Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Atlanta Hawks v Cleveland Cavaliers

Kickoff: 2026-04-10 23:11 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

64 sportsbooks (23 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Atlanta Hawks (Local)

Prediction 74.73%1.34fair odd
EV -2.86%
Edge -2.20%
Kelly -9.52%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.30

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
72.34%74.63%74.66%77.21%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.231.281.281.3081.30%78.15%78.13%76.92%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Cleveland Cavaliers (Visit)

Prediction 25.27%3.96fair odd
EV +6.15%
Edge +1.47%
Kelly +1.92%
Growth +0.118%

assuming max odds 4.20

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
22.79%25.37%25.34%27.66%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.403.733.754.2029.41%26.83%26.67%23.81%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Atlanta Hawks (Local): 74.73%; Cleveland Cavaliers (Visit): 25.27%. For Cleveland Cavaliers (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.96. 2 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 4.20, corresponding to a positive expected value of +6.15%.

Sportsbook Odds (64 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
Caesars🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 77.21%EV -7.34%E -5.92%K -30.59%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.79%EV +6.15%E +1.47%K +1.92%G +0.118%4.5%2026-04-10 23:10
Fliff🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 76.42%EV -6.59%E -5.27%K -26.37%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 23.58%EV +2.36%E +0.583%K +0.775%G +0.018%4.7%2026-04-10 23:10
Bet Victor🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 75.00%EV -2.86%E -2.20%K -9.52%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.00%EV -1.43%E -0.366%K -0.493%G +0.000%2.6%2026-04-10 23:09
Winamax (DE)🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 75.29%EV -4.35%E -3.40%K -15.54%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.71%EV -1.43%E -0.366%K -0.493%G +0.000%3.8%2026-04-10 23:10
Unibet (UK)🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 75.29%EV -4.35%E -3.40%K -15.54%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.71%EV -1.43%E -0.366%K -0.493%G +0.000%3.8%2026-04-10 23:08
LowVig.ag🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 75.24%EV -4.35%E -3.40%K -15.54%G +0.000%3.89I 25.71%NM 24.76%EV -1.68%E -0.432%K -0.582%G +0.000%3.8%2026-04-10 23:10
Pinnacle🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 74.76%EV -2.86%E -2.20%K -9.52%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.24%EV -2.69%E -0.699%K -0.945%G +0.000%2.9%2026-04-10 23:09
SportsBet🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 75.05%EV -4.35%E -3.40%K -15.54%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.95%EV -2.69%E -0.699%K -0.945%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-10 23:10
BetOnline.ag🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 75.05%EV -4.35%E -3.40%K -15.54%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.95%EV -2.69%E -0.699%K -0.945%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-10 23:10
BetUS🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 75.05%EV -4.35%E -3.40%K -15.54%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.95%EV -2.69%E -0.699%K -0.945%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-10 23:10
MyBookie.ag🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 75.05%EV -5.10%E -4.01%K -18.89%G +0.000%3.82I 26.18%NM 24.95%EV -3.45%E -0.903%K -1.22%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-10 23:03
FanDuel🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 74.66%EV -3.60%E -2.79%K -12.43%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.34%EV -3.96%E -1.04%K -1.41%G +0.000%3.8%2026-04-10 23:10
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 74.66%EV -3.60%E -2.79%K -12.43%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.34%EV -3.96%E -1.04%K -1.41%G +0.000%3.8%2026-04-10 23:10
Coolbet🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 74.66%EV -3.60%E -2.79%K -12.43%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.34%EV -3.96%E -1.04%K -1.41%G +0.000%3.8%2026-04-10 23:09
Fanatics🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 74.66%EV -3.60%E -2.79%K -12.43%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.34%EV -3.96%E -1.04%K -1.41%G +0.000%3.8%2026-04-10 23:10
GTbets🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 74.66%EV -3.60%E -2.79%K -12.43%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.34%EV -3.96%E -1.04%K -1.41%G +0.000%3.8%2026-04-10 23:09
BetMGM🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 74.66%EV -3.60%E -2.79%K -12.43%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.34%EV -3.96%E -1.04%K -1.41%G +0.000%3.8%2026-04-10 23:10
BetAnything🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 74.66%EV -3.60%E -2.79%K -12.43%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.34%EV -3.96%E -1.04%K -1.41%G +0.000%3.8%2026-04-10 23:10
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 74.80%EV -4.35%E -3.40%K -15.54%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.20%EV -3.96%E -1.04%K -1.41%G +0.000%4.4%2026-04-10 23:09
Unibet (FR)🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 74.80%EV -4.35%E -3.40%K -15.54%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.20%EV -3.96%E -1.04%K -1.41%G +0.000%4.4%2026-04-10 22:59
