Language:English
Žalgiris v Olympiacos
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Žalgiris (Local)
Prediction 57.80%1.73fair odd
EV -1.74%
Edge -1.03%
Kelly -2.49%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.70
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
55.70%57.77%57.77%59.65%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.561.631.641.7064.10%61.34%60.98%58.82%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Olympiacos (Visit)
Prediction 42.20%2.37fair odd
EV +0.443%
Edge +0.186%
Kelly +0.321%
Growth +0.001%
assuming max odds 2.38
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
40.35%42.23%42.23%44.30%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.102.252.252.3847.62%44.54%44.44%42.02%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Žalgiris (Local): 57.80%; Olympiacos (Visit): 42.20%. For Olympiacos (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.37. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.38, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.443%.
1 bookmaker offers a different number of options for this market (3-way vs the 2-way used in analysis). Analysis results should be taken with caution due to this disparity.
Sportsbook Odds (45 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| William Hill🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.65%EV -6.95%E -4.31%K -11.39%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 40.35%EV +0.443%E +0.186%K +0.321%G +0.001% | 4.1% | 2026-02-25 17:15 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -6.95%E -4.31%K -11.39%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -0.823%E -0.350%K -0.610%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-02-25 17:44 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -7.52%E -4.70%K -12.54%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -0.823%E -0.350%K -0.610%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-02-25 17:55 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 58.79%EV -5.21%E -3.18%K -8.14%G +0.000% | 2.34I 42.74%NM 41.21%EV -1.25%E -0.532%K -0.929%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-02-25 16:55 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -3.48%E -2.08%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -2.93%E -1.28%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-02-25 16:50 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -3.48%E -2.08%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -2.93%E -1.28%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-02-25 16:54 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -4.63%E -2.81%K -7.13%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -2.93%E -1.28%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-02-25 17:50 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -4.63%E -2.81%K -7.13%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -2.93%E -1.28%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-02-25 17:45 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 58.38%EV -5.21%E -3.18%K -8.14%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.62%EV -2.93%E -1.28%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-02-25 17:54 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -6.95%E -4.31%K -11.39%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -2.93%E -1.28%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-02-25 17:50 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -7.52%E -4.70%K -12.54%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -2.93%E -1.28%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-02-25 17:44 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 59.28%EV -8.68%E -5.49%K -14.97%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.72%EV -2.93%E -1.28%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-02-25 17:55 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 58.16%EV -5.21%E -3.18%K -8.14%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.84%EV -3.78%E -1.66%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-02-25 17:00 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 58.16%EV -5.21%E -3.18%K -8.14%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.84%EV -3.78%E -1.66%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-02-25 17:00 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 58.16%EV -5.21%E -3.18%K -8.14%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.84%EV -3.78%E -1.66%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-02-25 17:00 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 58.16%EV -5.21%E -3.18%K -8.14%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.84%EV -3.78%E -1.66%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-02-25 17:00 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 58.16%EV -5.21%E -3.18%K -8.14%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.84%EV -3.78%E -1.66%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-02-25 17:00 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 58.16%EV -5.21%E -3.18%K -8.14%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.84%EV -3.78%E -1.66%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-02-25 17:00 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.76%EV -7.52%E -4.70%K -12.54%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.24%EV -3.78%E -1.66%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-02-25 17:55 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 58.06%EV -5.21%E -3.18%K -8.14%G +0.000% | 2.27I 44.05%NM 41.94%EV -4.20%E -1.85%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-02-25 17:54 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 59.27%EV -9.84%E -6.31%K -17.57%G +0.000% | 2.27I 44.05%NM 40.73%EV -4.20%E -1.85%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-02-25 17:09 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.63%E -2.81%K -7.13%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -5.04%E -2.24%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-02-25 17:55 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -5.21%E -3.18%K -8.14%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -5.04%E -2.24%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-02-25 17:00 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 57.99%EV -5.79%E -3.55%K -9.19%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.01%EV -5.04%E -2.24%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-02-25 17:00 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -9.26%E -5.90%K -16.24%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -5.04%E -2.24%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-02-25 17:00 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -9.26%E -5.90%K -16.24%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -5.04%E -2.24%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-02-25 17:00 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -9.26%E -5.90%K -16.24%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -5.04%E -2.24%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-02-25 17:00 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.29%EV -3.48%E -2.08%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 2.24I 44.64%NM 42.71%EV -5.47%E -2.44%K -4.41%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-02-25 17:55 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.92%EV -6.37%E -3.93%K -10.27%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.08%EV -5.89%E -2.64%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-02-25 17:00 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.40%EV -5.21%E -3.18%K -8.14%G +0.000% | 2.21I 45.25%NM 42.60%EV -6.73%E -3.05%K -5.56%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-02-25 17:55 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -2.90%E -1.73%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -7.15%E -3.25%K -5.96%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-02-25 17:54 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -3.48%E -2.08%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -7.15%E -3.25%K -5.96%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-02-25 17:55 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -3.48%E -2.08%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -7.15%E -3.25%K -5.96%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-02-25 17:55 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -6.37%E -3.93%K -10.27%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -7.15%E -3.25%K -5.96%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-02-25 17:50 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -6.37%E -3.93%K -10.27%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -7.15%E -3.25%K -5.96%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-02-25 17:54 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -6.37%E -3.93%K -10.27%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -7.15%E -3.25%K -5.96%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-02-25 17:50 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.52%EV -6.95%E -4.31%K -11.39%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 42.48%EV -8.00%E -3.67%K -6.78%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-02-25 17:54 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -1.74%E -1.03%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -9.26%E -4.31%K -8.06%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-02-25 17:54 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -1.74%E -1.03%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -9.26%E -4.31%K -8.06%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-02-25 17:55 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 56.73%EV -5.21%E -3.18%K -8.14%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.27%EV -9.26%E -4.31%K -8.06%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-02-25 17:55 |
| Parions Sport (FR)🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 56.88%EV -5.79%E -3.55%K -9.19%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.12%EV -9.26%E -4.31%K -8.06%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-02-25 17:54 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.33%EV -7.52%E -4.70%K -12.54%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.67%EV -9.26%E -4.31%K -8.06%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-02-25 17:54 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.33%EV -7.52%E -4.70%K -12.54%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.67%EV -9.26%E -4.31%K -8.06%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-02-25 17:55 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.33%EV -7.52%E -4.70%K -12.54%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.67%EV -9.26%E -4.31%K -8.06%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-02-25 17:54 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -3.48%E -2.08%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -11.37%E -5.42%K -10.34%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-02-25 17:29 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (2)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Smarkets◎ | 1.67I 59.88%NM 58.77% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 41.23% | 1.9% | 2026-02-25 17:55 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.52% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.48% | 4.8% | 2026-02-25 17:55 |
Other bookmakers — not included in analysis (1)
These bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market and are excluded from the analysis. Their odds are shown for reference only — the settlement rules of their bets may differ and carry additional uncertainty.
| Bookmaker | Option 1 | Option 2 | Option 3 | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 53.61% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.93% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.46% | 11.7% | 2026-02-25 17:54 |