Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Boston Celtics v Charlotte Hornets

Kickoff: 2026-03-05 00:41 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

61 sportsbooks (22 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Boston Celtics (Local)

Prediction 68.45%1.46fair odd
EV -2.11%
Edge -1.48%
Kelly -4.91%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.43

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
67.29%68.47%68.54%70.18%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.351.391.401.4374.07%71.87%71.43%69.93%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Charlotte Hornets (Visit)

Prediction 31.55%3.17fair odd
EV +0.948%
Edge +0.296%
Kelly +0.431%
Growth +0.004%

assuming max odds 3.20

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
29.82%31.53%31.46%32.71%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.823.023.023.2035.46%33.10%33.11%31.25%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Boston Celtics (Local): 68.45%; Charlotte Hornets (Visit): 31.55%. For Charlotte Hornets (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.17. 3 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.20, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.948%.

Sportsbook Odds (61 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
Bovada🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 70.02%EV -6.22%E -4.54%K -16.81%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.98%EV +0.948%E +0.296%K +0.431%G +0.004%4.2%2026-03-05 00:31
Fliff🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -6.90%E -5.08%K -19.17%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV +0.948%E +0.296%K +0.431%G +0.004%4.8%2026-03-05 00:40
Marathon Bet🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 69.89%EV -6.22%E -4.54%K -16.81%G +0.000%3.18I 31.45%NM 30.11%EV +0.317%E +0.100%K +0.146%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-05 00:29
Pinnacle🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 68.87%EV -3.48%E -2.47%K -8.49%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 31.13%EV -1.58%E -0.505%K -0.743%G +0.000%3.0%2026-03-05 00:39
Bet Victor🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 68.58%EV -2.80%E -1.97%K -6.66%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.42%EV -2.21%E -0.712%K -1.05%G +0.000%2.7%2026-03-05 00:39
Winamax (DE)🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 68.74%EV -3.48%E -2.47%K -8.49%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.26%EV -2.21%E -0.712%K -1.05%G +0.000%3.2%2026-03-05 00:40
LowVig.ag🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 68.89%EV -4.16%E -2.97%K -10.41%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.11%EV -2.21%E -0.712%K -1.05%G +0.000%3.7%2026-03-05 00:40
BetUS🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 68.89%EV -4.16%E -2.97%K -10.41%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.11%EV -2.21%E -0.712%K -1.05%G +0.000%3.7%2026-03-05 00:39
BetAnything🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 68.89%EV -4.16%E -2.97%K -10.41%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.11%EV -2.21%E -0.712%K -1.05%G +0.000%3.7%2026-03-05 00:40
Everygame🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 68.89%EV -4.16%E -2.97%K -10.41%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.11%EV -2.21%E -0.712%K -1.05%G +0.000%3.7%2026-03-05 00:38
SportsBet🎯1.39I 71.94%NM 69.04%EV -4.85%E -3.49%K -12.43%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.96%EV -2.21%E -0.712%K -1.05%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-05 00:40
Dabble (AU)🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -5.53%E -4.01%K -14.56%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -2.21%E -0.712%K -1.05%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-05 00:40
William Hill🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -6.90%E -5.08%K -19.17%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -2.21%E -0.712%K -1.05%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-05 00:39
Tipico (DE)🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 69.66%EV -7.59%E -5.62%K -21.68%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.34%EV -2.21%E -0.712%K -1.05%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-05 00:40
BetOnline.ag🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 68.68%EV -4.16%E -2.97%K -10.41%G +0.000%3.07I 32.57%NM 31.32%EV -3.15%E -1.03%K -1.52%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-05 00:40
FanDuel🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 68.54%EV -4.16%E -2.97%K -10.41%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.46%EV -3.78%E -1.24%K -1.85%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-05 00:40
Unibet (UK)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 68.54%EV -4.16%E -2.97%K -10.41%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.46%EV -3.78%E -1.24%K -1.85%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-05 00:40
Parions Sport (FR)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 68.54%EV -4.16%E -2.97%K -10.41%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.46%EV -3.78%E -1.24%K -1.85%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-05 00:29
Coolbet🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 68.54%EV -4.16%E -2.97%K -10.41%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.46%EV -3.78%E -1.24%K -1.85%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-05 00:39
DraftKings🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 68.54%EV -4.16%E -2.97%K -10.41%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.46%EV -3.78%E -1.24%K -1.85%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-05 00:40
Caesars🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 68.54%EV -4.16%E -2.97%K -10.41%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.46%EV -3.78%E -1.24%K -1.85%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-05 00:40
Unibet (NL)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 68.54%EV -4.16%E -2.97%K -10.41%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.46%EV -3.78%E -1.24%K -1.85%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-05 00:40
Unibet (SE)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 68.54%EV -4.16%E -2.97%K -10.41%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.46%EV -3.78%E -1.24%K -1.85%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-05 00:40
ATG (SE)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 68.54%EV -4.16%E -2.97%K -10.41%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.46%EV -3.78%E -1.24%K -1.85%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-05 00:40
Svenska Spel🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 68.54%EV -4.16%E -2.97%K -10.41%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.46%EV -3.78%E -1.24%K -1.85%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-05 00:40
GTbets🎯1.39I 71.94%NM 68.69%EV -4.85%E -3.49%K -12.43%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.31%EV -3.78%E -1.24%K -1.85%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-05 00:39
Bet Right🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -5.53%E -4.01%K -14.56%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -3.78%E -1.24%K -1.85%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-05 00:40
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -5.53%E -4.01%K -14.56%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -3.78%E -1.24%K -1.85%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-05 00:40
Neds🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -5.53%E -4.01%K -14.56%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -3.78%E -1.24%K -1.85%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-05 00:40
Betr (AU)🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -5.53%E -4.01%K -14.56%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -3.78%E -1.24%K -1.85%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-05 00:40