Bovada🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 74.80%EV -4.35%E -3.40%K -15.54%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.20%EV -3.96%E -1.04%K -1.41%G +0.000%4.4%2026-04-10 23:07
theScore Bet🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 74.80%EV -4.35%E -3.40%K -15.54%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.20%EV -3.96%E -1.04%K -1.41%G +0.000%4.4%2026-04-10 23:10
Neds🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 75.10%EV -5.85%E -4.64%K -22.49%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.90%EV -3.96%E -1.04%K -1.41%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-10 23:09
Tipico (DE)🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -6.59%E -5.27%K -26.37%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -3.96%E -1.04%K -1.41%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-10 23:09
Betr (AU)🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 74.40%EV -3.60%E -2.79%K -12.43%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.60%EV -5.22%E -1.39%K -1.90%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-10 23:10
Unibet (NL)🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 74.40%EV -3.60%E -2.79%K -12.43%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.60%EV -5.22%E -1.39%K -1.90%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-10 23:10
Unibet (SE)🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 74.40%EV -3.60%E -2.79%K -12.43%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.60%EV -5.22%E -1.39%K -1.90%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-10 23:10
Svenska Spel🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 74.40%EV -3.60%E -2.79%K -12.43%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.60%EV -5.22%E -1.39%K -1.90%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-10 23:10
ATG (SE)🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 74.40%EV -3.60%E -2.79%K -12.43%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.60%EV -5.22%E -1.39%K -1.90%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-10 23:10
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 74.40%EV -3.60%E -2.79%K -12.43%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.60%EV -5.22%E -1.39%K -1.90%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-10 23:10
Codere (IT)🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 74.55%EV -4.35%E -3.40%K -15.54%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.45%EV -5.22%E -1.39%K -1.90%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-10 23:01
PlayUp🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 74.55%EV -4.35%E -3.40%K -15.54%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.45%EV -5.22%E -1.39%K -1.90%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-10 23:10
Dabble (AU)🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 74.85%EV -5.85%E -4.64%K -22.49%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.15%EV -5.22%E -1.39%K -1.90%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-10 23:10
BoyleSports🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -6.59%E -5.27%K -26.37%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -5.22%E -1.39%K -1.90%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-10 23:00
Betway🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -6.59%E -5.27%K -26.37%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -5.22%E -1.39%K -1.90%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-10 23:10
TAB🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 74.00%EV -2.86%E -2.20%K -9.52%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.00%EV -6.48%E -1.75%K -2.40%G +0.000%4.0%2026-04-10 23:10
Everygame🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 74.00%EV -2.86%E -2.20%K -9.52%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.00%EV -6.48%E -1.75%K -2.40%G +0.000%4.0%2026-04-10 23:09
TABtouch🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 74.15%EV -3.60%E -2.79%K -12.43%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.85%EV -6.48%E -1.75%K -2.40%G +0.000%4.5%2026-04-10 23:10
Unibet🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 74.15%EV -3.60%E -2.79%K -12.43%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.85%EV -6.48%E -1.75%K -2.40%G +0.000%4.5%2026-04-10 23:10
Bally Bet🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 74.15%EV -3.60%E -2.79%K -12.43%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.85%EV -6.48%E -1.75%K -2.40%G +0.000%4.5%2026-04-10 23:10
betPARX🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 74.15%EV -3.60%E -2.79%K -12.43%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.85%EV -6.48%E -1.75%K -2.40%G +0.000%4.5%2026-04-10 23:10
NordicBet🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -4.35%E -3.40%K -15.54%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV -6.48%E -1.75%K -2.40%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-10 23:10
Betsson🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -4.35%E -3.40%K -15.54%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV -6.48%E -1.75%K -2.40%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-10 23:10
Winamax (FR)🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 74.60%EV -5.85%E -4.64%K -22.49%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.40%EV -6.48%E -1.75%K -2.40%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-10 23:10
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 74.75%EV -6.59%E -5.27%K -26.37%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV -6.48%E -1.75%K -2.40%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-10 23:10
