La escuela de los momios

Boston Celtics v Orlando Magic

Inicio: 2026-04-12 22:10 UTC

Final: Boston Celtics 113–108 Orlando Magic

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

66 corredores (23 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Boston Celtics (Local)

Predicción 15.58%6.42momio equitativo
EV +12.18%
Ventaja +1.69%
Kelly +1.96%
Crecimiento +0.239%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 7.20

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
13.52%15.69%15.73%18.43%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
5.006.326.447.2020.00%15.82%15.54%13.89%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Orlando Magic (Visitante)

Predicción 84.42%1.18momio equitativo
EV -2.07%
Ventaja -1.79%
Kelly -12.96%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.16

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
81.57%84.31%84.27%86.48%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.071.121.121.1693.46%89.14%89.29%86.21%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (66 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteMargenActualizado
1xBet7.20I 13.89%NM 13.57%EV +12.18%E +1.69%K +1.96%G +0.239%1.13I 88.50%NM 86.43%EV -4.61%E -4.08%K -35.43%G +0.000%2.4%2026-04-12 21:15
FanDuel7.10I 14.08%NM 13.52%EV +10.62%E +1.50%K +1.74%G +0.185%1.11I 90.09%NM 86.48%EV -6.29%E -5.67%K -57.22%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-12 22:05
SportsBet7.00I 14.29%NM 13.69%EV +9.07%E +1.30%K +1.51%G +0.137%1.11I 90.09%NM 86.31%EV -6.29%E -5.67%K -57.22%G +0.000%4.4%2026-04-12 22:04
Unibet (SE)7.00I 14.29%NM 13.69%EV +9.07%E +1.30%K +1.51%G +0.137%1.11I 90.09%NM 86.31%EV -6.29%E -5.67%K -57.22%G +0.000%4.4%2026-04-12 21:35
Unibet (NL)7.00I 14.29%NM 13.69%EV +9.07%E +1.30%K +1.51%G +0.137%1.11I 90.09%NM 86.31%EV -6.29%E -5.67%K -57.22%G +0.000%4.4%2026-04-12 21:34
ATG (SE)7.00I 14.29%NM 13.69%EV +9.07%E +1.30%K +1.51%G +0.137%1.11I 90.09%NM 86.31%EV -6.29%E -5.67%K -57.22%G +0.000%4.4%2026-04-12 21:35
Svenska Spel7.00I 14.29%NM 13.69%EV +9.07%E +1.30%K +1.51%G +0.137%1.11I 90.09%NM 86.31%EV -6.29%E -5.67%K -57.22%G +0.000%4.4%2026-04-12 21:35
Caesars7.00I 14.29%NM 13.69%EV +9.07%E +1.30%K +1.51%G +0.137%1.11I 90.09%NM 86.31%EV -6.29%E -5.67%K -57.22%G +0.000%4.4%2026-04-12 21:39
Dabble (AU)7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV +9.07%E +1.30%K +1.51%G +0.137%1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -7.14%E -6.49%K -71.39%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-12 22:04
Pinnacle6.81I 14.68%NM 14.23%EV +6.11%E +0.897%K +1.05%G +0.064%1.13I 88.50%NM 85.77%EV -4.61%E -4.08%K -35.43%G +0.000%3.2%2026-04-12 22:05
Everygame6.75I 14.81%NM 14.23%EV +5.17%E +0.766%K +0.899%G +0.046%1.12I 89.29%NM 85.77%EV -5.45%E -4.87%K -45.42%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-12 22:04
BetAnything6.75I 14.81%NM 14.23%EV +5.17%E +0.766%K +0.899%G +0.046%1.12I 89.29%NM 85.77%EV -5.45%E -4.87%K -45.42%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-12 22:04
TABtouch6.75I 14.81%NM 14.12%EV +5.17%E +0.766%K +0.899%G +0.046%1.11I 90.09%NM 85.88%EV -6.29%E -5.67%K -57.22%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-12 21:35
Unibet6.75I 14.81%NM 14.12%EV +5.17%E +0.766%K +0.899%G +0.046%1.11I 90.09%NM 85.88%EV -6.29%E -5.67%K -57.22%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-12 21:35
betPARX6.75I 14.81%NM 14.12%EV +5.17%E +0.766%K +0.899%G +0.046%1.11I 90.09%NM 85.88%EV -6.29%E -5.67%K -57.22%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-12 21:35