MyBookie.ag🎯1.39I 71.94%NM 68.48%EV -4.85%E -3.49%K -12.43%G +0.000%3.02I 33.11%NM 31.52%EV -4.73%E -1.57%K -2.34%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-05 00:30
TAB🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 68.03%EV -3.48%E -2.47%K -8.49%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.97%EV -5.36%E -1.79%K -2.68%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-05 00:40
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -4.16%E -2.97%K -10.41%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -5.36%E -1.79%K -2.68%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-05 00:40
PlayUp🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -4.16%E -2.97%K -10.41%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -5.36%E -1.79%K -2.68%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-05 00:40
BetMGM🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -4.16%E -2.97%K -10.41%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -5.36%E -1.79%K -2.68%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-05 00:40
Fanatics🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -4.16%E -2.97%K -10.41%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -5.36%E -1.79%K -2.68%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-05 00:40
BetRivers🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -4.16%E -2.97%K -10.41%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -5.36%E -1.79%K -2.68%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-05 00:40
LiveScore Bet🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -4.16%E -2.97%K -10.41%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -5.36%E -1.79%K -2.68%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-05 00:40
TABtouch🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -4.16%E -2.97%K -10.41%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -5.36%E -1.79%K -2.68%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-05 00:40
Virgin Bet🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -4.16%E -2.97%K -10.41%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -5.36%E -1.79%K -2.68%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-05 00:40
Unibet🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -4.16%E -2.97%K -10.41%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -5.36%E -1.79%K -2.68%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-05 00:40
Bally Bet🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -4.16%E -2.97%K -10.41%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -5.36%E -1.79%K -2.68%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-05 00:40
betPARX🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -4.16%E -2.97%K -10.41%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -5.36%E -1.79%K -2.68%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-05 00:40
Codere (IT)🎯1.39I 71.94%NM 68.34%EV -4.85%E -3.49%K -12.43%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.66%EV -5.36%E -1.79%K -2.68%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-05 00:30
Winamax (FR)🎯1.39I 71.94%NM 68.34%EV -4.85%E -3.49%K -12.43%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.66%EV -5.36%E -1.79%K -2.68%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-05 00:40
BoyleSports🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -6.90%E -5.08%K -19.17%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -5.36%E -1.79%K -2.68%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-05 00:30
Betway🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -6.90%E -5.08%K -19.17%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -5.36%E -1.79%K -2.68%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-05 00:40
theScore Bet🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 67.35%EV -2.11%E -1.48%K -4.91%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.65%EV -6.94%E -2.35%K -3.56%G +0.000%3.8%2026-03-05 00:40
Betsson🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -4.16%E -2.97%K -10.41%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -6.94%E -2.35%K -3.56%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-05 00:40
NordicBet🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -4.16%E -2.97%K -10.41%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -6.94%E -2.35%K -3.56%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-05 00:40
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 68.13%EV -5.53%E -4.01%K -14.56%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.87%EV -6.94%E -2.35%K -3.56%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-05 00:40
Unibet (FR)🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 68.29%EV -6.22%E -4.54%K -16.81%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.71%EV -6.94%E -2.35%K -3.56%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-05 00:36
LeoVegas🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 68.45%EV -6.90%E -5.08%K -19.17%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.55%EV -6.94%E -2.35%K -3.56%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-05 00:40
NetBet (FR)🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 68.45%EV -6.90%E -5.08%K -19.17%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.55%EV -6.94%E -2.35%K -3.56%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-05 00:31
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -4.16%E -2.97%K -10.41%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -8.52%E -2.94%K -4.48%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-05 00:40
Coral🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -4.16%E -2.97%K -10.41%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -8.52%E -2.94%K -4.48%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-05 00:40
Paddy Power🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.29%EV -4.16%E -2.97%K -10.41%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.71%EV -9.15%E -3.18%K -4.87%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-05 00:40
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.29%EV -4.16%E -2.97%K -10.41%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.71%EV -9.15%E -3.18%K -4.87%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-05 00:40
Sky Bet🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.29%EV -4.16%E -2.97%K -10.41%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.71%EV -9.15%E -3.18%K -4.87%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-05 00:40
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 67.38%EV -5.53%E -4.01%K -14.56%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.62%EV -10.09%E -3.54%K -5.46%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-05 00:39
Betclic (FR)🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 67.30%EV -6.22%E -4.54%K -16.81%G +0.000%2.82I 35.46%NM 32.70%EV -11.04%E -3.91%K -6.07%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-05 00:40
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (10)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Kalshi1.45I 68.97%NM 69.02%3.23I 30.96%NM 30.98%-0.1%2026-03-05 00:40
BetOpenly1.43I 69.93%NM 69.89%3.32I 30.12%NM 30.11%0.1%2026-03-05 00:29
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.42I 70.42%NM 69.92%3.30I 30.30%NM 30.08%0.7%2026-03-05 00:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.42I 70.42%NM 69.92%3.30I 30.30%NM 30.08%0.7%2026-03-05 00:40
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.42I 70.42%NM 69.92%3.30I 30.30%NM 30.08%0.7%2026-03-05 00:40
Matchbook1.42I 70.42%NM 69.92%3.30I 30.30%NM 30.08%0.7%2026-03-05 00:40
Polymarket1.43I 69.93%NM 69.31%3.23I 30.96%NM 30.69%0.9%2026-03-05 00:40
Novig1.42I 70.42%NM 69.33%3.21I 31.15%NM 30.67%1.6%2026-03-05 00:40
Smarkets1.41I 70.92%NM 69.74%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.26%1.7%2026-03-05 00:40
ProphetX1.44I 69.44%NM 68.28%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.72%1.7%2026-03-05 00:40