Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Atlanta Hawks v Sacramento Kings

Kickoff: 2026-03-28 23:40 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

57 sportsbooks (18 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Atlanta Hawks (Local)

Prediction 87.22%1.15fair odd
EV -0.570%
Edge -0.500%
Kelly -4.07%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.14

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
83.92%86.93%87.23%89.46%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.051.091.091.1495.24%91.73%91.74%87.72%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Sacramento Kings (Visit)

Prediction 12.78%7.82fair odd
EV +15.03%
Edge +1.67%
Kelly +1.88%
Growth +0.282%

assuming max odds 9.00

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
10.54%13.07%12.77%16.08%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
5.607.457.509.0017.86%13.43%13.33%11.11%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Atlanta Hawks (Local): 87.22%; Sacramento Kings (Visit): 12.78%. For Sacramento Kings (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 7.82. 16 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 9.00, corresponding to a positive expected value of +15.03%.

Sportsbook Odds (57 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
theScore Bet🎯1.06I 94.34%NM 89.46%EV -7.55%E -7.12%K -125.80%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.54%EV +15.03%E +1.67%K +1.88%G +0.282%5.5%2026-03-28 03:00
Pinnacle🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 88.32%EV -4.93%E -4.52%K -54.79%G +0.000%8.24I 12.14%NM 11.68%EV +5.31%E +0.645%K +0.734%G +0.039%3.9%2026-03-28 03:05
FanDuel🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 88.01%EV -4.93%E -4.52%K -54.79%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.99%EV +2.25%E +0.281%K +0.321%G +0.007%4.2%2026-03-28 03:05
SportsBet🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 88.01%EV -4.93%E -4.52%K -54.79%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.99%EV +2.25%E +0.281%K +0.321%G +0.007%4.2%2026-03-28 03:05
Unibet (UK)🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 88.01%EV -4.93%E -4.52%K -54.79%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.99%EV +2.25%E +0.281%K +0.321%G +0.007%4.2%2026-03-28 03:00
Winamax (DE)🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 88.01%EV -4.93%E -4.52%K -54.79%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.99%EV +2.25%E +0.281%K +0.321%G +0.007%4.2%2026-03-28 03:10
BetMGM🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 88.01%EV -4.93%E -4.52%K -54.79%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.99%EV +2.25%E +0.281%K +0.321%G +0.007%4.2%2026-03-28 03:05
Unibet (SE)🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 88.01%EV -4.93%E -4.52%K -54.79%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.99%EV +2.25%E +0.281%K +0.321%G +0.007%4.2%2026-03-28 00:35
Unibet (NL)🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 88.01%EV -4.93%E -4.52%K -54.79%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.99%EV +2.25%E +0.281%K +0.321%G +0.007%4.2%2026-03-28 00:35
ATG (SE)🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 88.01%EV -4.93%E -4.52%K -54.79%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.99%EV +2.25%E +0.281%K +0.321%G +0.007%4.2%2026-03-28 00:35
Svenska Spel🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 88.01%EV -4.93%E -4.52%K -54.79%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.99%EV +2.25%E +0.281%K +0.321%G +0.007%4.2%2026-03-28 00:35
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 88.01%EV -4.93%E -4.52%K -54.79%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.99%EV +2.25%E +0.281%K +0.321%G +0.007%4.2%2026-03-28 02:35
BetAnything🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 88.01%EV -4.93%E -4.52%K -54.79%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.99%EV +2.25%E +0.281%K +0.321%G +0.007%4.2%2026-03-28 02:50
Fliff🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 87.88%EV -4.93%E -4.52%K -54.79%G +0.000%7.90I 12.66%NM 12.12%EV +0.969%E +0.123%K +0.140%G +0.001%4.4%2026-03-28 03:10
MyBookie.ag🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 87.89%EV -5.80%E -5.37%K -72.54%G +0.000%7.84I 12.76%NM 12.11%EV +0.202%E +0.026%K +0.030%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-28 02:55
LowVig.ag🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 87.68%EV -4.06%E -3.69%K -40.59%G +0.000%7.83I 12.77%NM 12.32%EV +0.074%E +0.009%K +0.011%G +0.000%3.7%2026-03-28 03:00
GTbets🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 87.64%EV -4.06%E -3.69%K -40.59%G +0.000%7.80I 12.82%NM 12.36%EV -0.309%E -0.040%K -0.045%G +0.000%3.7%2026-03-28 03:05
