Language:English
Žalgiris v Olympiacos
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Žalgiris (Local)
Prediction 44.95%2.22fair odd
EV +1.14%
Edge +0.507%
Kelly +0.912%
Growth +0.010%
assuming max odds 2.25
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
42.31%44.87%44.96%46.67%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.002.102.102.2550.00%47.54%47.62%44.44%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Olympiacos (Visit)
Prediction 55.05%1.82fair odd
EV -2.01%
Edge -1.13%
Kelly -2.58%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.78
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
53.33%55.13%55.04%57.69%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.601.721.711.7862.50%58.27%58.31%56.18%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Žalgiris (Local): 44.95%; Olympiacos (Visit): 55.05%. For Žalgiris (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.22. 2 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.25, corresponding to a positive expected value of +1.14%.
1 bookmaker offers a different number of options for this market (3-way vs the 2-way used in analysis). Analysis results should be taken with caution due to this disparity.
Sportsbook Odds (44 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV +1.14%E +0.507%K +0.912%G +0.010% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -9.17%E -5.56%K -14.11%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-29 15:34 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.24I 44.64%NM 43.15%EV +0.691%E +0.308%K +0.557%G +0.004% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.85%EV -6.42%E -3.77%K -9.17%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-09-29 16:30 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -1.11%E -0.503%K -0.923%G +0.000% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -6.97%E -4.12%K -10.10%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-09-27 00:27 |
| GTbets🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.08%EV -2.01%E -0.920%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.92%EV -9.17%E -5.56%K -14.11%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-09-26 12:20 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.16I 46.30%NM 44.62%EV -2.91%E -1.34%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.38%EV -4.22%E -2.42%K -5.70%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-09-29 16:55 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.16I 46.30%NM 44.62%EV -2.91%E -1.34%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.38%EV -4.22%E -2.42%K -5.70%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-09-29 16:55 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.87%EV -3.35%E -1.56%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 55.13%EV -3.66%E -2.09%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-09-29 16:55 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -3.35%E -1.56%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -5.87%E -3.43%K -8.26%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-29 15:49 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -3.35%E -1.56%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -6.42%E -3.77%K -9.17%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-29 15:55 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -3.35%E -1.56%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -6.42%E -3.77%K -9.17%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-29 16:05 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -3.35%E -1.56%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -6.42%E -3.77%K -9.17%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-26 17:05 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -3.35%E -1.56%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -6.42%E -3.77%K -9.17%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-26 17:04 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -3.35%E -1.56%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -6.42%E -3.77%K -9.17%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-26 17:05 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -3.35%E -1.56%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -9.17%E -5.56%K -14.11%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-09-29 16:40 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.67%EV -3.35%E -1.56%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.33%EV -11.92%E -7.45%K -19.87%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-09-29 15:35 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.67%EV -3.35%E -1.56%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.33%EV -11.92%E -7.45%K -19.87%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-09-29 15:34 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.67%EV -3.35%E -1.56%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.33%EV -11.92%E -7.45%K -19.87%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-09-29 15:35 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.14I 46.73%NM 44.99%EV -3.80%E -1.78%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 55.01%EV -3.66%E -2.09%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-09-29 15:54 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.14I 46.73%NM 44.85%EV -3.80%E -1.78%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.15%EV -4.22%E -2.42%K -5.70%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-09-29 15:35 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.13I 46.95%NM 44.96%EV -4.25%E -2.00%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.04%EV -4.22%E -2.42%K -5.70%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-09-29 16:39 |
| ReBet🎯 | 2.11I 47.39%NM 45.19%EV -5.15%E -2.44%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.81%EV -4.22%E -2.42%K -5.70%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-09-29 15:55 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -5.60%E -2.67%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -3.66%E -2.09%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-09-29 16:55 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -5.60%E -2.67%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -4.22%E -2.42%K -5.70%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-29 15:39 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.60%E -2.67%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.77%E -2.75%K -6.53%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-29 15:39 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -5.60%E -2.67%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -5.87%E -3.43%K -8.26%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-09-29 15:55 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.59%EV -5.60%E -2.67%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 55.41%EV -6.97%E -4.12%K -10.10%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-09-29 16:49 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -5.60%E -2.67%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -8.07%E -4.83%K -12.04%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-09-29 15:40 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.48%EV -7.85%E -3.83%K -7.48%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 54.52%EV -5.87%E -3.43%K -8.26%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-09-29 15:55 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -7.85%E -3.83%K -7.48%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -6.42%E -3.77%K -9.17%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-09-29 15:39 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.19%EV -7.85%E -3.83%K -7.48%G +0.000% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 54.81%EV -6.97%E -4.12%K -10.10%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-09-29 16:00 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.19%EV -7.85%E -3.83%K -7.48%G +0.000% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 54.81%EV -6.97%E -4.12%K -10.10%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-09-29 15:59 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.04I 49.02%NM 46.60%EV -8.30%E -4.07%K -7.98%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.40%EV -2.01%E -1.13%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-29 15:35 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.04I 49.02%NM 46.60%EV -8.30%E -4.07%K -7.98%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.40%EV -2.01%E -1.13%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-29 15:35 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.04I 49.02%NM 46.60%EV -8.30%E -4.07%K -7.98%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.40%EV -2.01%E -1.13%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-29 15:34 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.04I 49.02%NM 46.60%EV -8.30%E -4.07%K -7.98%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.40%EV -2.01%E -1.13%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-29 15:35 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.04I 49.02%NM 46.60%EV -8.30%E -4.07%K -7.98%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.40%EV -2.01%E -1.13%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-29 15:35 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.04I 49.02%NM 46.60%EV -8.30%E -4.07%K -7.98%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.40%EV -2.01%E -1.13%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-29 15:35 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.04I 49.02%NM 46.46%EV -8.30%E -4.07%K -7.98%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.54%EV -2.56%E -1.45%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-29 15:35 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.04I 49.02%NM 45.74%EV -8.30%E -4.07%K -7.98%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.26%EV -5.32%E -3.09%K -7.38%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-09-29 15:55 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.03I 49.26%NM 45.58%EV -8.75%E -4.31%K -8.49%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.42%EV -6.42%E -3.77%K -9.17%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-09-29 16:55 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.56%EV -9.20%E -4.55%K -9.02%G +0.000% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 53.44%EV -3.11%E -1.77%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-09-29 15:35 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.56%EV -9.20%E -4.55%K -9.02%G +0.000% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 53.44%EV -3.11%E -1.77%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-09-29 15:35 |
| TAB🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -10.10%E -5.05%K -10.10%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -3.66%E -2.09%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-09-29 15:38 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.52%EV -10.10%E -5.05%K -10.10%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 53.48%EV -4.22%E -2.42%K -5.70%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-09-29 15:35 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (5)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.14I 46.73%NM 46.23% | 1.84I 54.35%NM 53.77% | 1.1% | 2026-09-29 16:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.02I 49.50%NM 45.70% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.30% | 8.3% | 2026-09-29 16:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.02I 49.50%NM 45.70% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.30% | 8.3% | 2026-09-29 16:55 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.04I 49.02%NM 45.01% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 54.99% | 8.9% | 2026-09-29 16:50 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.98I 50.51%NM 45.60% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 54.40% | 10.7% | 2026-09-29 16:50 |
Other bookmakers — not included in analysis (1)
These bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market and are excluded from the analysis. Their odds are shown for reference only — the settlement rules of their bets may differ and carry additional uncertainty.
| Bookmaker | Option 1 | Option 2 | Option 3 | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.66% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 53.25% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.08% | 12.4% | 2026-09-29 14:50 |