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Virtus Segafredo Bologna v Saski Baskonia

2026-10-16 18:30 UTC — Basketball Euroleague

Head to Head

12 sportsbooks (5 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Virtus Segafredo Bologna (Local)

Prediction 58.92%1.70fair odd
EV -3.36%
Edge -2.05%
Kelly -5.26%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.64

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
58.07%58.92%58.97%59.43%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.481.591.591.6467.57%63.03%62.89%60.98%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Saski Baskonia (Visit)

Prediction 41.08%2.43fair odd
EV -3.47%
Edge -1.48%
Kelly -2.57%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.35

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
40.57%41.08%41.03%41.93%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.052.272.302.3548.78%44.02%43.48%42.55%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Virtus Segafredo Bologna (Local): 58.92%; Saski Baskonia (Visit): 41.08%. For Virtus Segafredo Bologna (Local), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.70. No eligible bookmaker offers odds above that level: the best available odds are 1.64, with an expected value of -3.36%; they do not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (12 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
1xBet🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 58.90%EV -3.36%E -2.05%K -5.26%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 41.10%EV -3.47%E -1.48%K -2.57%G +0.000%3.5%2026-10-10 14:01
Unibet (UK)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.54%E -2.80%K -7.33%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.53%E -2.40%K -4.25%G +0.000%5.2%2026-10-10 14:00
FanDuel🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.24%EV -5.13%E -3.19%K -8.41%G +0.000%2.34I 42.74%NM 40.76%EV -3.88%E -1.66%K -2.90%G +0.000%4.8%2026-10-10 14:01
NordicBet🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -5.72%E -3.58%K -9.53%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -5.53%E -2.40%K -4.25%G +0.000%6.0%2026-10-10 14:00
Betsson🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -5.72%E -3.58%K -9.53%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -5.53%E -2.40%K -4.25%G +0.000%6.0%2026-10-10 14:00
theScore Bet🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 59.13%EV -6.31%E -3.97%K -10.69%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.87%EV -5.53%E -2.40%K -4.25%G +0.000%6.4%2026-10-10 14:00
ReBet🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 58.81%EV -6.31%E -3.97%K -10.69%G +0.000%2.27I 44.05%NM 41.19%EV -6.76%E -2.98%K -5.32%G +0.000%6.9%2026-10-10 14:00
Fanatics🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 58.59%EV -6.31%E -3.97%K -10.69%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.41%EV -7.58%E -3.37%K -6.06%G +0.000%7.3%2026-10-10 14:00
Winamax (DE)🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 58.75%EV -6.90%E -4.37%K -11.90%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.25%EV -7.58%E -3.37%K -6.06%G +0.000%7.7%2026-10-10 14:00
SportsBet🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -7.49%E -4.77%K -13.14%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -5.53%E -2.40%K -4.25%G +0.000%7.2%2026-10-10 14:00
Paddy Power🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -7.49%E -4.77%K -13.14%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -7.58%E -3.37%K -6.06%G +0.000%8.1%2026-10-10 13:59
Winamax (FR)🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 58.07%EV -12.79%E -8.64%K -26.65%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 41.93%EV -15.80%E -7.71%K -15.04%G +0.000%16.3%2026-10-10 14:00
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (3)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.10I 90.91%NM 53.19%1.25I 80.00%NM 46.81%70.9%2026-10-10 20:10
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.11I 90.09%NM 47.64%1.01I 99.01%NM 52.36%89.1%2026-10-10 14:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.11I 90.09%NM 47.64%1.01I 99.01%NM 52.36%89.1%2026-10-10 14:01