DraftKings🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 87.57%EV -4.06%E -3.69%K -40.59%G +0.000%7.75I 12.90%NM 12.43%EV -0.948%E -0.122%K -0.140%G +0.000%3.8%2026-03-28 03:05
Neds🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 87.77%EV -5.80%E -5.37%K -72.54%G +0.000%7.75I 12.90%NM 12.23%EV -0.948%E -0.122%K -0.140%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-28 03:05
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 87.77%EV -5.80%E -5.37%K -72.54%G +0.000%7.75I 12.90%NM 12.23%EV -0.948%E -0.122%K -0.140%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-28 03:05
ReBet🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 87.70%EV -5.80%E -5.37%K -72.54%G +0.000%7.70I 12.99%NM 12.30%EV -1.59%E -0.206%K -0.237%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-28 03:10
BetOnline.ag🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 87.37%EV -4.06%E -3.69%K -40.59%G +0.000%7.61I 13.14%NM 12.63%EV -2.74%E -0.360%K -0.414%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-28 03:05
Coolbet🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 87.21%EV -4.06%E -3.69%K -40.59%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.79%EV -4.14%E -0.552%K -0.637%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-28 02:40
Betr (AU)🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 87.21%EV -4.06%E -3.69%K -40.59%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.79%EV -4.14%E -0.552%K -0.637%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-28 00:40
TAB🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 87.21%EV -4.06%E -3.69%K -40.59%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.79%EV -4.14%E -0.552%K -0.637%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-28 02:35
Caesars🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 87.21%EV -4.06%E -3.69%K -40.59%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.79%EV -4.14%E -0.552%K -0.637%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-28 03:04
Fanatics🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 87.21%EV -4.06%E -3.69%K -40.59%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.79%EV -4.14%E -0.552%K -0.637%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-28 03:10
BetUS🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 87.21%EV -4.06%E -3.69%K -40.59%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.79%EV -4.14%E -0.552%K -0.637%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-28 03:04
BetRivers🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 87.31%EV -4.93%E -4.52%K -54.79%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV -4.14%E -0.552%K -0.637%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-28 00:35
TABtouch🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 87.31%EV -4.93%E -4.52%K -54.79%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV -4.14%E -0.552%K -0.637%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-28 00:35
Virgin Bet🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 87.31%EV -4.93%E -4.52%K -54.79%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV -4.14%E -0.552%K -0.637%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-28 00:35
LiveScore Bet🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 87.31%EV -4.93%E -4.52%K -54.79%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV -4.14%E -0.552%K -0.637%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-28 00:35
Unibet🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 87.31%EV -4.93%E -4.52%K -54.79%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV -4.14%E -0.552%K -0.637%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-28 00:35
Bally Bet🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 87.31%EV -4.93%E -4.52%K -54.79%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV -4.14%E -0.552%K -0.637%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-28 00:35
betPARX🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 87.31%EV -4.93%E -4.52%K -54.79%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV -4.14%E -0.552%K -0.637%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-28 00:35
Bovada🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 87.31%EV -4.93%E -4.52%K -54.79%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV -4.14%E -0.552%K -0.637%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-28 03:10
Paddy Power🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -5.80%E -5.37%K -72.54%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -4.14%E -0.552%K -0.637%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-28 03:05
Coral🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -5.80%E -5.37%K -72.54%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -4.14%E -0.552%K -0.637%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-28 03:05