Coral🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 74.75%EV -6.59%E -5.27%K -26.37%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV -6.48%E -1.75%K -2.40%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-10 23:10
NetBet (FR)🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 74.90%EV -7.34%E -5.92%K -30.59%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.10%EV -6.48%E -1.75%K -2.40%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-10 23:00
BetRivers🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 74.04%EV -4.35%E -3.40%K -15.54%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.96%EV -7.75%E -2.12%K -2.92%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-10 23:10
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 74.04%EV -4.35%E -3.40%K -15.54%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.96%EV -7.75%E -2.12%K -2.92%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-10 23:10
Virgin Bet🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 74.04%EV -4.35%E -3.40%K -15.54%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.96%EV -7.75%E -2.12%K -2.92%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-10 23:10
LiveScore Bet🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 74.04%EV -4.35%E -3.40%K -15.54%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.96%EV -7.75%E -2.12%K -2.92%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-10 23:10
Marathon Bet🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 73.68%EV -2.86%E -2.20%K -9.52%G +0.000%3.64I 27.47%NM 26.32%EV -8.00%E -2.20%K -3.03%G +0.000%4.4%2026-04-10 22:59
Betclic (FR)🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 74.54%EV -7.34%E -5.92%K -30.59%G +0.000%3.63I 27.55%NM 25.46%EV -8.25%E -2.27%K -3.14%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-10 23:09
Bet Right🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -3.60%E -2.79%K -12.43%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -9.01%E -2.50%K -3.47%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-10 23:10
PMU (FR)🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 73.80%EV -5.85%E -4.64%K -22.49%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.20%EV -10.27%E -2.89%K -4.03%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-10 23:10
888sport🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -2.86%E -2.20%K -9.52%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -11.54%E -3.30%K -4.62%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-10 22:59
William Hill🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -2.86%E -2.20%K -9.52%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -11.54%E -3.30%K -4.62%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-10 23:09
888sport (SE)🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -2.86%E -2.20%K -9.52%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -11.54%E -3.30%K -4.62%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-10 22:59
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -2.86%E -2.20%K -9.52%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -11.54%E -3.30%K -4.62%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-10 22:59
Sky Bet🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -3.60%E -2.79%K -12.43%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -11.54%E -3.30%K -4.62%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-10 23:10
Paddy Power🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -3.60%E -2.79%K -12.43%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -11.54%E -3.30%K -4.62%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-10 23:10
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -3.60%E -2.79%K -12.43%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -11.54%E -3.30%K -4.62%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-10 23:10
LeoVegas🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 74.00%EV -8.09%E -6.58%K -35.17%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.00%EV -11.54%E -3.30%K -4.62%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-10 23:10
DraftKings🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -2.86%E -2.20%K -9.52%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -14.07%E -4.14%K -5.86%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-10 23:10
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (10)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Matchbook1.30I 76.92%NM 76.36%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.64%0.7%2026-04-10 23:10
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.30I 76.92%NM 76.36%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.64%0.7%2026-04-10 23:10
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.30I 76.92%NM 76.36%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.64%0.7%2026-04-10 23:10
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.30I 76.92%NM 76.36%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.64%0.7%2026-04-10 23:10
Novig1.30I 76.92%NM 76.36%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.64%0.7%2026-04-10 23:10
Polymarket1.30I 76.92%NM 76.23%4.17I 23.98%NM 23.77%0.9%2026-04-10 23:10
Kalshi1.30I 76.92%NM 76.23%4.17I 23.98%NM 23.77%0.9%2026-04-10 23:10
BetOpenly1.29I 77.52%NM 76.71%4.25I 23.53%NM 23.29%1.0%2026-04-10 22:59
ProphetX1.29I 77.52%NM 76.50%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.50%1.3%2026-04-10 23:10
Smarkets1.29I 77.52%NM 76.07%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.93%1.9%2026-04-10 23:10