Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Atlanta Hawks v Portland Trail Blazers

Kickoff: 2026-03-01 23:10 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

64 sportsbooks (23 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Atlanta Hawks (Local)

Prediction 67.14%1.49fair odd
EV -1.30%
Edge -0.886%
Kelly -2.77%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.47

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
65.70%67.09%67.28%68.89%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.361.421.411.4773.53%70.65%70.92%68.03%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Portland Trail Blazers (Visit)

Prediction 32.86%3.04fair odd
EV +1.86%
Edge +0.600%
Kelly +0.886%
Growth +0.016%

assuming max odds 3.10

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
31.11%32.91%32.72%34.30%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.702.922.903.1037.04%34.23%34.48%32.26%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Atlanta Hawks (Local): 67.14%; Portland Trail Blazers (Visit): 32.86%. For Portland Trail Blazers (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.04. 9 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.10, corresponding to a positive expected value of +1.86%.

Sportsbook Odds (64 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
1xBet🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 68.43%EV -3.99%E -2.79%K -9.27%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.57%EV +1.86%E +0.600%K +0.886%G +0.016%2.2%2026-03-01 21:44
Unibet (SE)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 68.89%EV -6.00%E -4.29%K -15.00%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.11%EV +1.86%E +0.600%K +0.886%G +0.016%3.7%2026-03-01 23:04
Unibet (NL)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 68.89%EV -6.00%E -4.29%K -15.00%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.11%EV +1.86%E +0.600%K +0.886%G +0.016%3.7%2026-03-01 23:04
Svenska Spel🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 68.89%EV -6.00%E -4.29%K -15.00%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.11%EV +1.86%E +0.600%K +0.886%G +0.016%3.7%2026-03-01 23:04
ATG (SE)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 68.89%EV -6.00%E -4.29%K -15.00%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.11%EV +1.86%E +0.600%K +0.886%G +0.016%3.7%2026-03-01 23:04
TABtouch🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 68.54%EV -6.00%E -4.29%K -15.00%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.46%EV +0.218%E +0.072%K +0.107%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-01 23:04
Unibet🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 68.54%EV -6.00%E -4.29%K -15.00%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.46%EV +0.218%E +0.072%K +0.107%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-01 23:04
Bally Bet🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 68.54%EV -6.00%E -4.29%K -15.00%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.46%EV +0.218%E +0.072%K +0.107%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-01 23:04
betPARX🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 68.54%EV -6.00%E -4.29%K -15.00%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.46%EV +0.218%E +0.072%K +0.107%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-01 23:04
Marathon Bet🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 68.47%EV -6.00%E -4.29%K -15.00%G +0.000%3.04I 32.89%NM 31.53%EV -0.110%E -0.036%K -0.054%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-01 21:39
Pinnacle🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 67.57%EV -3.32%E -2.30%K -7.54%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.43%EV -1.42%E -0.475%K -0.712%G +0.000%2.8%2026-03-01 22:54
Virgin Bet🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -6.00%E -4.29%K -15.00%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -1.42%E -0.475%K -0.712%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-01 22:59
BetRivers🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -7.34%E -5.32%K -19.33%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -1.42%E -0.475%K -0.712%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-01 23:04
LiveScore Bet🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -7.34%E -5.32%K -19.33%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -1.42%E -0.475%K -0.712%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-01 23:04
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -7.34%E -5.32%K -19.33%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -1.42%E -0.475%K -0.712%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-01 23:04
Coolbet🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 67.73%EV -4.66%E -3.28%K -11.09%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 32.27%EV -2.08%E -0.699%K -1.05%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-01 22:04
SportsBet🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 67.65%EV -4.66%E -3.28%K -11.09%G +0.000%2.97I 33.67%NM 32.35%EV -2.41%E -0.812%K -1.22%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-01 22:59
Bet Victor🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 67.05%EV -2.64%E -1.82%K -5.88%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.95%EV -3.07%E -1.04%K -1.57%G +0.000%2.9%2026-03-01 22:49
theScore Bet🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 67.35%EV -3.99%E -2.79%K -9.27%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.65%EV -3.07%E -1.04%K -1.57%G +0.000%3.8%2026-03-01 22:40