Bally Bet6.75I 14.81%NM 14.12%EV +5.17%E +0.766%K +0.899%G +0.046%1.11I 90.09%NM 85.88%EV -6.29%E -5.67%K -57.22%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-12 21:35
BetMGM6.75I 14.81%NM 14.12%EV +5.17%E +0.766%K +0.899%G +0.046%1.11I 90.09%NM 85.88%EV -6.29%E -5.67%K -57.22%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-12 22:04
Fliff6.60I 15.15%NM 14.51%EV +2.83%E +0.429%K +0.506%G +0.014%1.12I 89.29%NM 85.49%EV -5.45%E -4.87%K -45.42%G +0.000%4.4%2026-04-12 21:45
Marathon Bet6.55I 15.27%NM 14.60%EV +2.05%E +0.314%K +0.370%G +0.008%1.12I 89.29%NM 85.40%EV -5.45%E -4.87%K -45.42%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-12 21:14
TAB6.50I 15.38%NM 14.81%EV +1.28%E +0.196%K +0.232%G +0.003%1.13I 88.50%NM 85.19%EV -4.61%E -4.08%K -35.43%G +0.000%3.9%2026-04-12 22:04
PointsBet (AU)6.50I 15.38%NM 14.81%EV +1.28%E +0.196%K +0.232%G +0.003%1.13I 88.50%NM 85.19%EV -4.61%E -4.08%K -35.43%G +0.000%3.9%2026-04-12 22:05
Hard Rock Bet6.50I 15.38%NM 14.70%EV +1.28%E +0.196%K +0.232%G +0.003%1.12I 89.29%NM 85.30%EV -5.45%E -4.87%K -45.42%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-12 22:05
Betr (AU)6.50I 15.38%NM 14.70%EV +1.28%E +0.196%K +0.232%G +0.003%1.12I 89.29%NM 85.30%EV -5.45%E -4.87%K -45.42%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-12 21:15
BetRivers6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV +1.28%E +0.196%K +0.232%G +0.003%1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -6.29%E -5.67%K -57.22%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-12 19:19
Virgin Bet6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV +1.28%E +0.196%K +0.232%G +0.003%1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -6.29%E -5.67%K -57.22%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-12 19:20
LiveScore Bet6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV +1.28%E +0.196%K +0.232%G +0.003%1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -6.29%E -5.67%K -57.22%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-12 19:20
theScore Bet6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV +1.28%E +0.196%K +0.232%G +0.003%1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -6.29%E -5.67%K -57.22%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-12 22:05
Paddy Power6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV +1.28%E +0.196%K +0.232%G +0.003%1.10I 90.91%NM 85.53%EV -7.14%E -6.49%K -71.39%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-12 20:20
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV +1.28%E +0.196%K +0.232%G +0.003%1.10I 90.91%NM 85.53%EV -7.14%E -6.49%K -71.39%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-12 20:19
LeoVegas (SE)6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV +1.28%E +0.196%K +0.232%G +0.003%1.10I 90.91%NM 85.53%EV -7.14%E -6.49%K -71.39%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-12 21:35
Ladbrokes (UK)6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV +1.28%E +0.196%K +0.232%G +0.003%1.10I 90.91%NM 85.53%EV -7.14%E -6.49%K -71.39%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-12 22:04
Coral6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV +1.28%E +0.196%K +0.232%G +0.003%1.10I 90.91%NM 85.53%EV -7.14%E -6.49%K -71.39%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-12 22:05
LowVig.ag6.47I 15.46%NM 14.98%EV +0.808%E +0.125%K +0.148%G +0.001%1.14I 87.72%NM 85.02%EV -3.76%E -3.30%K -26.87%G +0.000%3.2%2026-04-12 22:05
PMU (FR)6.40I 15.63%NM 14.55%EV -0.283%E -0.044%K -0.052%G +0.000%1.09I 91.74%NM 85.45%EV -7.98%E -7.32%K -88.70%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-12 21:35
