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Žalgiris v Anadolu Efes

2026-10-16 17:00 UTC — Basketball Euroleague

Head to Head

12 sportsbooks (5 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Žalgiris (Local)

Prediction 67.80%1.48fair odd
EV -5.09%
Edge -3.63%
Kelly -12.71%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.40

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
65.62%67.85%67.82%69.03%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.311.381.381.4076.34%72.55%72.46%71.43%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Anadolu Efes (Visit)

Prediction 32.20%3.11fair odd
EV +0.475%
Edge +0.152%
Kelly +0.224%
Growth +0.001%

assuming max odds 3.12

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
30.97%32.15%32.18%34.38%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.502.902.923.1240.00%34.47%34.19%32.05%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Žalgiris (Local): 67.80%; Anadolu Efes (Visit): 32.20%. For Anadolu Efes (Visit), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.11. 1 bookmaker offers odds above that level; the best available odds are 3.12, producing a positive expected value of +0.475%.

Sportsbook Odds (12 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
1xBet🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 69.03%EV -5.09%E -3.63%K -12.71%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 30.97%EV +0.475%E +0.152%K +0.224%G +0.001%3.5%2026-10-10 14:01
FanDuel🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -6.44%E -4.67%K -16.95%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -3.39%E -1.13%K -1.69%G +0.000%5.8%2026-10-10 14:01
SportsBet🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 68.74%EV -7.80%E -5.73%K -21.66%G +0.000%2.99I 33.44%NM 31.26%EV -3.71%E -1.24%K -1.86%G +0.000%7.0%2026-10-10 14:00
Unibet (UK)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -5.09%E -3.63%K -12.71%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -5.00%E -1.69%K -2.56%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-10 14:00
Betsson🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -5.09%E -3.63%K -12.71%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -5.00%E -1.69%K -2.56%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-10 14:00
NordicBet🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -5.09%E -3.63%K -12.71%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -5.00%E -1.69%K -2.56%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-10 14:00
theScore Bet🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 67.76%EV -6.44%E -4.67%K -16.95%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.24%EV -6.61%E -2.28%K -3.48%G +0.000%6.9%2026-10-10 14:00
Paddy Power🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 67.92%EV -7.80%E -5.73%K -21.66%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.08%EV -7.25%E -2.52%K -3.86%G +0.000%8.3%2026-10-10 13:59
ReBet🎯1.39I 71.94%NM 67.37%EV -5.76%E -4.15%K -14.78%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 32.63%EV -7.58%E -2.64%K -4.05%G +0.000%6.8%2026-10-10 14:00
Fanatics🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 67.38%EV -6.44%E -4.67%K -16.95%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.62%EV -8.22%E -2.88%K -4.44%G +0.000%7.6%2026-10-10 14:00
Winamax (DE)🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 67.38%EV -6.44%E -4.67%K -16.95%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.62%EV -8.22%E -2.88%K -4.44%G +0.000%7.6%2026-10-10 14:00
Winamax (FR)🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 65.62%EV -11.19%E -8.54%K -36.09%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 34.38%EV -19.49%E -7.80%K -12.99%G +0.000%16.3%2026-10-10 14:00
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (3)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.10I 90.91%NM 54.17%1.30I 76.92%NM 45.83%67.8%2026-10-10 20:10
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.01I 99.01%NM 50.00%1.01I 99.01%NM 50.00%98.0%2026-10-10 14:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.01I 99.01%NM 50.00%1.01I 99.01%NM 50.00%98.0%2026-10-10 14:01