Bovada🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 67.35%EV -3.99%E -2.79%K -9.27%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.65%EV -3.07%E -1.04%K -1.57%G +0.000%3.8%2026-03-01 22:53
Everygame🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 67.35%EV -3.99%E -2.79%K -9.27%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.65%EV -3.07%E -1.04%K -1.57%G +0.000%3.8%2026-03-01 21:44
Unibet (UK)🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 67.51%EV -4.66%E -3.28%K -11.09%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.49%EV -3.07%E -1.04%K -1.57%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-01 22:04
Fliff🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 67.66%EV -5.33%E -3.78%K -13.00%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.34%EV -3.07%E -1.04%K -1.57%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-01 23:04
Dabble (AU)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -6.00%E -4.29%K -15.00%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -3.07%E -1.04%K -1.57%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-01 22:49
LeoVegas🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 68.45%EV -8.69%E -6.39%K -24.13%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.55%EV -3.07%E -1.04%K -1.57%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-01 23:04
FanDuel🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 67.28%EV -3.99%E -2.79%K -9.27%G +0.000%2.94I 34.01%NM 32.72%EV -3.40%E -1.16%K -1.75%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-01 22:50
MyBookie.ag🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 67.44%EV -5.33%E -3.78%K -13.00%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 32.56%EV -4.05%E -1.39%K -2.11%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-01 22:05
Winamax (DE)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 66.82%EV -3.32%E -2.30%K -7.54%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 33.18%EV -4.71%E -1.62%K -2.48%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-01 22:59
TAB🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 66.82%EV -3.32%E -2.30%K -7.54%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 33.18%EV -4.71%E -1.62%K -2.48%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-01 21:44
DraftKings🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.97%EV -3.99%E -2.79%K -9.27%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 33.03%EV -4.71%E -1.62%K -2.48%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-01 21:54
GTbets🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.97%EV -3.99%E -2.79%K -9.27%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 33.03%EV -4.71%E -1.62%K -2.48%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-01 21:44
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -4.66%E -3.28%K -11.09%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV -4.71%E -1.62%K -2.48%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-01 21:54
Neds🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -4.66%E -3.28%K -11.09%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV -4.71%E -1.62%K -2.48%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-01 21:54
Betr (AU)🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -4.66%E -3.28%K -11.09%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV -4.71%E -1.62%K -2.48%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-01 22:09
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -4.66%E -3.28%K -11.09%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV -4.71%E -1.62%K -2.48%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-01 21:44
Fanatics🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -4.66%E -3.28%K -11.09%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV -4.71%E -1.62%K -2.48%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-01 21:44
Parions Sport (FR)🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -5.33%E -3.78%K -13.00%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -4.71%E -1.62%K -2.48%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-01 22:49
Codere (IT)🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -5.33%E -3.78%K -13.00%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -4.71%E -1.62%K -2.48%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-01 22:04
888sport🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -6.00%E -4.29%K -15.00%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -4.71%E -1.62%K -2.48%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-01 22:04
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -6.00%E -4.29%K -15.00%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -4.71%E -1.62%K -2.48%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-01 22:04
888sport (SE)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -6.00%E -4.29%K -15.00%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -4.71%E -1.62%K -2.48%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-01 22:05
Tipico (DE)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -6.00%E -4.29%K -15.00%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -4.71%E -1.62%K -2.48%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-01 21:14
William Hill🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -6.00%E -4.29%K -15.00%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -4.71%E -1.62%K -2.48%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-01 22:19
BetUS🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 66.59%EV -2.64%E -1.82%K -5.88%G +0.000%2.89I 34.60%NM 33.41%EV -5.04%E -1.74%K -2.67%G +0.000%3.6%2026-03-01 23:04
