +0.232%G +0.003%1.10I 90.91%NM 85.53%EV -7.14%E -6.49%K -71.39%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-12 20:19
LeoVegas (SE)6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV +1.28%E +0.196%K +0.232%G +0.003%1.10I 90.91%NM 85.53%EV -7.14%E -6.49%K -71.39%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-12 21:35
Ladbrokes (UK)6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV +1.28%E +0.196%K +0.232%G +0.003%1.10I 90.91%NM 85.53%EV -7.14%E -6.49%K -71.39%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-12 22:04
Coral6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV +1.28%E +0.196%K +0.232%G +0.003%1.10I 90.91%NM 85.53%EV -7.14%E -6.49%K -71.39%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-12 22:05
LowVig.ag6.47I 15.46%NM 14.98%EV +0.808%E +0.125%K +0.148%G +0.001%1.14I 87.72%NM 85.02%EV -3.76%E -3.30%K -26.87%G +0.000%3.2%2026-04-12 22:05
PMU (FR)6.40I 15.63%NM 14.55%EV -0.283%E -0.044%K -0.052%G +0.000%1.09I 91.74%NM 85.45%EV -7.98%E -7.32%K -88.70%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-12 21:35
BetOnline.ag6.34I 15.77%NM 15.13%EV -1.22%E -0.192%K -0.228%G +0.000%1.13I 88.50%NM 84.87%EV -4.61%E -4.08%K -35.43%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-12 22:05
GTbets6.30I 15.87%NM 15.21%EV -1.84%E -0.292%K -0.347%G +0.000%1.13I 88.50%NM 84.79%EV -4.61%E -4.08%K -35.43%G +0.000%4.4%2026-04-12 22:05
BetUS6.30I 15.87%NM 15.21%EV -1.84%E -0.292%K -0.347%G +0.000%1.13I 88.50%NM 84.79%EV -4.61%E -4.08%K -35.43%G +0.000%4.4%2026-04-12 22:05
DraftKings6.25I 16.00%NM 15.31%EV -2.62%E -0.419%K -0.499%G +0.000%1.13I 88.50%NM 84.69%EV -4.61%E -4.08%K -35.43%G +0.000%4.5%2026-04-12 12:25
Bovada6.25I 16.00%NM 15.20%EV -2.62%E -0.419%K -0.499%G +0.000%1.12I 89.29%NM 84.80%EV -5.45%E -4.87%K -45.42%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-12 22:05
NetBet (FR)6.20I 16.13%NM 15.07%EV -3.40%E -0.548%K -0.654%G +0.000%1.10I 90.91%NM 84.93%EV -7.14%E -6.49%K -71.39%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-12 21:55
Unibet (FR)6.10I 16.39%NM 15.75%EV -4.96%E -0.813%K -0.972%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 84.25%EV -3.76%E -3.30%K -26.87%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-12 21:45
Coolbet6.10I 16.39%NM 15.75%EV -4.96%E -0.813%K -0.972%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 84.25%EV -3.76%E -3.30%K -26.87%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-12 12:20
ReBet6.10I 16.39%NM 15.75%EV -4.96%E -0.813%K -0.972%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 84.25%EV -3.76%E -3.30%K -26.87%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-12 21:45
LeoVegas6.10I 16.39%NM 14.92%EV -4.96%E -0.813%K -0.972%G +0.000%1.07I 93.46%NM 85.08%EV -9.67%E -9.04%K -138.16%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-12 21:34
Bet Victor6.00I 16.67%NM 16.20%EV -6.52%E -1.09%K -1.30%G +0.000%1.16I 86.21%NM 83.80%EV -2.07%E -1.79%K -12.96%G +0.000%2.9%2026-04-12 21:53
Sky Bet6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -6.52%E -1.09%K -1.30%G +0.000%1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -4.61%E -4.08%K -35.43%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-12 19:20
Ladbrokes (AU)6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -6.52%E -1.09%K -1.30%G +0.000%1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -4.61%E -4.08%K -35.43%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-12 22:00
Neds6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -6.52%E -1.09%K -1.30%G +0.000%1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -4.61%E -4.08%K -35.43%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-12 21:59
Bet Right6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -6.52%E -1.09%K -1.30%G +0.000%1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -4.61%E -4.08%K -35.43%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-12 20:30
Fanatics6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -6.52%E -1.09%K -1.30%G +0.000%1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -4.61%E -4.08%K -35.43%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-12 14:04