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -5.80%E -5.37%K -72.54%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -4.14%E -0.552%K -0.637%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-28 03:05
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -5.80%E -5.37%K -72.54%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -4.14%E -0.552%K -0.637%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-28 00:35
Betclic (FR)🎯1.06I 94.34%NM 87.24%EV -7.55%E -7.12%K -125.80%G +0.000%7.25I 13.79%NM 12.76%EV -7.34%E -1.01%K -1.17%G +0.000%8.1%2026-03-28 02:28
Parions Sport (FR)🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 86.80%EV -5.80%E -5.37%K -72.54%G +0.000%7.10I 14.08%NM 13.20%EV -9.26%E -1.30%K -1.52%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-28 02:30
Unibet (FR)🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 86.80%EV -5.80%E -5.37%K -72.54%G +0.000%7.10I 14.08%NM 13.20%EV -9.26%E -1.30%K -1.52%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-28 02:29
Sky Bet🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -4.06%E -3.69%K -40.59%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -10.53%E -1.50%K -1.76%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-28 03:00
William Hill🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -4.06%E -3.69%K -40.59%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -10.53%E -1.50%K -1.76%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-27 23:25
Bet Right🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -4.06%E -3.69%K -40.59%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -10.53%E -1.50%K -1.76%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-28 03:05
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -4.06%E -3.69%K -40.59%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -10.53%E -1.50%K -1.76%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-28 03:00
BoyleSports🎯1.07I 93.46%NM 86.74%EV -6.68%E -6.24%K -95.36%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.26%EV -10.53%E -1.50%K -1.76%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-28 02:30
1xBet🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 85.70%EV -0.570%E -0.500%K -4.07%G +0.000%6.83I 14.64%NM 14.30%EV -12.71%E -1.86%K -2.18%G +0.000%2.4%2026-03-28 03:05
PlayUp🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 85.88%EV -3.19%E -2.87%K -28.97%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 14.12%EV -13.73%E -2.03%K -2.39%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-28 03:00
Bet Victor🎯1.07I 93.46%NM 86.32%EV -6.68%E -6.24%K -95.36%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.68%EV -13.73%E -2.03%K -2.39%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-28 02:30
LeoVegas🎯1.05I 95.24%NM 86.54%EV -8.42%E -8.02%K -168.40%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.46%EV -13.73%E -2.03%K -2.39%G +0.000%10.1%2026-03-28 00:35
Betsson🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 85.30%EV -2.31%E -2.07%K -19.29%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.70%EV -16.92%E -2.60%K -3.08%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-28 03:00
NordicBet🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 85.30%EV -2.31%E -2.07%K -19.29%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.70%EV -16.92%E -2.60%K -3.08%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-28 03:00
Codere (IT)🎯1.06I 94.34%NM 85.40%EV -7.55%E -7.12%K -125.80%G +0.000%6.20I 16.13%NM 14.60%EV -20.76%E -3.35%K -3.99%G +0.000%10.5%2026-03-28 02:30
Marathon Bet🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 83.92%EV -0.570%E -0.500%K -4.07%G +0.000%5.95I 16.81%NM 16.08%EV -23.95%E -4.03%K -4.84%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-28 03:10
Winamax (FR)🎯1.05I 95.24%NM 84.21%EV -8.42%E -8.02%K -168.40%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 15.79%EV -28.43%E -5.08%K -6.18%G +0.000%13.1%2026-03-28 03:10
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (9)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Matchbook1.12I 89.29%NM 88.93%9.00I 11.11%NM 11.07%0.4%2026-03-28 03:00
Novig1.12I 89.29%NM 88.42%8.55I 11.70%NM 11.58%1.0%2026-03-28 03:10
Smarkets1.13I 88.50%NM 87.62%8.00I 12.50%NM 12.38%1.0%2026-03-28 03:05
Polymarket1.11I 90.09%NM 89.12%9.09I 11.00%NM 10.88%1.1%2026-03-28 02:45
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.12I 89.29%NM 88.24%8.40I 11.90%NM 11.76%1.2%2026-03-28 03:05
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.12I 89.29%NM 88.24%8.40I 11.90%NM 11.76%1.2%2026-03-28 03:05
ProphetX1.12I 89.29%NM 87.85%8.10I 12.35%NM 12.15%1.6%2026-03-28 03:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.12I 89.29%NM 87.72%8.00I 12.50%NM 12.28%1.8%2026-03-28 03:05
Kalshi1.11I 90.09%NM 88.24%8.33I 12.00%NM 11.76%2.1%2026-03-28 02:55