BetOnline.ag6.34I 15.77%NM 15.13%EV -1.22%E -0.192%K -0.228%G +0.000%1.13I 88.50%NM 84.87%EV -4.61%E -4.08%K -35.43%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-12 22:05
GTbets6.30I 15.87%NM 15.21%EV -1.84%E -0.292%K -0.347%G +0.000%1.13I 88.50%NM 84.79%EV -4.61%E -4.08%K -35.43%G +0.000%4.4%2026-04-12 22:05
BetUS6.30I 15.87%NM 15.21%EV -1.84%E -0.292%K -0.347%G +0.000%1.13I 88.50%NM 84.79%EV -4.61%E -4.08%K -35.43%G +0.000%4.4%2026-04-12 22:05
DraftKings6.25I 16.00%NM 15.31%EV -2.62%E -0.419%K -0.499%G +0.000%1.13I 88.50%NM 84.69%EV -4.61%E -4.08%K -35.43%G +0.000%4.5%2026-04-12 12:25
Bovada6.25I 16.00%NM 15.20%EV -2.62%E -0.419%K -0.499%G +0.000%1.12I 89.29%NM 84.80%EV -5.45%E -4.87%K -45.42%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-12 22:05
NetBet (FR)6.20I 16.13%NM 15.07%EV -3.40%E -0.548%K -0.654%G +0.000%1.10I 90.91%NM 84.93%EV -7.14%E -6.49%K -71.39%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-12 21:55
Unibet (FR)6.10I 16.39%NM 15.75%EV -4.96%E -0.813%K -0.972%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 84.25%EV -3.76%E -3.30%K -26.87%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-12 21:45
Coolbet6.10I 16.39%NM 15.75%EV -4.96%E -0.813%K -0.972%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 84.25%EV -3.76%E -3.30%K -26.87%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-12 12:20
ReBet6.10I 16.39%NM 15.75%EV -4.96%E -0.813%K -0.972%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 84.25%EV -3.76%E -3.30%K -26.87%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-12 21:45
LeoVegas6.10I 16.39%NM 14.92%EV -4.96%E -0.813%K -0.972%G +0.000%1.07I 93.46%NM 85.08%EV -9.67%E -9.04%K -138.16%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-12 21:34
Bet Victor6.00I 16.67%NM 16.20%EV -6.52%E -1.09%K -1.30%G +0.000%1.16I 86.21%NM 83.80%EV -2.07%E -1.79%K -12.96%G +0.000%2.9%2026-04-12 21:53
Sky Bet6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -6.52%E -1.09%K -1.30%G +0.000%1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -4.61%E -4.08%K -35.43%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-12 19:20
Ladbrokes (AU)6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -6.52%E -1.09%K -1.30%G +0.000%1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -4.61%E -4.08%K -35.43%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-12 22:00
Neds6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -6.52%E -1.09%K -1.30%G +0.000%1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -4.61%E -4.08%K -35.43%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-12 21:59
Bet Right6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -6.52%E -1.09%K -1.30%G +0.000%1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -4.61%E -4.08%K -35.43%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-12 20:30
Fanatics6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -6.52%E -1.09%K -1.30%G +0.000%1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -4.61%E -4.08%K -35.43%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-12 14:04
888sport6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -6.52%E -1.09%K -1.30%G +0.000%1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -5.45%E -4.87%K -45.42%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-12 11:50
888sport (SE)6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -6.52%E -1.09%K -1.30%G +0.000%1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -5.45%E -4.87%K -45.42%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-12 11:54
Mr Green (SE)6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -6.52%E -1.09%K -1.30%G +0.000%1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -5.45%E -4.87%K -45.42%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-12 11:54