888sport6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -6.52%E -1.09%K -1.30%G +0.000%1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -5.45%E -4.87%K -45.42%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-12 11:50
888sport (SE)6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -6.52%E -1.09%K -1.30%G +0.000%1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -5.45%E -4.87%K -45.42%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-12 11:54
Mr Green (SE)6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -6.52%E -1.09%K -1.30%G +0.000%1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -5.45%E -4.87%K -45.42%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-12 11:54
William Hill6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -6.52%E -1.09%K -1.30%G +0.000%1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -5.45%E -4.87%K -45.42%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-12 12:39
Winamax (DE)5.90I 16.95%NM 16.31%EV -8.07%E -1.37%K -1.65%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 83.69%EV -2.92%E -2.54%K -19.45%G +0.000%3.9%2026-04-12 21:59
MyBookie.ag5.86I 17.06%NM 16.29%EV -8.70%E -1.48%K -1.79%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 83.71%EV -3.76%E -3.30%K -26.87%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-12 21:44
Unibet (UK)5.80I 17.24%NM 16.55%EV -9.63%E -1.66%K -2.01%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 83.45%EV -2.92%E -2.54%K -19.45%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-12 22:04
Codere (IT)5.80I 17.24%NM 16.43%EV -9.63%E -1.66%K -2.01%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 83.57%EV -3.76%E -3.30%K -26.87%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-12 21:45
PlayUp5.75I 17.39%NM 16.67%EV -10.41%E -1.81%K -2.19%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 83.33%EV -2.92%E -2.54%K -19.45%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-12 21:55
NordicBet5.75I 17.39%NM 16.55%EV -10.41%E -1.81%K -2.19%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 83.45%EV -3.76%E -3.30%K -26.87%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-12 22:05
Betsson5.75I 17.39%NM 16.55%EV -10.41%E -1.81%K -2.19%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 83.45%EV -3.76%E -3.30%K -26.87%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-12 22:05
Betway5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -14.31%E -2.60%K -3.18%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -3.76%E -3.30%K -26.87%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-12 21:59
BoyleSports5.50I 18.18%NM 16.92%EV -14.31%E -2.60%K -3.18%G +0.000%1.12I 89.29%NM 83.08%EV -5.45%E -4.87%K -45.42%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-12 21:40
Winamax (FR)5.40I 18.52%NM 17.43%EV -15.86%E -2.94%K -3.61%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 82.57%EV -3.76%E -3.30%K -26.87%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-12 22:05
Tipico (DE)5.20I 19.23%NM 18.11%EV -18.98%E -3.65%K -4.52%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 81.89%EV -2.92%E -2.54%K -19.45%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-12 21:59
Betclic (FR)5.00I 20.00%NM 18.43%EV -22.10%E -4.42%K -5.52%G +0.000%1.13I 88.50%NM 81.57%EV -4.61%E -4.08%K -35.43%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-12 22:04
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (10)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
BetOpenly7.18I 13.93%NM 13.91%1.16I 86.21%NM 86.09%0.1%2026-04-12 21:59
ProphetX7.00I 14.29%NM 14.22%1.16I 86.21%NM 85.78%0.5%2026-04-12 22:05
Matchbook6.60I 15.15%NM 15.06%1.17I 85.47%NM 84.94%0.6%2026-04-12 18:15
Betfair Exchange (EU)6.80I 14.71%NM 14.57%1.16I 86.21%NM 85.43%0.9%2026-04-12 22:05
Betfair Exchange (UK)6.80I 14.71%NM 14.57%1.16I 86.21%NM 85.43%0.9%2026-04-12 22:05
Betfair Exchange (AU)6.80I 14.71%NM 14.57%1.16I 86.21%NM 85.43%0.9%2026-04-12 22:05
Novig6.80I 14.71%NM 14.57%1.16I 86.21%NM 85.43%0.9%2026-04-12 21:55
Kalshi6.67I 14.99%NM 14.81%1.16I 86.21%NM 85.19%1.2%2026-04-12 21:40
Polymarket6.67I 14.99%NM 14.81%1.16I 86.21%NM 85.19%1.2%2026-04-12 22:04
Smarkets6.60I 15.15%NM 14.84%1.15I 86.96%NM 85.16%2.1%2026-04-12 22:05