Sky Bet🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.29%EV -6.00%E -4.29%K -15.00%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.71%EV -5.37%E -1.86%K -2.86%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-01 22:59
Paddy Power🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.29%EV -6.00%E -4.29%K -15.00%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.71%EV -5.37%E -1.86%K -2.86%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-01 21:39
BoyleSports🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.29%EV -6.00%E -4.29%K -15.00%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.71%EV -5.37%E -1.86%K -2.86%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-01 22:04
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.29%EV -6.00%E -4.29%K -15.00%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.71%EV -5.37%E -1.86%K -2.86%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-01 21:39
Coral🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.21%EV -6.00%E -4.29%K -15.00%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 32.79%EV -5.70%E -1.98%K -3.05%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-01 22:59
LowVig.ag🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 65.97%EV -1.30%E -0.886%K -2.77%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 34.03%EV -6.35%E -2.23%K -3.43%G +0.000%3.1%2026-03-01 23:04
Caesars🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -3.32%E -2.30%K -7.54%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV -6.35%E -2.23%K -3.43%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-01 21:54
BetMGM🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -3.32%E -2.30%K -7.54%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV -6.35%E -2.23%K -3.43%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-01 23:04
BetAnything🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -3.32%E -2.30%K -7.54%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV -6.35%E -2.23%K -3.43%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-01 22:49
Betway🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -3.99%E -2.79%K -9.27%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -6.35%E -2.23%K -3.43%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-01 22:59
NetBet (FR)🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 67.38%EV -7.34%E -5.32%K -19.33%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.62%EV -6.35%E -2.23%K -3.43%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-01 22:49
BetOnline.ag🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 65.81%EV -1.30%E -0.886%K -2.77%G +0.000%2.83I 35.34%NM 34.19%EV -7.01%E -2.48%K -3.83%G +0.000%3.4%2026-03-01 23:04
Bet Right🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -3.32%E -2.30%K -7.54%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -8.00%E -2.86%K -4.44%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-01 22:49
NordicBet🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -3.32%E -2.30%K -7.54%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -8.00%E -2.86%K -4.44%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-01 23:04
Betsson🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -3.32%E -2.30%K -7.54%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -8.00%E -2.86%K -4.44%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-01 23:04
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -3.32%E -2.30%K -7.54%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -8.00%E -2.86%K -4.44%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-01 23:04
Winamax (FR)🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 66.51%EV -5.33%E -3.78%K -13.00%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.49%EV -8.00%E -2.86%K -4.44%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-01 23:04
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -6.00%E -4.29%K -15.00%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -8.00%E -2.86%K -4.44%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-01 23:04
Unibet (FR)🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 65.70%EV -4.66%E -3.28%K -11.09%G +0.000%2.72I 36.76%NM 34.30%EV -10.62%E -3.91%K -6.18%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-01 22:49
Betclic (FR)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 65.85%EV -6.00%E -4.29%K -15.00%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.15%EV -11.28%E -4.18%K -6.64%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-01 23:04
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (10)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
BetOpenly1.47I 68.03%NM 68.11%3.14I 31.85%NM 31.89%-0.1%2026-03-01 22:59
Matchbook1.49I 67.11%NM 66.82%3.00I 33.33%NM 33.18%0.4%2026-03-01 23:04
ProphetX1.49I 67.11%NM 66.82%3.00I 33.33%NM 33.18%0.4%2026-03-01 23:04
Novig1.49I 67.11%NM 66.67%2.98I 33.56%NM 33.33%0.7%2026-03-01 23:04
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.47I 68.03%NM 67.48%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.52%0.8%2026-03-01 23:04
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.48I 67.57%NM 66.96%3.00I 33.33%NM 33.04%0.9%2026-03-01 23:04
Kalshi1.47I 68.03%NM 67.33%3.03I 33.00%NM 32.67%1.0%2026-03-01 22:45
Polymarket1.47I 68.03%NM 67.33%3.03I 33.00%NM 32.67%1.0%2026-03-01 22:54
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.47I 68.03%NM 67.11%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.89%1.4%2026-03-01 22:59
Smarkets1.45I 68.97%NM 67.42%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.58%2.3%2026-03-01 23:04