William Hill6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -6.52%E -1.09%K -1.30%G +0.000%1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -5.45%E -4.87%K -45.42%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-12 12:39
Winamax (DE)5.90I 16.95%NM 16.31%EV -8.07%E -1.37%K -1.65%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 83.69%EV -2.92%E -2.54%K -19.45%G +0.000%3.9%2026-04-12 21:59
MyBookie.ag5.86I 17.06%NM 16.29%EV -8.70%E -1.48%K -1.79%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 83.71%EV -3.76%E -3.30%K -26.87%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-12 21:44
Unibet (UK)5.80I 17.24%NM 16.55%EV -9.63%E -1.66%K -2.01%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 83.45%EV -2.92%E -2.54%K -19.45%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-12 22:04
Codere (IT)5.80I 17.24%NM 16.43%EV -9.63%E -1.66%K -2.01%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 83.57%EV -3.76%E -3.30%K -26.87%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-12 21:45
PlayUp5.75I 17.39%NM 16.67%EV -10.41%E -1.81%K -2.19%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 83.33%EV -2.92%E -2.54%K -19.45%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-12 21:55
NordicBet5.75I 17.39%NM 16.55%EV -10.41%E -1.81%K -2.19%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 83.45%EV -3.76%E -3.30%K -26.87%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-12 22:05
Betsson5.75I 17.39%NM 16.55%EV -10.41%E -1.81%K -2.19%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 83.45%EV -3.76%E -3.30%K -26.87%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-12 22:05
Betway5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -14.31%E -2.60%K -3.18%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -3.76%E -3.30%K -26.87%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-12 21:59
BoyleSports5.50I 18.18%NM 16.92%EV -14.31%E -2.60%K -3.18%G +0.000%1.12I 89.29%NM 83.08%EV -5.45%E -4.87%K -45.42%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-12 21:40
Winamax (FR)5.40I 18.52%NM 17.43%EV -15.86%E -2.94%K -3.61%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 82.57%EV -3.76%E -3.30%K -26.87%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-12 22:05
Tipico (DE)5.20I 19.23%NM 18.11%EV -18.98%E -3.65%K -4.52%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 81.89%EV -2.92%E -2.54%K -19.45%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-12 21:59
Betclic (FR)5.00I 20.00%NM 18.43%EV -22.10%E -4.42%K -5.52%G +0.000%1.13I 88.50%NM 81.57%EV -4.61%E -4.08%K -35.43%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-12 22:04
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (10)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
BetOpenly7.18I 13.93%NM 13.91%1.16I 86.21%NM 86.09%0.1%2026-04-12 21:59
ProphetX7.00I 14.29%NM 14.22%1.16I 86.21%NM 85.78%0.5%2026-04-12 22:05
Matchbook6.60I 15.15%NM 15.06%1.17I 85.47%NM 84.94%0.6%2026-04-12 18:15
Betfair Exchange (EU)6.80I 14.71%NM 14.57%1.16I 86.21%NM 85.43%0.9%2026-04-12 22:05
Betfair Exchange (UK)6.80I 14.71%NM 14.57%1.16I 86.21%NM 85.43%0.9%2026-04-12 22:05
Betfair Exchange (AU)6.80I 14.71%NM 14.57%1.16I 86.21%NM 85.43%0.9%2026-04-12 22:05
Novig6.80I 14.71%NM 14.57%1.16I 86.21%NM 85.43%0.9%2026-04-12 21:55
Kalshi6.67I 14.99%NM 14.81%1.16I 86.21%NM 85.19%1.2%2026-04-12 21:40
Polymarket6.67I 14.99%NM 14.81%1.16I 86.21%NM 85.19%1.2%2026-04-12 22:04
Smarkets6.60I 15.15%NM 14.84%1.15I 86.96%NM 85.16%2.1%2026-04-12 22:05